Tornado Warning 57, NWS Quad Cities, IA

800 
WWUS53 KDVN 152231
SVSDVN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
531 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

IAC011-019-055-113-152300-
/O.CON.KDVN.TO.W.0057.000000T0000Z-240715T2300Z/
Buchanan IA-Benton IA-Delaware IA-Linn IA-
531 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN BUCHANAN...NORTHEASTERN BENTON...SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE
AND NORTHWESTERN LINN COUNTIES...

At 530 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Urbana, or 9 miles northeast of Vinton, moving east
at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Center Point, Walker, Troy Mills, Lafayette, and Pleasant Creek 
  State Recreation Area around 535 PM CDT.
  Alburnett and Paris around 540 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include
Central City, Coggon, Buffalo Creek Park, Pinicon Ridge Park and Linn
County Fairgrounds.

This includes Interstate 380 between mile markers 28 and 46.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4233 9145 4205 9158 4214 9200 4239 9188
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 279DEG 34KT 4224 9187 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

Uttech

520 
WWUS53 KDVN 152238
SVSDVN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
538 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

IAC011-019-055-113-152300-
/O.CON.KDVN.TO.W.0057.000000T0000Z-240715T2300Z/
Buchanan IA-Benton IA-Delaware IA-Linn IA-
538 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN BUCHANAN...EAST CENTRAL BENTON...SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE
AND NORTHWESTERN LINN COUNTIES...

At 538 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Center Point, or
14 miles east of Vinton, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Marion, Robins, Central City, Alburnett, Paris, Toddville, 
  Lafayette, Pinicon Ridge Park, and Linn  County Fairgrounds around 
  545 PM CDT.
  Coggon and Buffalo Creek Park around 550 PM CDT.

This includes Interstate 380 between mile markers 28 and 41.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4233 9145 4205 9158 4212 9192 4238 9179
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 282DEG 35KT 4220 9176 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

Uttech

897 
WWUS53 KDVN 152250
SVSDVN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
550 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

IAC011-019-055-152300-
/O.CAN.KDVN.TO.W.0057.000000T0000Z-240715T2300Z/
Buchanan IA-Benton IA-Delaware IA-
550 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BUCHANAN...EAST CENTRAL
BENTON AND SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
northeastern and east central Iowa.

&&

LAT...LON 4229 9147 4205 9158 4210 9182 4230 9178
TIME...MOT...LOC 2250Z 283DEG 33KT 4216 9164 

$$

IAC113-152300-
/O.CON.KDVN.TO.W.0057.000000T0000Z-240715T2300Z/
Linn IA-
550 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN LINN COUNTY...

At 550 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Alburnett, or 13 miles north of Cedar Rapids, moving
east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Marion, Central City, Alburnett, Paris, Pinicon Ridge Park, and 
  Linn  County Fairgrounds around 555 PM CDT.

This includes Interstate 380 between mile markers 28 and 37.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4229 9147 4205 9158 4210 9182 4230 9178
TIME...MOT...LOC 2250Z 283DEG 33KT 4216 9164 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Uttech

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
300 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Heat Advisory is in effect area-wide today until 8 PM for
  peak heat indices between 100 to 100 degrees.

- Today's severe thunderstorm outlook has been upgraded to a
  Moderate Risk (level 4 of 5) for the northern two-thirds of
  the forecast area. The Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) remains
  to the south. Significant damaging winds are the primary
  hazard; several tornadoes are also possible.

- A Flood Watch as been issued for counties east and northeast
  of the Quad Cities. Recent heavy rainfall has saturated the
  ground, making this area more susceptible to flash flooding.
  Rainfall rates could peak between 2 - 2.5" per hour.

- Moderate to major river flooding continues on the Mississippi
  River with most sites crested. The Rock River is now expected
  to see flooding due to the heavy rains upstream in the past 24
  hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 256 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

There is a Moderate Risk (level 4 of 5) for severe weather this
afternoon into tonight for much of the outlook area, with an
Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) across the south. Please monitor
the weather closely and heed any warnings issued for your
location!

