Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2023

Tornado Watch 69

March 16, 20234 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 16, 2023, 6:17 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 16, 2023, 6:17 PM CDT (23:17 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2023, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 54 counties

Clark County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Pike County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, McCurtain County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Falls County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Houston County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Madison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Milam County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rusk County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 16, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFWDHunt, Kaufman, Rains, Rockwall, Van Zandt53 min
Mar 16, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Henderson, Kaufman, Navarro66 min
Mar 16, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSabine, San Augustine, Shelby49 min
Mar 16, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith, Wood50 min
Mar 16, 7:16 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDHenderson, Kaufman, Navarro29 min
Mar 16, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBell, Falls, Milam54 min
Mar 16, 7:24 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDRains, Van Zandt32 min
Mar 16, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHenderson, Kaufman, Van Zandt52 min
Mar 16, 7:40 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDHenderson50 min
Mar 16, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Henderson, Kaufman, Navarro43 min
Mar 16, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Smith, Upshur, Wood47 min
Mar 16, 8:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDNavarro24 min
Mar 16, 8:22 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDHenderson, Van Zandt38 min
Mar 16, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDAnderson, Freestone, Henderson, Navarro63 min
Mar 16, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Burnet, Travis, Williamson26 min
Mar 16, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMilam, Robertson59 min
Mar 16, 8:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith56 min
Mar 16, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXWilliamson47 min
Mar 16, 8:46 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVSmith29 min
Mar 16, 9:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson24 min
Mar 16, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Gregg, Harrison, Rusk, Smith53 min
Mar 16, 9:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDAnderson65 min
Mar 16, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMilam, Robertson59 min
Mar 16, 9:31 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCherokee, Rusk, Smith29 min
Mar 16, 9:53 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVPanola, Rusk, Shelby37 min
Mar 16, 10:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDAnderson28 min
Mar 16, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo, Webster42 min
Mar 16, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBurleson25 min
Mar 16, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Fayette, Lee40 min
Mar 16, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto46 min
Mar 16, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson31 min
Mar 16, 11:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto, Sabine38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 285 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2023-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2023-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 317 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
525 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
317 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
429 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 16, 5:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Polk and 1 more97 min
Mar 16, 10:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Creek, Grady and 7 more2 hr
Mar 16, 12:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Comanche and 13 more53 min
Mar 16, 1:33 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Cotton and 12 more6 hr
Mar 16, 3:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Garvin, Jefferson and 5 more117 min
Mar 16, 2:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Austin, Brazos, Burleson, Falls, Fayette and 13 more117 min
Mar 16, 3:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallas, Kaufman, Parker, Rockwall, Tarrant92 min
Mar 16, 4:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Bosque, Coryell, Falls, Hamilton, Hill and 3 more65 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2023Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2023Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.