Alert archive / Virginia / High Wind Warnings in 2023

High Wind Warning 1, NWS Blacksburg, VA

February 27, 2023Carroll County, Grayson County, City of Galax, Virginia; Alleghany County, Ashe County, Watauga County, North Carolina

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this high wind warning at Feb 27, 2023, 11:06 AM EST for Carroll County, Grayson County, City of Galax, Virginia; Alleghany County, Ashe County, Watauga County, North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 27, 2023, 8:00 PM EST. It was in force for 13 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2023, 11:06 AM EST (16:06 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 27, 2023, 8:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 28, 2023, 9:00 AM EST
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA

Counties Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Carroll County, VA, City of Galax, VA, Grayson County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2023-02-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2023-02-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1523 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
71 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

951 
WWUS71 KRNK 271606
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1106 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

NCZ001-018-VAZ015-280000-
/O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0001.230228T0100Z-230228T1400Z/
/O.EXT.KRNK.WI.Y.0006.230227T2200Z-230228T0100Z/
Ashe-Watauga-Grayson-
Including the cities of West Jefferson, Boone, Independence, 
Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney
1106 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 30 to 40 mph with
  gusts up to 65 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest
  winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Ashe and Watauga Counties. In 
  Virginia, Grayson County.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 8 PM this evening to 9 
  AM EST Tuesday. For the Wind Advisory, from 5 PM this 
  afternoon to 8 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts can blow down trees and power lines
  causing power outages. Travel will be difficult, especially for
  high profile vehicles and particularly on north-south oriented 
  roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 3500 ft will experience
  the highest wind gusts, which are expected to occur in the time
  frame of 8 PM EST this evening to 6 AM EST Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive, especially at the higher elevations.

&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ016-280000-
/O.UPG.KRNK.WI.Y.0006.230228T0300Z-230228T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0001.230228T0100Z-230228T1400Z/
Alleghany NC-Carroll-
Including the cities of Sparta and Galax
1106 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Alleghany NC County. In Virginia, 
  Carroll County.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts can blow down trees and power lines
  causing power outages Travel will be difficult, especially for
  high profile vehicles and particularly on north-south oriented
  roadways, such as Interstate 77 between the North Carolina state
  line and Hillsville, VA.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 3500 ft will experience
  the highest wind gusts, which are expected to occur in the time
  frame of 8 PM EST this evening to 6 AM EST Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive, especially at higher elevations.

&&

$$

NCZ003-019-VAZ032-033-280000-
/O.EXB.KRNK.WI.Y.0006.230228T0100Z-230228T1400Z/
Surry-Wilkes-Patrick-Franklin-
Including the cities of Dobson, Wilkesboro, Stuart, 
and Rocky Mount
1106 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Surry and Wilkes Counties. In 
  Virginia, Patrick and Franklin Counties.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and scattered power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 2500 ft will experience 
  the highest wind gusts, which are expected to occur in the time 
  frame of 8 PM EST this evening to 6 AM EST Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

VAZ007-009-280000-
/O.EXT.KRNK.WI.Y.0006.230227T2200Z-230228T1400Z/
Tazewell-Smyth-
Including the cities of Tazewell and Marion
1106 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM
EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...South winds Becoming West 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 
  50 expected.

* WHERE...In Virginia, Tazewell and Smyth counties.

* WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 9 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs and smaller trees could be blown down resulting in 
  a few power outages.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 3500 feet could have gusts
  up to 50 mph Monday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

VAZ010>014-017>020-022>024-034-035-WVZ042>044-507-508-280000-
/O.EXT.KRNK.WI.Y.0006.230228T0100Z-230228T1400Z/
Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-
Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-Mercer-Summers-
Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Bland, Pearisburg, Wytheville, Radford, 
Pulaski, Blacksburg, Floyd, New Castle, Clifton Forge, Covington,
Hot Springs, Roanoke, Salem, Fincastle, Lexington, Buena Vista, 
Bedford, Amherst, Bluefield, Flat Top, Hinton, Hix, Union, 
Lewisburg, White Sulphur Springs, Alderson, Quinwood, Duo, 
and Rainelle
1106 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest North Carolina, central, south 
  central, southwest and west central Virginia and southeast 
  West Virginia.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and scattered power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 2500 ft will experience 
  the highest wind gusts, which are expected to occur in the time 
  frame of 8 PM EST this evening to 6 AM EST Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

RAB
4 follow-up statements
831 
WWUS71 KRNK 272337
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
637 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