SPC mesoanalysis early this afternoon showed a mid-level
vorticity max across E South Dakota/SW Minnesota/NW Iowa,
positioned to the south of a 80 kt 300mb jet over northern
Minnesota and Wisconsin. A zone of low-level moisture
convergence was noted (where surface dewpoints were between 75
to 80 degrees!), stretching from central Iowa to the Quad
Cities and into central Illinois.

As large-scale ascent associated with the mid-level impulse
overspreads the area late this afternoon/evening, this quasi-
stationary zone of low- level convergence may aid in focusing
the convective initiation. With extreme instability in place
(3500 - 4500 J/kg MLCAPE), anticipate explosive convective
development and rapid upscale growth into one, or possible a
few, bowing line segments. Forward-propagating Corfidi vectors
and W to SE sloping theta-e and 1000-500mb thickness contours
should help in eventually guiding the MCS to the ESE or SE later
into the evening. CAMs have been consistent on showing
significant severe wind gusts in the strongest bowing segments
and the HREF max wind gust output shows several corridors with
values of 60-70+ kts. Greatest uncertainty is on the exact
placement/track of the dominant surging MCS, with a northern
scenario focused across the NE forecast area (NW Illinois) and
another camp further south which would bring significant winds
to a larger portion of eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois.

To reiterate, today is a favorable setup for a higher end wind
event (scattered 75+ mph gusts) due to a very unstable air mass,
sufficient deep layer shear, steep mid-level lapse rates near 8
C/km, and theta-e index values near 35. A few tornadoes are
possible in association with any surging storm segments as 0-3
km shear of 30+ kts supports development of mesovortices.

There is also potential for very heavy rainfall with PWATs near
2". There could be a zone of training convection that leads to
heavy rainfall totals of 2-4"+. WPC has a Slight Risk for flash
flooding across the outlook area.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 256 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Cooler and less humid air will move into the region behind a
cold front by Tuesday and last through the end of the week.
Overnight lows in the 50s are forecast on several nights, giving
our air conditioning a bit of a break.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1252 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Main story continues to be on potential for severe storms late
this afternoon through this evening/early tonight. Scattered
storms will develop quickly by the late afternoon near or just
northwest of the area and then grow upscale into one or more
bowing segments. Severe wind gusts are the primary threat and a
few tornadoes are possible. Any storms will bring potential for
brief IFR/LIFR due to visibility reductions and low ceilings.
Mentioned thunderstorm potential in TEMPO groups, but there
remains uncertainty on the exact timing and on the severity of
the wind gusts. Later updates to TEMPOs will likely be needed.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 1111 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

The broad crest on the Mississippi River from Gladstone, IL
(L/D 18) down through Gregory Landing, MO should be completed
within the next 12 to 24 hours.

A significant amount of water is working its way down the Rock
River. This water will slow down and may briefly stop the rate
of fall on the Mississippi River from Rock Island (L/D 15) down
through Gregory Landing for the remainder of the week. By next
weekend and into the following week, the Mississippi River from
Rock Island on downstream will begin falling again.

Tributary Rivers:

The lower Wapsipinicon River near Dewitt, IA will fall below
flood stage this afternoon. Water levels will remain high for
the next several days before they start falling again.

Backwater effects from the Mississippi River will keep the lower
Iowa River just below flood stage for the remainder of the week.

Based on water already in the Rock River basin and forecasted
rainfall over the next 24 hours, the entire length of the lower
Rock River will go into flood. The Joslin and Moline crest
forecasts have jumped into the major flood category based on
the predicted rainfall over the next 24 hours. If the rainfall
is less than expected, then the crest forecasts on the lower
Rock River would be lower.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for IAZ040>042-
     051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099.
IL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ILZ001-002-007-
     009-015>018-024>026-034-035.
     Flood Watch from 6 PM CDT this evening through late tonight
     for ILZ001-002-007-009-016>018.
MO...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MOZ009-010.

&&

SHORT TERM...Uttech
LONG TERM...Ervin/Uttech
AVIATION...Uttech
HYDROLOGY...08

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
345 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-162045-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
345 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

The Storm Prediction Center has a Moderate risk, level 4 of 5, for
this afternoon and evening for much of eastern Iowa and northwest
Illinois. Very damaging winds to 85 mph, very large hail and a
few tornadoes are likely. Torrential rain producing flash
flooding is also possible. There is a flash flood watch for much
of northwest Illinois through tonight.

