Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2024

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 133, NWS Milwaukee, WI

June 25, 2024Ozaukee County, Sheboygan County, Washington County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 25, 2024, 5:43 AM CDT for Ozaukee County, Sheboygan County, Washington County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2024, 5:43 AM CDT (10:43 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2024, 6:15 AM CDT
In force
32 min
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
50.0 mph

Counties Ozaukee County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Washington County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 25, 12:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2024-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2024-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 230 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1266 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
279 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 25, 3:22 AM CDT, 2 hours 21 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Mainstem river flooding and high water levels will continue over the next few days.
  • Heat index values into the 90s are possible today.
  • Strong Thunderstorms look to return later on Friday.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 3:22 AM CDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
322 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Mainstem river flooding and high water levels will continue
   over the next few days.

-  Heat index values into the 90s are possible today.

-  Strong Thunderstorms look to return later on Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued 320 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Today and Tonight:

Atmospheric conditions will change over most of the forecast
area after 15Z today. CAPE and overall moisture will be meager
after this time per models, as surface wind shifts more
westerly. Therefore, this afternoon and evening should be
generally dry. Temperatures will quickly rise by this afternoon
with many locations approaching the upper 80s and lower 90s.

Southern Wisconsin actually looks to be in a pinch this evening
and tonight between showers and thunderstorms to our south over
northern Illinois and another shortwave approaching from our
west. This wave should be monitored tonight, as cloud cover
increases. There also looks to be a weak surface boundary
setting up across the forecast area later tonight, which may
generate a few showers or an isolated thunderstorm, mostly near
Lake Michigan in far southeast Wisconsin.

KPL

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued 320 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Wednesday through Monday:

Shortwave moves east Wednesday morning and early afternoon, as
drier air begins to advect into Wisconsin. Heights aloft then push
any energy well north of the forecast area. All indications are
that shortwave ridging will result in dry weather later Wednesday
through Thursday. In fact, it should be dry into early Friday
across southern Wisconsin.

Flow aloft then becomes more southwesterly on Friday with
increasing moisture aided by yet another low level jet for Friday
afternoon and evening. There also looks to be lift in the mid and
upper levels with another trough approaching Wisconsin from the
west. The result should be more thunderstorms, some could be
strong. It will also be quite warm on Friday.

There should also be a surface cold front moving through sometime
Friday night into early Saturday. Thinking the instability will
stick around for Saturday to keep some shower and thunderstorm
chances. Will have to keep an eye out for another shortwave aloft
during the day Saturday, possibly supporting steeper lapse rates
(and hence instability). Temperatures should be a little cooler
on Saturday.

Sunday and Monday in the extended then look dry and pleasant
across southern Wisconsin. No weather threats to consider at this
time, but will take a closer look as we approach the upcoming
weekend.

KPL

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued 320 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Surface winds will decrease later this morning and afternoon.
Any remaining storms will dissipate or exit the region, leaving
VFR conditions for this afternoon and evening. There will
remain some cloud cover tonight into early Wednesday, but a
brief drying trend will occur across southern Wisconsin routes.

KPL

&&

.MARINE...
Issued 320 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Storms will move off the northern parts of Lake Michigan this
morning. There will be some clearing with less wind by this
afternoon. Winds will then be variable over most of Lake
Michigan through Wednesday. Isolated showers and storms remain
possible early Wednesday before a drying trend begins. Next day
for increasing waves and small craft concerns will be on Friday.

We will also allow the Small Craft Advisory to expire at 12Z.

KPL

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...Small Craft Advisory...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646 until 7 AM
     Tuesday.

&&

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 3:44 AM CDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
344 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-260845-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
344 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will move over Lake
Michigan early this morning. Strong winds of 60 MPH or greater
will be the greatest threat, along with locally heavy rain.

Most of this thunderstorm activity will end after 9 am.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Runoff from recent heavy rains will cause many rivers and streams
to continue rise through the week, with flooding possible.

There are additional chances for thunderstorms Friday into
Saturday.

Warm temperatures and high dewpoints will cause heat index values
to rise into the lower to middle 90s today.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed until 9 am this morning. This
especially includes Fond du Lac, Ozaukee, and Sheyboygan
Counties. Any reports of damaging winds, excessive rainfall or
flooding will be appreciated.

LMZ643>646-260845-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
344 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from
Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will impact the
nearshore waters until 10 am this morning. These storms will
contain strong wind gusts and heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

There are additional chances for thunderstorms Friday into
Saturday.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-260845-
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
344 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A line of strong thunderstorms is expected to impact the lake
this morning, bringing very gusty winds and heavy rainfall. Storms
will move east by this afternoon with decreasing surface winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

There are additional chances for thunderstorms Friday into
Saturday. Gusty winds are likely over the entire lake on Friday.

KPL

www.weather.gov/mkx

In the hours before

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Special weather statement, Jun 25, 4:52 AM CDT, 51 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 25, 5:02 AM CDT, 41 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 25, 5:32 AM CDT, 11 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 7:09 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXDane36 min
Jun 24, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXColumbia, Dane, Iowa47 min
Jun 24, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock23 min
Jun 24, 8:17 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMKXDane, Green, Iowa, Rock, Sauk3 hr
Jun 24, 8:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMKXDane2 hr
Jun 25, 12:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXJefferson39 min
Jun 25, 1:29 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMKX46 min
Jun 25, 3:14 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMKX2 hr
Jun 25, 3:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDodge, Fond du Lac, Ozaukee, Sheboygan, Washington65 min
Jun 25, 3:28 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXIowa, Lafayette47 min
Jun 25, 4:01 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXDane, Green, Lafayette44 min
Jun 25, 4:19 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMKXSheboygan3 hr
Jun 25, 4:29 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXFond du Lac, Ozaukee, Sheboygan31 min
Jun 25, 4:52 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXGreen, Jefferson, Rock, Walworth, Waukesha38 min
Jun 25, 5:02 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXFond du Lac, Ozaukee, Sheboygan, Washington28 min
Jun 25, 5:28 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXJefferson5 hr
Jun 25, 5:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXJefferson, Kenosha, Milwaukee, Racine, Rock, Walworth and 1 more59 min
Jun 25, 5:32 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXOzaukee, Sheboygan, Washington43 min
Jun 25, 5:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXJefferson, Waukesha31 min
Jun 25, 5:47 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMKX118 min
Jun 25, 5:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDodge, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Washington, Waukesha34 min
Jun 25, 6:07 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMKXDodge, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Washington, Waukesha3 hr
Jun 25, 6:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXMilwaukee, Waukesha21 min
Jun 25, 6:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXKenosha, Milwaukee, Racine, Walworth, Waukesha44 min
Jun 25, 8:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXWaukesha8 hr
Jun 25, 8:54 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXSheboygan37 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2024Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.