Alert archive / Ohio / Gale Warnings in 2024
Gale Warning 12, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this gale warning at Nov 20, 2024, 4:15 AM EST. It took effect at Nov 20, 2024, 3:00 PM EST. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 20, 2024, 4:15 AM EST (09:15 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 20, 2024, 3:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Nov 21, 2024, 1:00 AM EST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
The text
As transmitted.
016 WHUS71 KCLE 200915 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 415 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 LEZ144-201715- /O.UPG.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.241120T1900Z-241122T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2000Z-241121T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.241120T2100Z-241121T1200Z/ The Islands to Vermilion OH- 415 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet expected. For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to Vermilion OH. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 3 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this evening. For the Low Water Advisory, from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of 4 AM this morning, the water level at Toledo was 28 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for safe navigation is 3 inches. The water levels are expected to sharply fall late this afternoon as winds increase out of the west and are expected to fluctuate near the critical mark of 3 inches through early Thursday before rising. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ164-201715- /O.NEW.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2000Z-241121T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.241120T2100Z-241121T1200Z/ The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 415 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet expected. For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to Vermilion OH. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 3 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this evening. For the Low Water Advisory, from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of 4 AM this morning, the water level at Toledo was 28 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for safe navigation is 3 inches. The water levels are expected to sharply fall late this afternoon as winds increase out of the west and are expected to fluctuate near or just below the critical mark of 3 inches through early Thursday before rising. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ145-146-201715- /O.UPG.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.241120T1900Z-241122T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2000Z-241121T0300Z/ Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH- 415 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 6 to 11 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to Willowick OH. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds and waves will remain elevated tonight and for the next few days. A Small Craft Advisory will be issued for the nearshore waters following the Gale Warning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ147-201715- /O.UPG.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.241120T1900Z-241122T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2200Z-241121T0600Z/ Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH- 415 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 7 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds and waves will remain elevated tonight and for the next few days. A Small Craft Advisory will be issued for the nearshore waters following the Gale Warning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ148-149-201715- /O.UPG.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.241120T2200Z-241122T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2200Z-241121T0600Z/ Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- 415 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 knots with gusts up to 50 knots and waves 7 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- Lake OH to Ripley NY. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds and waves will remain elevated tonight and for the next few days. A Small Craft Advisory will be issued for the nearshore waters following the Gale Warning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ165-166-201715- /O.NEW.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2000Z-241121T0300Z/ Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 415 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 7 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to Willowick OH. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ167>169-201715- /O.NEW.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2200Z-241121T0600Z/ Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Geneva-on-the- Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 415 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 knots with gusts up to 50 knots and waves 8 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Willowick OH to Ripley NY. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ061-201715- /O.NEW.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2300Z-241121T0600Z/ Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 415 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 knots with gusts up to 50 knots and waves 8 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo NY. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ142-143-201715- /O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.241120T1900Z-241122T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.241120T2100Z-241121T1200Z/ Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH- 415 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... ...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and waves 2 to 5 feet expected. For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The Islands OH. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 2 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Thursday. For the Low Water Advisory, from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of 4 AM this morning, the water level at Toledo was 28 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for safe navigation is 3 inches. The water levels are expected to sharply fall late this afternoon as winds increase out of the west and are expected to fluctuate near or just below the critical mark of 3 inches through early Thursday before rising. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ162-163-201715- /O.NEW.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.241120T2100Z-241121T1200Z/ Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border- Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 415 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Abnormally low water levels expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The Islands OH. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of 4 AM this morning, the water level at Toledo was 28 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for safe navigation is 3 inches. The water levels are expected to sharply fall late this afternoon as winds increase out of the west and are expected to fluctuate near or just below the critical mark of 3 inches through early Thursday before rising. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
4 follow-up statements
