Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2024

River Flood Warning 16, NWS Mobile, AL

February 11, 2024Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Feb 11, 2024, 7:37 PM CST for Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama. It took effect at Feb 13, 2024, 9:38 PM CST. It was in force for 19 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2024, 7:37 PM CST (01:37 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 13, 2024, 9:38 PM CST
Expired
Mar 3, 2024, 7:37 PM CST
In force
19 days
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Clarke County, AL, Washington County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tombigbee River near Leroy (LRYA1). The gauge peaked at 27.72 ft at Feb 18, 2024, 3:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderate10203002/1202/1302/1402/1502/1602/1702/1802/1902/2002/2102/2202/2302/2402/2502/2602/2702/2802/2903/0103/0203/0303/0403/05
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
24 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02470050, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

443 
WGUS44 KMOB 120137
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
737 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

...The National Weather Service in Mobile AL has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-130145-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0016.240214T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T2100Z.240217T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
737 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CST Sunday the stage was 15.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    Wednesday afternoon and continue rising to 26.4 feet Friday
    evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

10
18 follow-up statements
449 
WGUS84 KMOB 121458
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
858 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-131500-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.240214T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0600Z.240217T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...From late Tuesday night until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 AM CST Monday the stage was 16.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    early Wednesday morning and continue rising to 26.9 feet
    Saturday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
133 
WGUS84 KMOB 130301
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
901 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-140315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.240213T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240213T2000Z.240218T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CST Monday the stage was 19.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    early tomorrow afternoon and continue rising to 27.2 feet
    Saturday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
646 
WGUS84 KMOB 131546
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
946 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-141600-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.240214T0417Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0417Z.240218T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...From this evening until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CST Tuesday the stage was 22.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening and continue rising to 26.9 feet Saturday
    evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
342 
WGUS84 KMOB 140145 RRA
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
745 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-150145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.240214T0338Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0338Z.240218T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
745 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...From this evening until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CST Tuesday the stage was 23.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening and continue rising to a crest of 26.8 feet
    early Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
856 
WGUS84 KMOB 141634
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1034 AM CST Wed Feb 14 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-151645-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240217T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1034 AM CST Wed Feb 14 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.
  At 30.0 feet, roads along the east side of the river near Jackson 
  begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CST Wednesday the stage was 24.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 AM CST Wednesday was 24.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.7
    feet early Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
887 
WGUS84 KMOB 150153
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
753 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-160200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240217T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
753 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CST Wednesday the stage was 25.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:00 PM CST Wednesday was 25.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.8
    feet early Saturday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
447 
WGUS84 KMOB 151620
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1020 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-161630-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240218T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1020 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.
  At 30.0 feet, roads along the east side of the river near Jackson 
  begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CST Thursday the stage was 26.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 AM CST Thursday was 26.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.9
    feet early Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
091 
WGUS84 KMOB 160202
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
802 PM CST Thu Feb 15 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-170215-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240217T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM CST Thu Feb 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CST Thursday the stage was 26.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.9
    feet early Saturday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
566 
WGUS84 KMOB 161612
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1012 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-171615-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240218T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1012 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.
  At 30.0 feet, roads along the east side of the river near Jackson 
  begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CST Friday the stage was 27.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM CST Friday was 27.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.7
    feet tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
755 
WGUS84 KMOB 170221 RRA
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
821 PM CST Fri Feb 16 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-180230-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240218T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
821 PM CST Fri Feb 16 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CST Friday the stage was 27.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.8
    feet tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
748 
WGUS84 KMOB 171538
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
938 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-181545-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-240222T1343Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240218T0000Z.240222T0742Z.NO/
938 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until Thursday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CST Saturday the stage was 27.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.8
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage early
    Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

JP
136 
WGUS84 KMOB 180239
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
839 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-190245-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-240222T0738Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240218T1800Z.240222T0138Z.NO/
839 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until early Thursday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CST Saturday the stage was 27.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM CST Saturday was 27.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.8
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

MM
488 
WGUS84 KMOB 181532
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
932 AM CST Sun Feb 18 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-191545-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-240222T0700Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240218T0900Z.240222T0100Z.NO/
932 AM CST Sun Feb 18 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until early Thursday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CST Sunday the stage was 27.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.7
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

