Severe Thunderstorm Warning 187, NWS Atlanta, GA

412 
WWUS52 KFFC 292255
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
655 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

GAC295-292304-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0187.000000T0000Z-240729T2315Z/
Walker GA-
655 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WALKER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 3447 8535 3459 8529 3459 8522 3449 8511
      3422 8521 3408 8539 3409 8542 3435 8548
TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 327DEG 21KT 3453 8527 3436 8531 3422 8557 

$$

GAC055-115-292315-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0187.000000T0000Z-240729T2315Z/
Floyd GA-Chattooga GA-
655 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN FLOYD AND CENTRAL CHATTOOGA COUNTIES...

At 654 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Trion to near Holland to Cedar Bluff, moving
southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Rome, Summerville, Trion, Cave Spring, Lyerly, Coosa, Subligna,
Chattoogaville, Tidings, Armuchee, James H. Floyd State Park, and
Holland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3447 8535 3459 8529 3459 8522 3449 8511
      3422 8521 3408 8539 3409 8542 3435 8548
TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 327DEG 21KT 3453 8527 3436 8531 3422 8557 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

941 
WWUS52 KFFC 292314
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
714 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

GAC055-115-292324-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0187.000000T0000Z-240729T2315Z/
Floyd GA-Chattooga GA-
714 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN FLOYD AND CENTRAL
CHATTOOGA COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM EDT...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

&&

LAT...LON 3447 8535 3459 8529 3459 8522 3449 8511
      3422 8521 3408 8539 3409 8542 3435 8548
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 327DEG 21KT 3444 8520 3427 8524 3413 8550 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
252 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

Mid level water vapor imagery shows quite the swirl moving into the
NE CONUS as the low begins to merge with the upper level jet. Ridge
continues to build to the west of the area and a few disturbances
have been moving along the edge of it and between the upper low
across the northeast. For us, relatively moist airmass remains in
place, and with a favorable upper level environment and just a touch
of day time heating after the cloud cover broke, convection has
broken out nearly area wide. This should continue until a bit past
sunset this evening.

MLCAPE values have risen to 2000+ J/kg across much of the area, with
the exception of north GA which has had ongoing convection most of
the morning/early afternoon. Effective bulk shear remains low enough
to keep storms from getting too organized though a few severe storms
will be possible, especially with any storms that can develop some
cold pool dynamics. FFG is pretty low in many places, so it won't
take much to get some flash flooding - however, the northwest flow
overhead is our friend in some ways, as is keeping storms from
training over the same areas. Some isolated flash flooding will be
possible, especially in areas with traditionally poor drainage or
urban corridors.

Tonight into tomorrow, the forecast gets a bit more challenging.
Northwest flow remains in place. Convective guidance is picking up
on disturbance firing convection in the Ohio River Valley this
evening and pushing it southward. This line looks as though it will
push into the state during the early morning hours - the question
will be if it is still together and just how far south it will make
it. Traditionally the guidance can break these lines apart a bit too
fast, but also they can struggle a bit with the overall placement.
So, the current forecast shows PoPs during the morning hours across
a wide area, but this is more for uncertainty in timing and position
(or existence) of this line as it pushes into the CWA. How this
plays out will have big implications on how the rest of the day may
play out - potential exists for another line or more afternoon
diurnal convection, all dependent upon what happens in the morning.
Instability values will be quite high if the sun can get out and
cook things a bit, and enough shear will be present, so will need to
be on the lookout for some severe wind potential with this.

Lusk

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday morning through next Sunday)
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

By Wednesday morning, the sfc high and upper level ridging have
progressed eastward taking away much of the NW flow. Moisture
through the mid and end of the week will likely be dependent on any
MCS development which occurs over the next couple days. Dry air
behind any system that can get going could be dragged down into the
area, however PWATs will still likely remain above 1.5" for much of
North and Central GA. PWAT values of near 2.0" remain most likely at
this time. When combined with diurnal heating, the pattern will
return to our regularly scheduled scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
PoPs will remain below 50% through early next week, however locally
heavy rainfall may continue to be an issue on top of already
saturated soils.

The main thing to watch for in the long term outlook will be the
heat risk. Highs by Thursday will be in the mid 90s to near 100 for
much of the area. Dewpoints well into the 70s will see heat indices
of 104+ with some areas potentially reaching near 110.

SM

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 142 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

Most sites are bouncing between MVFR and VFR conditions this
afternoon. Scattered to numerous SHRA with occasional TSRA
impacting all TAF sites. This will continue until a bit after
sunset. Low cigs possible tomorrow morning again as moist air
remains in place. Not as confident this morning as rainfall may
not be as prolific as yesterday, but concerned we may be wet
enough for IFR/MVFR cigs and maybe some vsby issues. Line of
storms currently forecast north of metro TAF sites by morning
hours to be falling apart, but may hold together long enough to
impact metro. Winds through period are W at 4-8 kts.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence morning cigs and convective timing tomorrow.
High all others.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  94  72  97 /  30  40  30  30
Atlanta         72  93  73  95 /  30  50  40  30
Blairsville     67  87  69  90 /  30  70  50  50
Cartersville    72  93  73  96 /  30  50  40  30
Columbus        74  95  75  96 /  30  60  40  40
Gainesville     72  92  73  94 /  30  40  40  30
Macon           72  95  72  96 /  40  50  40  30
Rome            72  92  74  96 /  40  60  40  30
Peachtree City  72  94  73  95 /  30  50  40  30
Vidalia         72  93  74  96 /  50  50  40  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Lusk
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...Lusk

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
252 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-301900-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
252 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are ongoing this afternoon
and evening. A few strong to severe storms with damaging winds may
occur, in addition to frequent lightning and heavy rainfall.
Localized flash flooding will be possible across much of north
Georgia and portions of central Georgia.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Scattered thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon and evening, can
be expected each day through Sunday. A few storms each day could
become strong to severe, capable of producing frequent lightning,
gusty to damaging winds, and heavy rainfall with localized flash
flooding.

