Alert archive / Michigan / Storm Warnings in 2024

Storm Warning 1, NWS Gaylord, MI

January 11, 2024

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this storm warning at Jan 11, 2024, 3:42 PM EST. It took effect at Jan 12, 2024, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 16 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 11, 2024, 3:42 PM EST (20:42 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 12, 2024, 1:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 13, 2024, 4:51 AM EST
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

The text

As transmitted.

477 
WHUS73 KAPX 112042
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
342 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

LHZ349-120445-
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240112T1800Z-240113T1500Z/
/O.CAN.KAPX.SR.A.0001.240112T2200Z-240113T1200Z/
Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
342 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...
...STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 45 kts from the southeast and 
  highest waves around 20 feet possible.

* WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous highest waves which 
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and highest
waves.

&&

$$

LMZ341-120445-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240112T2200Z-240113T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240112T1800Z-240113T1500Z/
Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
342 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 9 feet expected.

* WHERE...Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ345-346-120445-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SR.A.0001.240113T0000Z-240113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240112T1800Z-240113T1500Z/
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
342 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 12 feet expected.

* WHERE...Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI and Manistee to 
  Point Betsie MI.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ323-342-344-120445-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SR.A.0001.240113T0000Z-240113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240113T0000Z-240113T0900Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
342 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse 
  Light to Norwood MI, Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge 
  including Little Traverse Bay and Sleeping Bear Point to Grand 
  Traverse Light MI.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Friday to 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LSZ321-322-120445-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240113T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
342 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 45 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 11 feet possible.

* WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point 
  Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. 
  Potagannissing Bay.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous highest waves which 
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and highest
waves.

&&

$$

LHZ346-120445-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240112T2200Z-240113T1500Z/
St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
342 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 45 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 12 feet possible.

* WHERE...St Ignace to False Detour Channel.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous highest waves which 
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and highest
waves.

&&

$$

LHZ345-347-348-120445-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.A.0001.240112T2200Z-240113T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-
342 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the east and highest 
  waves around 22 feet possible.

* WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge 
  including Mackinac Island, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to 
  Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and Presque 
  Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National 
  Marine Sanctuary.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should prepare to remain in port, alter course, and/or
secure the vessel for severe conditions before conditions
deteriorate.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
595 
WHUS73 KAPX 112117
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
417 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

LMZ323-342-344-120530-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240112T1800Z-240113T1500Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
417 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse 
  Light to Norwood MI, Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge 
  including Little Traverse Bay and Sleeping Bear Point to Grand 
  Traverse Light MI.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ341-345-346-120530-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240112T1800Z-240113T1500Z/
Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
417 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 11 feet expected.

* WHERE...Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge, Point 
  Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI and Manistee to Point Betsie 
  MI.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LSZ321-322-120530-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240113T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
417 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 11 feet possible.

* WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point 
  Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. 
  Potagannissing Bay.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous highest waves which 
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and highest
waves.

&&

$$

LHZ349-120530-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240112T1800Z-240113T1500Z/
Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
417 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the southeast and 
  highest waves around 19 feet possible.

* WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous highest waves which 
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and highest
waves.

&&

$$

LHZ346-120530-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240112T2200Z-240113T1500Z/
St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
417 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 14 feet possible.

* WHERE...St Ignace to False Detour Channel.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous highest waves which 
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and highest
waves.

&&

$$

LHZ345-347-348-120530-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.A.0001.240112T2200Z-240113T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-
417 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the east and highest 
  waves around 23 feet possible.

* WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge 
  including Mackinac Island, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to 
  Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and Presque 
  Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National 
  Marine Sanctuary.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should prepare to remain in port, alter course, and/or
secure the vessel for severe conditions before conditions
deteriorate.

&&

$$
638 
WHUS73 KAPX 120336
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1036 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-121300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240112T1800Z-240113T1500Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
1036 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse 
  Light to Norwood MI, Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge 
  including Little Traverse Bay and Sleeping Bear Point to Grand 
  Traverse Light MI.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LSZ321-322-121300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240113T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1036 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 11 feet possible.

* WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point 
  Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. 
  Potagannissing Bay.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous highest waves which 
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and highest
waves.

&&

$$

LHZ349-121300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240112T1800Z-240113T1500Z/
Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
1036 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the southeast and 
  highest waves around 19 feet possible.

* WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous highest waves which 
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and highest
waves.

