Tornado Warning 45, NWS Wichita, KS

883 
WWUS53 KICT 192030
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
330 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

KSC167-192130-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-240519T2130Z/
Russell KS-
330 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR RUSSELL
COUNTY...

At 330 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Gorham, or near
Walker, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and tennis ball size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Russell around 335 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Wilson
Lake, Bunker Hill, Russell Airport, and Wilson State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3907 9904 3913 9848 3877 9849 3872 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 254DEG 25KT 3885 9895 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN

$$

LAWSON

936 
WWUS53 KICT 192043
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
343 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

KSC167-192130-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-240519T2130Z/
Russell KS-
343 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR RUSSELL
COUNTY...

At 343 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Russell, moving 
northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and tennis ball size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Lucas around 420 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Wilson
Lake, Bunker Hill, Russell Airport, and Wilson State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3907 9904 3913 9848 3877 9849 3872 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 242DEG 24KT 3889 9885 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN

$$

LAWSON

510 
WWUS53 KICT 192054
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
354 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

KSC167-192130-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-240519T2130Z/
Russell KS-
354 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR RUSSELL
COUNTY...

At 353 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles east of Russell, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and tennis ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
Russell County, including the following locations... Wilson Lake,
Bunker Hill, Russell Airport, and Wilson State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3907 9904 3913 9848 3877 9849 3872 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2053Z 253DEG 29KT 3890 9871 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN

$$

LAWSON

432 
WWUS53 KICT 192129
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
429 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

KSC167-192138-
/O.EXP.KICT.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-240519T2130Z/
Russell KS-
429 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR RUSSELL COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 430 PM
CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3907 9904 3913 9848 3877 9849 3872 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 242DEG 24KT 3901 9845 

$$

LAWSON

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
154 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Severe storms likely on this afternoon and evening

- Another round of severe storms looks to impact the region on
  Tuesday

- Additional rounds of storms will continue for Thursday into next
weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 149 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Current satellite water vapor imagery shows upper jet
energy/associated upper level wave quickly approaching southwest
Kansas. There is a warm front boundary which extends from
western Kansas into central Kansas. Storms are and should begin
developing over western Kansas and along this warm front
boundary. If a storm can stay latched on this boundary it would
have potential to produce higher end severe weather and even a
tornado. Additonal storms will develop over southwest Kansas and
these storms will be in a higher based environment with cold
outflows expected and lower tornado potential. The cold pool
interaction should cause the storms to congeal quickly and form
a line of storms. The line of storms will grow upscale and
intensify, especially with the environment of high DCAPE and
orthogonal 0-3km bulk shear vector/magnitude supporting good
potential for balance on the leading edge of the line storms.
This balance could result in very destructive wind gusts over
80mph, especially for any segment of the line that takes on a
bowing structure. In addition, increasing low-level SRH and
orthogonal 0- 3km bulk shear vector/magnitude supports a few
QLCS tornadoes on leading edge when the line of storms
encounters better low level moisture. This activity will
continue eastward tonight and could have a trailing/lingering
line of storms near the KS/OK border past midnight.

The atmosphere looks more capped during the day on Monday and with
no upper level wave expected if anything can go it would be more
isolated and generally northwest/north of central Kansas. Model
signals continue to suggest another round of severe weather could
affect locations mainly east of the Kansas Turnpike for Tuesday
afternoon/evening. Stronger than normal upper jet winds and
alignment being more orthogonal to the dry line boundary supports
some discrete supercell potential along the dry line where all
severe weather hazards are in play(a few higher end severe storms
are possible in southeast Kansas). Meanwhile the cold front looks to
race southeast and quickly overtake the dry line which should cause
a line of storms to quickly zipper from northeast Kansas southward
into southern Kansas by Tuesday evening.

Wednesday looks to be the one quiet day of the week as surface high
pressure builds over Kansas, and drier air spreads southward in the
wake of Tuesday's system. The quiet conditions looks to be short-
lived as the atmosphere tries to reload and become more active
across the region for Thursday into next weekend. Models continue to
show upper level flow regime remaining in a southwest-westerly
pattern with decent flow aloft, and a couple of upper waves moving
across the central plains. The combination of decent wind flow aloft
and ample moisture/instability nearby supports more opportunities
for severe weather to affect the region.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Gusty southeast winds will prevail across much of the region
this afternoon. Meanwhile storms are expected to develop over
central Kansas later this afternoon and parts of western Kansas.
The storms are expected to develop into a line of severe storms
with damaging winds likely. This line will develop around 6pm
to 7pm over central/south central Kansas and race eastward
during the night time hours. Low clouds in the MVFR category
look to develop late tonight over south central Kansas in the
wake of this activity.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...CDJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
436 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-200945-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
436 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to impact the region
this afternoon and evening. The most intense storms will be capable
of producing very large hail up to tennis ball size, destructive
winds greater than 80 mph, and perhaps a few tornadoes. The greatest
severe weather threat will be generally along and west of the Flint
Hills between about 3 PM and midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Thunderstorm development appears unlikely Monday afternoon and
evening across much of the region. However, if a storm or two is
able to form, the environment will support severe weather.

Additional chances for severe storms exist over eastern Kansas
Tuesday afternoon and evening. Large hail, damaging winds, and a few
tornadoes are possible. Stay tuned for later outlooks.

Periodic thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast Thursday
through early next week. Stay tuned as we continue to refine the
potential for severe weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is likely this afternoon and evening, mainly
along and west of the Flint Hills.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict