Storm Warning 10, NWS Anchorage, AK

894 
FZAK52 PAFC 022320
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-031215-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 937 mb low 180 nm southwest of Unalaska moves to 120 nm north of
Unalaska at 963 mb by Thu afternoon. Its front wraps over the 
Aleutians and Central Bering Sea and extends across the Alaska 
Peninsula through Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ750-031215-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ751-031215-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 33 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 31 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ752-031215-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ753-031215-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. Seas 17
ft
building to 32 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 37 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 32 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft.

$$

PKZ754-031215-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft building to 26 ft after
midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ755-031215-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft building to 35 ft after
midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 36 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 30 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 32 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 32 ft.

$$

PKZ756-031215-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ757-031215-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ758-031215-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas
6 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ759-031215-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ770-031215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ772-031215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...N wind 25 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Rain
showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ771-031215-
Unalaska Bay-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ773-031215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
27 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 34 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ774-031215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 32 ft.
Rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 29 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 38 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 32 ft.

$$

PKZ775-031215-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ776-031215-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ777-031215-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.

$$

PKZ778-031215-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 38 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 29 ft.

$$

PKZ780-031215-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers and snow.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ781-031215-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers and snow.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ782-031215-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers and snow.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 32 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ783-031215-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain showers and widespread
snow showers.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...W wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ784-031215-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ785-031215-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.WED...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ786-031215-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ787-031215-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ766-031215-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ760-031215-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ761-031215-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft.
Rain and snow.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ762-031215-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Widespread snow showers and rain.
.WED...E wind 40 kt.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Snow showers.
.THU...E wind 30 kt.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ763-031215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Heavy freezing spray and
blowing snow. Rain and snow.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Blowing snow.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt.

$$

PKZ764-031215-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 15 ft. Rain and
snow.
.WED...E wind 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft. Snow
showers.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 16 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 16 ft.

$$

PKZ765-031215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt.  and rain.
.WED...E wind 40 kt.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt.

$$

PKZ767-031215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
508 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2024

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:)...

A 970 mb low southwest of Kodiak Island and a weak upper level
high over the eastern Alaskan interior maintain easterly flow
over Southcentral Alaska overnight. Light rain and snow showers
will continue along the coast of the eastern Kenai Peninsula.
Lower elevations near the coast might see some mixed rain and
snow, but farther inland and at higher elevations precipitation is
expected to remain as snow. Kodiak will see rain and increasing
winds overnight into Tuesday from a shortwave trough of the low.

After a brief period of weaker winds Tuesday morning, winds up to
gales and increasing rain may be possible in the marine zones
along the northern Gulf coast Tuesday afternoon. Winds will also
increase significantly through the Matanuska River Valley and into
the Palmer and Wasilla areas Tuesday into Wednesday as the
pressure gradient increases and the cold, dense air from the
Copper River Basin flows downslope.

A much larger 940 mb low tracking just south of the Aleutians
will become the dominate system for Tuesday night into Wednesday
as it crosses into Bristol Bay. A foot or more of new snow will
be possible for the passes of the Eastern Kenai with a period of
even higher winds before subsiding Wednesday night. Precipitation
from this system may stretch beyond Thursday as shortwaves
associated with the low continue through Southcentral.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

An unsettled weather pattern continues from the Central Aleutians
into Southwest Alaska this evening. A 1045 mb surface high
centered over the northern periphery of the Beaufort Sea is
contrasting an approaching sub 950 mb North Pacific low moving
into the Central Aleutians and Eastern Aleutians. A game of where-
are-the-lows is currently being played on satellite. The remnants
of a complex low is slowly dissipating over the western Bering
with multiple smaller lows spinning away to the west of the
Pribilofs. Meanwhile, a cutoff low sits just south of the Alaska
Peninsula with ongoing rain and snow. The main focus, however, is
the approaching sub 950 mb North Pacific low into the Aleutians,
which will bring gusty conditions as well as widespread rain and
snow through the Aleutians and Southwest Alaska over the next
couple of days. Models have been persistent in deepening the low
below 940 mb before it crosses the Eastern Aleutians.

