Alert archive / Arizona / High Wind Warnings in 2023

High Wind Warning 1, NWS Tucson, AZ

February 13, 20234 counties in Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this high wind warning at Feb 13, 2023, 2:34 PM MST for 4 counties in Arizona. It took effect at Feb 14, 2023, 12:00 PM MST. It was in force for 17 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 13, 2023, 2:34 PM MST (21:34 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 14, 2023, 12:00 PM MST
Expired
Feb 15, 2023, 4:41 AM MST
In force
17 hr
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ

Counties Cochise County, AZ, Graham County, AZ, Pima County, AZ, Santa Cruz County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 32 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2023-02-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2023-02-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 77 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1234 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
77 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
329 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

162 
WWUS75 KTWC 132134
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
234 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2023

AZZ510-511-514-132245-
/O.CAN.KTWC.HW.A.0001.230214T2200Z-230215T1200Z/
White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties-
Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Catalina and Rincon Mountains-
234 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2023

...HIGH WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The High Wind Watch has been converted to a Winter Storm Warning
from noon Tuesday until 5 AM MST Wednesday morning. High winds
with near blizzard conditions can be expected. 

$$

AZZ512-513-141100-
/O.UPG.KTWC.HW.A.0001.230214T2200Z-230215T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.HW.W.0001.230214T1900Z-230215T1200Z/
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills
234 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 5 AM MST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Chiricahua Mountains and Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca 
  and Santa Rita Mountains.

* WHEN...From noon Tuesday to 5 AM MST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

AZZ515-141100-
/O.NEW.KTWC.HW.W.0001.230214T1900Z-230215T0600Z/
Baboquivari Mountains-
234 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 11 PM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Baboquivari Mountains.

* WHEN...From noon to 11 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

AZZ506-141100-
/O.UPG.KTWC.HW.A.0001.230214T2200Z-230215T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.230214T1900Z-230215T0900Z/
Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Mammoth and Oracle
234 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 2 AM MST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southeast Pinal County.

* WHEN...From noon Tuesday to 2 AM MST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

AZZ507-141100-
/O.UPG.KTWC.HW.A.0001.230214T2200Z-230215T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.230214T1900Z-230215T1200Z/
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Including the cities of Sierra Vista and Benson
234 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 5 AM MST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph. Gusts up to near 50 mph
  expected especially in the evening. Strongest wind gusts to
  around 55 mph Tuesday night around Sierra Vista.

* WHERE...Upper San Pedro River Valley.

* WHEN...From noon Tuesday to 5 AM MST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

AZZ501-502-141100-
/O.NEW.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.230214T1900Z-230215T0600Z/
Western Pima County-Tohono O'odham Nation-
Including the cities of Ajo, Organ Pipe Cactus N.M., and Sells
234 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 11 PM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45 mph
  expected. Areas of blowing dust likely with reduced
  visibilities.

* WHERE...Western Pima County and Tohono O'odham Nation.

* WHEN...From noon to 11 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

AZZ503>505-141100-
/O.NEW.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.230214T1900Z-230215T0900Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-Tucson Metro Area-
South Central Pinal County-
Including the cities of Nogales, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana, 
Vail, and Picacho Peak State Park
234 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 2 AM MST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts to near 50 mph 
  expected. Areas of blowing dust with reduced visibilities 
  likely. 

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Tucson 
  Metro Area and South Central Pinal County.

* WHEN...From noon Tuesday to 2 AM MST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
  Cross winds with reduced visibilities in blowing dust making
  travel difficult at times, especially along Interstate 10. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

AZZ508-509-141100-
/O.NEW.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.230214T1900Z-230215T1200Z/
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Including the city of Willcox
234 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 5 AM MST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected. Areas of blowing dust wind reduced visibilities. 

* WHERE...Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet and Upper Gila 
  River Valley.

* WHEN...From noon Tuesday to 5 AM MST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
  Cross winds with reduced visibilities in blowing dust making
  travel difficult at times, especially along Interstate 10. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
4 follow-up statements
439 
WWUS75 KTWC 141046
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
346 AM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

AZZ507-142300-
/O.EXB.KTWC.HW.W.0001.230215T0000Z-230215T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.230214T1900Z-230215T0000Z/
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Including the city of Sierra Vista
346 AM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM
MST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph this afternoon increasing to
  35 to 45 mph tonight with gusts 55 to 65 mph.

* WHERE...Upper San Pedro River Valley including Sierra Vista. 

* WHEN...Winds will initially increase by early afternoon with the
  windiest conditions overnight. 

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects and
  damage to carports, awnings, trees and power lines may occur. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Secure trash cans...lawn furniture...and other loose or 
lightweight outdoor objects. High winds can topple trees...blow 
weakened roofs off outbuildings...and down power lines. Use 
extreme caution when driving.

&&

$$

AZZ512-513-142300-
/O.CON.KTWC.HW.W.0001.230214T1900Z-230215T1200Z/
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills
346 AM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 AM
MST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Chiricahua, Dragoon, Mule, Huachuca and Santa Rita 
  Mountains.

* WHEN...Strongest wind speeds during the effective period of the
  warning will be tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will damage carports, awnings, trees and
  power lines.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Secure trash cans...lawn furniture...and other loose or 
lightweight outdoor objects. High winds can topple trees...blow 
weakened roofs off outbuildings...and down power lines. Use 
extreme caution when driving.

&&

$$

AZZ515-142300-
/O.CON.KTWC.HW.W.0001.230214T1900Z-230215T0600Z/
Baboquivari Mountains-
346 AM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 PM
MST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Baboquivari Mountains.

* WHEN...This afternoon and evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. High winds can topple trees and down power 
lines.

&&

$$

AZZ501-502-142300-
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.230214T1900Z-230215T0600Z/
Western Pima County-Tohono O'odham Nation-
Including the cities of Ajo, Organ Pipe Cactus N.M., and Sells
346 AM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 PM MST
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45 
  mph expected. Areas of blowing dust likely with reduced 
  visibilities.

* WHERE...Western Pima County and Tohono O'odham Nation.

* WHEN...This afternoon and evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

AZZ503>506-142300-
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.230214T1900Z-230215T0900Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-Tucson Metro Area-
South Central Pinal County-Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Nogales, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana, 
Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, and Oracle
346 AM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM MST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts to near 55 mph 
  expected. Areas of blowing dust with reduced visibilities 
  likely.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Tucson Metro
  Area and Southeast Pinal County.

* WHEN...Strongest wind speeds during the effective period of the
  advisory will be this evening to around midnight. 

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Cross winds with reduced visibilities in blowing dust 
  making travel difficult at times, especially along Interstate 
  10.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

AZZ508-509-142300-
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.230214T1900Z-230215T1200Z/
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Including the cities of Willcox, Clifton, and Safford
346 AM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 AM MST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts around 55 mph 
  expected. Areas of blowing dust wind reduced visibilities.

* WHERE...Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet and Upper Gila 
  River Valley.

* WHEN...Strongest wind speeds during the effective period of the
  advisory will be tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
  Cross winds with reduced visibilities in blowing dust making
  travel difficult at times, especially along Interstate 10.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
626 
WWUS75 KTWC 142000
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
100 PM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

AZZ507-151200-
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.W.0005.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.HW.W.0001.230215T0000Z-230215T1200Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230215T0000Z/
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Including the cities of Sierra Vista and Benson
100 PM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 5 AM MST WEDNESDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM MST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, southwest winds 35 to 45 mph
  with gusts up to 70 mph expected. For the Hard Freeze Warning,
  sub-freezing temperatures as low as 13 expected. For the Wind
  Advisory, southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Upper San Pedro River Valley.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 5 PM this afternoon to 
  5 AM MST Wednesday. For the Hard Freeze Warning, from 11 PM 
  Wednesday to 9 AM MST Thursday. For the Wind Advisory, until 5 
  PM MST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles. Frost and freeze
  conditions will kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and
  possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ502-151200-
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.W.0005.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230215T0600Z/
Tohono O'odham Nation-
Including the city of Sells
100 PM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM MST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as
  low as 25 expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 25 to
  35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Tohono O'odham Nation.

* WHEN...For the Hard Freeze Warning, from 11 PM Wednesday to 9 
  AM MST Thursday. For the Wind Advisory, until 11 PM MST this 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ503>506-151200-
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.W.0005.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230215T0900Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-Tucson Metro Area-
South Central Pinal County-Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Nogales, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana, 
Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, and Oracle
100 PM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM MST WEDNESDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM MST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as
  low as 18 expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 30 
  to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Tucson 
  Metro Area, South Central Pinal County, and Southeast Pinal 
  County.

