Tornado Warning 28, NWS Wilmington, OH

069 
WWUS51 KILN 022332
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
732 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

OHC015-071-022342-
/O.CAN.KILN.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-240402T2345Z/
Brown OH-Highland OH-
732 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL BROWN AND WEST CENTRAL
HIGHLAND COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe limits
and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado. Therefore, the
warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for south central
and southwestern Ohio.

Please report previous tornadoes, wind damage or hail to the National
Weather Service by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submitting your report via social media.

&&

LAT...LON 3917 8399 3921 8399 3923 8384 3922 8384
      3922 8381 3915 8380
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 261DEG 29KT 3919 8389 

$$

AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
315 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong low pressure system will move northeast to southern
Lake Michigan tonight. A cold front trailing from this low will
move east across the region, bringing a period of showers and
thunderstorms along and ahead of it. Some storms may be severe
late this afternoon into this evening. A cold mid level low
pressure system will then dig southeast into the area Wednesday
into Thursday, bringing below normal temperatures along with
rain and snow showers.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
The best chance for severe storms will be late this afternoon
into this evening, especially for the Tri-State, as a moist,
unstable airmass advects quickly in from the southwest. All
hazards are a concern, damaging winds, large hail, possible
tornadoes as the environment will be conducive to supercells and
rotating updrafts. The severe threat will also exist elsewhere,
but may be somewhat less as instability starts to wane this
evening ahead of an advancing cold front. We have also had some
heavy rain today, especially the northern half of the CWFA,
which has resulted in some short fused flooding and flooding
rivers. Will continue Flood Watch until 03Z, or 11 pm EDT for
the entire region. Watch will likely be trimmed once the cold
front passes by.

For the overnight period, CAA will ensue behind the cold front.
There will be a "dry slot" in the wake of the front where pcpn
should end. However, low level moisture will advect in from the
northwest, bringing considerable stratocumulus clouds. Winds
will be from the west/southwest between 10 and 20 mph with gusts
between 25 and 35 mph. Lows will range from the mid 30s east to
the lower 40s west.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
It will be a cold, cloudy, showery pattern for the short term
forecast.

A cold mid level low will rotate southeast into our region
Wednesday. This mid level low will be occluded with its surface
low. We should start out briefly dry early. Then, as we start to
destabilize diurnally and this interact with the mid level low,
showery pcpn will increase and spread in from the west. It will
also be unstable enough for some embedded thunder. Low freezing
levels will likely result in either some small hail or graupel.
By late in the day as cold air continues to advect in, some
snow may mix in with the rain showers near west central Ohio and
parts of the Whitewater and Miami Valleys. Highs will range
from the lower 40s west to near 50 east.

For Wednesday night, widespread pcpn is expected as the mid
level low continues to slowly rotate southeast. Snow will
continue to mix in with the rain as temperatures slowly fall
overnight. Given warm ground and temperatures still a little
above freezing, not much is expected in terms of snow
accumulation. Lows will fall into the lower to mid 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
It will be chilly and wet Thursday in the brisk northwest flow
under a closed mid level low and associated surface low
positioned over Ohio. Snow may mix with rain showers Thursday
morning, with thunder possible Thursday afternoon when marginal
instability is forecast to develop. The chance for a mix of rain
and snow showers will last through Friday in the persistently
damp cyclonic flow behind the low. An expansive area of high
pressure will bring dry weather Saturday through Sunday. Rain
showers may return Monday due to weakening disturbances
circulating over the Great Lakes. Drier weather is expected for
Tuesday as the next high pressure builds over Ohio.

Well below normal high temperatures in the 40s and lows in the
30s are forecast Thursday and Friday in the northwest flow
behind the low. A warming trend is indicated for the remainder
of the period, with highs rising to around 70 by Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Low pressure over north central Illinois this afternoon will
continue to deep as it pivots northeast to a position near
southern Michigan by 00Z Wednesday. As this occurs, a warm front
will lift north across the forecast area, followed by a cold
front that will propagate east from the low this evening.

For this afternoon, clusters of showers and thunderstorms will
move northeast across the terminals. MVFR/IFR conditions can be
expected in the heavier showers and storms. Southerly winds of
15 to 20 knots will gust between 20 and 30 knots, with higher
winds possible in thunderstorms.

For tonight, a convergent band of showers and thunderstorms
will occur along and just ahead of the cold front. This will be
another period for MVFR/IFR conditions.