351 WHUS71 KCLE 201435 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 935 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 LEZ144-164-210000- /O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2000Z-241121T0300Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.241120T2100Z-241121T1200Z/ The Islands to Vermilion OH- The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 935 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet expected. For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to Vermilion OH, and the open waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to Vermilion OH. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 3 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this evening. For the Low Water Advisory, from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 9:18 AM EST this morning, the water level at Toledo was 28 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for safe navigation is 3 inches above low water datum. Water levels in the western basin of Lake Erie are expected to begin to fall sharply this afternoon and be below the critical mark at times this evening through the wee hours of Thursday morning. Water levels are expected to rebound to above the critical mark by daybreak Thursday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ145-146-165-166-210000- /O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2000Z-241121T0300Z/ Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH- Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 935 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 7 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to Willowick OH, and the open waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to Willowick OH. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ147>149-167>169-210000- /O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2200Z-241121T0600Z/ Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the- Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Willowick to Geneva- on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border- Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 935 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 8 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Willowick OH to Ripley NY, and the open waters of Lake Erie from Willowick OH to Ripley NY. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ061-210000- /O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2300Z-241121T0600Z/ Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 935 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 7 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo NY. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ142-143-210000- /O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.241120T1900Z-241122T0000Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.241120T2100Z-241121T1200Z/ Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH- 935 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and waves 2 to 5 feet expected. For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The Islands OH. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 2 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Thursday. For the Low Water Advisory, from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 9:18 AM EST this morning, the water level at Toledo was 28 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for safe navigation is 3 inches above low water datum. Water levels in the western basin of Lake Erie are expected to begin to fall sharply this afternoon and be below the critical mark at times this evening through the wee hours of Thursday morning. Water levels are expected to rebound to above the critical mark by daybreak Thursday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ162-163-210000- /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.241120T2100Z-241121T1200Z/ Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border- Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 935 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Abnormally low water levels expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The Islands OH. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 9:18 AM EST this morning, the water level at Toledo was 28 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for safe navigation is 3 inches above low water datum. Water levels in the western basin of Lake Erie are expected to begin to fall sharply this afternoon and be below the critical mark at times this evening through the wee hours of Thursday morning. Water levels are expected to rebound to above the critical mark by daybreak Thursday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
264 WHUS71 KCLE 202007 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 307 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 LEZ144-164-210415- /O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-241121T0300Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.241120T2100Z-241121T1200Z/ The Islands to Vermilion OH- The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 307 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to Vermilion OH, and the open waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to Vermilion OH. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 10 PM EST this evening. For the Low Water Advisory, until 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 2:54 PM EST this afternoon, the water level at Toledo was 16.2 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for safe navigation is 3 inches above low water datum. Water levels in the western basin of Lake Erie will continue to fall sharply this afternoon and are expected to be below the critical mark at times this evening through the wee hours of Thursday morning. Water levels are expected to rebound to above the critical mark by daybreak Thursday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ145-146-165-166-210300- /O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-241121T0300Z/ Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH- Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 307 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 7 to 12 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to Willowick OH, and the open waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to Willowick OH. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ147>149-167>169-210415- /O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2200Z-241121T0600Z/ Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the- Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Willowick to Geneva- on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border- Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 307 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 8 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Willowick OH to Ripley NY, and the open waters of Lake Erie from Willowick OH to Ripley NY. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ061-210415- /O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0012.241120T2300Z-241121T0600Z/ Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 307 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 8 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo NY. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ142-143-210415- /O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-241122T0000Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.241120T2100Z-241121T1200Z/ Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH- 307 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and waves 2 to 5 feet. For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The Islands OH. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 7 PM EST Thursday. For the Low Water Advisory, until 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 2:54 PM EST this afternoon, the water level at Toledo was 16.2 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for safe navigation is 3 inches above low water datum. Water levels in the western basin of Lake Erie will continue to fall sharply this afternoon and are expected to be below the critical mark at times this evening through the wee hours of Thursday morning. Water levels are expected to rebound to above the critical mark by daybreak Thursday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ162-163-210415- /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.241120T2100Z-241121T1200Z/ Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border- Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 307 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Abnormally low water levels expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The Islands OH. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 2:54 PM EST this afternoon, the water level at Toledo was 16.2 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for safe navigation is 3 inches above low water datum. Water levels in the western basin of Lake Erie will continue to fall sharply this afternoon and are expected to be below the critical mark at times this evening through the wee hours of Thursday morning. Water levels are expected to rebound to above the critical mark by daybreak Thursday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
