Severe Thunderstorm Warning 53, NWS Miami, FL

328 
WWUS52 KMFL 070101
SVSMFL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
901 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

FLC051-070110-
/O.CAN.KMFL.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-240607T0115Z/
Hendry FL-
901 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HENDRY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 2612 8070 2614 8088 2628 8087 2627 8063
      2612 8069
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 235DEG 3KT 2621 8079 

$$

FLC011-021-070115-
/O.CON.KMFL.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-240607T0115Z/
Collier FL-Broward FL-
901 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN COLLIER AND NORTHERN BROWARD COUNTIES...

At 900 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Miccosukee
Service Plaza, or 30 miles west of Sunrise, and is nearly stationary.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Miccosukee Service Plaza and West Broward Rec. Area On Alligator
Alley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2612 8070 2614 8088 2628 8087 2627 8063
      2612 8069
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 235DEG 3KT 2621 8079 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Baxter

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
751 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 122 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Key Messages:

 - Shower and storm chances increase today, with some strong to
   severe storms possible through this evening.

 - Hot and humid conditions forecast today and throughout the
   weekend, with peak heat indices in the 103 to 110 range.

A potentially active afternoon and evening is on tap for portions
of South Florida as today's round of sea-breeze-focused showers
and thunderstorms may have a bit more juice to them, thanks to an
approaching mid-level shortwave. This feature will bring 500 mb
temps down to around -8 to -9 C, which will combine with
steepening mid-level lapse rates near 6.5-7 C/km and MLCAPE over
2500 J/kg to provide an environment that could support strong to
severe storms capable of producing large hail (up to 1.75" in
diameter) and damaging wind gusts, in addition to frequent
lightning and heavy downpours. While strong to severe storms may
be possible across much of South Florida, they are most likely to
occur across the northern and eastern areas (Lake O and East Coast
metro). SPC has this area highlighted in a Slight Risk (level 2
of 5), with surrounding areas in a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5).
Showers and storms are anticipated to initiate in the early
afternoon along the sea breeze boundaries and propagate inland
over the Interior and towards Lake O by late afternoon and
evening. The approaching shortwave and associated surface low over
the Southeast US has also started to turn surface winds more
southerly, ushering in a warmer and more humid airmass. This will
lead to hot and humid conditions, with high temps in the low to
mid 90s across the area, and heat indices ranging from 103-108.

For Friday, the aforementioned trough continues migrating
eastward, while an associated sfc frontal boundary pushes
southward across the SE CONUS. This will begin veering winds
across the area to the southwest, continuing to advect warmer air
in from the south. This will help in keeping the current trend of
abnormally warm temperatures, with afternoon highs in the mid to
upper 90s. Heat indices will likewise climb into the 105-110 range
for most areas, but scattered showers and thunderstorms could
provide some relief wherever they form. Conditions will not be as
favorable for severe thunderstorms, but we could still see a few
strong storms capable of producing small hail, gusty winds,
frequent lightning, and heavy downpours.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 212 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

To open the weekend, a mid-level trough will advect eastward
towards the Florida peninsula with its attendant surface boundary
approaching northern Florida before stalling out. This will lead
to a south-southwesterly surface wind regime across the area. Sea
breezes will be the primary driver for ascent and thunderstorm
development through the weekend, although with enhanced southerly
flow, temperatures aloft will begin to warm to the -4 to -6 degree
range, so this should limit stronger storm potential. PoPs will
be around 50-60% for most locations this weekend and convection
should trend more towards the east coast compared to the west
coast under light west- southwest flow. High temperatures could
reach the mid to upper 90s each day, with areas in the interior
potentially topping out in the triple digits. Heat indices will
climb into the mid 100s for most areas under southwest flow, and
thus there is an increasing potential for Heat Advisory or even
Excessive Heat Warning issuance for portions of the area.

For early to mid next week, guidance starts to vary more
drastically. Overall, most guidance is hinting at the potential
for a disturbance to form in the Caribbean or GOM which would
have the potential to impact the region at some point next week.
Local weather across South Florida will depend heavily on the
exact track and development of this disturbance. Model guidance
continues to vary drastically, so there is no real consensus yet
regarding potential impacts for the area. For now, keeping POPs
capped at 70% for each afternoon through the middle of next week,
although these may need to be nudged upward (or even downward) as
guidance comes into better agreement regarding the disturbance. At
the very least, a disturbance to our west in the Gulf would only
reinforce our already southerly flow, so rain chances will likely
remain higher next week regardless as enhanced moisture filters
across the area from the south. Stay tuned for more through the
week regarding this potential.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 749 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

