Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Mobile, AL

541 
WWUS54 KMOB 120748
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
148 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024

ALC023-120815-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-240212T0815Z/
Choctaw AL-
148 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CST
FOR NORTHERN CHOCTAW COUNTY...

At 147 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles south of
Kinterbish, or 12 miles northwest of Butler, moving northeast at 45
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Butler, Lisman, and Pennington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM CST for southwestern
Alabama.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8796 3228 8801 3228 8802 3226 8801
      3218 8801 3215 8802 3214 8804 3211 8805
      3209 8804 3197 8846 3225 8843 3231 8829
TIME...MOT...LOC 0747Z 241DEG 38KT 3226 8831 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

JP

338 
WWUS54 KMOB 120805
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
205 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024

ALC023-120814-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-240212T0815Z/
Choctaw AL-
205 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN CHOCTAW COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM CST for southwestern
Alabama.

LAT...LON 3231 8796 3228 8801 3228 8802 3226 8801
      3218 8801 3215 8802 3214 8804 3211 8805
      3209 8804 3197 8846 3225 8843 3231 8829
TIME...MOT...LOC 0758Z 243DEG 47KT 3237 8806 

$$

JP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1137 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1128 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

An organized band of TSRA is set up to our west from the central
coast of LA, northeast up across central MS and AL. The forecast
calls for the overnight period to have cigs primarily below 500'
and vsby to be variable ranging 1 to 4 miles. Potentially periods
of vsby dropping off to below a mile at times possible. Shra/tsra
increasing in coverage as we go through the night to daybreak
bringing potential delays to approaches and departures. Cold front
sweeps thru the central Gulf coast between 12.15 and 12.21Z
Monday, bringing wind shift and higher gusts. /10

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1109 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024/

..New NEAR TERM...

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Tuesday)
Issued at 1037 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

The southern stream shows a large positive tilt upper level trof
migrating eastward over the Red River Valley of TX/OK, putting the
Lower MS River valley in a favored diffluent flow aloft. Combined
with a right entrance region of a speed max at high altitudes of
140+ knots from central TN to the Mid-Atlantic is forcing deep
convection along a warm front draped from central LA eastward to
central GA. Deep convection has remained off to the west, lifting
northeast from the central LA coast up across central MS into
central AL through the evening. Sfc based convective energy has
improved to between 500 and 1500 J/KG south of US Highway 84 and
along with effective bulk shear magnitudes from 60 to 70 kts has
the local environment primed for the potential of severe weather
overnight. The convective allowing high resolution models indicate
a resurgence in thunderstorm coverage overnight as next wave of
energy aloft makes passage across the area. All modes of severe
weather possible. Damaging winds in excess of 60 mph, large hail
and perhaps isolated tornadoes given favorable 0-3 km helicity
values from 150-300 m2/s2. A cold front sweeps across the central
Gulf coast from mid morning to mid afternoon Monday, bringing an
end to the severe weather risk with its passage. A high risk of
dangerous to potentially deadly rip currents exists along with
high surf through the near term. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      61  69  38  60  36  63  42  68 /  90  90   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   63  69  42  60  39  63  46  67 /  70  90   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      64  70  45  61  42  63  49  66 /  70  90   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   62  71  38  60  33  66  39  69 /  80  90   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  58  68  37  60  33  65  39  67 /  80  70   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      61  69  38  58  33  65  39  67 /  90  90   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   63  72  41  61  33  65  39  69 /  70  90   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Advisory from noon Monday to 6 AM CST Tuesday for
     ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Advisory from noon Monday to 6 AM CST Tuesday for
     FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for GMZ630>632.

     Small Craft Advisory from noon Monday to midnight CST Monday
     night for GMZ631-632.

     Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Monday to 9 AM CST Tuesday for
     GMZ650-655.

     Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Monday to noon CST Tuesday for
     GMZ670-675.

&&

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