Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2024
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Jan 11, 2024, 4:01 PM EST for 25 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Jan 12, 2024, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 16 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 11, 2024, 4:01 PM EST (21:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 12, 2024, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 13, 2024, 4:47 AM EST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
All 25 counties
Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Charlevoix County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Chippewa County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Mackinac County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 6:30 PM EST | SNOW 3.5 | 2 N Skeels, MI | 3hr Snowfall total since snow began at 355pm. Spotter reports tiny, wet flakes. Report from social media. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 618 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 72 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 43 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
038 WWUS43 KAPX 112101 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 401 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 MIZ020-021-025>027-031>033-099-120515- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.240112T1800Z-240113T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T1800Z-240114T0000Z/ Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Manistee-Wexford- Missaukee-Charlevoix- Including the cities of Northport, Mancelona, Frankfort, Traverse City, Kalkaska, Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, and Charlevoix 401 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 13 inches through Saturday afternoon. Greatest accumulations will favor areas away from Lake Michigan. East to northeast winds gusting 45 to 55 mph Friday night. Winds turn northwest by Saturday, gusting to 30 to 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Activity transitions to lake effect snow showers later Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ086>088-095-096-120515- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.240113T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa- Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village, Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands 401 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 9 inches through Saturday afternoon. Northeast winds gusting 40 to 50 mph Friday night. Winds turn north to northwest Saturday, gusting 25 to 35 mph. * WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the late Friday evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Activity transitions to lake effect snow showers later Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ097-120515- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.240112T1800Z-240113T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/ Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the city of Mackinac Island 401 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island. * WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ098-120515- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.240113T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T1800Z-240114T0000Z/ Beaver Island and surrounding islands- Including the city of St. James 401 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph Friday night, and 25 to 35 mph during the day Saturday. * WHERE...Beaver Island and surrounding islands. * WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Strong winds could cause tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ016>018-022>024-028>030-034-035-041-120515- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.240112T1800Z-240113T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Crawford- Oscoda-Alcona-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Gladwin- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Houghton Lake, West Branch, and Gladwin 401 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snowfall and significant impacts from blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 15 inches, with potential for localized accumulations approaching 20 inches. East to northeast winds gusting as high as 55 mph Friday evening and overnight. Winds turning more north to northwest Saturday, gusting to 25 to 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening / overnight and Saturday commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Activity transitions to lake effect snow showers later Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ036-042-120515- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.240112T1800Z-240113T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/ Iosco-Arenac- Including the cities of Tawas City and Standish 401 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches near the immediate shores of Saginaw Bay; 8 to 14 inches farther inland. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Iosco and Arenac Counties. * WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
5 follow-up statements
485 WWUS43 KAPX 120334 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1034 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 MIZ086>088-095>097-121315- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa- Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village, Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, St. Ignace, Brevort, Les Cheneaux Islands, and Mackinac Island 1034 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 9 inches through Saturday afternoon. Northeast winds gusting 40 to 50 mph Friday night. Winds turn north to northwest Saturday, gusting 25 to 35 mph. * WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the late Friday evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Activity transitions to lake effect snow showers later Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ020-021-025>027-031>033-098-099-121315- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T1800Z-240114T0000Z/ Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Manistee-Wexford- Missaukee-Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix- Including the cities of Northport, Mancelona, Frankfort, Traverse City, Kalkaska, Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, St. James, and Charlevoix 1034 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 13 inches through Saturday afternoon. Greatest accumulations will favor areas away from Lake Michigan. East to northeast winds gusting 45 to 55 mph Friday night. Winds turn northwest by Saturday, gusting to 30 to 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Activity transitions to lake effect snow showers later Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ016>018-022>024-028>030-034-035-041-121315- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Crawford- Oscoda-Alcona-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Gladwin- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Houghton Lake, West Branch, and Gladwin 1034 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snowfall and significant impacts from blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 15 inches, with potential for localized accumulations approaching 20 inches. East to northeast winds gusting as high as 55 mph Friday evening and overnight. Winds turning more north to northwest Saturday, gusting to 25 to 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening / overnight and Saturday commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Activity transitions to lake effect snow showers later Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ036-042-121315- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/ Iosco-Arenac- Including the cities of Tawas City and Standish 1034 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches near the immediate shores of Saginaw Bay; 8 to 14 inches farther inland. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Iosco and Arenac Counties. * WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
