Severe Thunderstorm Warning 539, NWS Pueblo, CO

289 
WWUS55 KPUB 052348
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
548 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

COC089-052357-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0539.000000T0000Z-230806T0030Z/
Otero CO-
548 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL OTERO COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

LAT...LON 3787 10337 3815 10336 3812 10291 3774 10302
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 288DEG 38KT 3800 10321 

$$

COC011-060030-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0539.000000T0000Z-230806T0030Z/
Bent CO-
548 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM MDT
FOR CENTRAL BENT COUNTY...

At 547 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Las Animas, or
17 miles east of North La Junta, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  John Martin Reservoir around 555 PM MDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3787 10337 3815 10336 3812 10291 3774 10302
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 288DEG 38KT 3800 10321 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Hodanish

737 
WWUS55 KPUB 052356
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
556 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

COC011-060006-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0539.000000T0000Z-230806T0030Z/
Bent CO-
556 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN BENT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds are
still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

LAT...LON 3787 10337 3815 10336 3812 10291 3774 10302
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 288DEG 38KT 3797 10309 

$$

Hodanish

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
230 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 204 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

Key Messages:

1) Severe storms will continue this afternoon into the evening.

2) Dryer and cooler tomorrow, with storms mainly relegated to the
mtns/plains interface.

3) Fire weather concerns for the San Luis Valley (SLV).

Currently...severe storms ongoing across N el paso county. Storms
have been tornadic

Rest of this afternoon into tonight...

Severe storms will continue to move southeast across plains during
the remainder of the afternoon and evening hours. Multiple rounds
are possible. As boundary pushes south, hodographs become quite
favorable for low level rotation per fcst soundings.

Tomorrow...

Main concern tomorrow will be continuation of Red Flag conditions
for the San Luis valley as winds will gusts to 30 to 35 mph from the
southwest and humidity values will be in the single digits during
the afternoon time period.

As for precip, best chance of storms during the day will be along
the mtns/plains interface. The interior will likely be too dry for
any storms and farther east may be to stable as cooler air will be
moving into the plains. Depending on how much moisture pushes into
the mtns/plains interface will be the deciding factor on how strong
the storms will be. For now SPC does not have this area outlooked,
but I would not be too surprised to see a strong storm or two over
this region during the afternoon time period.

temps tomorrow will be noticeably cooler over the plains, as max
temps will only be in the 70s to mid 80s. The SLV will see the
warmest conditions with highs in the 85-90F range.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 204 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

Going to be a quick long term discussion this afternoon due to the
active weather. Overall, models in good agreement through much of
the extended period, with broad westerly flow giving way to upper
ridging for mid to late week.

Sunday night through Tuesday...broad westerly flow will continue
across the region with embedded energy working its way across
northern Colorado. This will likely lead to periods of showers and
thunderstorms the area. A boundary will have moist southeasterly
low level flow banked along the Eastern Mountains Sunday evening,
with ongoing showers and thunderstorms. This activity will spread
east across the Plains Sunday night, clearing the area by Monday
morning. Given the instability and shear, a few storms may become
strong to severe with large hail and damaging winds possible. By
Monday and Tuesday, the main energy feed across Colorado will be
north. That will likely limit shower and thunderstorm activity.
Areas from the Palmer Divide, southeast across the Plains for
areas north of Highway 50 will see continued thunderstorm chances.
South of Highway 50, coverage will be minimal, with possible
isolated activity moving off the southern Sangre de Cristo Range
into the Raton Mesa region. Any storms that do move over these
areas may produce hail and gusty winds.

For areas west of I-25, elevated fire weather conditions are
expected. Low humidity values and gusty winds will spread across
the San Juan Range, down across the San Luis Valley and into the
Eastern Mountains. By Tuesday, these conditions will likely spread
into the southern I-25 corridor.

Wednesday through Saturday...upper high pressure will rebuild
across Colorado for late in the week. Monsoonal moisture will
slowly work back northward with increased chances for showers and
thunderstorms by Saturday. Before Saturday, more isolated activity
over the Mountains is forecast. Temperatures will also be on the
rise with mid to upper 90s across the Plains.  Mozley

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 204 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

Strong to severe storms will be possible at KCOS and KPUB through
early to mid evening. There will be the potential for low cigs in
the mvfr range later tonight, depending on how much moisture pushes
back on towards the mtns. Tomorrow should be VFR

For KALS, VFR next 24 hours.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ224.