178 WHUS71 KCLE 210305 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1005 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 LEZ144-211115- /O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-241121T0300Z/ /O.EXB.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-241121T1500Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-241121T1200Z/ The Islands to Vermilion OH- 1005 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY... ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds to 20 knots and waves 1 to 3 feet. For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to Vermilion OH. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 10 AM EST Thursday. For the Low Water Advisory, until 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 10 PM EST this evening, the water level at Toledo was 11 inches above low water datum. The water level at Toledo is expected to drop below the critical mark for safe navigation of 3 inches overnight. Water levels will begin to rise above the critical mark for safe navigation by Thursday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ164-211115- /O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-241121T0300Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-241121T1200Z/ The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 1005 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...Abnormally low water levels. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to Vermilion OH. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 10 PM EST this evening, the water level at Toledo was 11 inches above low water datum. The water level at Toledo is expected to drop below the critical mark for safe navigation of 3 inches overnight. Water levels will begin to rise above the critical mark for safe navigation by Thursday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ145-146-211115- /O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-241121T0300Z/ /O.EXA.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-241122T0000Z/ Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH- 1005 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to Willowick OH. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ165-166-210415- /O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-241121T0300Z/ Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 1005 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... Winds will shift towards the southwest and decrease to 15 to 25 knots overnight. $$ LEZ147>149-167>169-210600- /O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-241121T0600Z/ Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the- Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Willowick to Geneva- on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border- Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 1005 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and waves 9 to 13 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Willowick OH to Ripley NY, and the open waters of Lake Erie from Willowick OH to Ripley NY. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ061-210600- /O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-241121T0600Z/ Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 1005 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 knots and waves 11 to 13 feet. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo NY. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ142-143-211115- /O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-241121T1500Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-241121T1200Z/ Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH- 1005 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY... ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds to 20 knots and waves 1 to 3 feet. For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The Islands OH. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 10 AM EST Thursday. For the Low Water Advisory, until 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 10 PM EST this evening, the water level at Toledo was 11 inches above low water datum. The water level at Toledo is expected to drop below the critical mark for safe navigation of 3 inches overnight. Water levels will begin to rise above the critical mark for safe navigation by Thursday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ162-163-211115- /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-241121T1200Z/ Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border- Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 1005 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Abnormally low water levels. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The Islands OH. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 10 PM EST this evening, the water level at Toledo was 11 inches above low water datum. The water level at Toledo is expected to drop below the critical mark for safe navigation of 3 inches overnight. Water levels will begin to rise above the critical mark for safe navigation by Thursday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
332 WHUS71 KCLE 210604 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 104 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024 LEZ147-148-211415- /O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-241121T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-241122T0000Z/ Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the- Lake to Conneaut OH- 104 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Willowick to Conneaut OH. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ149-211415- /O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-241121T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-241121T1500Z/ Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- 104 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ061-167>169-210715- /O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-241121T0600Z/ Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the- Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on- the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 104 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024 ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... Winds have subsided below gale-force, allowing the warning to expire. $$ LEZ142>144-211415- /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-241121T1200Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-241121T1500Z/ Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH- The Islands to Vermilion OH- 104 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024 ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels. For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 2 to 4 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to Vermilion OH. * WHEN...For the Low Water Advisory, until 7 AM EST this morning. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 10 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 1 AM EST this morning, the water level at Toledo was 8 inches above low water datum. The water level at Toledo is expected to drop below the critical mark for safe navigation of 3 inches overnight. Water levels will begin to rise above the critical mark for safe navigation Thursday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ162>164-211200- /O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-241121T1200Z/ Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border- Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 104 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024 ...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Abnormally low water levels. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to Vermilion OH. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 1 AM EST this morning, the water level at Toledo was 8 inches above low water datum. The water level at Toledo is expected to drop below the critical mark for safe navigation of 3 inches overnight. Water levels will begin to rise above the critical mark for safe navigation Thursday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due to below normal water levels. && $$ LEZ145-146-211415- /O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-241122T0000Z/ Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH- 104 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to Willowick OH. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 20, 1:24 AM EST, 2 hours 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 20, 1:24 AM EST, 2 hours 51 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
124 AM EST Wed Nov 20 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will move into the Great Lakes and intensify
Wednesday, driving a strong cold front across the region. This
low will continue to meander around the Great Lakes Thursday
before gradually moving east and getting absorbed into another
low near the east coast Friday into Saturday. High pressure will
build in from the west Sunday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued for a portion of North
Central Ohio where skies have cleared but high dewpoint remains.
