Severe Thunderstorm Warning 53, NWS Atlanta, GA

995 
WWUS52 KFFC 030813
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
413 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

GAC133-141-265-301-317-030822-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-240403T0830Z/
Warren GA-Hancock GA-Greene GA-Taliaferro GA-Wilkes GA-
413 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN WARREN...NORTH
CENTRAL HANCOCK...SOUTHEASTERN GREENE...TALIAFERRO AND SOUTHEASTERN
WILKES COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM EDT for east central
Georgia.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
Taliaferro county.

&&

LAT...LON 3366 8251 3365 8252 3364 8256 3365 8258
      3363 8258 3364 8259 3363 8261 3363 8262
      3362 8262 3361 8265 3343 8257 3340 8324
      3342 8324 3346 8327 3353 8322 3378 8257
      3364 8248
TIME...MOT...LOC 0812Z 243DEG 57KT 3371 8263 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
138 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 230 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

Key Messages:

-A potent storm system will produce a severe weather threat
beginning this evening and lasting through the overnight hours for
portions of north and central Georgia. The severe threat will
progress southeastward through the early morning hours on Wednesday.
All modes of severe weather will be possible.

-Portions of northwest and western central Georgia (including the
metro Atlanta, Columbus, and Macon areas) are under a 10% TOR hatch
where strong (greater than EF2) tornadoes will be possible.

-Northwest and western central Georgia are most likely to see strong
damaging wind gusts early this evening and through the overnight
hours with the damaging wind threat progressing southeast through
the early morning hours.

-Large hail (greater than 1 inch) will be possible in storms
areawide where the greatest chances will be across far northwest
Georgia.

-As the bulk of the storms are expected to move through during the
nighttime hours while many people may be sleeping, it is incredibly
important to ensure you have more than 1 way to receive warnings
this evening.

A nocturnal severe weather threat is expected to play out over
portions of north and central Georgia tonight lasting through the
early morning hours on Wednesday. The strengthening surface low is
currently over central Illinois with the warm front draped over
central Indiana and central Ohio, dipping southward into southern
Virginia. While generally cloudy skies have been in place today,
middle and high clouds have not been as present as previously
thought. Breaks in coverage in the low level cumulus field have
allowed diurnal surface heating to take place early this afternoon.
The extent to which heating may occur will play a role in the
surface based available potential energy for thunderstorms that are
expected to fire off this afternoon. In this morning's 12Z sounding,
a significant cap was in place at 850mb. This cap is still evident
in this afternoon's 18Z sounding, but is expected to erode through
the late afternoon in the presence of cold air advection aloft,
warming surface temperatures as high as the low 80s across much of
north and central Georgia, and moisture return at the lower levels
(dewpoints as high as 65 along and south of I-20).

The severe weather threat will begin with a line of storms
approaching form the northwest this afternoon. Across northwest
Georgia, surface based CAPE across northwest Georgia will run
between 500-750 J/kg where 50+kt of shear and 0-1km SRH between 150-
300+ m2/s2 are also progged. CAMs suggest a secondary wave later
this evening after sunset for areas further south across western
central Georgia as isolated discrete cells ahead of the main line
will eventually congeal with the initial line. This general timing
of these cells coincide with the  of the 850mb low
level jet (wind speeds between 50 and 60kt), 0-1 SRH exceeding 200
m2/s2, and an unusual surge of surface based instability northward
from the Columbus area to the ATL metro during the overnight hours.
This instability within an increasingly favorable kinematic
parameter space late this afternoon through the early evening hours
have resulted in SPC progging an Enhanced Risk (level 3 out of 5)
for much of northwestern Georgia and western Georgia. All modes and
hazards of severe weather are expected with strong damaging wind
gusts (beginning first across north Georgia and spreading
southeastward through the early morning hours across central
Georgia), large hail 1 inch or greater across the entirety of the
area (far northwest Georgia is at the greatest risk), and the
potential for isolated tornadoes. In particular, locations across
northwestern and western central Georgia are at risk (as indicated
by the 10% TOR hatch from SPC) for strong tornadoes (EF2 or greater)
through the overnight hours. While the risk for flash flooding is
low, some locations may see rain rates sufficient to produce
localized flash flooding in the usual problematic spots.