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Sunday for COZ224.

&&

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...HODANISH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1101 AM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

COZ058>089-093>099-061715-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1101 AM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Severe Thunderstorms are near certain this afternoon and evening
across a good part of the region. The greatest threat area will be
east of a line from Lake George, to Rye, to Trinidad, and then
east to the Kansas border. DESTRUCTIVE hail, damaging winds and
isolated tornadoes are expected.

A couple of rounds of severe storms are expected to occur over the
region. The first round is expected to develop over the Pikes
Peak region during the 1 pm to 3 pm time period, and move
generally east. Later this afternoon, scattered to numerous
severe storms will develop over all of the plains, and then move
southeast. Very destructive hail, with hailstones 2 to 3 inches in
diameter, will be possible. Damaging winds greater than 75 mph
will be possible. Isolated tornadoes will be a threat. The severe
storms may last well into the evening hours across the far
southeast plains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across the higher terrain
and eastern plains both Sunday and Monday afternoon and evening.
The main threats are expected to be hail up to one half inch in
diameter, wind gusts to 50 mph and lightning.

Critical fire weather conditions will persist across the higher
terrain through Monday, with the greatest areas of concern being
the San Luis Valley and the Sangre de Cristo Mountains. As the
drying trend persists and pushes east, fire weather highlights may
need to be expanded east into the I25 Corridor starting Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be IMMINENT this afternoon and this evening.

Hodanish

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
445 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

COZ089-093-095-052330-
Crowley County CO-Western Kiowa County CO-
La Junta Vicinity/Otero County CO-
445 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Otero,
southwestern Kiowa and northeastern Crowley Counties through 530 PM
MDT...

At 444 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southwest of Wild Horse Point, or 37 miles north of La Junta,
moving southeast at 30 mph. This storm is in a favorable environment
to become severe.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Arlington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3838 10325 3819 10350 3852 10377 3852 10351
      3853 10350 3852 10345
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 316DEG 26KT 3851 10365

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Hodanish

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
446 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 PM     Hail             13 NNE Pinon            38.59N 104.48W
08/05/2023  M3.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

            Measured 3.3 inch hail with picture on
            social media.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
449 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     Hail             5 SW Black Forest       38.96N 104.75W
08/05/2023  M1.75 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Pictures relayed via broadcast media.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
454 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     Hail             5 N Peyton              39.10N 104.47W
08/05/2023  M1.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

0140 PM     Tornado          4 NNE Black Forest      39.07N 104.67W
08/05/2023                   El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

            Spotter can visually see tornado on the
            ground about 3 to 4 miles north of their
            location.

0203 PM     Funnel Cloud     4 NNE Black Forest      39.07N 104.67W
08/05/2023                   El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

            Corrects previous tornado report from 4 NNE
            Black Forest. Spotter can visually see a
            funnel cloud to the west beginning to
            appear, just north of Monument.

0210 PM     Funnel Cloud     5 SSE Air Force Academy 38.93N 104.85W
08/05/2023                   El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

            Corrects previous tornado report from 5 SSE
            Air Force Academy. Spotter can visually see
            a funnel cloud to the northeast of location,
            just east of Monument, near Black Forest.

0213 PM     Hail             2 NW Air Force Academy  39.02N 104.89W
08/05/2023  E1.25 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Half Dollar (1.25 in.).

0215 PM     Hail             2 SSE Air Force Academy 38.98N 104.85W
08/05/2023  M1.00 inch       El Paso            CO   NWS Employee

0220 PM     Hail             2 SE Air Force Academy  38.98N 104.84W
08/05/2023  M1.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

            Located on I-25, just north of Air Force
            Academy.

0222 PM     Hail             1 NNW Air Force Academy 39.02N 104.88W
08/05/2023  E1.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.).

0222 PM     Hail             3 ESE Air Force Academy 38.99N 104.81W
08/05/2023  M1.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

0227 PM     Hail             5 ESE Air Force Academy 38.97N 104.78W
08/05/2023  E1.25 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Half Dollar (1.25 in.).

0230 PM     Funnel Cloud     6 NNE Falcon            39.01N 104.58W
08/05/2023                   El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

            Spotter can visually see an active wall
            cloud with a brief funnel cloud sited within
            past 5 minutes.

0235 PM     Hail             5 SW Black Forest       38.96N 104.75W
08/05/2023  M1.75 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Pictures relayed via broadcast media.

