Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
624 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
A deep closed upper low over south-central Canada will slowly
build to the south and east through the weekend before departing
early in the new week. An upper trough will then set up over
the Northeast. Several disturbances will spin off this low and
will pass through the region during this time.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Showers and thunderstorms were occurring in our region early
this evening, ahead of a mid level short wave trough approaching
from the west. The activity was confined mainly to the Poconos,
the Lehigh Valley and northern New Jersey around 6:00 PM.
However, there were additional scattered shower and
thunderstorms from the lower Susquehanna River Valley southward
into central Maryland. Some of that convection may drift
eastward into our region this evening, with some additional
development possible in advance of its arrival. A few of the
thunderstorms were capable of producing damaging wind gusts
along with heavy downpours and frequent lightning.

Most of the showers and thunderstorms are expected to weaken
and dissipate by midnight as conditions become less unstable.
The precipitation may very well not reach much of the coastal
plain.

It should be a relatively quiet overnight period. Some patchy
fog and low stratus should develop after midnight. Dewpoints
will be very close to temperatures at that point, both in the
upper 60s and low to mid 70s. It will feel quite muggy.

For Saturday, it does look pretty quiet for the most part. A
closed upper level low will begin to push southeast through
south central Canada, with a weak shortwave lifting through the
region. Convective initiation will be focused along the sea-
breeze, but any showers/thunderstorms will be on the more
scattered to isolated side. Precipitation chances are relatively
low compared to today and Sunday, around 15-30%. Temperatures
will get into the upper 80s with some spots getting into the low
90s. With dewpoints getting into the low to mid 70s, it will
feel tropical and heat indices will be getting close to triple
digits.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Upper trough with strong shortwave energy digs through the
Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Saturday night. Surface low pressure
develops over the Ohio Valley Saturday night and tracks into
western Pennsylvania and western and central New York during the
day Sunday before departing. Meanwhile, a secondary low looks
to form southwest of the Delmarva Peninsula on Sunday, and that
low tracks to the north and east across New Jersey before
departing Sunday night.

Deep south to southwest flow ahead of this system will usher a
warm and humid airmass into the region. Surface dew points will
rise well into the low to mid 70s across much of the region, and
in the upper 70s in southern Delmarva, Saturday night through
Sunday evening.

Showers will become likely with a chance for thunderstorms
Saturday night as the first low passes north of the area.
Although it will be night, there should be 500 to 1000 J/kg of
surface-based CAPE, but there will also be 35 to 45 kt of 0-6 km
Bulk Shear. A few stronger thunderstorms are possible, but the
main threat will be heavy rain as PWATs will be over 2.25
inches. With winds from 1000 to 500 mb averaging 25 to 30 kt,
storms should be moving fairly quickly, so any flooding should
be localized unless there is training of storms. Areas of fog
will develop as well.

Going into Sunday, as the secondary low passes over the area,
showers and thunderstorms will spread over the area. PWATs will
be in excess of 2.25 inches, and may approach 2.5 inches. Highs
on Sunday will top off in the mid and upper 80s, and this should
yield surface-based CAPE values as high as 1500 to 2000 J/kg
along with 25 to 30 kt of 0-6 km Bulk Shear. Stronger to severe
thunderstorms will be possible with potentially damaging winds,
but once again, the main threat will be heavy rain. Given a
swath of heavy rain Saturday night, any additional heavy
rainfall will result in flooding and flash flooding. The Weather
Prediction Center keeps most of the area in a Marginal Risk for
Excessive Rainfall, but there is a part of far northern New
Jersey that is in a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall on
Sunday.

Low pressure departs Sunday night and a cold front passes
through the region late. Showers and thunderstorms will taper
off from west to east. It will take some time for drier air to
filter into the region, and given abundant low level and surface
moisture from the rainfall, patchy fog will develop Sunday
night.

A ridge of weak high pressure noses in from the southwest on
Monday. Conditions should be dry, mostly sunny, and dew points
will be a bit lower, generally in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
will top off in the upper 80s to low 90s. There should even be
some mixing in the afternoon that would lower dew points during
the peak heating of the day and may result in winds gusting 20
to 25 mph.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Closed upper low will be over the southern portion of Hudson
Bay, Canada Monday evening and will lift north into the northern
Province of Quebec. An upper trough will extend down from this
low and will lie over the eastern Great Lakes and Northeast
Tuesday through Wednesday. Zonal flow sets up Thursday before
another mid-level trough approaches on Friday. Although the
weather will still be unsettled, especially on Tuesday,
conditions overall and throughout next week may not be quite as
active as they were this week.

Some weak shortwave energy passes through Monday evening, and
there will be some isolated showers and thunderstorms. Most of
the night should be quiet.

The base of the upper trough passes north of New York state,
and low pressure will develop west of the region and will pass
through the region on Tuesday. Deep south to southwest flow
ahead of this system will usher a hot and humid airmass into the
Northeast and Mid- Atlantic with highs in the upper 80s to low
90s and surface dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s. There is
a good chance for convection on Tuesday, especially in the
northern zones, as low pressure and a cold front work their way
through the region.

Showers and thunderstorms taper off Tuesday night, and then it
will be quiet into Wednesday. Some weak shortwave energy may
touch off isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Cooler
and less humid on Wednesday with highs in the mid and upper 80s
and surface dew points in the low to mid 60s.