NCZ001-018-VAZ015-280900-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.230228T0100Z-230228T1400Z/
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-230228T0100Z/
Ashe-Watauga-Grayson-
Including the cities of West Jefferson, Boone, Independence, 
Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney
637 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 30 to 40 mph with 
  gusts up to 65 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest 
  winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Ashe and Watauga Counties. In 
  Virginia, Grayson County.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 8 PM this evening to 9 
  AM EST Tuesday. For the Wind Advisory, from 5 PM this 
  afternoon to 8 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts can blow down trees and power 
  lines causing power outages. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles and particularly on north-
  south oriented roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 3500 ft will experience 
  the highest wind gusts, which are expected to occur in the 
  time frame of 8 PM EST this evening to 6 AM EST Tuesday 
  morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ016-280900-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.230228T0100Z-230228T1400Z/
Alleghany NC-Carroll-
Including the cities of Sparta and Galax
637 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Alleghany NC County. In Virginia, 
  Carroll County.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts can blow down trees and power 
  lines causing power outages Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles and particularly on north-
  south oriented roadways, such as Interstate 77 between the 
  North Carolina state line and Hillsville, VA.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 3500 ft will experience 
  the highest wind gusts, which are expected to occur in the 
  time frame of 8 PM EST this evening to 6 AM EST Tuesday 
  morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NCZ003-019-VAZ010>014-017>020-022>024-032>035-WVZ042>044-507-508-
280900-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0006.230228T0100Z-230228T1400Z/
Surry-Wilkes-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Floyd-Craig-
Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-
Bedford-Amherst-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Western Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Dobson, Wilkesboro, Bland, Pearisburg, 
Wytheville, Radford, Pulaski, Blacksburg, Floyd, New Castle, 
Clifton Forge, Covington, Hot Springs, Roanoke, Salem, Fincastle,
Lexington, Buena Vista, Stuart, Rocky Mount, Bedford, Amherst, 
Bluefield, Flat Top, Hinton, Hix, Union, Lewisburg, 
White Sulphur Springs, Alderson, Quinwood, Duo, and Rainelle
637 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Surry and Wilkes Counties. In 
  Virginia, Patrick and Franklin Counties.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and scattered power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 2500 ft will experience 
  the highest wind gusts, which are expected to occur in the 
  time frame of 8 PM EST this evening to 6 AM EST Tuesday 
  morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

VAZ007-009-280900-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-230228T1400Z/
Tazewell-Smyth-
Including the cities of Tazewell and Marion
637 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...South winds Becoming West 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 
  50 expected.

* WHERE...In Virginia, Tazewell and Smyth counties.

* WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 9 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs and smaller trees could be blown down resulting in 
  a few power outages.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 3500 feet could have 
  gusts up to 50 mph Monday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
507 
WWUS71 KRNK 280145
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
845 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-016-281000-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230228T1400Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson-Carroll-
Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, 
Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, Volney, and Galax
845 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Ashe and Watauga Counties. In 
  Virginia, Grayson County.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts can blow down trees and power 
  lines causing power outages. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles and particularly on north-
   south oriented roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 3500 ft will experience
  the highest wind gusts, which are expected to occur through 6 
  AM EST Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NCZ003-019-VAZ007-009>014-017>020-022>024-032>035-WVZ042>044-507-
508-281000-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-230228T1400Z/
Surry-Wilkes-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-
Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-
Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-
Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Dobson, Wilkesboro, Tazewell, Marion, 
Bland, Pearisburg, Wytheville, Radford, Pulaski, Blacksburg, 
Floyd, New Castle, Clifton Forge, Covington, Hot Springs, 
Roanoke, Salem, Fincastle, Lexington, Buena Vista, Stuart, 
Rocky Mount, Bedford, Amherst, Bluefield, Flat Top, Hinton, Hix, 
Union, Lewisburg, White Sulphur Springs, Alderson, Quinwood, Duo,
and Rainelle
845 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Surry and Wilkes Counties. In 
  Virginia, Patrick and Franklin Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and scattered power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 2500 ft will experience
  the highest wind gusts, which are expected to occur through 6 
  AM EST Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
574 
WWUS71 KRNK 280857
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
357 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2023

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-016-281400-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230228T1400Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson-Carroll-
Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, 
Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, Volney, and Galax
357 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Ashe and Watauga Counties. In 
  Virginia, Grayson County.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts can blow down trees and power 
  lines causing power outages. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles and particularly on north-
   south oriented roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 3500 ft will experience 
  the highest wind gusts, which are expected to occur through 6 
  AM EST Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NCZ003-019-VAZ007-009>014-017>020-022>024-032>035-WVZ042>044-507-
508-281400-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-230228T1400Z/
Surry-Wilkes-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-
Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-
Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-
Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Dobson, Wilkesboro, Tazewell, Marion, 
Bland, Pearisburg, Wytheville, Radford, Pulaski, Blacksburg, 
Floyd, New Castle, Clifton Forge, Covington, Hot Springs, 
Roanoke, Salem, Fincastle, Lexington, Buena Vista, Stuart, 
Rocky Mount, Bedford, Amherst, Bluefield, Flat Top, Hinton, Hix, 
Union, Lewisburg, White Sulphur Springs, Alderson, Quinwood, Duo,
and Rainelle
357 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Surry and Wilkes Counties. In 
  Virginia, Patrick and Franklin Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and scattered power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevations above 2500 ft will experience 
  the highest wind gusts, which are expected to occur through 6 
  AM EST Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
582 
WWUS71 KRNK 281403
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
903 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2023