There is an Enhanced risk, level 3 of 5, for southeast Iowa,
northeast Missouri, and western Illinois.

Supercell thunderstorms with tornadoes and very large hail would
initially be most likely in areas north of Interstate 80 this
afternoon and early evening, followed by a damaging wind producing
line of storms, moving from west to east towards early evening.
Late in the evening, storms will become widespread and sink
southward, and heavy rain will become the primary threat.

Hot and humid conditions will be over the area through early this
evening, with heat index readings topping between 100 and 110
degrees. A Heat Advisory is in effect through 8 PM.

Area rivers are experiencing flooding. Please see the
latest Flood Statements and Flood Warnings for details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed through tonight.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Toward the east around 30 mph this afternoon then southeast 45 to
60 mph this evening.

Haase

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
1149 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1046 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 NE Osborn             41.56N 90.22W
07/14/2024                   Rock Island        IL   Public

            Several small tree branches down approx. 3-4
            inch in diameter reported via social media.
            Time estimated from radar.

&&

GROSS

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
108 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0716 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Hanover                 42.25N 90.28W
07/14/2024                   Jo Daviess         IL   Law Enforcement

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from
            Hanover. Tree down in Hanover. Time
            estimated from radar data.

0740 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NW Plum River         42.32N 90.01W
07/14/2024                   Jo Daviess         IL   Law Enforcement

            Trees down a few miles south of Stockton.
            Times estimated from radar data.

0815 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Freeport                42.29N 89.63W
07/14/2024  E50 MPH          Stephenson         IL   Trained Spotter

            Estimated 50 MPH wind gust.

0815 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Freeport Albertus       42.25N 89.58W
07/14/2024  M58 MPH          Stephenson         IL   AWOS

            AWOS at the Freeport Airport measured a gust
            of 58 mph.

0815 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 N Freeport Albertus   42.28N 89.58W
07/14/2024                   Stephenson         IL   Law Enforcement

            Tree limbs down.

0825 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SSW Pearl City        42.24N 89.85W
07/14/2024                   Stephenson         IL   Law Enforcement

            Tree limbs blown down.

0839 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NNE Coleta            41.92N 89.79W
07/14/2024                   Whiteside          IL   Storm Chaser

            Tree limb damage. Possible Tornado 839 pm to
            843 pm in this area.

0843 PM     Flash Flood      2 SE Freeport           42.26N 89.62W
07/14/2024                   Stephenson         IL   Public

            Report from mPING: Street/road flooding;
            Street/road closed; Vehicles stranded.

0921 PM     Hail             1 SE Sherrard           41.31N 90.49W
07/14/2024  M0.75 Inch       Mercer             IL   Public

            Report from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).

0950 PM     Rain             2 W Bolton              42.26N 89.77W
07/14/2024  M1.80 Inch       Stephenson         IL   Trained Spotter

            Delayed report.

0958 PM     Rain             3 N Stockton            42.40N 90.00W
07/14/2024  M1.29 Inch       Jo Daviess         IL   CO-OP Observer

1003 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Lowden                  41.86N 90.92W
07/14/2024  E50 MPH          Cedar              IA   CO-OP Observer

            1/2 half inch rain in 10 minutes.

1021 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Park View               41.69N 90.54W
07/14/2024                   Scott              IA   NWS Employee

            Delayed report and time estimated from
            radar. Several 2-3 inch diameter branches
            down. Vehicle damaged.

1035 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SE Davenport          41.54N 90.57W
07/14/2024                   Scott              IA   Law Enforcement

            1500 block of Iowa Street. Tree down on
            powerline.

1035 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SE Davenport          41.53N 90.57W
07/14/2024                   Scott              IA   Law Enforcement

            Trees blown down at 7th and Iowa St.

1035 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 N Credit Island       41.52N 90.62W
07/14/2024                   Scott              IA   Law Enforcement

            Tree blown down.

1035 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NE Credit Island      41.52N 90.59W
07/14/2024                   Scott              IA   Law Enforcement

            1400 block of west 3rd street. Tree blown
            down.