There is a chance this may need to be expanded as stratus
scatters out in Northeast Ohio, allowing for fog to develop. Did
not include the lakeshore counties in the Advisory as a trough
crossing Lake Erie is keeping winds up with a little better
mixing. Drier air will also start to work in from the west but
light winds have allowed for good cooling and dewpoint
depressions are near zero.
Previous discussion...Big changes are on the way over the next
24 to 30 hours as a dynamic storm system impacts the Great Lakes
bringing falling temperatures, gusty winds, and the first
snowflakes of the season, along with light accumulations.
Starting off this afternoon, a deep mid/upper closed low can be
seen on visible satellite and water vapor imagery centered over
the northern Plains, with an associated broad mid/upper trough
axis stretching down into the southern Rockies and southern
Plains. This trough axis and associated closed low will swing
into the Great Lakes Wednesday and Wednesday night, and as it
does, the left exit of a 115-125 knot H3 jet streak rounding the
base will help to induce a new surface low over Lower Michigan.
Deterministic guidance has been struggling the past few runs on
how quickly this low deepens and wraps up, but there is better
agreement now that the low will retrograde into the northern and
western Great Lakes quickly after it develops, with consensus
pointing to a sub 990 mb low over northern Lake Michigan by
Thursday morning while becoming vertically stacked beneath the
closed mid/upper low. This will set up broad cyclonic west to
southwesterly flow and cold air advection behind a strong cold
front Wednesday afternoon and evening, but the occluding nature
of the system and farther NW deepening suggests both marginal
temperatures for snow and wind gusts staying just below
advisory criteria, although still gusty.
In terms of precipitation, the showers currently positioned over
NE Ohio and NW PA this afternoon are being driven by a lead
mid-level shortwave ejecting out ahead of the system, which is
focusing isentropic ascent along a warm front/occluded front.
These showers will exit to the east and northeast by 22 or 23Z
as the frontal boundary clears the area allowing mid-level
drying to work into the region. Drizzle and mist in the wake of
the steadier showers this evening will eventually end too as
the drier air wins out. This will lead to a dry night, but
light/variable winds and subsidence behind the front combined
with a lot of lingering near-surface moisture will lead to a
shallow inversion set up, so expect fairly widespread fog to
develop overnight. By Wednesday morning, the strengthening cold
front will rapidly approach from the west as the surface low
develops in Lower Michigan. Strengthening frontogenesis and lift
from the aforementioned jet dynamics will lead to another band
of showers rotating across the area from late morning through
the afternoon. QPF does not look very impressive since there
will not be a deep connection to the Gulf, so only expect a few
tenths to up to 0.50 inch of rain. There will be a pronounced
dry slot Wednesday evening into Wednesday night as the low
deepens and becomes stacked and drifts to the NW, so this will
scatter out the precip, but any showers will mix with and change
to wet snow inland from the lake late Wednesday night as strong
cold air advection drops 850 mb temps to about -7 C by 12Z
Thursday. The best chance for light accumulations will be in
upslope areas of the central highlands and in the higher
elevations of the primary snowbelt of NE Ohio and NW PA, but
given the dry slot and SW component to the boundary layer flow
keeping lake-effect moisture out of the region, only expect up
to a half inch of slushy snow. Nevertheless, untreated surfaces
will become slippery, and this is the first snow of the season,
so motorists and those venturing outside will need to use
caution.
