Tornado Warning 91, NWS Tallahassee, FL

998 
WWUS52 KTAE 160622
SVSTAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
222 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

FLC123-160645-
/O.CON.KTAE.TO.W.0091.000000T0000Z-230616T0645Z/
Taylor FL-
222 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 AM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN TAYLOR COUNTY...
        
At 222 AM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located 17 miles west of
Perry, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Econfina.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3003 8391 3007 8395 3022 8379 3007 8365
TIME...MOT...LOC 0622Z 236DEG 18KT 3009 8386 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

01-GONZALEZ

604 
WWUS52 KTAE 160633
SVSTAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
233 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

FLC123-160645-
/O.CON.KTAE.TO.W.0091.000000T0000Z-230616T0645Z/
Taylor FL-
233 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 AM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN TAYLOR COUNTY...
        
At 233 AM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located 13 miles west of
Perry, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Econfina.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3004 8383 3010 8392 3022 8379 3007 8365
TIME...MOT...LOC 0633Z 236DEG 18KT 3012 8380 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

01-GONZALEZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
121 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Friday)
Issued at 329 PM EDT Thu Jun 15 2023

There are 2 separate areas of concern this evening. Over southern
Georgia and the eastern Big Bend, heavy rainfall has caused
widespread flooding, and training cells are expected to continue for
at least the next few hours. Meanwhile, off to our northwest, strong
to severe thunderstorms (and a flash flood threat) will move east-
southeast into the forecast area through the afternoon and evening.
All modes of severe weather remain possible. We should see most
storms taper off after midnight, though some storms will remain
possible generally south of I-10 during the overnight hours. The
severe threat should also decrease overnight, but we couldn't rule
out an isolated strong to severe storm. Lows will be in the 70s.

For Friday, we remain in this active pattern again as another
shortwave dives southwestward toward the forecast area. Timing of
storms is a bit uncertain, but we could have one round move through
during the morning and another later in the afternoon. Yet again,
damaging winds and large hail are possible in the strong to severe
storms. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Heavy
rainfall is also possible, but more discussion on that is in the
Hydrology section below. Highs, should we get enough sunshine, will
be in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday night through Saturday night)
Issued at 329 PM EDT Thu Jun 15 2023

Elevated northwesterly mid-level flow will continue into Saturday,
especially across the western half of the area, with 40-50kt at
500mb. With the quasi-stationary frontal boundary remaining
largely in place as well, a continuation of the current stormy
pattern will remain favored. While the exact timing and evolution
of the convection on any particular day is difficult to pin down,
conditions will once again support the potential for severe storms
and excessive rainfall, with the potential for additional flash
flooding as soils continue to become more saturated.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 329 PM EDT Thu Jun 15 2023

Strong mid-level flow will continue across the area through Sunday
before gradually weakening by early next week. However, the flow
will still remain cyclonic as a trough remains in place across the
eastern CONUS. So, the continuous severe threat should begin to
wane, replace by a more typical wet and active summertime pattern.
However, through Sunday, with that elevated flow, periodic clusters
of severe storms will continue to be a concern, along with areas
of flooding due to the increasingly saturated soils.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 118 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

Convection overnight will remain closer to the coast and will
impact ECP/TLH with VCTS. Further north, some MVFR/IFR flt
conditions will develop through DHN/ABY/VLD overnight and remain
through mid morning. During the day Friday, will be watching a
complex of convection from the west that may impact portions of
the region and bring strong winds and heavy rain. Some uncertainty
exists if it reaches our area or moves into the Gulf waters west
of our area. Will continue to watch trends and amend the TAFs as
necessary.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 329 PM EDT Thu Jun 15 2023

Unsettled conditions will continue over the waters for the next
several days as showers and thunderstorms continue to develop
inland and move offshore. Thunderstorms will be capable of strong
gusty winds, hail, waterspouts and frequent lightning. Otherwise,
generally southwest winds are expected with periods of exercise
caution conditions, especially within the nearshore waters.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 329 PM EDT Thu Jun 15 2023

Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue across the area
for the next few days. Some of the storms may be strong to severe
each day. Fire weather concerns are minimal for the next few days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 329 PM EDT Thu Jun 15 2023

Repeated rounds of thunderstorms have produced significant
rainfall totals across the forecast over the past several days.
Multi-day rainfall totals in parts of Southwest Georgia and
Southeast Alabama are in excess of 5 to 7 inches. Several more
inches of rain are possible over the next few days. As soils are
becoming saturated, flash flooding is becoming more of an issue,
especially across SW Georgia and portions of the Big Bend.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   71  88  71  91 /  60  80  20  60
Panama City   73  87  74  88 /  70  80  30  50
Dothan        69  87  70  88 /  50  50  20  50
Albany        68  88  69  90 /  40  40  20  40
Valdosta      69  88  69  91 /  40  60  20  50
Cross City    70  88  71  90 /  60  80  50  60
Apalachicola  74  85  75  87 /  70  90  40  60

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flood Watch through this evening for FLZ007-009-011-016>019.