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-016-281515-
/O.EXP.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230228T1400Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson-Carroll-
Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, 
Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, Volney, and Galax
903 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

Winds have decreased below warning thresholds. Therefore, the
warning has been allowed to expire. Some isolated gusts of 35 to 
45 mph are still possible through 1100 AM EST.

$$

NCZ003-019-VAZ007-009>014-017>020-022>024-032>035-WVZ042>044-507-
508-281515-
/O.EXP.KRNK.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-230228T1400Z/
Surry-Wilkes-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-
Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-
Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-
Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Dobson, Wilkesboro, Tazewell, Marion, 
Bland, Pearisburg, Wytheville, Radford, Pulaski, Blacksburg, 
Floyd, New Castle, Clifton Forge, Covington, Hot Springs, 
Roanoke, Salem, Fincastle, Lexington, Buena Vista, Stuart, 
Rocky Mount, Bedford, Amherst, Bluefield, Flat Top, Hinton, Hix, 
Union, Lewisburg, White Sulphur Springs, Alderson, Quinwood, Duo,
and Rainelle
903 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2023

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds have decreased below advisory levels. Therefore, the
advisory has been allowed to expire. Some isolated gusts of 30 to
40 mph are still possible through 1100 AM EST.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Feb 27, 6:25 AM EST, 4 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 27, 6:25 AM EST, 4 hours 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
625 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front lifts north today. Strong low pressure pushing
into the Great Lakes this afternoon into tonight will sweep a
cold front across our region by this evening. Strong gusty winds
and showers will accompany the front, with wind continuing
into Tuesday morning. Milder temperatures should carry us into
Thursday with the next front bring more showers Wednesday night into
Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 244 AM EST Monday...

     Showers This Afternoon/Evening With Strong Post-Frontal Winds...

Warm front expected to gradually lift north today with a little bit
of rain along/ahead of it, but as we head into the afternoon cold
front approaches with showers. Mainly will be stable with the lack
of any CAPE, but some low topped storms could bring strong gusty
winds to the WV mountains this evening.

The big concern will be the wind, especially as the front moves
across, as models all showing 50-65kt jet at 8h and forecast
soundings have potential mixing up to this layer behind the front,
though we are lacking in cold advection and pressure rises. With
such a dynamic system and with showers potentially surging the winds
as well, will have a wind advisory for along/west of the Blue Ridge
this evening into overnight. Strongest surge looks to be in the
midnight to dawn Tuesday time frame. Some potential for gusts over
60 mph in the highest elevations above 4000 ft in the Grayson
Highlands and NC mtns but may be too short lived and isolated for a
high wind warning at this time.

Highs today will be cooler in the north where clouds linger longer
ahead of the warm front, with upper 40s to mid 50s from the
Greenbrier Valley/Alleghanys to Lynchburg. Further south looking at
mid 50s to lower 60s.

Showers should exit from southwest to northeast starting this
evening in southwest VA/northwest NC, exiting the piedmont by around
or shortly after midnight. Some lingering upslope showers into
the overnight across the WV mtns before drying out before dawn
Tuesday.

With the winds and lack of strong cold advection, lows tonight will
be in the 40s for most areas, maybe even some lower 50s across the
NC piedmont.

Forecast confidence is high on winds and temperatures, and average
on sky cover and pops.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 305 AM EST Monday...

 Dry and quiet into Wednesday, then rain Wednesday night into
Thursday...

The 500mb pattern stays mostly zonal over the eastern US
through this forecast period, while an upper level trough
deepens over the western half of the US and moves into the
southern Plains by the end of the week. At the surface, high
pressure will become situated over the northeast, and spread
southward into the Mid Atlantic. This will lead to a couple days
of dry weather through later Wednesday. Winds will start to
lighten as the pressure gradient and cold air advection behind
the front decrease.

A surface front looks to cross the central Appalachians by later
Wednesday, which will bring the next round of precipitation to the
area for Wednesday night. Another cold front approaches the area by
Thursday, and rain chances will continue along and ahead of this
front. Although shear is fairly high, instability looks more over
the southeastern US. Therefore, at this time, not expecting much
chance for thunder, although that may change depending on the
movement of the front. So while this forecast period began dry, it
will end rainy, as March comes in like a lion.