* WHEN...For the Hard Freeze Warning, from 11 PM Wednesday to 9 
  AM MST Thursday. For the Wind Advisory, until 2 AM MST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
  Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive
  vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ508-509-151200-
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.W.0005.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230215T1200Z/
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Including the cities of Willcox, Clifton, and Safford
100 PM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST WEDNESDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM MST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as
  low as 10 expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 30 
  to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet and Upper Gila 
  River Valley.

* WHEN...For the Hard Freeze Warning, from 11 PM Wednesday to 9 
  AM MST Thursday. For the Wind Advisory, until 5 AM MST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
  Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive
  vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ501-151200-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FZ.W.0003.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230215T0600Z/
Western Pima County-
Including the cities of Ajo and Organ Pipe Cactus N.M.
100 PM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM MST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as low
  as 29 expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 25 to 35
  mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Western Pima County.

* WHEN...For the Freeze Warning, from 11 PM Wednesday to 9 AM 
  MST Thursday. For the Wind Advisory, until 11 PM MST this 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
  Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive
  vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ512-513-151200-
/O.CON.KTWC.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230215T1200Z/
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills
100 PM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Chiricahua, Dragoon, Mule, Huachuca and Santa Rita 
  Mountains.

* WHEN...Strongest wind speeds during the effective period of 
  the warning will be tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will damage carports, awnings, trees and 
  power lines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Secure trash cans...lawn furniture...and other loose or
lightweight outdoor objects. High winds can topple trees...blow
weakened roofs off outbuildings...and down power lines. Use
extreme caution when driving.

&&

$$

AZZ515-150600-
/O.CON.KTWC.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230215T0600Z/
Baboquivari Mountains-
100 PM MST Tue Feb 14 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Baboquivari Mountains.

* WHEN...This afternoon and evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. High winds can topple trees and down power
lines.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
736 
WWUS75 KTWC 150900
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
200 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

AZZ503>506-151700-
/O.EXP.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230215T0900Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0005.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-Tucson Metro Area-
South Central Pinal County-Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Nogales, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana, 
Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, and Oracle
200 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM MST THURSDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM MST EARLY THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Winds are easing around the area and the wind advisory
  will be allowed to expire at 2 am. Hard freeze warning in effect
  for sub-freezing temperatures as low as 23 expected Thursday
  morning. 

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Tucson 
  Metro Area, South Central Pinal County, and Southeast Pinal 
  County.

* WHEN...For the Hard Freeze Warning, from 11 PM Wednesday to 9 AM
  MST Thursday. 

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ507-151700-
/O.CON.KTWC.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230215T1200Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0005.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Including the cities of Sierra Vista and Benson
200 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, southwest winds 35 to 45 mph 
  with gusts up to 70 mph expected. For the Hard Freeze Warning, 
  sub-freezing temperatures as low as 13 expected. For the Wind 
  Advisory, southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Upper San Pedro River Valley.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 5 PM this afternoon to 
  5 AM MST Wednesday. For the Hard Freeze Warning, from 11 PM 
  Wednesday to 9 AM MST Thursday. For the Wind Advisory, until 5 
  PM MST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Frost and 
  freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive vegetation 
  and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ508-509-151700-
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0005.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230215T1200Z/
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Including the cities of Willcox, Clifton, and Safford
200 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures 
  as low as 10 expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 
  30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet and Upper Gila 
  River Valley.

* WHEN...For the Hard Freeze Warning, from 11 PM Wednesday to 9 
  AM MST Thursday. For the Wind Advisory, until 5 AM MST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ502-151700-
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0005.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
Tohono O'odham Nation-
Including the city of Sells
200 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures 
  as low as 25 expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 
  25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Tohono O'odham Nation.

* WHEN...For the Hard Freeze Warning, from 11 PM Wednesday to 9 
  AM MST Thursday. For the Wind Advisory, until 11 PM MST this 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ501-151700-
/O.CON.KTWC.FZ.W.0003.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
Western Pima County-
Including the cities of Ajo and Organ Pipe Cactus N.M.
200 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
9 AM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as 
  low as 29 expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 25 
  to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Western Pima County.

* WHEN...For the Freeze Warning, from 11 PM Wednesday to 9 AM 
  MST Thursday. For the Wind Advisory, until 11 PM MST this 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ512-513-151200-
/O.CON.KTWC.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230215T1200Z/
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills
200 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Chiricahua, Dragoon, Mule, Huachuca and Santa Rita 
  Mountains.