Early tomorrow morning as the line continues to march through
eastern central Georgia, storms could restrengthen and redevelop
along the cold front after sunrise. The line is generally expected
to clear the area just after noon. High temperatures will be running
much cooler after the front moves in with high temperatures in the
upper 50s to low 70s. Winds will also be strong through the period
with gusts between 25 and 30 mph.

KAL

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 230 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

Will still be dealing with some wrap around moisture/light
sprinkles across N GA Thu morning but all in all should be a nice
day. High pressure builds in Thu evening through Friday morning
from the northern and central Plains. The biggest thing in the
long term will be the much cooler temps we will see through Sat
afternoon. The front that moves through the area in the short term
will usher in a much cooler airmass Thu through Sat. Will see
morning low temps in the 30s and even some upper 20s in the north
GA mountains. Given the dry conditions, sfc wetbulb temps will
likely be below freezing across North and portions of Central GA.
This may necessitate a frost and or freeze advisories. Highs will
be in the upper 50s up north and middle 60s through central GA and
slowly warm through Sunday. Have introduced some 20% PoPs for
Mon/Tue as next wave/front begins to near the area from the MS
river valley.

The other hazard to watch for through the long term will be fire wx.
Dry air combined with an extended period of sustained winds 10 to 20
mph will see drying fuel moistures and hazardous fire conditions.
Winds on Thursday will be particularly gusty, gusting 20 to 30 mph
across the CWA.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 132 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

Line of shra/tsra should clear ATL between 07-08Z. Some lingering
shra possible through around 09-10Z. Some patchy IFR cigs are
possible and could go bkn for a brief period of time, but
confidence is low. Clouds should begin to break by late
morning,early afternoon. Winds will turn more westerly behind the
line and become gusty.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Med confidence all elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          43  59  38  62 /  10   0   0   0
Atlanta         43  57  40  59 /  10   0   0   0
Blairsville     35  48  32  52 /  20  10   0   0
Cartersville    40  57  35  59 /  10   0   0   0
Columbus        45  65  42  66 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     43  55  38  59 /  10   0   0   0
Macon           45  64  41  65 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            41  57  36  60 /  10   0   0   0
Peachtree City  42  60  37  62 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         48  67  44  66 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...KAL
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...NListemaa

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
816 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-040030-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
816 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

A Tornado Watch is in effect for much of northwest and west
Georgia through 3 AM EDT. Showers and thunderstorms will increase
into the overnight hours, some of which are expected to become
severe. Damaging wind gusts, tornadoes, and large hail are
possible through early Wednesday morning before ending from west
to east.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Areas of frost are possible across portions of north Georgia
Thursday, Friday and Saturday mornings. The potential for frost is
highest north of the Interstate 20 corridor.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested for tonight. Please relay any
information about observed severe weather to the NWS.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
128 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

GAZ053-054-056-066>068-078-030615-
Harris GA-Fayette GA-Coweta GA-Troup GA-Spalding GA-Meriwether GA-
Pike GA-
128 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Spalding, south central Fayette, Meriwether, western Pike, Troup,
southeastern Coweta and northwestern Harris Counties through 215 AM
EDT...

At 128 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Long Cane, or near
Lanett, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
LaGrange, Greenville, West Point, Senoia, Hogansville, Pine Mountain,
Woodbury, Luthersville, Brooks, Molena, Haralson, Lone Oak, Gay, Pine
Mountain-Callaway Gardens, Concord, Mountville, Cannonville, Louise,
Odessadale, and Hollonville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM EDT for north central
and west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3333 8445 3301 8444 3272 8512 3274 8511
      3274 8513 3276 8514 3277 8514 3278 8512
      3281 8517 3283 8517 3285 8515 3286 8519
      3304 8522
TIME...MOT...LOC 0528Z 239DEG 49KT 3292 8515

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
203 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

GAZ067>069-078-079-089-030645-
Harris GA-Upson GA-Meriwether GA-Talbot GA-Pike GA-Muscogee GA-
203 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Meriwether, southeastern Pike, northern Muscogee, central Upson,
Talbot and Harris Counties through 245 AM EDT...