&&

$$

LHZ346-121300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240112T2200Z-240113T1500Z/
St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
1036 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 14 feet possible.

* WHERE...St Ignace to False Detour Channel.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous highest waves which 
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and highest
waves.

&&

$$

LHZ345-347-348-121300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.A.0001.240112T2200Z-240113T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-
1036 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

...STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the east and highest 
  waves around 23 feet possible.

* WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge 
  including Mackinac Island, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to 
  Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and Presque 
  Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National 
  Marine Sanctuary.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should prepare to remain in port, alter course, and/or
secure the vessel for severe conditions before conditions
deteriorate.

&&

$$
705 
WHUS73 KAPX 120944
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
444 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

LSZ321-322-121745-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240113T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240113T0200Z-240113T1200Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
444 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 9 feet expected.

* WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point 
  Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. 
  Potagannissing Bay.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ346-121745-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240112T2200Z-240113T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240113T0000Z-240113T1200Z/
St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
444 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 12 feet expected.

* WHERE...St Ignace to False Detour Channel.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ349-121745-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0002.240112T1800Z-240113T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240112T2100Z-240113T1000Z/
Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
444 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the east and highest 
  waves around 18 feet expected.

* WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ345-347-121745-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SR.A.0001.240112T2200Z-240113T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240113T0000Z-240113T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
444 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 20 feet expected.

* WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge 
  including Mackinac Island and 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to 
  Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ348-121745-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240112T2100Z-240113T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.SR.A.0001.240112T2200Z-240113T1200Z/
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-
444 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the east and highest 
  waves around 20 feet expected.

* WHERE...Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder 
  Bay National Marine Sanctuary.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-121745-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240112T1800Z-240113T1500Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
444 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. 

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$
682 
WHUS73 KAPX 121912
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
212 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-130315-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1500Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
212 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LSZ321-322-130315-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240113T0200Z-240113T1200Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
212 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 9 feet expected.

* WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point 
  Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. 
  Potagannissing Bay.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ345>347-130315-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240113T0000Z-240113T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
212 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 20 feet expected.

* WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge 
  including Mackinac Island and 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to 
  Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ348-349-130315-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.240112T2100Z-240113T1000Z/
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
212 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the east and highest 
  waves around 20 feet expected.

* WHERE...Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder 
  Bay National Marine Sanctuary.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$
185 
WHUS73 KAPX 130302
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1002 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-131115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1500Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
1002 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 50 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 13 feet.

* WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. 

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LSZ321-322-131115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1200Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1002 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 45 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 9 feet.

* WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point 
  Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. 
  Potagannissing Bay.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ345>347-131115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1200Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
1002 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the northeast and 
  highest waves around 19 feet.

* WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge 
  including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to False Detour Channel 
  and 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI 
  including Bois Blanc Island.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ348-349-131000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1000Z/
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
1002 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 55 kts from the east and highest 
  waves around 20 feet.

* WHERE...Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder 
  Bay National Marine Sanctuary and Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$
762 
WHUS73 KAPX 130951
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
451 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

LHZ346-347-131800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0003.240113T0951Z-240113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0005.240113T1200Z-240114T0500Z/
St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
451 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the
  north and highest waves around 15 feet. For the Small Craft
  Advisory, Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the northwest and 
  highest waves around 12 feet expected.

* WHERE...St Ignace to False Detour Channel and 5NM East of 
  Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc 
  Island.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 7 AM EST this morning. For 
  the Small Craft Advisory, until midnight EST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ348-131800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0003.240113T0951Z-240113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0005.240113T1200Z-240114T0500Z/
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-
451 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the
  north and highest waves around 15 feet. For the Small Craft
  Advisory, highest gusts up to 30 kts from the northwest and highest
  waves around 12 feet expected.

* WHERE...Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder 
  Bay National Marine Sanctuary.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 7 AM EST this morning. For 
  the Small Craft Advisory, until midnight EST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LSZ321-322-131800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0003.240113T0951Z-240113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0005.240113T1200Z-240114T0500Z/
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
451 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, Highest gusts up to 35 kts from 
  the northeast and highest waves around 8 feet. For the Small 
  Craft Advisory, Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the north and 
  highest waves around 10 feet expected.

* WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point 
  Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. 
  Potagannissing Bay.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 7 AM EST this morning. For 
  the Small Craft Advisory, until midnight EST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ344>346-131800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0003.240113T0951Z-240114T0100Z/
Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
451 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the northwest and 
  highest waves around 10 feet.

