Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Cleveland, OH

003 
WWUS51 KCLE 182030
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
430 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

OHC007-055-155-PAC039-049-182100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-240618T2100Z/
Trumbull OH-Geauga OH-Ashtabula OH-Erie PA-Crawford PA-
430 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN TRUMBULL...SOUTHEASTERN GEAUGA...ASHTABULA...
SOUTHWESTERN ERIE AND WESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES...

At 429 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Ashtabula to 8 miles northwest of Andover to near
Cortland, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Erie, Ashtabula, Conneaut, Cortland, Girard, North Kingsville,
Middlefield, Kinsman, North Bloomfield, Orwell, Albion, Andover,
Linesville, West Farmington, Pymatuning Central, Bristolville,
Pymatuning North, Harmonsburg, Parkman, and Huntsburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4186 8015 4161 8037 4149 8044 4149 8052
      4135 8053 4135 8111 4147 8111 4157 8108
      4164 8103 4169 8084 4187 8090 4191 8080
      4192 8072 4203 8034 4209 8018 4214 8014
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 252DEG 22KT 4189 8077 4167 8071 4135 8080 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Sullivan

196 
WWUS51 KCLE 182044
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
444 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

OHC055-182054-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-240618T2100Z/
Geauga OH-
444 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GEAUGA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4186 8015 4161 8037 4149 8044 4149 8052
      4135 8053 4135 8084 4177 8080 4186 8080
      4192 8072 4203 8034 4209 8018 4214 8014
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 251DEG 19KT 4192 8066 4169 8067 4138 8069 

$$

OHC007-155-PAC039-049-182100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-240618T2100Z/
Trumbull OH-Ashtabula OH-Erie PA-Crawford PA-
444 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN TRUMBULL...ASHTABULA...SOUTHWESTERN ERIE AND WESTERN
CRAWFORD COUNTIES...

At 444 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from North Kingsville to 7 miles northwest of Andover to
near Cortland, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. There have been multiple reports 
         of downed trees in Ashtabula and northern Trumbull Counties 
         with this line of storms. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Erie, Ashtabula, Conneaut, Cortland, Girard, North Kingsville,
Kinsman, Albion, Andover, Linesville, Pymatuning Central, Pymatuning
North, Harmonsburg, Lake City, Mecca, Johnston, Kingsville, Roaming
Shores, Pierpont, and Cherry Valley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4186 8015 4161 8037 4149 8044 4149 8052
      4135 8053 4135 8084 4177 8080 4186 8080
      4192 8072 4203 8034 4209 8018 4214 8014
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 251DEG 19KT 4192 8066 4169 8067 4138 8069 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Sullivan

364 
WWUS51 KCLE 182058
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
458 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

OHC007-155-PAC039-049-182108-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-240618T2100Z/
Trumbull OH-Ashtabula OH-Erie PA-Crawford PA-
458 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN TRUMBULL...
ASHTABULA...SOUTHWESTERN ERIE AND WESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES WILL
EXPIRE AT 500 PM EDT...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with these thunderstorms.

LAT...LON 4186 8015 4161 8037 4149 8044 4149 8052
      4135 8053 4135 8084 4177 8080 4186 8080
      4192 8072 4203 8034 4209 8018 4214 8014
TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 270DEG 24KT 4194 8056 4171 8057 4140 8059 

$$

Sullivan

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
350 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A ridge of high pressure persists over the region through this
week. Widespread near-record temperatures will be possible across
the area. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms may develop each
day. Low pressure arrives near the end of the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Ridge of high pressure remains in place over much of the eastern
CONUS through the near term and into the rest of week. This will
allow for continued heat across the region with high temperatures in
the 90s and heat indices each afternoon in the upper 90s to
lower 100s. No changes were made to the heat headlines with this
update and a Heat Advisory remains in effect through the near
term period.

Thunderstorms that popped up this afternoon will continue to
decrease in coverage and intensity this evening as we lose daytime
heating. Rinse and repeat day tomorrow with temperatures rising
into the 90s accompanied by dew points in the upper 60s to lower
70s. This will once again allow for MLCAPE values to rise to
2000+ J/kg by Wednesday afternoon coupled with DCAPE values in
the 900-1200 J/kg range. This will lead to another afternoon of
pop up convection with wet downbursts possible to develop
across Northeast Ohio for Wednesday. Additionally, above average
PWAT values approaching 2 inches (PIT 90th percentile is 1.5
inches) and slow cloud layer wind speed (<10 kt) may lead to
instances of flash flooding again tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
A piece of energy is expected to round the upper level ridge north
of Lake Erie on Wednesday night as low pressure moves into northern
Quebec. A weak cold front does settle south to near Lake Erie but is
expected to stall somewhere across northern Ohio and northwest
Pennsylvania. Thursday and Friday are still expected to be hot, but
winds shifting to the north late Thursday and continuing on Friday
may provide some minimal relief to mainly northeast Ohio and
Northwest Pennsylvania. Inland highs are still expected to be in the
mid to upper 90s while lakeshore areas may top out in the upper 80s.
Heat index values still expected to range from the upper mid 90s to
near 100 except may be closer to 90 near the lakeshore with enhanced
lake breezes contributing to some relief. Scattered thunderstorms
remain possible ahead of and along the cold front on Thursday and
near the stalled boundary on Friday. With continued hot and humid
conditions and some frontal forcing, can not rule out the potential
for a few strong storms again with locally heavy rain possible.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The boundary lifts back north as a warm front on Saturday as low
pressure moves east across the Upper Great Lakes. Temperatures warm
several degrees again on Saturday and may need to extend the Heat
Advisory another day for at least a portion of the forecast area.
Saturday night is likely to be quite warm in NW Ohio with continued
southwest flow overnight. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms are expected along and ahead of the front on Sunday
afternoon, especially for areas along and east of I-71.