At 203 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Hamilton, moving
northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Thomaston, Hamilton, Talbotton, Manchester, Waverly Hall, Warm
Springs, Woodland, Meansville, Sunset Village, Lincoln Park, Upatoi,
Shiloh, Ellerslie, Laurel Hills, F.d. Roosevelt State Park, Atwater,
Cataula, Columbus Metropolitan Airport, Baughville, and Flint Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM EDT for west central
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3307 8431 3276 8424 3243 8497 3274 8504
TIME...MOT...LOC 0603Z 239DEG 49KT 3276 8489

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
212 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

GAZ046>048-057-030700-
Walton GA-Rockdale GA-Newton GA-Henry GA-
212 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Rockdale, central Henry, southwestern Walton and Newton Counties
through 300 AM EDT...

At 212 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over McDonough, moving
northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
McDonough, Conyers, Covington, Social Circle, Oxford, Porterdale,
Newborn, Mansfield, Georgia International Horse Park, Blacksville,
Ola, Magnet, Almon, Starrsville, Brick Store, Gum Creek, Flippen,
Kelleytown, Oak Hill, and Rocky Plains.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM EDT for north central
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3338 8419 3345 8423 3374 8387 3367 8372
      3352 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 0612Z 237DEG 43KT 3345 8413

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
215 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

GAZ054>057-067-068-070-030700-
Fayette GA-Lamar GA-Clayton GA-Spalding GA-Meriwether GA-Pike GA-
Henry GA-
215 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Spalding,
southeastern Fayette, northeastern Meriwether, northern Pike,
southwestern Henry, southern Clayton and northwestern Lamar Counties
through 300 AM EDT...

At 215 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Imlac, or near
Greenville, moving northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Griffin, Zebulon, Greenville, Hampton, Brooks, Williamson, Orchard
Hill, Woolsey, Sunny Side, Gay, East Griffin, Concord, Hilltop,
Walker Mill, Hollonville, Rover, Highland Mills, Towalaga,
Experiment, and Birdie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM EDT for north central
and west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3322 8457 3322 8451 3328 8450 3341 8434
      3330 8415 3318 8412 3296 8469 3307 8476
TIME...MOT...LOC 0615Z 239DEG 55KT 3305 8463

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
317 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

GAZ080-091>095-102>105-030745-
Macon GA-Schley GA-Peach GA-Stewart GA-Dooly GA-Taylor GA-Sumter GA-
Marion GA-Houston GA-Webster GA-
317 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Macon, southern
Marion, northwestern Dooly, southeastern Stewart, Webster,
southeastern Peach, southwestern Houston, Schley, Sumter and south
central Taylor Counties through 345 AM EDT...

At 317 AM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Rupert to near Brooklyn to near Sanford, and moving
east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Americus, Perry, Lumpkin, Ellaville, Oglethorpe, Preston, Montezuma,
Richland, Marshallville, Plains, Byromville, Ideal, Andersonville,
Dooling, Weston, Sumter, Putnam, Seminole, Houston Lake, and New Era.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM EDT for west central
Georgia. A Tornado Watch also remains in effect until 800 AM EDT for
central and west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3197 8444 3192 8446 3192 8491 3195 8496
      3197 8495 3198 8497 3246 8426 3253 8361
      3218 8390 3191 8421 3192 8434 3187 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 0717Z 260DEG 48KT 3243 8426 3215 8466 3192 8500

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
336 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

GAZ060-061-072-073-082>084-030815-
Wilkinson GA-Putnam GA-Baldwin GA-Bibb GA-Hancock GA-Jones GA-
Twiggs GA-
336 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Wilkinson, Baldwin, central Bibb, north central Twiggs, south central
Putnam, west central Hancock and eastern Jones Counties through 415
AM EDT...

At 336 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Postell, or near Gray,
moving northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Macon, Milledgeville, Gray, Gordon, Ivey, McIntyre, Payne, Payne
City, Midway-Hardwick, Meriwether, Postell, Bradley, Allenwood,
Mountain Springs, Griswoldville, Plant Harlee Branch, Wesleyan,
Hardwick, Browns Crossing, and Ethridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM EDT for central
Georgia. A Tornado Watch also remains in effect until 800 AM EDT for
central and east central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8381 3316 8347 3328 8314 3286 8320
TIME...MOT...LOC 0736Z 243DEG 57KT 3291 8355

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH