Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2023

Tornado Watch 64

March 3, 202332 counties in Kentucky; 8 counties in Ohio; Buchanan County, Dickenson County, Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 3, 2023, 3:19 PM EST for 32 counties in Kentucky; 8 counties in Ohio; Buchanan County, Dickenson County, Virginia. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 3, 2023, 3:19 PM EST (20:19 UTC)
Expired
Mar 3, 2023, 7:00 PM EST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 42 counties

Boone County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Carter County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Knott County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, Mason County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Pike County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Buchanan County, VA, Dickenson County, VA

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 3, 3:42 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatJKLBath, Fleming, Montgomery33 min
Mar 3, 3:43 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNCarroll, Gallatin, Owen47 min
Mar 3, 3:46 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatJKLBreathitt, Clay, Estill, Jackson, Laurel, Lee and 4 more44 min
Mar 3, 3:48 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatJKLBath, Elliott, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan and 3 more42 min
Mar 3, 4:02 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis43 min
Mar 3, 4:06 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBoone, Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Owen, Pendleton39 min
Mar 3, 4:07 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence38 min
Mar 3, 4:18 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatJKLBreathitt, Elliott, Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan, Rowan and 1 more27 min
Mar 3, 4:22 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBoone, Kenton38 min
Mar 3, 4:35 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatILNBracken, Campbell, Kenton, Pendleton40 min
Mar 3, 4:44 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatILNBoone, Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Pendleton31 min
Mar 3, 4:44 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoyd, Carter, Lawrence31 min
Mar 3, 4:46 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXGallia, Lawrence44 min
Mar 3, 4:57 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXAthens, Gallia, Jackson, Lawrence, Meigs, Vinton33 min
Mar 3, 5:00 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatILNBracken, Campbell, Mason, Pendleton47 min
Mar 3, 5:03 PM ESTTornado WarningILNBrown, Clermont27 min
Mar 3, 5:23 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatILNAdams, Brown, Clinton, Fayette, Highland, Ross47 min
Mar 3, 5:23 PM ESTTornado WarningILNBrown, Clinton, Highland37 min
Mar 3, 5:46 PM ESTTornado WarningILNFayette, Highland, Ross29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-03-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-03-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 256 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1245 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
256 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
259 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 3, 5:01 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian and 22 more2 hr
Mar 3, 7:24 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBreckinridge, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian and 25 more7 hr
Mar 3, 11:15 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge and 55 more3 hr
Mar 3, 12:07 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bell and 62 more4 hr
Mar 3, 12:44 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBreckinridge, Butler, Caldwell, Christian, Crittenden, Daviess and 9 more2 hr
Mar 3, 2:40 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Boone, Bracken, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Campbell and 26 more3 hr
Mar 3, 4:53 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Bracken, Campbell, Carter, Fleming, Greenup and 4 more2 hr
Mar 3, 5:25 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFulton, Lucas, Williams4 hr
Mar 3, 2:41 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCLee, Russell, Scott, Washington, Wise, City of Bristol and 1 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2023Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2023Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.