A break from the heat will finally come behind the cold front on
Monday as high temperatures on Monday settle into the mid 70s to mid
80s with much lower humidity. A break in the active weather is also
expected Monday and Tuesday as high pressure builds overhead. The
break from the heat will tend to be short lived as we trend warmer
again by Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/...
Have VCTS at all TAF sites this afternoon to account for ongoing
pop up convection. The best location for continued storm
development looks to remain along and east of I-71 and along the
I-80 corridor. Have placed TEMPO groups for TSRA impacts at
KCLE and sites east. Expectation is for these storms to
decrease in intensity and coverage by 22-23Z tonight as we lose
daytime heating.

Winds remain southerly through the period less than 10 knots
with the exception of higher wind speeds and gusts in any
thunderstorms at terminals.

Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Friday. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Generally good marine conditions expected to persist on Lake Erie
through Saturday with afternoon lake breezes. Winds will generally
be less than 15 knots except with scattered thunderstorms which
could produce strong to severe winds. A cold front is forecast to
cross Lake Erie on Sunday with southwest winds of 10-20 knots ahead
of the front on Sunday and northwest winds of near 15 knots Sunday
night into Monday. Small Craft Advisories may be needed for a window
of time later Sunday into Monday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected this week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach or exceed record highs on
several days. The records for Tuesday, June 18 to Friday, June
21 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date   Toledo     Mansfield   Cleveland   Akron     Youngstown   Erie
06-18  98(1994)    93(1994)   96(1944)    96(1944)   95(1994)    92(2018)
06-19  98(1995)    94(1994)   92(1995)    94(1994)   94(1994)    92(1931)
06-20  98(1953)    94(1988)   96(1988)    95(1933)   95(1933)    92(2016)
06-21  100(2022)   96(1988)   95(2022)    97(1933)   98(1933)    95(1933)

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for OHZ003-006>014-017>023-
     027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for PAZ001>003.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Iverson
NEAR TERM...Iverson
SHORT TERM...KEC
LONG TERM...KEC
AVIATION...Iverson
MARINE...KEC
CLIMATE...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
401 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-190815-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
401 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

There is a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms today. The primary
threat is damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-190815-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
401 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms today. The primary
threat is damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
140 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

OHZ012-181830-
Lake OH-
140 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN LAKE COUNTY THROUGH
230 PM EDT...

At 140 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mentor, or near Willowick, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Painesville, Willowick, Fairport Harbor, Mentor, Willoughby,
Eastlake, Timberlake, Lakeline, Wickliffe, Mentor-On-The-Lake,
Kirtland, Kirtland Hills, Waite Hill, and Grand River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4173 8116 4162 8135 4162 8149 4164 8149
      4167 8145 4172 8137 4176 8129 4176 8124
      4179 8117
TIME...MOT...LOC 1740Z 224DEG 7KT 4167 8136

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Sullivan

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
228 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0211 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Lakewood                41.49N 81.79W
06/18/2024                   Cuyahoga           OH   NWS Employee

            Several large tree branches down. Also
            estimated 60mph wind gust.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
234 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 NNE Cleveland         41.52N 81.68W
06/18/2024  M62 MPH          Cuyahoga           OH   ASOS

            ASOS station KBKL Cleveland.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
320 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SW Eaton Estates      41.30N 82.02W
06/18/2024                   Lorain             OH   Trained Spotter

            Several large tree branches, utility poles
            and wires down.

&&

BM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
333 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0239 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Madison                 41.77N 81.05W
06/18/2024                   Lake               OH   Trained Spotter

            Several large branches down around village.
            Time estimated via radar.

&&

BM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
349 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0224 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSW Eaton Estates     41.29N 82.02W
06/18/2024                   Lorain             OH   Broadcast Media

            Approximately 20 power poles and multiple
            large tree branches down near Capel Rd and
            Route 83.

&&

KEC