Once the cold front passes by, CAA will ensue. There will be a
break in deep moisture and lift, so it should dry out behind the
front. However, CAA stratocumulus will wrap southeast into the
region, bringing MVFR ceilings. Winds will be from the
west/southwest around 15 knots with some gusts to 25 knots.

On Wednesday, aforementioned surface low pressure will have
occluded with its parent mid level low. The tandem will slowly
rotate south and east with time. As the day wears on, diurnal
instability will interact with the system to bring showers to
the region from the west. There could even be some embedded
thunderstorms. Some snow may mix in with the rain late in the
day near the KDAY terminal. Winds will remain westerly around 15
knots with gusts to 25 knots.

OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR ceilings and visibilities likely Wednesday
night into Thursday. MVFR ceilings and visibilities possible
Thursday night into Friday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flood Watch until 11 PM EDT this evening for OHZ026-034-035-
     042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...Flood Watch until 11 PM EDT this evening for KYZ089>100.
IN...Flood Watch until 11 PM EDT this evening for INZ050-058-059-
     066-073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hickman
NEAR TERM...Hickman
SHORT TERM...Hickman
LONG TERM...Coniglio
AVIATION...Hickman

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
951 AM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-031500-
Wayne-Fayette-Union-Franklin-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-
Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-
Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-
Greene-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
951 AM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Indiana,
southeast Indiana, northeast Kentucky, northern Kentucky, central
Ohio, south central Ohio, southwest Ohio and west central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Additional showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and
will continue into this evening. The greatest window for severe
storms to occur will be between 1 PM and 8 PM with the potential for
all weather hazards. The weather hazards include damaging winds,
large hail, and several tornadoes, some of which may be strong or
intense.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
643 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 SW Oakbrook           38.97N 84.72W
04/02/2024  M47 MPH          Boone              KY   Mesonet

            KY Mesonet.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
644 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

KYZ094-022315-
Owen KY-
644 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN GRANT AND OWEN COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...

At 644 PM EDT, a cluster of strong thunderstorms were located 7 miles
west of Owenton, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Hail may cause minor damage to
         vegetation.

Locations impacted include...
Owenton, Corinth, Monterey, Gratz, Squiresville, Elk Lake, New
Columbus, Needmore, Elmer Davis Lake, Long Ridge, Natlee, and Gest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for northern
Kentucky.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3842 8488 3843 8493 3846 8491 3846 8493
      3843 8495 3847 8495 3849 8499 3852 8498
      3851 8503 3856 8501 3857 8504 3865 8480
      3854 8467 3853 8467 3852 8464 3849 8463
      3847 8458 3845 8460 3839 8490
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 245DEG 40KT 3850 8497

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

McGinnis

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
648 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0607 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NE Forest Park        39.31N 84.51W
04/02/2024                   Butler             OH   Trained Spotter

            1 Large tree down. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
649 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0607 PM     Hail             2 NE Forest Park        39.31N 84.51W
04/02/2024  M1.00 Inch       Butler             OH   Trained Spotter

            Time estimated from radar.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
702 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0702 PM     Hail             2 NE Milledgeville      39.61N 83.57W
04/02/2024  M0.70 Inch       Fayette            OH   Trained Spotter

&&

AN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
707 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

OHZ055-056-064-065-022330-
Licking OH-Fairfield OH-Franklin OH-Pickaway OH-
707 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
FRANKLIN...FAIRFIELD...NORTHEASTERN PICKAWAY AND SOUTHWESTERN LICKING
COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

At 707 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Groveport,
moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph, penny size hail, and very heavy
         rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Hail may cause minor damage to
         vegetation. Visibility will be poor and hydroplaning is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Columbus, Newark, Lancaster, Reynoldsburg, Grove City, Gahanna,
Pickerington, Circleville, Bexley, Heath, Granville, Pataskala, Canal
Winchester, Groveport, Ashville, Baltimore, Buckeye Lake, Hebron,
South Bloomfield, and Millersport.

This includes the following Interstates...
 I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 100 and 131.
 I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 100 and 108.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a sturdy building.

Motorists should slow down and use extra caution.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for central Ohio.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3974 8240 3962 8297 3992 8308 4017 8250
      3993 8243 3993 8246 3984 8247 3984 8243
      3983 8240
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 247DEG 49KT 3988 8297

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

AR