Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 299, NWS Tulsa, OK

August 7, 2023Madison County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 7, 2023, 5:52 AM CDT for Madison County, Arkansas. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Aug 7, 2023, 5:52 AM CDT (10:52 UTC)
Expired: Aug 7, 2023, 6:16 AM CDT
In force: 24 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Madison County, AR

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 7, 3:44 AM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 7, 3:44 AM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
344 AM CDT Mon Aug 7 2023

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 344 AM CDT Mon Aug 7 2023

Scattered convection has been developing over the last hour
or so in the vicinity of an elevated frontal boundary. While the
better elevated instability axis remains across SE Ok
and WC AR, ample shear across the area is supportive of strong
to severe storms capable of producing large hail. Axis of
convection will shift E-SE through mid to late morning before
dissipating.  Will leave low PoPs going across the south as isolated
development near a diffuse surface boundary will be possible.

Lower dewpoints working south into the area will help reinforce cooler
temperatures today, making for a nice break from the recent heat.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 344 AM CDT Mon Aug 7 2023

The W-NW flow pattern will continue over the next several
days with additional chances for storms tonight through Wednesday.
Storms developing to the west and northwest later today and evening
will move east into the forecast area late tonight, with most activity
decreasing/dissipating by mid morning Tuesday.

A stronger upper wave moving from the Rockies into the central plains
Tuesday night along with a strengthening low level jet will allow
convection to initiate across KS and develop into an MCS as it
moves southeast through KS and into NE OK and NW AR late Tuesday
night and Wednesday morning. A surface boundary will move through
later in the day Wednesday with additional storms possible
Wednesday afternoon and evening. However, coverage and intensity
will be dependent on the evolution of the late Tuesday
night/Wednesday morning convection. Settled conditions are
expected behind the front for Thursday. Without strong upper
ridging in place towards the weekend, there will at least chances
for diurnal convection with a hot humid airmass in place. Stayed
close to NBM temps throughout the forecast cycle.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Sun Aug 6 2023

Thunderstorms are expected to form within the first few hours of
the valid TAF period in a warm advection zone in the vicinity of
Highway 412 and I-40. Mid cloud development has been noted in this
region in satellite trends. Confidence remains highest in on
station impacts, including periods of IFR conditions, at RVS and
FSM, followed by TUL and FYV on the northern edge with slightly
better conditions. Expect a decrease in cloud cover through the
morning and into the afternoon, with VFR conditions areawide
thereafter.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   87  69  89  75 /  30  40  40  40
FSM   89  71  89  76 /  80  50  60  20
MLC   88  71  91  78 /  40  50  40  20
BVO   86  66  89  71 /  10  30  40  50
FYV   86  66  87  71 /  30  40  50  40
BYV   86  66  87  69 /  10  20  40  40
MKO   86  68  88  73 /  70  50  50  30
MIO   86  67  88  71 /   0  20  30  50
F10   86  68  89  74 /  60  50  50  20
HHW   93  74  92  77 /  20  30  30  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...22

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 7, 5:27 AM CDT, 25 minutes before

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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 7, 4:15 AM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Aug 7, 4:43 AM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Aug 7, 4:58 AM CDT, 54 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Aug 7, 5:11 AM CDT, 41 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Aug 7, 5:43 AM CDT, 9 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Aug 7, 5:46 AM CDT, 6 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 7, 2:38 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	52 min
Aug 7, 2:39 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	51 min
Aug 7, 2:42 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee	48 min
Aug 7, 2:44 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Muskogee, Tulsa, Wagoner	46 min
Aug 7, 2:48 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Tulsa, Wagoner	42 min
Aug 7, 3:06 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee	24 min
Aug 7, 3:15 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	45 min
Aug 7, 3:24 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okmulgee	51 min
Aug 7, 3:26 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Muskogee	49 min
Aug 7, 3:35 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	40 min
Aug 7, 3:50 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	40 min
Aug 7, 3:51 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	39 min
Aug 7, 4:03 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	42 min
Aug 7, 4:10 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Muskogee	50 min
Aug 7, 4:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Sequoyah	48 min
Aug 7, 4:43 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	47 min
Aug 7, 4:58 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	47 min
Aug 7, 5:11 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Muskogee	49 min
Aug 7, 6:12 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	33 min
Aug 7, 6:19 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Muskogee	3 hr
Aug 7, 6:40 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	35 min
Aug 7, 3:41 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Crawford	49 min
Aug 7, 4:15 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Franklin	45 min
Aug 7, 4:23 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Franklin	17 min
Aug 7, 5:43 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Madison	32 min
Aug 7, 5:46 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Crawford	44 min
Aug 7, 7:11 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Franklin	34 min
Aug 7, 7:16 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Franklin	21 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2023 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.