As another upper trough digs down into the Great Lakes, more
shortwaves will rotate around the base of the trough and will
pass through the region for the end of the week. These will once
again bring chances for showers and thunderstorms Thursday and
Friday. Highs will generally be in the upper 80s with dew points
in the upper 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

This evening...Mainly VFR. However, scattered showers and
thunderstorms may bring brief MVFR/IFR conditions, mainly around
KRDG, KABE and KTTN. Heavy rainfall and locally strong wind
gusts are possible. Southerly wind 5 to 10 knots. Medium
confidence.

Overnight...Initially VFR, with areas of MVFR/IFR ceiling and
visibility restrictions developing after 06Z. Variable wind 5
knots or less. Medium confidence.

Saturday...Some lingering MVFR/IFR ceiling and visibility
restrictions through about 14Z, then mainly VFR. A slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Variable wind 5
knots or less, becoming southerly near 10 knots. Medium
confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday night...Sub-VFR conditions in SHRA/TSRA and fog. S
winds 5 to 10 kt. Moderate confidence.

Sunday through Sunday night...Sub-VFR conditions in
SHRA/TSRA/fog. Rain may be heavy at times. SHRA/TSRA taper off
Sunday night, but restrictions may continue in fog. S winds 10
to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming LGT/VRB at night.
Moderate confidence.

Monday through Monday night...VFR. Isolated SHRA/TSRA possible
at night. W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S at night. Moderate
confidence.

Tuesday through Tuesday night...Primarily VFR. Afternoon SHRA
and TSRA will result in sub-VFR conditions and gusty winds.
Conditions improve Tuesday night. SW winds 10 to 15 kt with
gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W to NW 5 to 10 kt at night.
Moderate confidence.

Wednesday...VFR. W winds 5 to 10 kt. Moderate confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
No marine headlines anticipated through Saturday. Southerly
winds around 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 feet.

Outlook...

Saturday night...Sub-SCA conditions. S winds 10 to 15 kt with
gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. VSBY restrictions in showers
and thunderstorms with heavy rain.

Sunday through Sunday night...Marginal SCA conditions. S winds
15 to 20 kt with occasional gusts to 25 kt, becoming W to NW 5
to 10 kt Sunday night. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Showers and thunderstorms
with heavy rain and gusty winds. Showers and thunderstorms
taper off Sunday night, then VSBY restrictions in fog Sunday
night.

Monday through Monday night...Sub-SCA conditions. S winds 10 to
15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

Tuesday through Tuesday night...Sub-SCA conditions. S winds 10
to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt at
night. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

Wednesday...Sub-SCA conditions. S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to
4 ft.

Rip Currents...

For this evening, 10 to 15 kt southerly flow shall be
accompanied by breaking wave heights of 2 to 3 ft for all
locations except Delaware beaches which will see breaking wave
heights closer to 1 to 2 ft. Given these conditions along with a
medium SSE/S period swell, there is a MODERATE risk for the
development of dangerous rip currents for the New Jersey and
Delaware beaches.

For Saturday, near 10 kt southerly flow shall be accompanied by
breaking wave heights of 2 to 3 ft for all locations except
Delaware beaches which will see breaking wave heights closer to
1 to 2 ft. Given these conditions along with a continued medium
SSE/S period swell, there is a MODERATE risk for the development
of dangerous rip currents for the New Jersey and Delaware
beaches.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Will continue to have to keep an eye on some localized coastal
flooding tonight with the next high tide, mainly limited to
localized areas around Barnegat Bay once again. Those areas saw
some minor flooding in spots last night, so with little change
in conditions tonight, the potential remains, though with
astronomical tides slightly lowering, the risk of flooding
should lower slightly.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MPS
NEAR TERM...Hoeflich
SHORT TERM...MPS
LONG TERM...MPS
AVIATION...Iovino/MPS
MARINE...Hoeflich/MPS
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Staff

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

DEZ001-152038-
New Castle-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-152038-
Kent-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-152038-
Inland Sussex-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-152038-
Delaware Beaches-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-152038-
Carbon-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Saturday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-152038-
Monroe-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Saturday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-152038-
Berks-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-152038-
Lehigh-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-152038-
Northampton-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-152038-
Delaware-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-152038-
Philadelphia-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-152038-
Western Chester-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-152038-
Eastern Chester-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-152038-
Western Montgomery-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-152038-
Eastern Montgomery-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-152038-
Upper Bucks-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-152038-
Lower Bucks-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-152038-
Sussex-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-152038-
Warren-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-152038-
Morris-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-152038-
Hunterdon-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-152038-
Somerset-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-152038-
Middlesex-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-152038-
Western Monmouth-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-152038-
Eastern Monmouth-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-152038-
Mercer-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-152038-
Salem-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-152038-
Gloucester-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-152038-
Camden-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-152038-
Northwestern Burlington-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-152038-
Ocean-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-152038-
Cumberland-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-152038-
Atlantic-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-152038-
Cape May-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-152038-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-152038-
Coastal Atlantic-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-152038-
Coastal Ocean-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-152038-
Southeastern Burlington-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-152038-
Kent MD-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-152038-
Queen Annes-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-152038-
Talbot-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-152038-
Caroline-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-152038-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-152038-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-152038-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-152038-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-152038-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-152038-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-152038-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-152038-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
658 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     East Stroudsburg        40.99N 75.18W
07/14/2023                   Monroe             PA   911 Call Center

            Trees down in East Stroudsburg. Times
            estimated from radar.

&&

Staarmann

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