021 WWUS43 KAPX 120937 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 437 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 MIZ017-018-024-030-036-097-121745- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.240112T2200Z-240114T0000Z/ Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Alpena-Alcona-Iosco- Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of Cheboygan, Rogers City, Alpena, Harrisville, Tawas City, and Mackinac Island 437 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 15 inches anticipated with localized amounts of 18 inches possible. Frequent wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph this evening and tonight with potential for 60 mph wind gusts, especially near the Lake Huron shoreline. * WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper and Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Worst conditions expected this evening and tonight. Travel could be very difficult to impossible during this time. Widespread blowing snow is expected to lead to significantly reduced visibilities for several hours. Significant drifting may lead to some impassible secondary roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in power outages. Dangerous driving conditions are anticipated this evening and overnight, making travel strongly discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. && $$ MIZ022-023-028-029-035-121745- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.240112T2200Z-240114T0000Z/ Otsego-Montmorency-Crawford-Oscoda-Ogemaw- Including the cities of Gaylord, Atlanta, Grayling, Mio, and West Branch 437 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 15 inches anticipated with localized amounts of 18 inches possible. Frequent wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph expected this evening and tonight. * WHERE...Otsego, Montmorency, Crawford, Oscoda and Ogemaw Counties. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Worst conditions expected this evening and tonight. Travel could be very difficult to impossible during this time. Widespread blowing snow is expected to lead to significantly reduced visibilities for several hours. Significant drifting may lead to some impassible secondary roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in power outages. Dangerous driving conditions are anticipated this evening and overnight, making travel strongly discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. && $$ MIZ086>088-095-096-121745- /O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240113T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa- Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village, Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands 437 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ016-121745- /O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T1800Z-240114T0000Z/ Emmet- Including the city of Petoskey 437 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 13 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Emmet County. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ020-021-025>027-031>033-098-099-121745- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T1800Z-240114T0000Z/ Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Manistee-Wexford- Missaukee-Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix- Including the cities of Northport, Mancelona, Frankfort, Traverse City, Kalkaska, Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, St. James, and Charlevoix 437 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 9 to 13 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ034-041-042-121745- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/ Roscommon-Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Houghton Lake, Gladwin, and Standish 437 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 14 inches. Lesser amounts around 6 inches possible near the immediate Lake Huron shoreline. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Roscommon, Gladwin and Arenac Counties. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
544 WWUS43 KAPX 121945 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 MIZ017-018-024-030-036-097-130345- /O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.240112T2200Z-240114T0000Z/ Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Alpena-Alcona-Iosco- Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of Cheboygan, Rogers City, Alpena, Harrisville, Tawas City, and Mackinac Island 245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 16 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Frequent wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph this evening and tonight with potential for 60 mph wind gusts, especially near the Lake Huron shoreline. * WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper and Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Worst conditions expected this evening and tonight. Travel could be very difficult to impossible during this time. Widespread blowing snow is expected to lead to significantly reduced visibilities for several hours. Significant drifting may lead to some impassible secondary roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in power outages. Dangerous driving conditions are anticipated this evening and overnight, making travel strongly discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. && $$ MIZ022-023-028-029-035-130345- /O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.240112T2200Z-240114T0000Z/ Otsego-Montmorency-Crawford-Oscoda-Ogemaw- Including the cities of Gaylord, Atlanta, Grayling, Mio, and West Branch 245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 15 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Frequent wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph expected this evening and tonight. * WHERE...Otsego, Montmorency, Crawford, Oscoda and Ogemaw Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Worst conditions expected this evening and tonight. Travel could be very difficult to impossible during this time. Widespread blowing snow is expected to lead to significantly reduced visibilities for several hours. Significant drifting may lead to some impassible secondary roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in power outages. Dangerous driving conditions are anticipated this evening and overnight, making travel strongly discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. && $$ MIZ086>088-095-096-130345- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240113T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa- Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village, Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands 245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ016-020-021-025>027-031>033-098-099-130345- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ Emmet-Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Manistee- Wexford-Missaukee-Beaver Island and surrounding islands- Charlevoix- Including the cities of Petoskey, Northport, Mancelona, Frankfort, Traverse City, Kalkaska, Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, St. James, and Charlevoix 245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow. Additional snow accumulations of 8 to 13 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ034-041-042-130345- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/ Roscommon-Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Houghton Lake, Gladwin, and Standish 245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 14 inches. Lesser amounts around 6 inches possible near the immediate Lake Huron shoreline. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Roscommon, Gladwin and Arenac Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