JP
346 
WGUS84 KMOB 190306
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
906 PM CST Sun Feb 18 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-200315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-240222T0325Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240218T0900Z.240221T2125Z.NO/
906 PM CST Sun Feb 18 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late Wednesday evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CST Sunday the stage was 27.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM CST Sunday was 27.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Wednesday afternoon and continue falling to 19.4 feet Friday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

MM
828 
WGUS84 KMOB 191529
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
929 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-201530-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-240222T0325Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240218T0900Z.240221T2125Z.NO/
929 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CST Monday the stage was 27.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is cresting at a stage of 27.2 feet this
    morning. It will then begin a slow fall to below flood stage
    Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
798 
WGUS84 KMOB 200242 RRA
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
842 PM CST Mon Feb 19 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-210245-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-240222T0645Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240218T0900Z.240222T0045Z.NO/
842 PM CST Mon Feb 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until early Thursday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CST Monday the stage was 26.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM CST Monday was 27.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Wednesday evening and continue falling to 14.1 feet Saturday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

MM
785 
WGUS84 KMOB 201529
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
929 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-211530-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-240221T1938Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240218T0900Z.240221T1338Z.NO/
929 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CST Tuesday the stage was 25.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Wednesday morning and continue falling to 13.1 feet Sunday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
412 
WGUS84 KMOB 210141
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
741 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-211545-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-240221T1536Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.240214T0633Z.240218T0900Z.240221T0936Z.NO/
741 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CST Tuesday the stage was 24.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling to 11.4 feet Sunday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

10

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 11, 5:44 PM CST, 1 hour 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 5:44 PM CST, 1 hour 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
544 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 537 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

The first band of organized shra/tsra is lifting north of the
local area and we await the next period of redevelopment of better
coverage shra/tsra which is expected late in the night during the
morning Monday. In the meantime, a warm and moist environment
persists, favoring lowering flight rules in the near term with
streaks of shra lifting northeastward this evening. South winds 7
to 12 knots with occasional higher gusts. /10

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 234 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024/

..New NEAR TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 234 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

An upper low advances across the south central states through Monday
morning, then moves to near the Arkansas/Tennessee border Monday
afternoon. An associated surface low is currently located over
eastern Texas with a frontal boundary extending to across central
Mississippi and northern Alabama. The surface low advances to near
the Arkansas/Mississippi border late tonight before continuing into
eastern Kentucky late in the period, and in the process brings a
strong cold front through the forecast area on Monday. A series of
shortwaves continue to move across the forecast area ahead of the
approaching cold front. Timing the best deep layer lift associated
with this pattern has become increasingly difficult which in turn
makes for low confidence with how the associated convection will
play out. Indicated MLCAPE values could be as high as 1000-1500 J/kg
tonight into tomorrow (but will more likely be up to near 1000 J/kg)
before the front moves through, but model soundings continue to
exhibit characteristics that could hamper convective development.
The low confidence with the pattern also applies to how the model
soundings will evolve, but for the most part there are three main
concerns until the front moves through. The first is that there is a
tendency for unfavorable low level lapse rates which means that
convection may struggle to access much of the favorable low level
shear. The second is that a mid level warm layer is indicated for
much of the area before eroding from west to east late tonight into
early Monday morning. The third concern is that the column will
likely be steadily moistening which means that mid level dry air
essential for supporting a severe weather risk looks increasingly
dubious. The bottom line is that there is low confidence for how
convection will evolve, and as a consequence, the potential for
severe storms. CAMS (Convection Allowing Models) do indicate some
stronger storms developing but for the most part look to remain
below severe limits, adding to the low confidence for severe storm
development. It was noted that surf heights will be building on
Monday, so have opted to issue a High Surf Advisory which will be in
effect from 18Z Monday until 12Z Tuesday for surf heights of 5 to 7
feet. A marine Dense Fog Advisory will be in effect for Mobile Bay
and the Mississippi Sound until 6 am Monday, and will need to
monitor for the potential for dense fog to develop overnight, mainly
near the coast. Lows tonight will be rather mild and range from
around 60 to the lower 60s. Highs on Monday will be in the upper 60s
to lower 70s. A High Risk of rip currents continues through
Monday. /29

LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 234 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