High temperatures will be in the low to mid 60s for areas west of
the Blue Ridge, and upper 60s to possibly low 70s for areas in the
Piedmont, given the zonal flow aloft and surface high pressure.

Forecast confidence is average to high.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 320 AM EST Monday...

   Rain to end the week, dry for the weekend...

An upper level trough is progged to move northeastward from the
southern Plains into the Great Lakes region through the end of the
week. The surface low pressure and frontal system will also move
northeastward, tracking from the lower Midwest into the northeast US
by the weekend. The associated warm front first will lift northward
across the area through Friday, which will bring more rain to the
area late Thursday and through Friday. The cold front looks to move
across the central Appalachians by the end of the week, and will
bring some colder air to the region. If the cold air can reach the
area quick enough to catch the precipitation, some upslope snow
showers are possible for the western slopes of the mountains. The
precipitation looks to end by midday Saturday, as surface high
pressure builds back into the area, bringing the return of dry
weather for the weekend.

Winds will increase again through Friday ahead of the front as a
strong mid level jet approaches the area, and could approach
advisory criteria. similar to the front discussed in the short term
forecast period, wind shear will be high, but CAPE, and therefore
instability, looks to be further south of the area, so not expecting
much severe potential at this time. However, that could change
depending on the movement and position of the front.

With the brief cooldown courtesy of the colder air behind the
frontal passage, highs for Saturday and Sunday will be in the low to
mid 40s west of the Blue Ridge, and low to mid 50s east.

Forecast confidence is average.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 613 AM EST Monday...

Should start to see ceilings lower this morning, but BLF. Expect
the rest of the terminals to lower through the late morning to
MVFR BCB/LWB/ROA by 16z, with low end VFR east. Cannot rule out
a passing shower from BCB/ROA to LWB. As warm front lifts north
this afternoon, followed quickly by a cold front, anticipate
fluctuations in ceilings and visibilities. South winds to turn
to the southwest and gust to 20-30kts along/ahead of the front.
Looking at best shower chances this afternoon/evening northwest
of a line from UKF-LYH. Showers could sink vsbys to high end
IFR.

Models are hitting winds hard tonight after frontal passage
with a 50-65kt low level jet. West winds could gust up to 35 to
45kts along/west of the Blue Ridge, but not as much in LYH/DAN.

Still expect poor flying conditions for most of this taf period
due to lower ceilings and showers early to choppy gusty winds
after 22z. All terminals will go VFR tonight, earliest from ROA
to BCB, then LYH/DAN/LWB and BLF.

Average confidence in ceilings and vsbys, and higher confidence
on winds.

Extended Aviation Outlook...

Strong gusty west to northwest winds will continue into Tuesday
morning. VFR for Tuesday through Wednesday.

Another low pressure system will track across the Mississippi
Valley Wednesday and Thursday. This will bring a chance of
precipitation and MVFR or lower conditions late Wednesday and
Thursday ahead of the cold front. MVFR/IFR showers are likely on
Friday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Wind Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Tuesday for
     VAZ007-009-015.
     Wind Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday for
     VAZ010>014-016>020-022>024-034-035.
NC...Wind Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Tuesday for
     NCZ001-018.
     Wind Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday for
     NCZ002.
WV...Wind Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday for
     WVZ042>044-507-508.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM/WP
NEAR TERM...WP
SHORT TERM...AS
LONG TERM...AS
AVIATION...KK/PM/WP
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 27, 3:28 AM EST, 7 hours 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
328 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032-033-043>047-058-059-280830-
Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Patrick-Franklin-Henry-
Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
328 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ002-VAZ010>014-016>020-022>024-034-035-WVZ042>044-507-508-280830-
Alleghany NC-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Carroll-Floyd-
Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-
Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
328 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina,
central Virginia, south central Virginia, southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any wind damage. Reports should be
submitted by phone by calling 1-866-215-4324, social media, by email
at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or online at www.weather.gov/rnk.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-280830-
Ashe-Watauga-Tazewell-Smyth-Grayson-
328 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report wind damage by calling
1-866-215-4324, social media, email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or online
at www.weather.gov/rnk.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 3:09 AM ESTWind AdvisoryRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Bath, Bedford, Bland, Botetourt and 21 more30 hr
Feb 27, 5:04 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBland, Giles, Tazewell41 min
Feb 27, 5:41 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKCarroll, Grayson, Wythe, City of Galax34 min

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in Virginia, 2023High Wind Warnings in North Carolina, 2023Every high wind warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.