* WHEN...Strongest wind speeds during the effective period of 
  the warning will be tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will damage carports, awnings, trees and 
  power lines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Secure trash cans...lawn furniture...and other loose or
lightweight outdoor objects. High winds can topple trees...blow
weakened roofs off outbuildings...and down power lines. Use
extreme caution when driving.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
120 
WWUS75 KTWC 151141
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
441 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

AZZ507-152300-
/O.CAN.KTWC.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230215T1200Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0005.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Including the cities of Sierra Vista and Benson
441 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM MST THURSDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, winds have eased 
  significantly and are no longer expected to pose a problem. For 
  the Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as low as 13 
  expected. 

* WHERE...Upper San Pedro River Valley.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 9 AM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ512-513-151245-
/O.CAN.KTWC.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230215T1200Z/
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
441 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Winds have eased below high wind warning criteria and are expected
to remain below. 

$$

AZZ508-509-152300-
/O.CAN.KTWC.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230215T1200Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0005.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Including the cities of Willcox, Clifton, and Safford
441 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM MST THURSDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...For the Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as
  low as 10 expected. For the Wind Advisory, winds have eased
  across the area.  

* WHERE...Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet and Upper Gila 
  River Valley.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 9 AM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ502>506-152300-
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0005.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
Tohono O'odham Nation-Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Tucson Metro Area-South Central Pinal County-
Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Sells, Nogales, Tucson, Green Valley, 
Marana, Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, and Oracle
441 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures 
  as low as 25 expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 
  25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Tohono O'odham Nation.

* WHEN...For the Hard Freeze Warning, from 11 PM Wednesday to 9 
  AM MST Thursday. For the Wind Advisory, until 11 PM MST this 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ501-152300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FZ.W.0003.230216T0600Z-230216T1600Z/
Western Pima County-
Including the cities of Ajo and Organ Pipe Cactus N.M.
441 AM MST Wed Feb 15 2023

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
9 AM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as 
  low as 29 expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 25 
  to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Western Pima County.

* WHEN...For the Freeze Warning, from 11 PM Wednesday to 9 AM 
  MST Thursday. For the Wind Advisory, until 11 PM MST this 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Feb 13, 3:19 AM MST, 11 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 13, 3:19 AM MST, 11 hours 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
319 AM MST Mon Feb 13 2023

.SYNOPSIS...Three winter storms will be impacting the area this
week. The first storm will be affecting the area today with showers,
breezy winds, a slight chance of thunderstorms and cooler
temperatures. The second storm will generate strong winds Tuesday and
Tuesday night and bring even colder temperatures and a chance of
more precipitation Tuesday night and Wednesday. Very cold morning
lows likely Thursday morning. The third winter storm moves in late
next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Unusually complex weather pattern (for here) for the
next few days with a variety of headlines going up with more to
follow. For today, an upper low nearly over Yuma this hour will move
to near Tucson this evening and off to the east overnight. This
storm will generate gusty (typical) southwest winds across the area,
spread showers west to east across southern AZ with snow above 5,000
ft give or take a little along with dramatically cooler afternoon
temperatures compared to yesterday. May see some light snow late in
the day places like Oracle, however accumulating snows will generally
be confined above 5,500 feet. We have a winter weather advisory in
effect for the mountains to account for that with snow amounts about
the same as we have been going with, 6-12 inches above 7,000 ft and
2-5 inches in the 5-7,000 ft band. For the valleys, still looking at
1-2 tenths of an inch of rain on average.

Then storm number two will impact the area later Tuesday into
Wednesday with three impactful aspects to it. The first impact, the
storm will drop south into the area and looks to produce strong
winds, stronger for a large area than we have seen in quite awhile.
It has a wind field look of a storm that occurred on April 8th, 2013
which had widespread high end advisory winds (30-39 mph sustained
low elevations) with some areas meeting high wind criteria (40 mph
or higher with gusts 58 mph or higher low elevations). 700 mb winds
with this system reach 60 kts and we will be mixed to or nearly to
that level.