* WHERE...Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI, Point 
  Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI and Manistee to Point Betsie 
  MI.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves 
  which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ345-131800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0005.240113T0951Z-240114T0500Z/
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-
451 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the northwest and 
  highest waves around 6 feet.

* WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge 
  including Mackinac Island.

* WHEN...Until midnight EST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ349-131800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0005.240113T0951Z-240114T0500Z/
Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
451 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the west and highest 
  waves around 11 feet.

* WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI.

* WHEN...Until midnight EST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ323-341-342-131800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240113T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0005.240113T0951Z-240114T0500Z/
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-
451 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the north and highest 
  waves around 9 feet.

* WHERE...Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse 
  Light to Norwood MI, Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac 
  Bridge and Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including 
  Little Traverse Bay.

* WHEN...Until midnight EST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Jan 11, 12:22 PM EST, 3 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 12:22 PM EST, 3 hours 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1222 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1220 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

Just some minor tweaks to this afternoon's pops as ongoing light
snow continues across parts of northern lower Michigan early
this afternoon. This should largely exit over the next several
hours.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
Pattern Synopsis:

A subtle shortwave embedded within much broader troughing will
progress over the Ohio Valley today, providing enough forcing aloft
to support a weak cyclone that will work across the Great Lakes.
Ridging then looks to slide over the Great Lakes tonight,
temporarily building surface high pressure across northern portions
of the region.

Forecast Details:

Mainly light snow will spread from west to east across the area
through this morning, primarily across areas south of the bridge.
Snowfall totals by this afternoon are expected to range between 1-2"
for most areas of northern lower Michigan. Locally higher amounts
near 3" will be possible, especially across areas near the Lake
Michigan shoreline. Enhanced snowfall will be possible in the
vicinity of a surface boundary draped near M-68 back west over far
northern Lake Michigan, and could bring aforementioned locally
higher amounts as the boundary slides from northwest to southeast
over land this afternoon. Although accumulations of only a few
inches at most are anticipated, locally hazardous travel conditions
cannot be ruled out -- especially in areas of falling snow. Snow
chances will begin to diminish later in the afternoon and evening as
the weak system moves further east of the Great Lakes and high
pressure builds in. Otherwise, temperatures in the mid 20s to low
30s are expected for most areas today. Overnight lows look to cool
into the upper teens and low 20s across northern lower. Colder lows
in the single digits and teens are anticipated across eastern upper
where cold air drainage is expected to flow in from Ontario.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Pattern Synopsis:

After the quick round of snow today, all eyes will turn to the
Friday/Saturday timeframe. Very impressive dynamics provided by a
negative-tilt trough punching from the lower Mississippi Valley into
the southern Great Lakes combined with a coupled upper jet will lead
to rapid deepening of a cyclone set to trek from the southern Great
Plains northeast across lower Michigan in the Friday night -
Saturday timeframe.

Putting this forecast system in context: The forecast cyclone is
expected to deepen to around 975mb as it works across Michigan. The
North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS), consisting of 52
ensemble members from the GEFS (31 members) and Canadian (21),
depicts this forecast cyclone strength as the lowest MSLP in a 30
year climatology period (1979-2009) centered around the middle
of January. Not only would this be the strongest cyclone
forecast in that period, GEFS members compared against
reforecasts of past events at the same lead time also show this
as the strongest cyclone forecast in that period -- all to say
that this is a nod to the rarity and high end potential of the
current forecast system for Friday night into Saturday.

Forecast Details:

Confidence continues to increase in a rare, high impact winter storm
across Michigan Friday afternoon into Saturday. Very good agreement
in the vast amount of deterministic and ensemble guidance has
persisted through the latest forecast cycle, taking the
aforementioned cyclone through the vicinity of Saginaw Bay/Thumb
area. Forecast snowfall amounts continue to be nothing short of
impressive. While deterministic guidance has consistently put
out eye-catching totals for numerous consecutive runs,
Ensemble/probabilistic guidance is a main factor in increased
confidence. Over the duration of our current winter storm watch
(1 PM Friday - 1 PM Saturday), there are high probabilities
(over 70%) for accumulations of at least 8" for most of northern
Michigan, medium to high chances (over 40%) for at least 12" of
snow along and east of I-75, and even low chances (10-40%) for
at least 18" of snow across this same area for a 24 hour period.