1036 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSW Port Byron        41.61N 90.33W
07/14/2024                   Rock Island        IL   Trained Spotter

            Delayed report and time estimated from
            radar. Large tree down across residential
            street.

1046 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 NE Osborn             41.56N 90.22W
07/14/2024                   Rock Island        IL   Public

            Several small tree branches down approx. 3-4
            inch in diameter reported via social media.
            Time estimated from radar.

1054 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 NNE Geneseo           41.46N 90.15W
07/14/2024  M62 MPH          Henry              IL   Mesonet

            Measured at Bob Reade Field on the north
            side of Geneseo.

1100 PM     Flash Flood      1 SE Elmoville          42.25N 90.04W
07/14/2024                   Jo Daviess         IL   Law Enforcement

            Bethel and East Rush Roads closed due to
            flash flooding. Water also affecting Highway
            78.

1100 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Atkinson                41.42N 90.01W
07/14/2024                   Henry              IL   Newspaper

            tree limb down on powerlines. Time of the
            event estimated using radar.

1100 PM     Flash Flood      1 SSE Elmoville         42.25N 90.04W
07/14/2024                   Jo Daviess         IL   Law Enforcement

            Bethel and East Rush Roads closed do flash
            flooding. Water affecting Illinois Highway
            78 as well.

1100 PM     Flash Flood      1 SE Elmoville          42.25N 90.04W
07/14/2024                   Jo Daviess         IL   Law Enforcement

            Bethel and East Rush roads closed due to
            flash flooding. Affecting Illinois Highway
            78.

1115 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Neponset                41.30N 89.79W
07/14/2024                   Bureau             IL   Law Enforcement

            powerpoles and a tree down near Neponset.
            Time of the event estimated using radar.

1119 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 SW Kewanee            41.21N 89.97W
07/14/2024  M58 MPH          Henry              IL   Mesonet

            Measured at the Kewanee Airport. (KEZI).

1122 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 NE Galva              41.20N 89.98W
07/14/2024                   Henry              IL   Emergency Mngr

            Sheriff reported a tree blocking Midland
            Road near the country club. Time of the
            event estimated using radar.

1143 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NE Moronts            41.30N 89.27W
07/14/2024                   Putnam             IL   Law Enforcement

            Couple trees downed in Wolf Hollow area.
            Time estimated using radar.

1150 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Mc Nabb                 41.18N 89.21W
07/14/2024                   Putnam             IL   Law Enforcement

            Large branches of 1 foot plus downed.

1200 AM     Rain             2 WSW Loran             42.22N 89.95W
07/15/2024  M1.98 Inch       Jo Daviess         IL   Mesonet

            Evening rainfall total.

1200 AM     Rain             2 NNE Sterling          41.82N 89.67W
07/15/2024  M2.64 Inch       Whiteside          IL   Mesonet

            Evening rainfall total.

0552 AM     Rain             3 ENE Garden Plain      41.81N 90.08W
07/15/2024  M1.40 Inch       Whiteside          IL   Trained Spotter

            Rainfall total from Sunday.

0612 AM     Rain             1 SE Davenport          41.54N 90.59W
07/15/2024  M1.08 Inch       Scott              IA   Trained Spotter

0708 AM     Rain             1 NW Davenport          41.56N 90.62W
07/15/2024  M1.20 Inch       Scott              IA   Trained Spotter

            Storm total.

0739 AM     Rain             1 W Bettendorf          41.56N 90.49W
07/15/2024  M1.67 Inch       Scott              IA   Trained Spotter

            Storm total.

0819 AM     Rain             Preston                 42.05N 90.40W
07/15/2024  M2.05 Inch       Jackson            IA   Public

            24 hour total.

0848 AM     Rain             2 SSE Warner            41.39N 90.37W
07/15/2024  M1.48 Inch       Henry              IL   Trained Spotter

            24 hour total.

1009 AM     Rain             1 SSW Cordova           41.67N 90.33W
07/15/2024  M1.80 Inch       Rock Island        IL   Trained Spotter

            24 hour total.

&&

GROSS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
518 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Mount Auburn            42.26N 92.09W
07/15/2024  M70 MPH          Benton             IA   Emergency Mngr

&&