Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2023

Mesoscale Discussion 522

April 15, 2023Clay County, Greene County, Randolph County, Arkansas; 9 counties in Illinois; 39 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 15, 2023, 8:50 AM CDT for Clay County, Greene County, Randolph County, Arkansas; 9 counties in Illinois; 39 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2023, 8:50 AM CDT (13:50 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2023, 10:15 AM CDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
5%
All 51 counties

Clay County, AR, Greene County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Madison County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Union County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Perry County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 256 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2023-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 382 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2023-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 137 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
382 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-170 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1195 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 11:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 25 more3 hr
Apr 15, 12:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford and 20 more6 hr
Apr 15, 1:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 21 more2 hr
Apr 15, 3:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Fulton and 13 more2 hr
Apr 15, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 31 more6 hr
Apr 15, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne and 34 more56 min
Apr 15, 6:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lee, Mississippi and 3 more92 min
Apr 15, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 6 more7 hr
Apr 15, 3:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Greene, Jackson and 10 more114 min
Apr 15, 4:03 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Franklin and 15 more6 hr
Apr 15, 5:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Jersey, Madison, Monroe, Saint Clair83 min
Apr 15, 6:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Effingham, Fayette and 20 more85 min
Apr 14, 9:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison86 min
Apr 14, 11:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Platte117 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2023Every mesoscale discussion in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.