868 WWUS43 KAPX 130255 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 MIZ017-018-024-030-036-097-131200- /O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Alpena-Alcona-Iosco- Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of Cheboygan, Rogers City, Alpena, Harrisville, Tawas City, and Mackinac Island 955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches, resulting in total snow accumulations of 8 to 14 inches. Frequent wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph through tonight, especially near the Lake Huron shoreline. * WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper and Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow is expected to lead to significantly reduced visibilities for several hours. Significant drifting may lead to some impassible secondary roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. && $$ MIZ022-023-028-029-035-131200- /O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ Otsego-Montmorency-Crawford-Oscoda-Ogemaw- Including the cities of Gaylord, Atlanta, Grayling, Mio, and West Branch 955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, resulting in total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. Frequent wind gusts of 35 to 40 mph expected through tonight. * WHERE...Otsego, Montmorency, Crawford, Oscoda and Ogemaw Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible during this time. Widespread blowing snow is expected to lead to significantly reduced visibilities for several hours. Significant drifting may lead to some impassible secondary roadways. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. && $$ MIZ086>088-095-096-131200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa- Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village, Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands 955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ016-020-021-025>027-031>033-098-099-131200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ Emmet-Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Manistee- Wexford-Missaukee-Beaver Island and surrounding islands- Charlevoix- Including the cities of Petoskey, Northport, Mancelona, Frankfort, Traverse City, Kalkaska, Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, St. James, and Charlevoix 955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow. Additional snow accumulations of 8 to 13 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MIZ034-041-042-131200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ Roscommon-Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Houghton Lake, Gladwin, and Standish 955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, resulting in total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. Lesser amounts around 6 inches possible near the immediate Lake Huron shoreline. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Roscommon, Gladwin and Arenac Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
385 WWUS43 KAPX 130947 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 MIZ023-024-029-030-035-036-131700- /O.CAN.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240113T1700Z/ Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco- Including the cities of Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, West Branch, and Tawas City 447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility across open areas at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. && $$ MIZ097-131700- /O.CAN.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240113T1700Z/ Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the city of Mackinac Island 447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility across open areas at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. && $$ MIZ017-018-022-028-131800- /O.CAN.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240114T1200Z/ Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Otsego-Crawford- Including the cities of Cheboygan, Rogers City, Gaylord, and Grayling 447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... ...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Localized amounts of up to 10 inches may be possible. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Cheboygan, Presque Isle, Otsego and Crawford Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times, especially on secondary roadways. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility across open areas at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. && $$ MIZ034-041-042-131700- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240113T1700Z/ Roscommon-Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Houghton Lake, Gladwin, and Standish 447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches. * WHERE...Roscommon, Gladwin and Arenac Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility across open areas at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. && $$ MIZ088-095-096-098-131700- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240113T1700Z/ Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- Beaver Island and surrounding islands- Including the cities of Detour Village, Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, St. Ignace, Brevort, Les Cheneaux Islands, and St. James 447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches. * WHERE...Southeast Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties, and Beaver Island and surrounding islands. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility across open areas at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. && $$ MIZ016-020-021-025>027-031>033-099-131800- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240114T1200Z/ Emmet-Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Manistee- Wexford-Missaukee-Charlevoix- Including the cities of Petoskey, Northport, Mancelona, Frankfort, Traverse City, Kalkaska, Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, and Charlevoix 447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Localized amounts of up to 10 inches may be possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times, especially on secondary roadways. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility across open areas at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. && $$ MIZ086-087-131800- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240114T1200Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa- Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, and Sugar Island 447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches. Localized amounts of up to 8 inches may be possible. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Western Chippewa and Central Chippewa Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times, especially on secondary roadways. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility across open areas at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. && $$ http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 11, 12:22 PM EST, 3 hours 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 12:22 PM EST, 3 hours 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1222 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1220 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024
Just some minor tweaks to this afternoon's pops as ongoing light
snow continues across parts of northern lower Michigan early
this afternoon. This should largely exit over the next several
hours.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
Pattern Synopsis:
A subtle shortwave embedded within much broader troughing will
progress over the Ohio Valley today, providing enough forcing aloft
to support a weak cyclone that will work across the Great Lakes.
