River Flood Warning 79, NWS Atlanta, GA

615 
WGUS82 KFFC 260024
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
724 PM EST Thu Jan 25 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Flint River near Griffin affecting Fayette and Spalding Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued Friday morning at 730 AM EST.

&&

GAC113-255-261230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0079.240126T1000Z-240127T0200Z/
/GRFG1.1.ER.240126T1000Z.240126T1200Z.240126T2000Z.NO/
724 PM EST Thu Jan 25 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE 
TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Flint River near Griffin.

* WHEN...From late tonight to late tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 12 feet, Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding 
  begins in the woodlands...fields and pasture upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Georgia Highway 16 or Newnan Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 PM EST Thursday the stage was 10.8 feet and rising.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tonight
    to 12.1 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall
    below flood stage tomorrow afternoon to 10.3 feet Saturday
    evening. It will rise to 10.7 feet Sunday morning. It will
    then fall again and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 12 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3330 8444 3330 8437 3318 8445 3316 8447
      3322 8450


$$

373 
WGUS82 KFFC 260304
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1004 PM EST Thu Jan 25 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Flint River near Griffin affecting Fayette and Spalding Counties.

For the Flint River Basin...including Griffin...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued Friday morning at 1015 AM EST.

&&

GAC113-255-261515-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0079.240126T1030Z-240127T0200Z/
/GRFG1.1.ER.240126T1030Z.240126T1200Z.240126T2000Z.NO/
1004 PM EST Thu Jan 25 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE TOMORROW 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast to occur.

* WHERE...Flint River near Griffin.

* WHEN...From late tonight to late tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 12 feet, Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding 
  begins in the woodlands...fields and pasture upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Georgia Highway 16 or Newnan Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 PM EST Thursday the stage was 11.3 feet and rising.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tonight
    to 12.1 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall
    below flood stage tomorrow afternoon to 10.0 feet Saturday
    evening. It will rise to 10.9 feet early Sunday afternoon. It
    will then fall to 9.8 feet Monday evening. It will rise to
    10.2 feet early Tuesday afternoon. It will then fall again
    and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 12 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3330 8444 3330 8437 3318 8445 3316 8447
      3322 8450


$$

879 
WGUS82 KFFC 260757
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
257 AM EST Fri Jan 26 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Flint River near Griffin affecting Fayette and Spalding Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 300 PM EST.

&&

GAC113-255-262000-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0079.240126T1108Z-240127T0200Z/
/GRFG1.1.ER.240126T1108Z.240126T1200Z.240126T2000Z.NO/
257 AM EST Fri Jan 26 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Flint River near Griffin.

* WHEN...From this morning to late this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 12 feet, Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding 
  begins in the woodlands...fields and pasture upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Georgia Highway 16 or Newnan Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:45 AM EST Friday the stage was 11.5 feet and rising.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 12.1 feet this morning,
    then fall to 10 feet Saturday evening. Although additional
    rises are possible with the expected rainfall through
    Saturday, the river is expected to remain below flood stage
    through Tuesday.
  - Flood stage is 12 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3330 8444 3330 8437 3318 8445 3316 8447
      3322 8450


$$

245 
WGUS82 KFFC 261508
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1008 AM EST Fri Jan 26 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Flint River near Griffin affecting Fayette and Spalding Counties.

For the Flint River Basin...including Fayetteville, Peachtree City, 
Peachtree City, Americus, Lovejoy, Woolsey, Sharpsburg, Peachtree 
City, Peachtree City, Senoia, Griffin, Orchard Hill, Griffin, 
Molena, Thomaston, Carsonville, Montezuma, Byromville...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1015 PM EST.

&&

GAC113-255-270315-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-240127T1251Z/
/GRFG1.1.ER.240126T1800Z.240127T0000Z.240127T0651Z.NO/
1008 AM EST Fri Jan 26 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Flint River near Griffin.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12 feet, Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding 
  begins in the woodlands...fields and pasture upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Georgia Highway 16 or Newnan Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM EST Friday the stage was 11.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this
    afternoon to 12.2 feet this evening. It will then fall below
    flood stage just after midnight tonight to 10 feet early
    Sunday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 12 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3330 8444 3330 8437 3318 8445 3316 8447
      3322 8450


$$

023 
WGUS82 KFFC 262053
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
353 PM EST Fri Jan 26 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Flint River near Griffin affecting Fayette and Spalding Counties.

