Severe Thunderstorm Warning 74, NWS Buffalo, NY

559 
WWUS51 KBUF 161512
SVSBUF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1112 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

NYC055-063-073-161522-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SV.W.0074.000000T0000Z-240716T1530Z/
Niagara NY-Orleans NY-Monroe NY-
1112 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN NIAGARA...
NORTHERN ORLEANS AND NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EDT for
western New York.

&&

LAT...LON 4338 7861 4341 7855 4342 7842 4341 7797
      4340 7788 4334 7787 4322 7846
TIME...MOT...LOC 1511Z 239DEG 39KT 4351 7805 

$$

PP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
650 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Another cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms will cross the
region from west to east today, with localized torrential rainfall
and damaging winds possible. A few more showers and isolated
thunderstorms will continue tonight through Wednesday as a cold
front slowly crosses the eastern Great Lakes. High pressure will
build into the Great Lakes Thursday and remain through next weekend,
with an extended period of dry and less humid weather.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
...LOCALIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AGAIN TODAY...

A large area of convective debris clouds will continue to
overspread the area from west to east this morning. The first of
the showers are noted on radar over Lake Erie, and will start to
move into far Western NY early this morning.

Our focus once again today is on severe weather potential. A large
and well defined MCV is emerging from a decaying MCS over southeast
lower Michigan early this morning, and is forecast by all guidance
to cross the eastern Great Lakes today. Overall, the setup is very
similar to yesterday, with the most notable difference being the
timing of the feature, roughly 3 hours earlier in the diurnal cycle
than the MCV yesterday. The MCV will move into Western NY by mid to
late morning, possibly too early to allow for sufficient
destabilization to support robust severe weather potential. The
arrival time from the Genesee Valley east into Central NY and the
eastern Lake Ontario region will be late enough to allow for a
window of sufficient destabilization to support a better chance of
severe weather.

Severe Weather Potential...

The strong MCV crossing the region today will again locally enhance
the severe weather potential, with the mesoscale circulation
providing more favorable low/mid level shear and convergence,
particularly in the southeastern quadrant of the MCV. The early
arrival of clouds and convection will limit destabilization in
Western NY, with SBCAPE of up to 1000 J/kg by mid to late morning.
Greater instability will develop from the Genesee Valley eastward
with a few extra hours of diurnal heating before convection, with
SBCAPE of 1500 J/kg or better. 0-6 km deep layer shear will be on
the order of 30-40 knots based on the latest HREF mean, although
locally higher values are possible as the MCV augments the low/mid
level wind fields.

Expect ongoing or developing scattered thunderstorms by mid morning
across Western NY. The initial lack of strong instability may keep
these storms sub-severe at first, although gusty winds and locally
heavy rainfall is certainly possible. The instability and shear
parameters along with organized mesoscale forcing from the MCV
suggest the initial development across Western NY will grow upscale
by midday to early afternoon, with high-res CAMS guidance suggesting
storm mode evolving into short bowing segments with localized
damaging wind risk from the Genesee Valley into Central NY and the
eastern Lake Ontario region. Damaging winds will be the primary
risk, with a secondary risk for large hail, and a low but non-zero
risk of an isolated tornado given the influence of the MCV on the
low level shear environment.

The severe weather risk will end by early afternoon in Western NY,
mid afternoon in the Genesee Valley, and late afternoon or early
evening east of Lake Ontario.

Heavy Rain Potential...

PWAT values will remain in the 1.75"-2.0" range today. The very
moist environment and relatively deep warm cloud depth will continue
to support torrential downpours with any strong convection. The MCV
if moving quite fast, and should allow the storms to maintain enough
forward speed to keep the risk of flash flooding low. Nonetheless,
any training may support a localized minor flood risk.

A few more scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop later in
the afternoon and evening along the southern edge of the Lake Erie
breeze, mainly from the western Southern Tier into the Finger Lakes.
These will gradually taper off through the evening.

Overnight, the mid level trough and associated cold front will
approach slowly from the northwest. Increasing large scale ascent
and low level convergence ahead of these features will support an
increasing chance of showers and a few isolated thunderstorms again
late tonight, but with less coverage and intensity than today.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A cold front will start this period on our western counties
doorstep, with the front slicing across the region through the
morning and early afternoon hours. A few showers, and later
thunderstorms will remain possible along and ahead of this front.
Greatest possibilities for thunder will be the Finger Lakes and east
of Lake Ontario where greater daytime insolation and developing CAPE
(MUCAPE of 500 J/KG) will be realized.