Heat index values are forecasted to be 100 to 110 degrees across
much of north and central Georgia, with the exception of the
mountains, Tuesday through Sunday. Heat index values on the upper
end of that range are generally expected across east-central
Georgia.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
512 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

GAZ083-095-096-107-109-292145-
Houston GA-Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-Twiggs GA-Pulaski GA-
512 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Dodge,
northeastern Pulaski, southwestern Twiggs, Bleckley and east central
Houston Counties through 545 PM EDT...

At 512 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Kathleen, or 12 miles
northwest of Cochran, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Cochran, Hawkinsville, Chester, Dubois, Coley Station, Tarversville,
Gresston, Sand Bed, Empire, Yonkers, Mobley Crossing, Roddy, Baileys
Park, Magnolia, Royal, Ocmulgee Public Fishing Area, Paulk, Pulaski
State Prison, Porter, and Kathleen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3247 8365 3261 8352 3240 8312 3219 8332
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 307DEG 26KT 3250 8352

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
514 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

GAZ074-083>085-096-097-292145-
Wilkinson GA-Washington GA-Johnson GA-Bleckley GA-Laurens GA-
Twiggs GA-
514 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southern Wilkinson,
northern Laurens, southeastern Twiggs, northeastern Bleckley,
southwestern Washington and northwestern Johnson Counties through 545
PM EDT...

At 513 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Oconee to near Nicklesville to near Marion, and
moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Dublin, Wrightsville, Jeffersonville, Irwinton, East Dublin, Dudley,
Toomsboro, Oconee, Danville, Montrose, Allentown, Marion, Spann,
Tuckers Crossroad, Nicklesville, Lovett, District Path, Chappells
Mill, and Brewton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3268 8261 3251 8292 3246 8320 3267 8351
      3278 8327 3293 8294
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 323DEG 28KT 3287 8289 3275 8312 3266 8340

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
548 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

GAZ085-086-097-098-292215-
Emanuel GA-Treutlen GA-Johnson GA-Laurens GA-
548 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of central Laurens, west
central Emanuel, northern Treutlen and southeastern Johnson Counties
through 615 PM EDT...

At 548 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Kite to near Brewton to near Rebie, and moving
southeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Dublin, Swainsboro, East Dublin, Adrian, Dexter, Dudley, Rentz,
Montrose, Kite, Spann, Covena, Rockledge, Norristown, Minter, Lovett,
Harlow, Dellwood, Brewton, Gillis Springs, and Orland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3243 8250 3230 8288 3252 8319 3253 8320
      3267 8283 3276 8254 3258 8219
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 302DEG 29KT 3270 8248 3259 8276 3247 8313

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
605 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

GAZ097-108>111-292230-
Wheeler GA-Telfair GA-Wilcox GA-Laurens GA-Dodge GA-
605 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Laurens, southern Dodge, northwestern Telfair, eastern Wilcox and
west central Wheeler Counties through 630 PM EDT...

At 605 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Eastman, moving
southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
McRae, Abbeville, Helena, Milan, Rhine, Chauncey, Union, Jay Bird
Springs, Browning, Five Points, Achord, Little Ocmulgee State Park,
Godwinsville, and Workmore.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3209 8336 3215 8315 3232 8307 3214 8284
      3192 8293 3188 8328
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 313DEG 26KT 3219 8319

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
609 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

GAZ105-108-292245-
Dooly GA-Wilcox GA-
609 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Wilcox
County through 645 PM EDT...

At 609 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Pleasant View, or 13
miles east of Cordele, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Rochelle, Pitts, Pope City, Pleasant View, and Seville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3197 8361 3203 8361 3203 8365 3205 8366
      3212 8357 3201 8336 3189 8343 3186 8355
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 317DEG 16KT 3201 8354

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
618 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

GAZ085-086-097-098-111>113-292245-
Toombs GA-Wheeler GA-Emanuel GA-Treutlen GA-Johnson GA-Montgomery GA-
Laurens GA-
618 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of central Laurens,
northwestern Toombs, Emanuel, Treutlen, southeastern Johnson,
northern Wheeler and northern Montgomery Counties through 645 PM
EDT...

At 618 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Three Points to Cadwell, and moving southeast at
35 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Dublin, Swainsboro, Soperton, Alamo, Mount Vernon, East Dublin, Twin
City, Glenwood, Adrian, Dexter, Stillmore, Cadwell, Oak Park, Rentz,
Garfield, Summertown, Nunez, Tarrytown, Kite, and Lothair.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3254 8203 3256 8208 3252 8215 3248 8218
      3243 8219 3235 8225 3229 8236 3212 8281
      3218 8288 3218 8287 3220 8289 3219 8290
      3235 8310 3240 8313 3283 8229 3280 8221
      3281 8215 3266 8208 3261 8200
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 316DEG 29KT 3275 8220 3233 8303

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH