Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2023

Mesoscale Discussion 2001

August 15, 202351 counties in North Carolina; Chesterfield County, York County, South Carolina; 8 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 15, 2023, 3:56 PM EDT for 51 counties in North Carolina; Chesterfield County, York County, South Carolina; 8 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 94 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 15, 2023, 3:56 PM EDT (19:56 UTC)
Expired
Aug 15, 2023, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
94 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 649...650
All 61 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Union County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Chesterfield County, SC, York County, SC, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, Greensville County, VA, Southampton County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 12 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 125 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2023-08-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 832 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2023-08-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
832 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-139 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1002 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-9 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 14, 8:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAvery, Buncombe, Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood and 6 more6 hr
Aug 14, 10:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Caswell, Catawba and 15 more3 hr
Aug 14, 10:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Stokes, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes and 1 more5 hr
Aug 15, 12:01 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAvery, Cherokee, Graham, Haywood, Madison, Mitchell and 2 more119 min
Aug 15, 1:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Cabarrus, Caswell, Catawba, Chatham and 31 more3 hr
Aug 15, 1:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell, Catawba and 40 more7 hr
Aug 15, 2:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 3 more6 hr
Aug 15, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Dare and 13 more3 hr
Aug 15, 1:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAbbeville, Aiken, Anderson, Cherokee, Chester, Edgefield and 15 more85 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2023Every mesoscale discussion in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.