Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1258 AM EDT Mon Jul 3 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front approaches Monday and looks to pass through the
region Monday night into Tuesday. Thereafter, the front stalls
and dissipates into the middle of the week. Another cold front
will approach the area on Friday and into the weekend, bringing
increased chances for showers and storms again.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
There were lingering showers and thunderstorms from around
Philadelphia eastward to the Pine Barrens of southern New Jersey
around 12:45 AM. The mid level short wave that helped to
trigger much of the convection in our region will continue to
move away to our northeast and east overnight. As a result, the
shower and thunderstorm activity will decrease and dissipate
overnight. A light southwest wind is anticipated with lows
mainly in the upper 60s and lower 70s. Patchy fog is possible,
especially in those areas that received rain.

As we go through Monday, a very warm to hot day is expected
with highs in the mid 80s to low 90s. Dew points are expected to
be mainly in the low 70s, and this will result in heat indices
peaking in the mid to upper 90s for especially the Interstate 95
corridor southward (even some low 100s across parts of
Delmarva. These values are currently forecast to be below Heat
Advisory criteria.

A mostly positive-tilt upper-level trough is forecast to arrive
later Monday afternoon. This will be accompanied by a belt of
stronger mid level flow and forcing. Sufficient instability and
some stronger shear will result in some additional showers and
thunderstorms especially in the afternoon and evening.
Development may occur primarily along a lee side trough near the
Blue Ridge mountains then propagate eastward. The forecast
environment will support some strong to severe thunderstorms by
late afternoon. Given stronger flow aloft combined with steep
low-level lapse rates, stronger convection will have the
potential to produce locally strong to damaging winds and hail
(and downpours). The area with the higher severe thunderstorm
risk looks to be across mostly the coastal plain into far
southeastern Pennsylvania, given better convective development
across western Maryland which then heads eastward. The
convection will wane in both coverage and intensity into the
overnight hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The short term period will look to begin Tuesday with a cold
front stalling over the region as a mid level trough above it
continues to weaken and press to the east a bit. With time, the
cold front will continue to stall and should begin to dissipate
or become ill- defined, as will the aloft trough. Very weak high
pressure then moves closer to the region and looks to be
centered just to our west for the Wednesday time frame.
Unfortunately, with this pattern and evolution described, the
short term will still look to remain unsettled.

For Tuesday, guidance indicates the dissipating and ill-
defined aloft trough will still be able to support some
propagating shortwave energy. This combined with daytime surface
heating and instability should lead to the chance of some
showers/thunderstorms initiating. SPC currently has a marginal
risk for severe weather for Southern NJ and much of Delmarva.
The environment is certainly forecast to be favorable for
thunderstorms as indicated by model soundings today. Model
soundings of CAMS and global deterministic guidance mainly
indicate decent CAPE profiles with only marginally favorable
shear. Severe wise, some hail and wind being possible for
Tuesday is the current thinking. WPC does not have any excessive
rainfall outlooked for the area but am still noting PW values
between 1.5-2.0 inches with tall CAPE profiles...some localized
heavy downpours cannot be ruled out at this time. High
temperatures of the upper 80s and low 90s can be expected across
Delmarva while we see the upper 80s southeast of and along the
I-95 corridor and mid 80s to the northwest of it. The forecast
will carry PoPs increasing temporally towards Tuesday afternoon
and evening.

For Tuesday night, mainly no chance of PoPs are included in the
forecast today, though a shower persisting from the evening is
not out of the question. Overnight lows will look to range from
the mid 60s to low 70s with dew points just a little lower
towards the later half of the period.

For Wednesday, surface high pressure will be centered just west
of the region though will remain very weak. This weak surface
high may keep the area dry in the morning but will most likely
not be strong enough to stop the combination of daytime heating
and instability from developing for the afternoon into evening
time frame. As a result, a slight chance of
showers/thunderstorms to initiate cannot be ruled out. Will
carry slight chance PoPs for most of the area for the afternoon
to evening timeframe. High temperatures look to be a bit warmer
for Wednesday than the day previous; mainly the upper 80s to low
90s can be expected across the region.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Very weak high pressure may linger around to start the period
Wednesday night into Thursday but will continue to erode and
fleet away with time. A cold front will begin to approach the
region Friday and may be on our doorstep by the Friday night to
Saturday time frame. The cold front may finish crossing our
region Saturday, but confidence in the timing of the frontal
movement remains rather low at this time.