An upper-level trough located to the north of our region at the
start of the period quickly ejects northeastward throughout the
day on Tuesday. Behind it, the subtropical jet stream remains
in place over head as winds aloft slowly turn from southwesterly
to zonal by Wednesday and through the remainder of the week. At
the surface, a much cooler/drier airmass advects into our region
from our north as high pressure builds into the south central US
in the wake of the cold front which swept through our area during
the near term period. Dry, subsident air from this high will keep
rain chances out of the forecast through Thursday night as the
high slowly slides eastward. Temperatures will be rather cool
Monday night through Tuesday night, with lows generally in the mid
to upper 30s to low 40s. Highs on Tuesday will top out in the
upper 50s to low 60s. As the high moves overhead on Wednesday and
eventually to our east by Thursday, light winds will begin to
shift from offshore to onshore, allowing for temperatures to
gradually warm through the remainder of the week.

By Friday, a highly amplified trough, embedded within the
subtropical jet develops over the Eastern Pacific and begins to
quickly push eastward across Mexico on Saturday. As this trough
approaches, flow aloft turns southwesterly by late Friday allowing
for deep moisture (PWATs over 1.5 inches) to advect into the local
region from the Gulf. At the surface, a low pressure system looks to
develop over the northwest Gulf in association with the approaching
trough. Guidance continues to suggest that this low should remain
offshore as it pushes towards the east, keeping our area in the cool
sector. With the increase in moisture and ample forcing in place
from the proximity of the low, currently anticipating an overrunning
rain event, with scattered to numerous showers spreading across the
area Friday evening through Saturday. With models currently keeping
the low and its associated instability offshore, continued leaving
thunder out of the forecast for land areas at this time. However, as
the previous shift mentioned, if the surface low takes a more
northeastward trajectory and moves inland, then we will have to
monitor to see if the warm sector is able to move onshore,
increasing the potential for a few surface based thunderstorms. Rain
chances decrease from northwest to southeast on Sunday as the low
pushes to our east and a cold front moves through the area. /96

MARINE...
Issued at 234 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

With a continuing moist southerly flow over cool waters in Mobile
Bay (55-60F), have extended the marine Dense Fog Advisory for Mobile
Bay and the Mississippi Sound through 6 am Monday morning. Will need
to monitor for possible expansion of the advisory to include other
bay waters. Small craft should exercise caution for the open Gulf
waters tonight, then a Small Craft Advisory comes into effect for
much of the marine area on Monday then ends Tuesday morning as winds
and seas subside. Winds and seas will be higher near storms. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      61  69  38  60  36  63  42  68 /  90  90   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   63  69  42  60  39  63  46  67 /  70  90   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      64  70  45  61  42  63  49  66 /  70  90   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   62  71  38  60  33  66  39  69 /  80  90   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  58  68  37  60  33  65  39  67 /  80  70   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      61  69  38  58  33  65  39  67 /  90  90   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   63  72  41  61  33  65  39  69 /  70  90   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Advisory from noon Monday to 6 AM CST Tuesday for
     ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Advisory from noon Monday to 6 AM CST Tuesday for
     FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for GMZ630>632.

     Small Craft Advisory from noon Monday to midnight CST Monday
     night for GMZ631-632.

     Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Monday to 9 AM CST Tuesday for
     GMZ650-655.

     Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Monday to noon CST Tuesday for
     GMZ670-675.

&&

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 11, 7:33 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBDallas, Monroe, Wilcox7 days
Feb 11, 7:35 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington9 days
Feb 12, 1:17 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw48 min
Feb 12, 2:30 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBChoctaw60 min
Feb 12, 2:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw, Washington43 min
Feb 12, 3:13 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBChoctaw3 hr
Feb 12, 4:11 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBClarke, Washington64 min
Feb 12, 5:03 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBButler, Conecuh42 min
Feb 12, 5:27 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBButler, Crenshaw, Wilcox3 hr
Feb 12, 6:34 AM CSTMarine Dense Fog AdvisoryMOB2 hr
Feb 12, 7:24 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBCovington3 hr
Feb 12, 8:46 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBClarke, Monroe, Wilcox21 days
Feb 12, 10:02 AM CSTGale WarningMOB14 hr
Feb 12, 10:02 AM CSTSmall Craft AdvisoryMOB23 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2024Every river flood warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.