Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2024
Gale Warning 11, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale warning at Apr 12, 2024, 4:55 AM EDT. It took effect at Apr 12, 2024, 5:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 40 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 12, 2024, 4:55 AM EDT (08:55 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 12, 2024, 5:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 13, 2024, 9:24 PM EDT
- In force
- 40 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted.
536 WHUS71 KBUF 120855 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 455 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 LOZ043-044-121700- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240412T1200Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0010.240413T0500Z-240414T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 455 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 11 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ045-121700- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240413T0300Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0010.240413T0500Z-240414T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 455 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this evening. For the Gale Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 11 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ042-121700- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.240412T1200Z-240413T0300Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0010.240413T0500Z-240413T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240413T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 455 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet expected. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 8 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this evening. For the Gale Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-121700- /O.UPG.KBUF.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240412T0900Z-240413T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 455 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ062-121700- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0010.240413T0500Z-240413T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240413T1800Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 455 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ063>065-121700- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0010.240413T0500Z-240414T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 455 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 11 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ020-121700- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.240412T1000Z-240414T0600Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 455 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
7 follow-up statements
439 WHUS71 KBUF 121501 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1101 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 LOZ045-130000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240413T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1101 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this evening. For the Gale Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 11 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ042-130000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240413T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240413T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 1101 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet expected. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 8 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this evening. For the Gale Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-130000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240413T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 1101 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ062-130000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240413T1800Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 1101 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-063>065-130000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1101 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 11 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ020-130000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0600Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 1101 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
324 WHUS71 KBUF 122123 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 523 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 LOZ045-130530- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240413T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 523 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this evening. For the Gale Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 11 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ042-130530- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240413T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240413T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 523 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds to 35 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 40 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this evening. For the Gale Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-130530- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240413T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 523 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ062-130530- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240413T1800Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 523 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-063>065-130530- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 523 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay, and the open waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 11 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ030-130530- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lower Niagara River- 523 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-130530- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0600Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 523 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
358 WHUS71 KBUF 130158 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 958 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 LOZ045-131000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240413T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 958 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds 20 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this evening. For the Gale Warning, until 11 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ042-131000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240413T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240413T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 958 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds to 35 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 40 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this evening. For the Gale Warning, until 2 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-131000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240413T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 958 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ062-131000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240413T1800Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 958 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-063>065-131000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.240413T0300Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 958 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay, and the open waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ030-131000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lower Niagara River- 958 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-131000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0600Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 958 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
868 WHUS71 KBUF 130829 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 429 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 LEZ040-041-131500- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240413T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 429 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ042-062-131630- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240413T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 429 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ043>045-063>065-131630- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 429 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 15 to 20 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ030-131630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lower Niagara River- 429 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-131630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0600Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 429 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
487 WHUS71 KBUF 131428 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1028 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 LEZ040-041-132300- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240413T1500Z/ /O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 1028 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042-062-131800- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240413T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 1028 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ043>045-063>065-132300- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1028 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 15 to 20 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ030-132300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lower Niagara River- 1028 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-132300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0600Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 1028 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ JJR
833 WHUS71 KBUF 131748 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 148 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 LOZ042-140200- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240413T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.240413T1748Z-240414T0600Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 148 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062-131900- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240413T1800Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 148 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... Winds have fallen below gale force...therefore the Gale Warning has been cancelled. $$ LOZ043>045-063>065-140200- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 148 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ030-140200- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lower Niagara River- 148 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-140200- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0600Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 148 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-140200- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 148 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ JJR
760 WHUS71 KBUF 140124 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 924 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 LOZ043-044-141000- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0039.240414T0124Z-240414T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 924 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SUNDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-141000- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0039.240414T0124Z-240414T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 924 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SUNDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ063>065-140230- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 924 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... $$ LEZ040-041-LOZ030-140230- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0300Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lower Niagara River- 924 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Winds and waves have dropped below small craft advisory levels. $$ LOZ042-140230- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-240414T0600Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 924 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Winds and waves have dropped below small craft advisory levels. $$ LEZ020-140230- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-240414T0600Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 924 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Winds have dropped below small craft advisory levels. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Apr 12, 2:08 AM EDT, 2 hours 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 12, 2:08 AM EDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
208 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
Deep low pressure will cross the central Great Lakes through the
early morning hours before reaching Quebec late tonight and
Saturday. This system will continue to produce periods of soaking
rainfall and a few scattered thunderstorms the remainder of the
night through the daytime hours. The rain will mix with or change to
wet snow later tonight and early Saturday before ending from west to
east later Saturday. Some minor, slush accumulations are possible
across the high terrain tonight and Saturday morning. It will also
be quite windy much of the time through Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A strong southern stream trough over the Tennessee Valley and a
strong northern stream trough over the upper Mississippi Valley are
in the process of phasing, and this will result in a deep full
latitude longwave trough that advances slowly east across the Great
Lakes and eastern US through the end of the week. Deep southerly
flow ahead of the digging trough will continue to transport copious
moisture northward into the eastern Great Lakes through the early
morning hours. Strong large scale forcing will continue, with
strongly diffluent mid/upper level flow and a coupled upper level
jet structure supporting organized deep ascent through the first
half of the day. The most organized rain will be focused by low
level forcing from a series of warm frontal segments and shortwaves
through the pre-dawn hours before a cold front moves through during
the daytime hours.
