Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS Binghamton, NY

075 
WWUS51 KBGM 230014
SVSBGM

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
814 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

PAC115-127-230030-
/O.CON.KBGM.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-240523T0030Z/
Susquehanna PA-Wayne PA-
814 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN SUSQUEHANNA AND NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

At 814 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Thompson, or 15
miles south of Deposit, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Ararat, Thompson, Union Dale, Starrucca, Hiawatha,
Shehawken, Starlight, Starruca, and Pleasant Mount.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4170 7566 4186 7563 4200 7538 4170 7512
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 251DEG 22KT 4185 7548 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

MJM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
653 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening. This front is slow to move through and
will support additional showers and storms on Thursday. There
will be a brief break Friday before the next system brings
another round of showers and storms to start the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
645 PM Update...

Some thunderstorms remain present but the severe threat has
diminished across CNY. The watch was cancelled for all NY
counties, but does remain for the counties that it was issued
for in NEPA. Another line of storms has swept across PA and is
now moving into the region. PoPs were updated based on current
radar activity. The CAMs are still struggling but the HREF, NBM,
and some manual edits seemed to come up with a reasonable
solution over the next few hours.

Temperatures have cooled significantly after the storms passed
through. Most are now in the 70s. Hourly temps and dewpts were
touched up to better reflect the latest observations. The rest
of the forecast was doing well and needed little change at this
time.

320 PM Update...

A pre-frontal trough has kicked off scattered showers and storms
just west of the region. Some pop-up convection has been brief in
the region. Instability and shear will likely increase as the cap
continues to erode throughout the afternoon. This would leave the
door open for isolated to scattered severe storms with wind being
the main threat. The uncertainty lies with the shear, which is only
modeled at 20 to 25 kts. This may be just enough to for severe
storms but they should be relatively short-lived. With CAMs not
handling this situation well, PoPs were made to be a ahead of the
timing shown in guidance. Despite having uncertainty with this messy
situation, a watch was issued based on earlier activity seen further
west and the potential for additional severe storms based on higher
surface-based instability.

By the late evening hours, the potential for severe storms will
diminish. The delayed cold front will move into the region from the
northwest tonight. This boundary will kick off additional scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms. With the added moisture, light
winds, and fairly low dew point depressions, patchy valley fog may
develop. In other areas, low stratus may also be possible.
Temperatures tonight will fall into the upper 50s to mid 60s tonight.

With the front stretched across the southern portions of the region
by Thursday morning, a weak disturbance will ride this front. This
will help keep showers going across portions of NEPA and the
Catskills through most of the morning hours. Thunderstorms cannot be
ruled out as instability and shear will also be present. High
pressure builds in behind this frontal boundary, leading to a quiet,
partly cloudy afternoon across the region. The cold front brings
relief from the heat we have seen the last couple of days highs will
only be in mid 70s to low 80s. Dry conditions will continue
overnight with temps falling into the 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
215 PM Update...

Friday and Friday night will be a dry period as showers stay
south of the area with the front and north of the area with the
upper level low. A ridge of high pressure moves east through
the area Friday night. Humidity drops with dewpoint temperatures
falling to around 50. Skies will be mostly sunny Friday.

On Saturday clouds and pops will increase as a north to south
front moves through Saturday evening. Showers and thunderstorms
will be ahead of and with the front. The trend has been to slow
this down so many places may have a dry morning.

For temperatures lows will be in the 50s Friday night, then rise
to the mid and upper 50s and lower 60s Saturday night. High
temperatures Friday will be in the upper 70s and lower 80s then
a degree or two warmer Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
215 PM Update...

High pressure should build in late Saturday night into Sunday.
Sunday afternoon some models have isolated showers and
thunderstorms over NEPA and the southern Catskills associated
with a stalled front near the coast.