SHRA/TSRA continues over inland South FLorida this evening and
should gradually wane in intensity after sunset. Mostly VFR
conditions overnight once convection dissipates with sea-breeze
circulations picking up once again tomorrow afternoon. TEMPOs may
be needed if SHRA/TSRA directly impacts terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 122 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Generally benign boating conditions should prevail across the
coastal waters through the weekend, with winds in the 5-10kt
range. Only exception will be in the vicinity of any thunderstorm
that forms, which will bring brief periods of rough seas and gusty
winds. Seas will remain in the 2 to 3 feet range in the Atlantic
waters, and 2 feet or less in the Gulf waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            79  91  79  91 /  30  60  40  50
West Kendall     75  93  76  93 /  30  60  40  50
Opa-Locka        78  93  78  93 /  30  60  40  50
Homestead        78  91  77  90 /  20  60  40  50
Fort Lauderdale  79  91  79  90 /  30  60  40  50
N Ft Lauderdale  78  92  78  91 /  20  60  40  50
Pembroke Pines   79  95  79  94 /  30  60  40  50
West Palm Beach  78  94  76  93 /  20  60  40  50
Boca Raton       78  93  77  93 /  20  60  40  50
Naples           78  92  79  93 /  30  60  20  50

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Culver
LONG TERM....Rizzuto
AVIATION...Hadi

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
740 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
071145-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach County-Metro Palm Beach County-
Coastal Collier County-Inland Collier County-Inland Broward County-
Metro Broward County-Inland Miami-Dade County-
Metropolitan Miami Dade-Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach County-
Coastal Broward County-Coastal Miami Dade County-Far South Miami-
Dade County-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
740 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Possible This Afternoon...
...Peak Heat Indices In The Triple Digits Across South Florida...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters,
southeast Florida, southern Florida, southwest Florida and Gulf of
Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon
into the early evening. Some storms may be strong to severe, with
primary threats being large hail and damaging gusts in addition to
frequent lightning and heavy downpours.

Excessive Heat: Peak indices of 103 to 108 degree will be possible
across South Florida today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day, with the
greatest coverage expected each afternoon over the interior.

Temperatures will remain hot through the end of the week and into
the weekend, with some locations approaching advisory criteria at
times.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
713 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

FLZ066-070-070000-
Hendry FL-Inland Collier County FL-
713 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northeastern Collier
and southeastern Hendry Counties through 800 PM EDT...

At 712 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
strong thunderstorms along a line extending from 6 miles southeast of
Montura to 6 miles southwest of Hendry Correctional. These storms
were nearly stationary or slowly moving to the east.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hendry Correctional, Big Cypress Seminole Reservation, Devils Garden,
and Sunniland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2662 8089 2620 8088 2619 8139 2666 8129
TIME...MOT...LOC 2312Z 282DEG 3KT 2661 8100 2624 8128

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Baxter

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
715 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

FLZ063-066-062330-
Hendry FL-Glades FL-
715 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Hendry
and south central Glades Counties through 730 PM EDT...

At 715 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm capable of producing a landspout over Moore
Haven, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Landspouts, wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph, and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
         could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
         objects.

Locations impacted include...
Clewiston and Moore Haven.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Miami. You can also share your report with NWS Miami on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 2686 8109 2685 8110 2682 8106 2681 8101
      2681 8098 2680 8097 2680 8096 2677 8095
      2676 8092 2678 8113 2687 8112 2687 8110
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 260DEG 19KT 2681 8106

LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Hadi

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
716 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

FLZ063-070015-
Glades FL-
716 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Glades
County through 815 PM EDT...

At 716 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm near Brighton Seminole Reservation, or 8 miles
north of Lakeport, moving east at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Buckhead Ridge and Brighton Seminole Reservation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Miami. You can also share your report with NWS Miami on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 2718 8091 2717 8089 2717 8088 2714 8087
      2712 8089 2712 8091 2710 8091 2710 8093
      2708 8093 2709 8095 2707 8096 2708 8095
      2707 8095 2705 8097 2706 8097 2701 8102
      2705 8117 2721 8116
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 272DEG 5KT 2711 8111

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Baxter

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
744 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

FLZ066-067-070030-
Hendry FL-Inland Palm Beach County FL-
744 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Hendry
and west central Palm Beach Counties through 830 PM EDT...

At 744 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm near Clewiston, moving east at 5 to 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Clewiston, Lake Harbor, and Harlem.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Miami. You can also share your report with NWS Miami on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 2673 8085 2670 8082 2670 8077 2651 8077
      2657 8105 2676 8105 2676 8092
TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 268DEG 6KT 2667 8097

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Baxter

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
802 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

FLZ071-073-070045-
Inland Broward County FL-Inland Miami-Dade County FL-
802 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northern Miami-Dade
and southern Broward Counties through 845 PM EDT...

At 801 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
strong thunderstorms along a line extending from 6 miles south of
Miccosukee Service Plaza to near Fortymile Bend. These storms were
nearly stationary or slowly moving north northeast.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Fortymile Bend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2610 8065 2574 8066 2576 8087 2612 8087
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 350DEG 3KT 2607 8081 2574 8079

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Baxter

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
816 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

FLZ066-067-070-071-070100-
Inland Broward County FL-Hendry FL-Inland Collier County FL-
Inland Palm Beach County FL-
816 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Collier, southeastern Hendry, Broward and southwestern Palm Beach
Counties through 900 PM EDT...

At 815 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm near Miccosukee Service Plaza, or 28 miles west
of Pembroke Pines, moving north around 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Miccosukee Indian Reservation, Miccosukee Service Plaza, and West
Broward Rec. Area On Alligator Alley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2602 8073 2604 8090 2634 8089 2633 8056
TIME...MOT...LOC 0015Z 190DEG 17KT 2610 8079

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Baxter