Precipitation Details...
Numerous spokes of vorticity ejecting out of the strong upstream
trough along with height falls and ongoing strong moisture transport
and convergence ahead of the surface low will support additional
periods of rain through this morning. One more band of moderate to
heavy showers will enter Western NY through the pre-dawn hours, then
cross the rest of the area from southwest to northeast through the
first half of Friday as the cold front surges northeast across the
area. Latest guidance and radar trends overnight are indicating the
axis of heaviest precip through daybreak will take on a relatively N-
S orientation, extending from Chautauqua up through or just west of
extreme western NY. Will continue to monitor these trends as many of
the Buffalo and Southern Tier area creeks/rivers are expected to hit
action stage with this slug of additional rain, though wider
flooding concerns are low at this time. Enough instability may
develop to support some isolated thunder again along the front,
especially east of Lake Ontario.
Expect another relative lull in rainfall following the passage of
the front as a brief dry slot works east across the area. This will
be followed by more widespread rain moving back into Western NY later
in the day as the wrap around/comma head moisture and forcing arrive
on the rear flank of the system.
Tonight, the mid level closed low will move east across southern
Ontario, with deep wrap around moisture and cyclonic flow supporting
a continuation of widespread rain. A cold pool aloft will arrive
overnight, and the boundary layer will continue to cool. This will
allow some wet snow to mix in overnight, first across higher
elevations and then possibly some lower elevations by late Friday
night. The highest terrain of the Southern Tier, western Finger
Lakes, and Tug Hill Plateau may change to all wet snow with a few
inches possible late Friday night through Saturday morning.
Wind Details...
This system will also produce an extended period of gusty winds
across the region. A strong southeasterly low level jet will
propagate across the eastern Great Lakes through the rest of the
overnight hours. This will support local 45+ mph gusts in a few
downslope areas, mainly along the north/northwest slopes of the Tug
Hill Plateau where the strongest low level jet and most favorable
low level stability profiles are found for downslope acceleration.
Gusts near 50mph have been observed in this area early this morning.
A Wind Advisory remains in effect for Jefferson and Lewis counties.
A cold front will arrive in Western NY closer to daybreak, then move
northeast across the rest of the area today. Southwest winds will
increase along and behind the cold front, especially northeast of
Lake Erie. Expect gusts of 40-45 mph Friday across the Niagara
Frontier including Buffalo. Relatively poor low level lapse rates
should prevent gusts from reaching advisory criteria for an extended
period of time, but it will be close.
Winds become more westerly Friday night behind a secondary cold
front, with steepening lapse rates supporting widespread 35-45 mph
gusts. There is a chance a few areas may reach wind advisory
criteria gusts, especially near the lakeshores and across higher
terrain.
Temperature Details...
Temperatures will stay mild overnight, in the 50s or even low 60s.
A strong cold front will reach Western NY closer to dawn, with
temperatures falling quickly into the 40s. Temperatures will hold
steady or slowly fall in Western NY through the day today, with
falling temperatures for the rest of the area. Temperatures will
drop into the 30s tonight areawide, with upper 30s lakeshores and
low to mid 30s higher terrain.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
A mix of rain and snow (wet snow mainly above 900 ft) early Saturday
morning will slowly decrease in coverage from west to east as we
progress though the day. While there will be some snow fall,
elevation dependent, additional accumulations of under an inch is
all that is expected for the highest points. It will also continue
to be quite breezy with sustained WNW winds of 15 to 25 mph gusting
up to 40 mph at times. Highs will range from the upper 30s to low
40s east of Lake Ontario with mid and upper 40s near 50F elsewhere.
A brief lull between systems will occur Saturday night with dry
weather expected areawide for much of the night. Lows will be found
in the 30s to low 40s.
A fast moving shortwave and sfc reflection dropping through the
Great Lakes Sunday will then introduce chances for showers or even a
thunderstorm. The best shot at see a thunderstorm will be found
across the S. Tier with in the warm sector and along an advertised
tightening H850 thermal gradient across the region. BUFKIT profiles
do show MUCAPE values of 200-500 J/kg across the S. Tier to the
NY/PA line. Otherwise...a wide range of temps will be found across
the forecast area. Highs will peak in the 40s/50s east of Lake
Ontario with solid 50s to even low 60s across western New York.
The weak low quickly departs by Sunday evening with surface high
pressure building in across the region. A cooler air mass will be in
the process of filtering into the eastern Great Lakes with H850
temps falling down to -2C to -3C by Monday morning. Lows will
generally be found in the 40s with a few colder spots east of Lake
Ontario.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Another round of weak surface-based ridging will slide across our
area Monday and Monday night and bring another period of mainly dry
weather. This ridge will then slide off to our east on Tuesday...
while giving way to a sprawling cutter-type low that will lumber its
way from the central Plains states to near James Bay through the
rest of the period. This next system will usher in warmer and more
unsettled weather that will feature frequent opportunities for
showers from Tuesday afternoon through Thursday...though there will
also likely be some drier periods interspersed. In addition...
diurnal instability may also support the potential for a few
thunderstorms across far southwestern New York Tuesday afternoon and
early evening...then again south of Lake Ontario both Wednesday and
Thursday afternoons/evenings.
