Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2023
Tornado Watch 57
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 2, 2023, 5:42 PM CST for 32 counties in Arkansas; 13 parishes in Louisiana. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 2, 2023, 5:42 PM CST (23:42 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 3, 2023, 12:00 AM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 45 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Union County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 50%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 5:50 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bossier, Caddo, Webster | 40 min |
| Mar 2, 5:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Lafayette, Miller | 35 min |
| Mar 2, 6:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Polk | 40 min |
| Mar 2, 7:27 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell | 48 min |
| Mar 2, 7:41 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Polk, Scott | 3 hr |
| Mar 2, 8:03 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Logan, Scott | 12 hr |
| Mar 2, 8:39 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Polk, Yell | 11 hr |
| Mar 2, 9:04 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Yell | 11 hr |
| Mar 2, 9:16 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Yell | 10 hr |
| Mar 2, 9:39 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Conway, Pope, Yell | 7 hr |
| Mar 2, 9:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 62 min |
| Mar 2, 9:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Pike, Polk | 53 min |
| Mar 2, 10:03 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 10 hr |
| Mar 2, 10:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Lafayette, Miller | 47 min |
| Mar 2, 10:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caddo | 26 min |
| Mar 2, 10:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caddo | 38 min |
| Mar 2, 10:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada | 62 min |
| Mar 2, 10:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike | 59 min |
| Mar 2, 10:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Sabine | 53 min |
| Mar 2, 11:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Lafayette, Miller | 61 min |
| Mar 2, 11:16 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Pulaski | 8 hr |
| Mar 2, 11:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Garland, Hot Spring | 23 min |
| Mar 2, 11:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bossier, Caddo, De Soto, Red River, Sabine | 64 min |
| Mar 2, 11:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Ouachita and 1 more | 62 min |
| Mar 2, 11:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Lafayette, Nevada | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 12 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -100 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1420 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -71 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 84 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 6:21 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Crittenden and 23 more | 114 min |
| Mar 1, 8:44 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Desha, Lincoln | 61 min |
| Mar 2, 12:53 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Carroll, Fulton, Izard, Marion and 2 more | 67 min |
| Mar 2, 2:38 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Little River, Polk, Sevier | 3 hr |
| Mar 2, 2:58 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Little River, Miller, Sevier | 9 hr |
| Mar 2, 5:10 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 19 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2023Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.