0238 PM     Hail             3 E Air Force Academy   39.01N 104.81W
08/05/2023  M1.25 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

0240 PM     Hail             5 SSW Black Forest      38.94N 104.72W
08/05/2023  M1.75 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

0245 PM     Hail             3 W Falcon              38.93N 104.68W
08/05/2023  M1.50 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

            Numerous reports of hail 1.00 to 1.5 inches
            in this immediate region.

0246 PM     Hail             1 E Peterson AFB        38.83N 104.68W
08/05/2023  E1.75 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Golf Ball (1.75 in.).

0246 PM     Hail             2 SSW Falcon            38.90N 104.64W
08/05/2023  M1.50 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

0249 PM     Hail             4 WSW Falcon            38.90N 104.68W
08/05/2023  E1.75 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

0253 PM     Hail             3 NE Peterson AFB       38.87N 104.66W
08/05/2023  M2.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

            Numerous reports of ping pong to golf ball
            size hail.

0256 PM     Hail             4 NE Peterson AFB       38.87N 104.66W
08/05/2023  E1.50 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Ping Pong Ball (1.50
            in.).

0257 PM     Hail             3 NE Peterson AFB       38.87N 104.66W
08/05/2023  M2.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

0257 PM     Hail             4 NE Peterson AFB       38.87N 104.66W
08/05/2023  M2.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

0259 PM     Hail             5 N Peterson AFB        38.90N 104.72W
08/05/2023  E1.75 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Golf Ball (1.75 in.).

0300 PM     Hail             4 NNW Peterson AFB      38.88N 104.72W
08/05/2023  E1.50 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Ping Pong Ball (1.50
            in.).

0300 PM     Hail             2 W Schriever AFB       38.80N 104.55W
08/05/2023  E1.50 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Ping Pong Ball (1.50
            in.).

0300 PM     Hail             3 N Peterson AFB        38.88N 104.70W
08/05/2023  M1.75 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

0308 PM     Hail             2 SW Schriever AFB      38.78N 104.55W
08/05/2023  E2.50 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Tennis Ball (2.50 in.).

0314 PM     Hail             4 SSW Schriever AFB     38.75N 104.54W
08/05/2023  E2.75 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Baseball (2.75 in.).

0323 PM     Hail             5 E Security            38.74N 104.65W
08/05/2023  E1.25 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Half Dollar (1.25 in.).

0323 PM     Hail             2 ESE Security          38.74N 104.70W
08/05/2023  M1.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

0326 PM     Hail             7 SSE Schriever AFB     38.71N 104.46W
08/05/2023  E2.50 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Tennis Ball (2.50 in.).

0331 PM     Hail             4 E Security            38.74N 104.66W
08/05/2023  M1.25 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

0335 PM     Hail             1 NNE Security          38.76N 104.73W
08/05/2023  M1.25 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

            relayed via social media.

0343 PM     Hail             11 SSE Schriever AFB    38.65N 104.46W
08/05/2023  E1.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.).

0345 PM     Hail             13 SSE Schriever AFB    38.61N 104.46W
08/05/2023  M4.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

            Hail between 3 and 4 inches.

0346 PM     Hail             13 NNE Pinon            38.59N 104.48W
08/05/2023  M3.00 inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

            Measured 3.3 inch hail with picture on
            social media.

0347 PM     Hail             13 SSE Schriever AFB    38.62N 104.46W
08/05/2023  E2.25 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Hen Egg+ (2.25 in.).

0348 PM     Hail             11 NNE Pinon            38.58N 104.52W
08/05/2023  E3.25 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Baseball+ (3.25 in.).

0349 PM     Hail             11 SW Truckton          38.59N 104.30W
08/05/2023  E2.50 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Tennis Ball (2.50 in.).

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
459 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

COZ094-097-052345-
Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County CO-Eastern Las Animas County CO-
459 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Las
Animas and southwestern Bent Counties through 545 PM MDT...

At 459 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 19
miles south of Higbee, or 33 miles south of North La Junta, moving
northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Las
Animas and southwestern Bent Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3736 10360 3755 10366 3762 10350 3769 10319
      3742 10309
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 240DEG 25KT 3749 10353

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

kam

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
500 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0459 PM     Hail             Fowler                  38.13N 104.02W
08/05/2023  M1.75 inch       Otero              CO   Trained Spotter

&&