In terms of winds, SW winds will increase to 15-25 knots ahead
of the front becoming W to WSW behind it Wednesday afternoon
into Wednesday night. NAM BUFKIT soundings show favorable
mixing in the strong cold air advection Wednesday evening and
early Wednesday night, but winds in the 850-925 mb layer will
only be 35-45 knots which is very marginal. With this in mind,
peak gusts will mainly stay in the 35-45 mph range, and this is
supported by HREF probabilities which only show 30% chance for
winds over 40 mph and 10-20% chance for winds over 50 mph. The
strongest winds will be along and just behind the front late
Wednesday afternoon and evening, and cannot rule out a brief
gust to 50 mph along the lakeshore at that time, but again,
probabilities are low.
Finally, in terms of temperatures, expect a rise through the
evening as warm air advection increases, with upper 50s/mid 60s
common later this evening. This will set up a mild night with
lows only falling into the mid/upper 40s. Highs Wednesday will
occur in the morning, with low/mid 50s in NW Ohio and mid 50s to
around 60 elsewhere before falling through the afternoon. Lows
Wednesday night will be much colder, with low 30s expected,
except mid 30s near the lakeshore. On that note, lakeshore areas
will stay all rain through the night, so communities within
about 10 miles of the shoreline will need to wait longer for the
first flakes of the season, which is common.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Cyclonic flow aloft backs gradually from SW'erly to NW'erly during
this period as an occluded and vertically-stacked low wobbles
SE'ward from northern Lower MI to the Upper OH Valley on Thursday
and then wobbles ENE'ward to the Gulf of Maine by daybreak Saturday.
This will allow a surface trough and chilly air mass to linger over
the eastern Great Lakes, Upper OH Valley, and vicinity as mean low-
level flow shifts gradually from SW'erly to NW'erly. Abundant cloud
cover will persist due in part to moist isentropic ascent preceding
the axes of shortwave troughs revolving around the aforementioned
vertically-stacked low. Daytime highs are expected to reach only the
mid 30's to lower 40's Thursday afternoon and the upper 30's to mid
40's Friday afternoon. Overnight lows are expected to reach the
upper 20's to mid 30's around daybreak Friday and mainly the mid
30's to lower 40's around daybreak Saturday.
Scattered and periodic showers will impact our CWA through the short-
term period due to moist isentropic ascent preceding shortwave
trough axes and low-level convergence/ascent along attendant surface
trough axes coinciding with sufficient moisture and releasing weak
potential instability in the lowest 1 km AGL. In addition, a
sufficiently-cold/moist low/mid-level atmospheric column over and
downwind of ~12C Lake Erie and the seeder-feeder process will allow
lake-enhanced precip, steady to heavy at times, to occur over and
downwind of the lake. This lake-enhanced precip is expected to be
directed into portions of western NY Thursday morning into early
afternoon due to SW'erly mean low-level flow. As said flow veers
gradually to W'erly and then NW'erly, periods of lake-enhanced
precip are expected to shift generally S'ward and impact NW PA and
NE OH later Thursday through Friday night. Precip is expected to
fall as rain over and very near ~12C Lake Erie where a
sufficiently-deep surface-based melting layer is expected to
persist over/downwind of the lake. However, farther inland from
Lake Erie, rain is expected to mix with or change to wet snow at
times Thursday through Friday morning given expected evolution
of the atmospheric column, including surface air temperatures
and wet-bulb temperatures. Wet snow accumulations of one inch
or less are possible on Thursday, especially during the morning
hours. An additional one inch or less of snow accumulation is
possible Thursday night into Friday morning in interior northern
OH, while interior NW PA may receive another 1 to 3 inches of
wet snow accumulation. Very little or no snow is expected to mix
with rain Friday night into Saturday morning as the coldest
low-level air shifts generally E'ward with the aforementioned
vertically-stacked low. We will continue to monitor trends in
NWP model guidance.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Cyclonic NW'erly flow aloft and embedded shortwave disturbances
affect our CWA and vicinity on Saturday through Saturday night as a
ridge at the surface and aloft builds slowly from the Upper Midwest.