Surface low pressure and associated fronts will move east into
the area late Sunday night into Monday evening. Again another
round of showers and thunderstorms is likely. The surface low
by Tuesday is in southeast Canada, but a large upper level
trough is over southeast Canada and the Great Lakes. The colder
air will set off mainly diurnal showers and thunderstorms
Tuesday and Wednesday.

High temperatures on Sunday again in the upper 70s and lower
80s, fall slowly to the 60s Wednesday. Lows Sunday night in the
upper 50s and lower 60s fall to the upper 40s to mid 50s Tuesday
night.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR conditions will continue through the afternoon and evening.
There continues to be a chance for scattered thunderstorms
today. Tempo groups have been added and the time has been
narrowed down some. Strong wind gusts and reduced visibilities
are expected if a storm passes right over a terminal. Conditions
will then improve after storms move through. A period of MVFR or
even Fuel Alt ceilings will be possible for at least a few hours
late tonight/early Thursday morning. Conditions then improve
back to VFR shortly after sunrise.

Winds will be gusty this afternoon and evening with gusts 15 to
20 kts. Again, expected strong winds within any passing
t-storms. Winds become light and variable overnight before
settling out of the west-northwest.

Outlook...

Thursday afternoon through Friday night...Mainly VFR. Low chance
for showers/storms at BGM and AVP Thursday afternoon/evening.
Patchy early morning valley fog may be possible Friday, but
conditions are looking too dry.

Saturday... Restrictions possible with scattered showers and
thunderstorms.

Sunday...Mainly VFR expected.

Monday... Restrictions possible with scattered showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for NYZ062.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BTL/MWG
NEAR TERM...BTL
SHORT TERM...TAC
LONG TERM...TAC
AVIATION...BTL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
302 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

NYZ046-057-062-PAZ040-048-072-231915-
Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
302 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms ahead of a cold front will move through the
region late this afternoon and evening with the potential for gusty
winds and hail. A few thunderstorms may become severe.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed. Please relay any
information about severe weather to the NWS.

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044-045-055-056-PAZ038-039-043-044-
047-231915-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-
Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango-
Tioga-Broome-Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-
302 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 288 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed. Please relay any
information about severe weather to the NWS.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
734 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

PAZ043-047-230015-
Wyoming PA-Luzerne PA-
734 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN LUZERNE AND SOUTHWESTERN
WYOMING COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM EDT...

At 734 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles west of Lovelton to Central to Berwick.
Movement was east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Muhlenberg, Berwick, Nanticoke, Plymouth, Vernon, Larksville, Lehman,
Dallas, Harveys Lake, and Dorrance.

This includes the following highway exits...
 Interstate 80 near 256.
 Pennsylvania Interstate 81 near 151A and B.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northeastern Pennsylvania.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7623 4114 7623 4114 7628 4120 7632
      4130 7631 4154 7622 4155 7622 4154 7594
      4136 7589 4100 7603 4098 7622
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 256DEG 36KT 4150 7633 4128 7635 4105 7628

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MJM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
736 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SE Auburn             42.92N 76.56W
05/22/2024                   Cayuga             NY   Public

            Report from mPING: 1-inch tree limbs broken;
            Shingles blown off.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
737 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0431 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 W Auburn              42.93N 76.60W
05/22/2024                   Cayuga             NY   911 Call Center

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2
            W Auburn. Tree down on wires, causing fire.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
742 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     Hail             1 E Bethel              41.68N 74.87W
05/22/2024  M1.00 Inch       Sullivan           NY   Public

            Corrects previous hail report from 2 SSE
            Bethel. Quarter size hail reported on social
            media.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
747 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Skaneateles             42.95N 76.43W
05/22/2024                   Onondaga           NY   911 Call Center

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from
            Skaneateles. Broken telephone pole.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
748 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0444 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 S Jacks Reef          43.07N 76.43W
05/22/2024                   Onondaga           NY   911 Call Center

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2
            S Jacks Reef. Tree on wires.

&&