A longwave trough will enter into our region Wednesday night with
showers ending across eastern zones, and clouds thinning. Some
patches of fog will be possible with still a fair amount of humidity
to start the night.

A much drier airmass will build across our region later Wednesday
night and Thursday on a light northerly flow behind the passage of
the upper level trough. This will promote fair weather for Thursday
and Thursday night. Though temperatures will only be a few degrees
cooler Thursday than Wednesday, the dewpoints at least 10
degrees cooler will be more noticeable.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
This will be a spectacular stretch of weather, with a broad ridge of
high pressure expanding across the region. A weak cold front will
drop southward across the region Sunday, but its passage should
largely be rain-free with possibly an isolated shower east of Lake
Ontario. Otherwise, there's good model agreement providing high
confidence in rain-free weather. Temperatures will be near normal
with daytime highs averaging in the mid 70s to lower 80s and
nighttime lows mainly in the mid 50s to lower 60s. A few colder
spots early Friday morning, and again early Saturday morning could
drop into the upper 40s east of both Lakes.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Areas of MVFR/IFR CIGS will persist east of Lake Ontario
through early morning before scattering out by mid morning.
Otherwise VFR will prevail for the rest of the area through mid
morning with thickening and lowering mid/high clouds.

Another area of showers and thunderstorms associated with an upper
level disturbance will arrive in Western NY by mid to late morning,
then move east across the rest of the area, reaching the eastern
Lake Ontario region by mid afternoon. This will bring a likelihood of
thunder and brief VSBY/CIG reductions across much of the area,
including all the terminals. Some storms may be strong with
localized high wind gusts. Mainly VFR conditions will follow later
today behind this round of showers and thunderstorms. A few more
storms may develop late afternoon through evening from the Southern
Tier into the Finger Lakes, mainly east of KJHW and south of KROC.

Tonight, the evening showers and thunderstorms across the Southern
Tier and Finger Lakes will taper off. Overnight, an approaching cold
front and mid level trough may produce a few more showers and
thunderstorms with uneven coverage. Areas of MVFR/IFR CIGS will
develop later tonight through Wednesday morning.

Outlook...

Wednesday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday through Saturday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A period of moderate southwesterlies will develop on Lake Erie
today, with Small Craft Advisory conditions from later this morning
through the afternoon. Winds will be somewhat lower on Lake Ontario,
but still enough to produce a moderate chop this afternoon and
evening.

Another cluster of thunderstorms will cross the eastern Great Lakes
today, with locally higher winds and waves. The timing is earlier
than yesterday, with the greatest chance of storms this morning
through early afternoon on Lake Erie and western Lake Ontario, and
midday through late afternoon for the eastern end of Lake Ontario.

A cold front will cross the eastern Great Lakes Wednesday. West to
northwest winds up to 15 knots will produce moderate chop at times
Wednesday through Thursday on Lake Ontario, but winds and waves are
generally expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NYZ010-019-
     085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this
         evening for LEZ020.
         Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for
         LEZ040-041.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock
NEAR TERM...Hitchcock
SHORT TERM...Thomas
LONG TERM...Apffel/Thomas
AVIATION...Hitchcock
MARINE...Hitchcock

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
406 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

NYZ001>008-011>014-020-021-170815-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
406 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Another round of showers and thunderstorms will cross the area from
west to east today. A few storms may be severe, with the primary
hazard being localized damaging winds, and a secondary risk of large
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-019-085-170815-
Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
406 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

Another round of showers and thunderstorms will cross the area from
west to east today. A few storms may be severe, with the primary
hazard being localized damaging winds, and a secondary risk of large
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-170815-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
406 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Another round of showers and thunderstorms will cross the area from
west to east today. A few storms may be severe, with the primary
hazard being localized strong winds and higher waves, and a
secondary risk of large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Hitchcock

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
444 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 PM     Hail             3 NW Buffalo            42.92N 78.89W
07/15/2024  E1.00 Inch       Erie               NY   Public

0120 PM     Hail             2 SW Kenmore            42.94N 78.90W
07/15/2024  E1.00 Inch       Erie               NY   Public

0124 PM     Hail             2 N Buffalo             42.92N 78.87W
07/15/2024  M1.25 Inch       Erie               NY   Public

            Report from mPING: Half Dollar (1.25 in.).

0124 PM     Hail             2 S Kenmore             42.93N 78.88W
07/15/2024  M1.00 Inch       Erie               NY   Public

0130 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SSW Kenmore           42.93N 78.90W
07/15/2024                   Erie               NY   Broadcast Media

            Large tree down intersection of West Avenue
            and Bird Avenue.