     High Rip Current Risk until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning for
     FLZ108-112-114-115.

GA...Flood Watch through this evening for GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161.

AL...Flood Watch through this evening for ALZ065>069.

GM...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...Young
SHORT TERM...Camp
LONG TERM....Camp
AVIATION...Scholl
MARINE...Camp
FIRE WEATHER...Young
HYDROLOGY...Camp

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1035 PM EDT Thu Jun 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1034 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 3 SSW Eastpoint         29.71N 84.89W
06/15/2023  E42 MPH          GMZ755             FL   Mesonet

            Measured 42 mph wind gust at the St. George
            Island Bridge Weather Stem Mesonet.

&&

EB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1101 PM EDT Thu Jun 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1038 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 N Crawfordville       30.20N 84.37W
06/15/2023                   Wakulla            FL   911 Call Center

            A tree was blown down near the intersection
            of Ivan Church Road and Bridle Gate Dr.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1228 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

FLZ115-127-160515-
Coastal Wakulla FL-Coastal Franklin FL-
1228 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Wakulla
and northeastern Franklin Counties through 115 AM EDT...

At 1228 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles northeast of Carrabelle, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Alligator Point, Shell Point, Saint Teresa, Turkey Point, Bald Point,
Panacea-Wakulla Airport, Mcintyre, Liveoak Island, Curtis Mill and
Panacea.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2990 8459 3000 8456 3000 8455 3004 8452
      3013 8408 3010 8407 3011 8405 3010 8404
      3011 8404 3010 8403 3002 8403 3003 8406
      2999 8426 2985 8429
TIME...MOT...LOC 0428Z 269DEG 29KT 2998 8447

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

01-GONZALEZ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1258 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

FLZ018-028-118-127-128-160530-
Inland Taylor FL-Coastal Wakulla FL-Coastal Jefferson FL-
Inland Jefferson FL-Coastal Taylor FL-
1258 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Wakulla, southwestern Jefferson and northwestern Taylor Counties
through 130 AM EDT...

At 1257 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
near St. Marks, moving northeast at 20 mph. At 1245PM EDT, the
Apalachee Bay Panacea Channel L8 weatherflow station measured a wind
gust of 39 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Scanlon, Econfina, Goose Pasture, Hells Half Acre, Plum Orchard and
Port Leon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3011 8423 3019 8409 3019 8408 3020 8407
      3027 8396 3021 8392 3020 8386 3012 8385
      3007 8382 3001 8414
TIME...MOT...LOC 0457Z 242DEG 16KT 3011 8415

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

01-GONZALEZ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
128 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

FLZ018-019-028-118-128-160615-
Inland Taylor FL-Coastal Jefferson FL-Inland Jefferson FL-Madison FL-
Coastal Taylor FL-
128 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Jefferson, northern Taylor and southwestern Madison Counties through
215 AM EDT...

At 128 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 17
miles east of St. Marks, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds around 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Perry, Goose Pasture, Hells Half Acre, Iddo, Moseley Hall, Ebb,
Secotan, Boyd, Eridu, Cabbage Grove, Scanlon, Econfina, Lake Bird,
Sirmans and Shady Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3011 8347 3012 8402 3023 8403 3044 8365
      3037 8347
TIME...MOT...LOC 0528Z 246DEG 32KT 3019 8392

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

01-GONZALEZ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
211 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

FLZ028-128-160645-
Inland Taylor FL-Coastal Taylor FL-
211 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Taylor
County through 245 AM EDT...

At 211 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 18
miles west of Perry, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Perry, Pinland, Scanlon, Econfina, Secotan, Boyd, Foley, Perry-Foley
Airport, Bucell Junction and Hampton Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2993 8381 3009 8398 3009 8400 3010 8401
      3010 8399 3011 8398 3024 8360 3002 8349
TIME...MOT...LOC 0611Z 254DEG 20KT 3008 8388

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

01-GONZALEZ