At this point, it is looking like advisory level winds developing
central western Pima county late Tuesday morning and spreading
northeastward across the remainder of the area through the afternoon
with the peak winds occurring Tuesday night in advance of the
southward moving trough and associated front. Given the strong winds
aloft and time of day (overnight) of the peak winds the mountains
stand a good chance of reaching warning criteria (45 mph or greater
sustained and greater than 65 mph gusts for the mountains). Two lower
elevation locations also stand a good chance of reaching high wind
and that is the Sierra Vista area downwind of the Huachuca Mountains
and models are highlighting the area around Oracle as well. So at
this time I have issued a high wind watch for the mountains and the
Sierra Vista and Oracle areas. Unfortunately it will highlight large
zones when the concern is for those two locations. As far as Wind
Advisory, it is a bit beyond the timeframe for issuing one but that
will likely happen later today. Plus there is some concern we may
need to add to the high wind area rather than advisory. Another
model run should help with that. Of note, the given blend appears to
be very high with wind speeds, higher than other guidance and seems
overdone with speeds and spreading the wind over too long of a time
period (ie, behind the front/trof). Have adjusted it using MOS and
some deterministic guidance.

Impact two, precipitation. This system will drive colder air
southward with precipitation. However, as is typical the coldest air
is arriving after the bulk of the precip has occurred. Snow levels
start around 6,000 feet Tuesday evening when the precip starts then
crashes to around 2,500 ft as the precip is ending. At any rate, I
issued a snow advisory for the mountains for snowfall amounts similar
to todays storm. For the low elevations still have the potential for
a light coating (around the Tucson area) to near an inch points
further east. This will need to be watched carefully over the next 48
hours due to the fact if the precip lingers just an extra hour or
two longer, we could easily exceed the 1 inch threshold for a
lowland snow advisory in places.

Precip ends Wednesday morning as the storm exits the region. However
the cold air following the storm will be the third impact of very
cold low temperatures Thursday morning. The cold and very dry air
mass combined with light winds and clear skies will bring sub-
freezing temps area wide with hard freeze conditions likely from the
Tucson area south and east. Some locations will get close to record
lows.

Beyond that, dry with a gradual warmup into the first half of the
weekend although it will remain cooler than normal. Then a third
storm system is expected to affect the area late next weekend into
the following week.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 14/12Z.
SCT-BKN clouds 4k-6k ft AGL with ISOLD to SCT -SHRA west of Tucson.
This area of lower clouds and showers will gradually move east
impacting KTUS and KOLS by around 13/15z with contd movement east
thru the end of valid pd. Mtns will be obscd at times during 2nd half
of valid pd. There is up to a 25% chance of thunder aft 13/18z but
will not put into the TAFs at this time.

SLY winds 5-12 kts thru 13/15z then SLY/SWLY winds incrg 15-25 kts
with gusts up to 35 kts during thru end of valid pd. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A couple of weather systems are expected to
impact the area through midweek. The first will move across the
region today with another system late Tuesday into Wednesday. Along
with the cooler temperatures, expect gusty winds today and very
strong winds late Tuesday into Tuesday night. There is a threat of
wetting precipitation with the passage of these systems along with a
few thunderstorms today. The second system will likely have low snow
levels although precipitation is expected to be fairly light in the
valleys. Accumulating snows are expected across elevations above
about 5,500 ft with todays system while the second system may have
some accumulations as low as 2,800 ft. A third storm system is
expected to affect the area late next weekend.

&&

.CLIMATE...Active week ahead with a couple winter storms moving
across the area. A rather cold air mass will accompany the 2nd
system midweek with near record low temperatures Thursday morning
February 16th.

Location         Forecast Low    Record low   Chance of record
Tucson Intl           26         21 in 1910          3%
Willcox               13          9 in 1964         54%
Tombstone             19         18 in 1928         64%
Douglas               15         12 in 1990         44%
Ajo                   31         30 in 1921         28%

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening
for AZZ506.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST this evening for
AZZ510>514.

Winter Weather Advisory from 5 PM Tuesday to 6 AM MST Wednesday
for AZZ510-511-514.

High Wind Watch from Tuesday afternoon through late Tuesday
night for AZZ507-510>514.

Winter Weather Advisory from 11 PM Tuesday to 11 AM MST
Wednesday for AZZ512.

&&

Public...Cerniglia
Aviation...Cerniglia
Fire Weather....Cerniglia

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 13, 3:39 AM MSTHigh Wind WatchTWCCochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz11 hr
Feb 13, 2:34 PM MSTWind AdvisoryTWCCochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz38 hr
Feb 13, 2:37 PM MSTWinter Storm WarningTWCCochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, Pinal43 hr

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in Arizona, 2023Every high wind warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.