0236 PM     Marine Tstm Wind 2 WSW Buffalo           42.88N 78.89W
07/15/2024  M53 MPH          Erie               NY   Buoy

            Buoy station BUFN6 Buffalo.

0237 PM     Marine Tstm Wind 3 NW Lackawanna         42.85N 78.86W
07/15/2024  M40 MPH          Erie               NY   Mesonet

            Buffalo Skyway.

0256 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     East Aurora             42.77N 78.61W
07/15/2024                   Erie               NY   Law Enforcement

            Power pole snapped; trees and wires down.

0307 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Alden                   42.90N 78.49W
07/15/2024                   Erie               NY   Trained Spotter

            Numerous trees down in Alden. One fell on a
            house on Broadway.

0308 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 W Alden               42.90N 78.51W
07/15/2024                   Erie               NY   Trained Spotter

            Multiple trees and wires down.

0346 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SE Millgrove          42.92N 78.53W
07/15/2024                   Erie               NY   Trained Spotter

            Trees down on Wende Rd.

0352 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 N Ellicottville       42.32N 78.66W
07/15/2024                   Cattaraugus        NY   911 Call Center

            Tree down.

0352 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Pavillion               42.88N 78.02W
07/15/2024                   Genesee            NY   Newspaper

            Large tree down on a deck, with extensive
            damage to the deck.

0352 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Pavillion               42.88N 78.02W
07/15/2024                   Genesee            NY   911 Call Center

            Trees and wires down.

0357 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Le Roy                  42.98N 77.99W
07/15/2024                   Genesee            NY   911 Call Center

            Trees and wires down.

0408 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 E Franklinville       42.34N 78.43W
07/15/2024                   Cattaraugus        NY   Public

            Tree and wires down.

0411 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 WNW Lakeville         42.86N 77.77W
07/15/2024                   Livingston         NY   911 Call Center

            Trees and wires down making road impassable.

0415 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Avon                    42.92N 77.75W
07/15/2024                   Livingston         NY   Trained Spotter

            Power lines down. Time estimated from radar.

0415 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SSW Lakeville         42.81N 77.72W
07/15/2024                   Livingston         NY   Trained Spotter

            Tree down on West Lake Road. Time estimated
            from radar.

0419 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 WSW Rush              42.99N 77.67W
07/15/2024                   Monroe             NY   911 Call Center

            Tree down blocking roadway.

0420 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 ESE Franklinville     42.31N 78.39W
07/15/2024                   Cattaraugus        NY   911 Call Center

            Multiple trees and wires down.

0422 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SW Livonia            42.79N 77.71W
07/15/2024                   Livingston         NY   Public

            Trees and large limbs down between Decker
            Road and Vanzandt Road in Livonia.

0425 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Lima                    42.91N 77.61W
07/15/2024                   Livingston         NY   Trained Spotter

            Multiple trees down.

0425 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Lima                    42.90N 77.61W
07/15/2024                   Livingston         NY   NWS Employee

            Multiple trees down.

0430 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SW Mendon             42.98N 77.53W
07/15/2024                   Monroe             NY   Trained Spotter

            Powerlines down on West Bloomfield Rd.

0430 PM     Flash Flood      Attica                  42.86N 78.28W
07/15/2024                   Wyoming            NY   Newspaper

            Main St between Water St and Washington St
            flooded. Water flowing into businesses on
            Main St.

0434 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Mendon                  43.00N 77.50W
07/15/2024                   Monroe             NY   911 Call Center

            Multiple trees down.

0440 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSW Victor            42.97N 77.41W
07/15/2024                   Ontario            NY   Trained Spotter

            Tree down blocking Dryer Rd.

0440 PM     Hail             Victor                  42.98N 77.41W
07/15/2024  E1.00 Inch       Ontario            NY   Public

0440 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SE Honeoye Falls      42.94N 77.58W
07/15/2024                   Ontario            NY   911 Call Center

            Tree fell blocking roadway.

0440 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SE Mendon             42.98N 77.47W
07/15/2024                   Ontario            NY   911 Call Center

            Tree fell blocking roadway.

0442 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 SE Pittsford          43.05N 77.47W
07/15/2024                   Monroe             NY   Trained Spotter

            Trees and powerlines down in Bushnells
            Basin.

0442 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SE Pittsford          43.08N 77.50W
07/15/2024                   Monroe             NY   Public

            Tree and wires down.