A Winter Storm Warning for the Central Aleutians is valid through
tomorrow evening for expected moderate to heavy snow and winds
gusting as high as 70 mph. Reduced visibility down to 1/2 mile is
anticipated with the heaviest snow totals (up to 8 inches)
forecast over Adak. Further east, a Winter Weather Advisory for
the Kuskokwim Delta Coast comes to an end in the next few hours as
winds have begun to trend down and radar shows snow is in the
process of lifting northward and out of the region. The North
Pacific low has slowed somewhat and is now forecast to eventually
track into the southern Bering by Wednesday morning before
becoming stationary up until dissipation on Thursday. A broad
front will precede the low, tracking from west to east across the
Aleutian Chain and then lifting northward through Bristol Bay and
the Kuskokwim Delta tomorrow night. A High Wind Watch is in effect
for interior Bristol Bay tomorrow evening through Wednesday
morning. While there remains some uncertainty in the strength of
overall winds as the front moves through the region, easterly flow
through the Kamishak Gap could promote winds gusting to as high
as 75 mph from Iliamna down into New Stuyahok and Koliganek. Gusts
to as high as 60 mph will be possible along the Alaska Peninsula,
mainly south of King Salmon, from Egegik to Port Heiden.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Friday through Monday)...

Active weather continues for the long-term forecast. Confidence is
high that yet another strong low will move into the Bering Sea on
Friday. However, model differences in the the exact low track are
leading to lower forecast confidence for specific impacts. We
will be monitoring the following hazards, with additional hazards
possible but difficult to pin down at this time:

* High Winds: Western and Central Aleutians, Saturday Jan 6
* Heavy Precipitation: Eastern Kenai Peninsula and Prince William
  Sound, Saturday Jan 6 through Sunday Jan 7

Diving into the details, Friday begins with an occluding Bering
Sea low moving into Southwest Alaska, bringing persistent showers
to much of the Southern Alaska coastline. By Friday afternoon, a
strong, 950-960 mb North Pacific low pushes its front into the
Aleutian Islands. The low itself appears to move into the Bering
Sea by Sat afternoon, bringing sustained winds to gale or even
storm force around the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands. Depending
on the track of the low, the bands of vorticity rotating around
it, and the strength of the cold air advection wrapping around it,
high wind products are not out of the question for Saturday in
the Aleutians.

In addition to high winds, heavy precipitation will also be a
concern. Current thinking is that although precipitation will be
moderate to heavy as the front pushes into the Aleutians, the
front itself will be moving quickly enough to keep precipitation
totals from climbing too high. In fact, Southcentral Alaska, along
the north Gulf coast, will have a higher chance of seeing heavy
precipitation from Saturday through Sunday as the front slows
down due to the low's occlusion. The Aleutian Islands will likely
see rain as 850 mb temperatures climb as high as 2-3 degrees
Celsius, but chances of seeing rain are lower in Southcentral as
cold air wraps back around with the occlusion.

- KC

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist through Tuesday
morning. Northerly winds will begin to increase between 18-21Z
Tuesday as pressure gradient increase over the Chugach and Cook
Inlet ahead of an approaching frontal boundary.

PP

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
931 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2024

AKZ195-021500-
Pribilof Islands-
Including the city of Saint Paul
931 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2024

...STRONG WINDS DEVELOPING WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW CHANGING TO
RAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

A strong low pressure system is poised to move along the Aleutian
Chain Tuesday before entering the southern Bering Sea Tuesday
night into Wednesday. Easterly to east-northeasterly winds will
pick up Tuesday morning and peak with gusts to 55 mph in the
afternoon to early evening. Winds begin to weaken and turn more
northeasterly during the late evening and overnight hours. The
front will reach the Pribilof Islands Tuesday afternoon into the
early evening hours. Precipitation will begin from south to north
as the winds are peaking. There could be enough cold air in place
initially that St. Paul Island could experience a period of snow
and blowing snow late Tuesday afternoon into the evening hours
before mixing with and changing over to rain.