Ridging then looks to slide over the Great Lakes tonight,
temporarily building surface high pressure across northern portions
of the region.
Forecast Details:
Mainly light snow will spread from west to east across the area
through this morning, primarily across areas south of the bridge.
Snowfall totals by this afternoon are expected to range between 1-2"
for most areas of northern lower Michigan. Locally higher amounts
near 3" will be possible, especially across areas near the Lake
Michigan shoreline. Enhanced snowfall will be possible in the
vicinity of a surface boundary draped near M-68 back west over far
northern Lake Michigan, and could bring aforementioned locally
higher amounts as the boundary slides from northwest to southeast
over land this afternoon. Although accumulations of only a few
inches at most are anticipated, locally hazardous travel conditions
cannot be ruled out -- especially in areas of falling snow. Snow
chances will begin to diminish later in the afternoon and evening as
the weak system moves further east of the Great Lakes and high
pressure builds in. Otherwise, temperatures in the mid 20s to low
30s are expected for most areas today. Overnight lows look to cool
into the upper teens and low 20s across northern lower. Colder lows
in the single digits and teens are anticipated across eastern upper
where cold air drainage is expected to flow in from Ontario.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Pattern Synopsis:
After the quick round of snow today, all eyes will turn to the
Friday/Saturday timeframe. Very impressive dynamics provided by a
negative-tilt trough punching from the lower Mississippi Valley into
the southern Great Lakes combined with a coupled upper jet will lead
to rapid deepening of a cyclone set to trek from the southern Great
Plains northeast across lower Michigan in the Friday night -
Saturday timeframe.
Putting this forecast system in context: The forecast cyclone is
expected to deepen to around 975mb as it works across Michigan. The
North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS), consisting of 52
ensemble members from the GEFS (31 members) and Canadian (21),
depicts this forecast cyclone strength as the lowest MSLP in a 30
year climatology period (1979-2009) centered around the middle
of January. Not only would this be the strongest cyclone
forecast in that period, GEFS members compared against
reforecasts of past events at the same lead time also show this
as the strongest cyclone forecast in that period -- all to say
that this is a nod to the rarity and high end potential of the
current forecast system for Friday night into Saturday.
Forecast Details:
Confidence continues to increase in a rare, high impact winter storm
across Michigan Friday afternoon into Saturday. Very good agreement
in the vast amount of deterministic and ensemble guidance has
persisted through the latest forecast cycle, taking the
aforementioned cyclone through the vicinity of Saginaw Bay/Thumb
area. Forecast snowfall amounts continue to be nothing short of
impressive. While deterministic guidance has consistently put
out eye-catching totals for numerous consecutive runs,
Ensemble/probabilistic guidance is a main factor in increased
confidence. Over the duration of our current winter storm watch
(1 PM Friday - 1 PM Saturday), there are high probabilities
(over 70%) for accumulations of at least 8" for most of northern
Michigan, medium to high chances (over 40%) for at least 12" of
snow along and east of I-75, and even low chances (10-40%) for
at least 18" of snow across this same area for a 24 hour period.
While potential snowfall amounts are impressive, perhaps the most
impactful portion of this winter storm will be strong winds.
