Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2023

Mesoscale Discussion 201

February 27, 202314 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Iowa; 86 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 27, 2023, 1:43 AM CST for 14 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Iowa; 86 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2023, 1:43 AM CST (07:43 UTC)
Expired
Feb 27, 2023, 2:45 AM CST
In force
62 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
20%
All 106 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Davis County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adams County, IL, Alexander County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Scott County, IL, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Benton County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Boone County, MO, Butler County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Carter County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Perry County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Shelby County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2023-02-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 12 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2023-02-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 395 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
12 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-208 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
468 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
395 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
323 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 8:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Ford, Iroquois, Piatt, Vermilion89 min
Feb 27, 9:44 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Douglas, Edgar, Vermilion61 min
Feb 27, 10:06 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCChampaign, Clark, Coles, Cumberland, Douglas, Edgar and 2 more5 hr
Feb 26, 10:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Cass, Cedar and 12 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2023Every mesoscale discussion in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.