With respect to temperatures...these should average out a solid 5 to
10 degrees above normal Monday and Monday night...before trending
even more strongly above normal for Tuesday through Thursday as the
aforementioned cutter low spreads even warmer air across our region.
During the latter three days of the period...it currently appears
that highs will range from the mid-upper 60s east of Lake Ontario to
the 70s across much of western New York.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A deepening low pressure system sliding just northwest of the region
across the central Great Lakes will continue to send multiple rounds
of rain showers through the region, resulting in highly variable
flight conditions through the 06z TAF cycle.
Rain showers will continue to produce areas of MVFR and localized
IFR cigs/vsbys, mainly across far western NY (KIAG/KBUF/KJHW)
through the morning hours tonight. A cold front arriving closer to
daybreak will push the bulk of the precipitation through the region
from west to east, exiting the eastern Lake Ontario region around
18z. Wrap-around moisture will then produce additional showers with
IFR conditions across western NY later Friday afternoon and evening.
As of 06z, the system's strong southeasterly LLJ is producing strong
wind gusts east of Lake Ontario, mainly from the Tug Hill to
KART/GTB. These will subside after 09z as the LLJ shifts east of the
region. The arrival of the cold front this morning will cause winds
to shift southwesterly and strengthen, especially northeast of Lake
Erie. Gusts to 40kts will be possible across KBUF/KIAG for a
sizable portion of the day.
Outlook...
Friday night...MVFR/IFR with rain, mixing with or changing to wet
snow overnight. Windy.
Saturday...MVFR/IFR early with rain and wet snow, gradually
improving to VFR from west to east in the afternoon. Windy.
Sunday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of showers and possibly a
thunderstorm.
Monday...Mainly VFR.
Tuesday...Mainly VFR with a chance of showers late.
&&
.MARINE...
Strong southeast winds will continue to produce Small Craft Advisory
conditions on the east half of Lake Ontario where winds are
strongest. The wind is generally offshore, so larger wave action
will be on the Canadian shoreline.
A cold front will sweep east across the Lower Great Lakes early this
morning. Winds will become southwest and increase, first on Lake
Erie closer to daybreak, and then on Lake Ontario from west to east
later today. This will produce a period of high end Small Craft
Advisory conditions leading into the weekend.
Winds will increase further on Lake Ontario late tonight through
Saturday, when a period of gales is likely. A Gale Watch remains in
effect for Lake Ontario for this period. Highest confidence in gales
for a longer period of time is on the east half of the lake, but the
west half may get close as well for a shorter duration.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Wind Advisory until 5 AM EDT early this morning for NYZ007-008.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 2 AM EDT Sunday
for LEZ020.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT Saturday for LEZ040-
041.
Gale Watch from late tonight through Saturday
afternoon for LOZ042-062.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for
LOZ043-044.
Gale Watch from late tonight through Saturday evening for
LOZ043>045-063>065.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for LOZ045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock/PP
NEAR TERM...Hitchcock/PP
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...PP
MARINE...Hitchcock/PPHazardous weather outlook, Apr 11, 5:38 AM EDT, 23 hours 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 538 AM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 NYZ001>006-010-011-013-014-120945- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Northern Erie- Genesee-Livingston-Ontario- 538 AM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Strong winds are possible this afternoon and tonight with gusts to 45 mph, especially higher terrain and favored downslope areas. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ012-019>021-085-120945- Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie- 538 AM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms very late this afternoon into this evening. The main threat is damaging wind gusts. Strong winds are possible this afternoon and tonight with gusts to 45 mph, especially higher terrain and favored downslope areas. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ007-008-120945- Jefferson-Lewis- 538 AM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-120945- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 538 AM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms very late this afternoon into this evening. Main threat will be strong winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-120945- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 538 AM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Apr 12, 1:55 AM EDT, 3 hours before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Buffalo NY 155 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 NYZ019-020-085-120830- Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 155 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 An area of moderate rain with some embedded bands of heavier rainfall will move through over the next two to three hours. Around three quarters to one inch of rain has fallen across these areas in the past six hours or so. Potential for another half to one inch of rainfall will be possible in areas that see the most persistent rain over the next couple of hours. This may cause some flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. Motorists should also be aware of ponding on area roadways. JM
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 4:25 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans and 1 more | 4 hr |
| Apr 12, 9:12 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 8 more | 32 hr |
| Apr 12, 11:20 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | BUF | Monroe | 80 min |
| Apr 12, 12:40 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Monroe | 41 hr |
| Apr 12, 12:44 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus | 46 hr |
| Apr 12, 1:49 PM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Wyoming | 17 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.