Isolated and periodic rain showers are possible due to the
aforementioned shortwave trough passages. In addition, a sufficiently-
cold/moist NW'erly to WNW'erly mean low-level flow over/downwind of
Lake Erie is expected to allow lake-effect showers to impact the
snowbelt and vicinity. A few wet snowflakes may mix with the rain
Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Daytime highs are expected
to reach the 40's Saturday afternoon and be followed by overnight
lows mainly in the mid to upper 30's around daybreak Sunday.
Odds favor fair weather on Sunday as the narrow ridge at the surface
and aloft crests E'ward over our region and is accompanied by
stabilizing subsidence. Lingering and light lake-effect rain showers
over and generally east of Lake Erie should end by sunset Sunday
evening as lake-induced CAPE wanes via low-level dry air advection
and a lowering subsidence inversion. Afternoon highs are expected to
reach the 40's.
Zonal (i.e. W'erly) flow aloft, embedded shortwave troughs, and net
surface troughing are forecast to impact the eastern Great Lakes and
Upper OH Valley on Sunday night through Tuesday. Periodic and
scattered rain showers are expected. Overnight lows mainly in the
mid 30's to lower 40's Sunday night and Monday night, respectively,
should be followed by afternoon highs mainly in the mid 40's to
lower 50's on Monday and Tuesday, respectively.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
A warm front has exited to the east, which will be quickly
followed by a dissipating cold front. Low stratus accompanying
this weak front still lingers across eastern TAF sites such as
KCLE, KYNG and KERI. This may linger for 1-2 more hours at
KCLE/KYNG and through much of the pre-dawn hours at KERI. To the
west, a moist boundary layer and light winds has resulted in
the development of dense fog, particulary in central Ohio (e.g.
KMFD/KCAK area and points south). This area of dense fog should
gradually expand through the night, though it's uncertain by how
much. Fog will likely fill in at KYNG as the low stratus exits
to the east. It may approach other TAF sites such as KFDY, KTOL,
and KCLE but may be more periodic/patchy and less persistent.
Any fog that does develop will gradually dissipate after 13Z.
It's possible that a few patches of VFR develop like 12-15Z
along the I-75 corridor (KTOL/KFDY) and also near KERI) but it
won't last long as stratus fills back in, variable between
MVFR/IFR conditions. A much stronger cold front arrives from the
west during the afternoon/evening hours. A swath of rain showers
and strong westerly wind gusts of 30-35 knots (isolated gusts
as high as 40 knots especially near the lakeshore) will
accompany this front, lasting about 3-4 hours. MVFR/IFR
conditions with ceilings and visibilities will be possible.
There should be a quick transition to VFR conditions and rapid
drop off to wind speeds once the rain ends tonight. Isolated to
scattered rain/snow showers begin to move in from the west
after ~02Z. Any snow that does potentially mix in shouldn't
result in significant impacts as temperatures in the 35-39
degree range should limit impacts.
Outlook...A large area of low pressure is expected to impact
the region through Saturday, bringing breezy conditions and
periodic non-VFR in rain showers, potentially mixed with wet
snow showers Thursday and Thursday night.
&&
.MARINE...