Sustained winds of 20-30 mph with frequent gusts of 35-50+ mph are
expected Friday evening into Saturday. Highest snowfall rates will
be most likely Friday evening and Friday night as strongest forcing
works northward across the state, driving snowfall rates of 1-2" per
hour or greater. When high snowfall rates are combined with
aforementioned wind gusts, whiteout/blizzard conditions may be
possible across portions of northern Michigan for a period of time
Friday evening/night.
Blowing and drifting snow for an extended period of time Friday
evening into Saturday will create dangerous travel conditions as
roadways -- especially backroads -- will be difficult to maintain.
Snow load from new and recent snowfall combined with aforementioned
winds may lead to power outages. Those planning travel across the
state Friday evening and Saturday, especially across northern lower
Michigan, should take all of the above into consideration and
closely monitor the latest forecast for updates as locations of
heaviest snow/worst impacts may change as event time approaches.
Accumulating lake effect snow is expected to settle in on Saturday
into the rest of the weekend as the system departs northeast.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Pattern Forecast: Low pressure over the Georgian Bay/Ontario region
will continue to deepen and move northeast to Hudson Bay this
Sunday. Midlevel longwave troughing spanning across North America
will push cold Arctic air into the CONUS. Current lake
temperatures are well above average for January.
Primary Forecast Concerns:
Accumulating lake effect snow next week: Lake temperatures in the
upper 30s and low 40s combined with cold northwest flow will allow
the LES regime to begin once the cyclone departs the Great
Lakes region. Continued accumulating snowfall for parts of
northern lower and eastern upper expected. Still too early to
give snowfall amounts of locations with the best likelihood of
impactful weather, but we will definitely continue to monitor
this feature with future guidance.
Cold Arctic air move into the region: Temperatures expected to drop
well below climatological average heading into mid January. This will
be a sudden shock from such a mild first half of winter.
Temperatures will drop after the cyclone moves towards the
northeast, Starting on Sunday. Coldest periods will be overnight
Sunday into Monday and again for night time lows dipping near or
below zero.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Largely MVFR flight conditions are expected to continue across
northern Michigan through the TAF period. A few lingering light
snow showers possible this afternoon before mainly dry conditions
are anticipated overnight. Light winds tonight turn out of the
east Friday morning and become increasingly gusty in advance of
a winter storm set to impact northern Michigan starting as early
as late Friday morning, but more so Friday afternoon/night.
&&
.MARINE...
Strong winds are expected over the Great Lakes Friday through
Saturday as an impressive storm system crosses the region. Gale
force winds are likely across all nearshore waters. Storm force wind
gusts will also be possible across most northern Lake Huron and Lake
Michigan nearshore waters Friday night into Saturday morning.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Winter Storm Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday
afternoon for MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-097-099.
Winter Storm Watch from Friday evening through Saturday
evening for MIZ086>088-095-096-098.
MARINE...Storm Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning for
LHZ345-347>349.
Gale Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning for
LHZ346.
Gale Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning for
LMZ341.
Storm Watch from Friday evening through Saturday morning for
LMZ323-342-344>346.
Gale Watch from Friday evening through Saturday evening for
LSZ321-322.
&&
UPDATE...MJG
NEAR TERM...DJC
SHORT TERM...DJC/SJC
LONG TERM...SJC
AVIATION...MJG
MARINE...DJCHazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 4:57 AM EST, 11 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Gaylord MI 457 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-121000- Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency- Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona- Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa- Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix- 457 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and Northern Lower Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. A high impact winter storm is expected across northern Michigan Friday night and Saturday. Please see the latest Winter Storm Watch for additional details. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts to the National Weather Service. Reports may be made one of three ways: Online: weather.gov/gaylord Facebook: facebook.com/nwsgaylord Twitter: twitter.com/nwsgaylord For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord. LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-121000- Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 457 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024 This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Gale force winds are expected Friday night and Saturday across our nearshore waters. Storm force wind gusts are possible across portions of northern Lake Huron and Lake Michigan Friday night and Saturday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 4:52 AM EST | Gale Watch | APX | 24 hr | |
| Jan 11, 4:52 AM EST | Storm Watch | APX | 24 hr | |
| Jan 11, 3:42 PM EST | Storm Warning | APX | 37 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2024Every winter storm warning in 2024
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.