Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2024

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 312, NWS Kansas City, MO

July 10, 20244 counties in Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 10, 2024, 5:03 PM CDT for 4 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2024, 5:03 PM CDT (22:03 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2024, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
27 min
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Gentry County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 164 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 10, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2024-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 690 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2024-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 115 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
690 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1483 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
108 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 10, 3:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Ongoing scattered thunderstorms are expected to continue to develop this afternoon into tonight. The strongest cells may produce strong to severe conditions with strong wind gusts being the primary threat.
  • Another round of isolated thunderstorms is possible Thursday afternoon through the night. Severe weather is not expected at this time.
  • Increasing heat and humidity expected late this week into early next week. Sunday and Monday are expected to be the worst days with heat indices exceeding triple digits.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 3:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
333 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Ongoing scattered thunderstorms are expected to continue to develop
  this afternoon into tonight. The strongest cells may produce
  strong to severe conditions with strong wind gusts being the
  primary threat.

- Another round of isolated thunderstorms is possible Thursday afternoon
  through the night. Severe weather is not expected at this
  time.

- Increasing heat and humidity expected late this week into
  early next week. Sunday and Monday are expected to be the
  worst days with heat indices exceeding triple digits.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 331 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

In the upper levels, there is troughing just to the northeast of the
area and ridging over western CONUS. At the surface, winds are out
of the west with a surface low to the east. Currently, a mid-level
shortwave is moving through the area and some scattered
thunderstorms have developed. While CAPE values range from 2,000-
3,500 J/kg for northern MO (highest values over northwestern MO),
bulk shear values are very weak. Strong gusty winds seem to be the
primary threat at this time. Some cells have already produced 57 mph
winds. Some hail up to quarter-size is also possible with the
strongest storms. A severe watch has been issued for northern MO
extending as far south as a line from Randolph to Doniphan (KS).
These storms are expected to impact the area through the evening and
move out a little after midnight.

Another shortwave moves through the flow which could lead to an
additional round of showers and thunderstorms for the area Thursday
afternoon/evening. CAPE values through the area range from 1,500-
2,000 J/kg and lapse rates around 7 degrees C/km suggest decent
instability. However, bulk shear values ranging from 20-30 knots
point to storms with shorter lifespans and being isolated to
scattered in nature. Confidence is fairly low in the severe threat
at this time.

On Friday, a surface low develops to the west of the area, and
shifts winds to the south. With warmer, more saturated air to south,
expect heat and humidity to increase. Heat indices for Friday are
expected to remain just shy of triple digits. Friday night, a
thermal ridge noses into the area along with an intensifying low-
level jet combining to further drive heat and humidity. This will
lead to warmer temperatures for the start of the weekend. This setup
continues through the weekend into the start of next week. Heat
indices for Sunday and Monday are expected range from 100-110
degrees F. We will closely monitor conditions to see if heat
headlines will be necessary. Hot and humid conditions are
anticipated to last through next Tuesday. Next Wednesday, looks to
be pleasant with high temperatures in the mid to high 80s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1254 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

VFR conditions are expected to last through the day. There is a
potential for thunderstorms later tonight into overnight
Thursday. These storms are expected to move to the east of the
terminals by early Thursday morning. Winds will remain fairly
weak and variable throughout the TAF period.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
KS...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Collier
AVIATION...Collier
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 10, 4:41 AM CDT, 12 hours 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
441 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-110945-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
441 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

 Hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 2:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
225 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

MOZ017-025-102000-
Adair MO-Macon MO-
225 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ADAIR AND
NORTHEASTERN MACON COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM CDT...

At 224 PM CDT, the public reported a strong thunderstorm near La
Plata, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
La Plata and Gibbs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3996 9252 4013 9242 4011 9235 3995 9235
      3995 9229 3985 9229
TIME...MOT...LOC 1924Z 295DEG 25KT 4002 9239

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

HFH/BP
Local storm report, Jul 10, 4:09 PM CDT, 54 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 2:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEAXMacon35 min
Jul 10, 3:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPutnam, Sullivan25 min
Jul 10, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPutnam, Schuyler34 min
Jul 10, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Sullivan31 min
Jul 10, 3:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Schuyler35 min
Jul 10, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXNodaway, Worth28 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2024Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.