0442 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 E Victor              42.98N 77.35W
07/15/2024                   Ontario            NY   911 Call Center

            Tree fell blocking roadway.

0442 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 N Rushville           42.81N 77.23W
07/15/2024                   Ontario            NY   911 Call Center

            Tree and wires down.

0445 PM     Flash Flood      1 SE Batavia            42.98N 78.17W
07/15/2024                   Genesee            NY   Newspaper

            Route 63 (Ellicott St) flooded in both
            directions.

0445 PM     Flash Flood      1 W Le Roy              42.98N 78.00W
07/15/2024                   Genesee            NY   NWS Employee

            NY-5 and railroad underpass flooded. Around
            5 feet of water.

0445 PM     Hail             Canandaigua             42.89N 77.28W
07/15/2024  E1.75 Inch       Ontario            NY   Public

0445 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 NNW Canandaigua       42.94N 77.32W
07/15/2024                   Ontario            NY   Public

            Multiple trees in roadway.

0448 PM     Hail             4 E Victor              42.99N 77.33W
07/15/2024  E3.00 Inch       Ontario            NY   Public

0448 PM     Hail             4 E Victor              42.99N 77.33W
07/15/2024  M2.50 Inch       Ontario            NY   Public

0448 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 E Victor              42.98N 77.35W
07/15/2024                   Ontario            NY   911 Call Center

            Multiple trees down.

0448 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SE Canandaigua        42.87N 77.25W
07/15/2024                   Ontario            NY   911 Call Center

            Tree fell on motorhome trailer.

0456 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SE Canandaigua        42.87N 77.26W
07/15/2024                   Ontario            NY   911 Call Center

            Windows in house blown in and multiple trees
            down.

0500 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SE Canandaigua        42.88N 77.25W
07/15/2024                   Ontario            NY   Public

            Report from mPING: 3-inch tree limbs broken;
            Power poles broken.

0505 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Clifton Springs         42.96N 77.13W
07/15/2024                   Ontario            NY   Public

            Trees and large limbs down on the corner of
            South Street and South Dayton Avenue.

0522 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 S Williamson          43.19N 77.18W
07/15/2024                   Wayne              NY   911 Call Center

            Trees and wires down on Franklin Rd in
            Marion.

0548 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 SW Cato               43.12N 76.65W
07/15/2024                   Cayuga             NY   Public

            Trees and wires down in the town of
            Conquest.

0551 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Port Byron              43.04N 76.63W
07/15/2024                   Cayuga             NY   911 Call Center

            Trees and wires down in the town of Port
            Byron.

0555 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SW Cato               43.15N 76.60W
07/15/2024                   Cayuga             NY   Public

            Large tree down on a carport.

0555 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Cato                    43.17N 76.57W
07/15/2024                   Cayuga             NY   911 Call Center

            Trees and wires down in the town of Cato.

0640 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Constantia              43.25N 76.00W
07/15/2024                   Oswego             NY   911 Call Center

            Multiple trees and wires down across town.

&&

Hitchcock

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
753 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Rush                    43.00N 77.65W
07/15/2024                   Monroe             NY   Broadcast Media

            Utility pole snapped.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
806 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Yorkshire               42.52N 78.48W
07/15/2024                   Cattaraugus        NY   CO-OP Observer

            Trees down in the town of Yorkshire. Time
            estimated from radar.

0354 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 E Arcade              42.53N 78.42W
07/15/2024                   Wyoming            NY   CO-OP Observer

            3 to 4 trees down in Arcade. One downed tree
            took out the service line to a house. Time
            estimated from radar.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
935 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0428 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NW West Bloomfield    42.92N 77.57W
07/15/2024                   Livingston         NY   Public

            Several trees down and damage to a garage.
            Time estimated from radar.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1032 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

NYZ001-002-161500-
Orleans NY-Niagara NY-
1032 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN NIAGARA AND
NORTHERN ORLEANS COUNTIES THROUGH 1100 AM EDT...

At 1031 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Newfane, or 11 miles northwest of Medina, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Medina, Newfane, Middleport, Waterport, Lakeside Beach State Park,
Point Breeze, Kent, Ridgeway, Shelby, Gaines, Lyndonville, Barker,
Olcott, Gasport, Knowlesville, and Appleton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4341 7862 4342 7849 4342 7809 4340 7795
      4339 7793 4312 7854 4334 7875
TIME...MOT...LOC 1431Z 240DEG 40KT 4331 7857

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Welch