E'erly to SE'erly winds around 5 to 15 knots veer to S'erly to
SW'erly this evening and overnight tonight as a warm front drifts
NE'ward across Lake Erie and a ridge exits E'ward. Waves trend 3
feet or less. Relatively-warm and humid overlying air may cool to
supersaturation via contact with ~53F Lake Erie and yield patchy fog
formation through daybreak Wednesday. A triple point low develops
and strengthens over southern ON and then meanders in vicinity of
that region and Lake Huron on Wednesday through Wednesday night. In
addition, a cold front trailing the low will sweep E'ward across the
lake during the late afternoon through evening hours of Wednesday.
SW'erly winds around 5 to 15 knots ahead of the front become SW'erly
to W'erly and freshen to around 20 to 30 knots behind the front.
As a result, any fog over the lake is expected to dissipate by
midday Wednesday. Waves build to as large as 2 to 6 feet in the
western basin and 6 to 12 feet farther east. Latest available
ensemble forecast systems indicate the probability of gale-force
winds is no greater than 30%, which has precluded the issuance of a
Gale Watch or Warning. The strong SW'erly to W'erly winds behind the
front will result in a seiche, which may prompt a Low Water Advisory
for the western basin. Stay tuned for forecast updates.
SW'erly to W'erly winds around 15 to 25 knots on Thursday veer to
NW'erly Thursday night as the aforementioned low wobbles from near
Lake Huron and southern ON to the northeastern United States and
allows a trough axis to sweep SE'ward across Lake Erie. Waves as
large as 5 to 10 feet are expected, especially east of The Islands.
A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for all nearshore waters for
later Wednesday through early Thursday evening, although a temporal
extension of the advisory will likely be needed, especially east of
The Islands. NW'erly winds as strong as 15 to 25 knots persist on
Friday through Saturday night as the aforementioned low wobbles
NE'ward from the northeastern United States toward the Canadian
Maritimes and continues to extend a trough over the eastern Great
Lakes, yet a ridge begins to build from the Upper Midwest Saturday
through Saturday night. Waves remain as large as 5 to 9 feet through
Saturday and are then forecast to subside to 5 feet or less by
daybreak Sunday. W'erly to NW'erly winds around 10 to 20 knots back
toward SW'erly on Sunday as the axis of the aforementioned ridge
slides E'ward across most of Lake Erie and the ridge continues to
impact the lake. Waves are expected to subside further to 3 feet or
less by early Sunday evening.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for OHZ018-019-
027>031-036>038-047.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST
Thursday for LEZ142>147.
Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST
Thursday for LEZ148-149.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Garuckas
NEAR TERM...KEC/Garuckas
SHORT TERM...Jaszka
LONG TERM...Jaszka
AVIATION...Saunders
MARINE...JaszkaHazardous weather outlook, Nov 19, 4:09 PM EST, 12 hours 6 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cleveland OH 409 PM EST Tue Nov 19 2024 LEZ061-142>149-162>169-202115- Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH- Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH- Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border- Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the- Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the- Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 409 PM EST Tue Nov 19 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Periods of gale-force winds will be possible Wednesday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-202115- Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull- Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie- 409 PM EST Tue Nov 19 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. A strong low pressure system is expected to develop over the Great Lakes region Wednesday into Thursday, bringing widespread precipitation to the region. Strong wind gusts and wet snow accumulations are possible Wednesday night into early Friday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 10:36 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | CLE | Ashland, Crawford, Erie, Hancock, Holmes, Huron and 16 more | 11 hr |
| Nov 20, 4:05 AM EST | Wind Advisory | CLE | Ashtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Lorain | 20 hr |
| Nov 20, 4:15 AM EST | Low Water Advisory | CLE | 25 hr | |
| Nov 20, 1:47 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Cuyahoga, Lorain, Medina, Summit | 58 min |
| Nov 20, 2:12 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Portage, Stark, Summit | 63 min |
| Nov 20, 2:53 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Mahoning, Trumbull | 67 min |
| Nov 20, 3:58 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Crawford | 62 min |
| Nov 20, 4:58 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Crawford | 47 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.