GAC113-255-262200-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-240126T2053Z/
/GRFG1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
353 PM EST Fri Jan 26 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Flint River near Griffin.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:45 PM EST Friday the stage was 11.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will fall to 9.0 feet early Sunday
    morning. It will then rise to 9.3 feet Sunday morning. It
    will fall to 7.7 feet Monday evening. It will then rise to
    7.8 feet Tuesday morning. It will fall again and remain below
    flood stage.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3330 8444 3330 8437 3318 8445 3316 8447
      3322 8450


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1111 AM EST Thu Jan 25 2024

...New Update Expanded Flood Watch...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1056 AM EST Thu Jan 25 2024

A roughly 20-40 mile wide swath of 1.5-3" of rainfall (training
echoes) set up along a Greenville to Athens line earlier this
morning. These antecedent conditions, along with expected scattered
showers and thunderstorms through Friday and a more expansive heavy
rain area forecast for Saturday necessitated an expansion of the
existing Flood Watch to the SE. The one saving grace is a relative
lull in the widespread rain until Saturday. /SEC

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday Night)
 Issued at 337 AM EST Thu Jan 25 2024

Wedge still in place across far NE portions of the CWA this morning.
Temperatures are fairly uniform, but vsbys continue to be low within
the wedge. Do think what is left of the wedge will erode through the
remainder of the morning. The airmass remains saturated with PWATS
well above 2SD above normal and is expected to remain so through
Saturday.

A wave of moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall is moving in from
the west. The hi-res models have somewhat of a handle on current
conditions, and lift this area of precip northward through the
morning and early afternoon. A break in the widespread precip is
likely later this morning and into the afternoon hours. The hi res
convective models do bring a line of showers and thunderstorms
through central AL late in the afternoon. Most of the guidance
weakens this line as is approaches GA. This solution seems
reasonable. However, a rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out. Where
there are thunderstorms, locally heavy rainfall will be possible.

A break in the widespread precip is likely overnight and into early
Friday. Only a minor shortwave is noted in the flow for Friday
afternoon. This feature could provide a more organized area of
locally heavy rainfall for portions GA, especially if breaks in the
clouds occur and the airmass destabilizes. However, confidence is
low, because the models do not typically handle these perturbations
well. Even though widespread precip may not occur on Friday, with
the ground saturated within the Flood Watch area, localized flooding
will remain possible - especially where stronger showers or
isolated thunderstorms are able to develop.

Low pressure and a frontal boundary will move through the area on
Saturday. This front and low will provide enough lift for
widespread precipitation across much of the CWA. Another round of
moderate to heavy rainfall is likely. Will go ahead and extend the
Flood Watch through 00Z Sun.

Addendum...some thunderstorms may be strong to severe on Saturday,
with the greatest risk from the Atlanta area SW to Columbus, where
SPC has a marginal to slight risk of severe storms.

NListemaa/SEC

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 337 AM EST Thu Jan 25 2024

Dry conditions will persist for Sunday through Wednesday. Slightly
below normal temps are anticipated on Monday, but will quickly
moderate to near or slightly above normal for the remainder of
the week.

NListemaa

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 AM EST Thu Jan 25 2024

Widespread rain impacting cigs and vsbys. The area of rain should
lift northward by mid morning, but cigs should remain LIFR/IFR
until the late afternoon. Cigs could lift to high IFR/low MVFR
temporarily. Sct shra and isold tsra are possible during this
time. Will keep mention of thunder out for now. Cigs should drop
again after dark. South winds are expected for much of the
afternoon, with winds going to the SW side during the early
afternoon but will stay around 170-190. Model guidance suggests
the winds will stay on the SW side, but there is some small
potential since speeds are so light that direction will continue
to want to stay around 170-180.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Med confidence all elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          61  71  59  68 /  60  50  50  90
Atlanta         62  69  58  67 /  60  40  60  90
Blairsville     58  65  53  62 /  50  40  50  90
Cartersville    60  69  56  67 /  50  40  60  90
Columbus        64  72  61  72 /  60  60  50  80
Gainesville     61  68  56  64 /  60  40  50  90
Macon           64  73  61  75 /  60  60  50  70
Rome            60  68  54  67 /  50  40  50  90
Peachtree City  61  71  58  69 /  60  40  60  90
Vidalia         65  77  62  80 /  30  60  30  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Saturday evening for GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>037-041>049-052>059-066>070-078-079.

SHORT TERM...SEC
LONG TERM....NListemaa
AVIATION...NListemaa

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
509 AM EST Thu Jan 25 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-261015-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
509 AM EST Thu Jan 25 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected Today and Tonight across
north and central Georgia. The precipitation will be widespread
and heavy at times across the area with some areal and river
flooding expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Periods of heavy rainfall and isolated to scattered thunderstorms
will continue through Saturday. We could see some strong to
severe storms Saturday afternoon and evening with the main frontal
passage but the main threat will continue to be the the possibility
of flooding. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4.5 inches are forecasted
across much of north and central Georgia with localized greater
totals possible. This could result in flooding of rivers, creeks,
and streams, as well as other low-lying or flood-prone areas. The
Flood Watch expires at 7 PM on Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.