While potential snowfall amounts are impressive, perhaps the most
impactful portion of this winter storm will be strong winds.
Sustained winds of 20-30 mph with frequent gusts of 35-50+ mph are
expected Friday evening into Saturday. Highest snowfall rates will
be most likely Friday evening and Friday night as strongest forcing
works northward across the state, driving snowfall rates of 1-2" per
hour or greater. When high snowfall rates are combined with
aforementioned wind gusts, whiteout/blizzard conditions may be
possible across portions of northern Michigan for a period of time
Friday evening/night.

Blowing and drifting snow for an extended period of time Friday
evening into Saturday will create dangerous travel conditions as
roadways -- especially backroads -- will be difficult to maintain.
Snow load from new and recent snowfall combined with aforementioned
winds may lead to power outages. Those planning travel across the
state Friday evening and Saturday, especially across northern lower
Michigan, should take all of the above into consideration and
closely monitor the latest forecast for updates as locations of
heaviest snow/worst impacts may change as event time approaches.
Accumulating lake effect snow is expected to settle in on Saturday
into the rest of the weekend as the system departs northeast.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Pattern Forecast: Low pressure over the Georgian Bay/Ontario region
will continue to deepen and move northeast to Hudson Bay this
Sunday. Midlevel longwave troughing spanning across North America
will push cold Arctic air into the CONUS. Current lake
temperatures are well above average for January.

Primary Forecast Concerns:

Accumulating lake effect snow next week: Lake temperatures in the
upper 30s and low 40s combined with cold northwest flow will allow
the LES regime to begin once the cyclone departs the Great
Lakes region. Continued accumulating snowfall for parts of
northern lower and eastern upper expected. Still too early to
give snowfall amounts of locations with the best likelihood of
impactful weather, but we will definitely continue to monitor
this feature with future guidance.

Cold Arctic air move into the region: Temperatures expected to drop
well below climatological average heading into mid January. This will
be a sudden shock from such a mild first half of winter.
Temperatures will drop after the cyclone moves towards the
northeast, Starting on Sunday. Coldest periods will be overnight
Sunday into Monday and again for night time lows dipping near or
below zero.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Largely MVFR flight conditions are expected to continue across
northern Michigan through the TAF period. A few lingering light
snow showers possible this afternoon before mainly dry conditions
are anticipated overnight. Light winds tonight turn out of the
east Friday morning and become increasingly gusty in advance of
a winter storm set to impact northern Michigan starting as early
as late Friday morning, but more so Friday afternoon/night.

&&

.MARINE...
Strong winds are expected over the Great Lakes Friday through
Saturday as an impressive storm system crosses the region. Gale
force winds are likely across all nearshore waters. Storm force wind
gusts will also be possible across most northern Lake Huron and Lake
Michigan nearshore waters Friday night into Saturday morning.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Winter Storm Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday
     afternoon for MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-097-099.
     Winter Storm Watch from Friday evening through Saturday
     evening for MIZ086>088-095-096-098.
MARINE...Storm Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning for
     LHZ345-347>349.
     Gale Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning for
     LHZ346.
     Gale Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning for
     LMZ341.
     Storm Watch from Friday evening through Saturday morning for
     LMZ323-342-344>346.
     Gale Watch from Friday evening through Saturday evening for
     LSZ321-322.

&&

UPDATE...MJG
NEAR TERM...DJC
SHORT TERM...DJC/SJC
LONG TERM...SJC
AVIATION...MJG
MARINE...DJC
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 4:57 AM EST, 10 hours 45 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
457 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-121000-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
457 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A high impact winter storm is expected across northern Michigan
Friday night and Saturday. Please see the latest Winter Storm
Watch for additional details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts to the National
Weather Service. Reports may be made one of three ways:

Online:    weather.gov/gaylord
Facebook: facebook.com/nwsgaylord
Twitter: twitter.com/nwsgaylord

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-121000-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
457 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Gale force winds are expected Friday night and Saturday across
our nearshore waters. Storm force wind gusts are possible across
portions of northern Lake Huron and Lake Michigan Friday night
and Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 11, 4:52 AM ESTGale WatchAPX24 hr
Jan 11, 4:52 AM ESTStorm WatchAPX24 hr
Jan 11, 4:01 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningAPXAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Charlevoix and 19 more37 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2024Every storm warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.