With high pressure being very weak, we may again see daytime
heating and instability (i.e., thermal pressure creation) lead
to the chance of some shower/thunderstorm initiating Thursday
afternoon and evening. With the cold front approaching Friday,
the forecast will look to be rather stormy for the Friday
afternoon to weekend time frame; mainly will carry chance PoPs
for now. Will continue to monitor the forecast evolution and
this cold front; as it is now July, this cold front could bring
some severe weather potential with it especially if it impacts
the region with a favorable daytime heating time frame in mind.
Temperatures will look to be above average during the duration
of the long term.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Overnight...Lingering showers and thunderstorms will weaken and
dissipate. Generally VFR ceilings are expected. However, some
patchy mist or light fog may form in some spots with VSBY
reductions resulting. Medium confidence.

Monday...Would not rule out some MVFR ceilings from TTN to RDG
northward in the morning, along with some patchy MVFR BR or
light fog until 13Z or so. Some models are suggesting that a few
showers or even a stray thunderstorm could pass by early in the
morning. Otherwise VFR condition should prevail much of the
day. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible once
again in the afternoon, especially near and south of PHL, with
periodic VSBY/CIG restrictions in/near any storms. SW to WSW
winds 5-10 kt. Medium confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday...Mainly VFR. Some sites may see periods of sub-VFR in
the afternoon/evening due to SHRA/VCTS. Winds W/WNW at 5 to 10
kts. Moderate confidence.

Tuesday Night...Mainly VFR. NW/NNW winds near 5 kts. Moderate
confidence.

Wednesday...Mainly VFR. Slight chance of VCTS/SHRA in the
afternoon. Variable winds 5 to 10 kts. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday Night...VFR. S winds near 5 kts. Moderate confidence.

Thursday...Mainly VFR. Slight chance of VCTS/SHRA in the
afternoon. S winds 5 to 10 kts. Moderate confidence.

Thursday Night...VFR. S/SE winds near 5 kts. Moderate
confidence.

Friday...Mainly VFR. Some sites may see periods of sub-VFR in
the afternoon/evening due to SHRA/VCTS. S/SE winds 5 to 10 kts.
Moderate confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
The conditions through Monday night are anticipated to remain
below Small Craft Advisory criteria. Southerly winds will
increase for a time, however gusts are expected to be 20 knots
or less and seas should be 4 feet or less. However, a few
thunderstorms late this evening, and again later Monday
afternoon could produce locally strong winds, hail, and/or
waterspouts.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Friday...No headlines expected.

Rip currents...

Conditions should be similar to Sunday along the coasts of
Delaware and New Jersey for Monday and Tuesday (Independence
Day). We are forecasting a southerly wind around 10 to 20 MPH.
Breaking waves should be 2 to 4 feet with a medium period
southeast to south swell. There is a MODERATE risk for the
development of dangerous rip currents both days for New Jersey.
There is a MODERATE risk of rip currents for Delaware on Monday,
but a more southwest wind on Tuesday should result in a LOW
risk for rip currents. Overall, both day should be good beach
days, but there will be a chance for thunderstorms during the
afternoon and evening hours.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Spotty minor coastal flooding occurred with the Sunday evening
high tide cycle.

The evening astronomical high tides along our coast will be
particularly high over the coming few days due to the full moon.
Fortunately, the wind flow along the coasts of Delaware and New
Jersey is forecast to remain from a southerly direction. Ekman
transport will likely prevent any additional water from building
along our shoreline. That said, tidal anomolies have still been
running around 0.5 to 0.8 ft above the astronomical tides, so
spotty minor flooding will still be likely with this evening's
high tide, especially along the New Jersey shore and along the
Delaware river. Would not rule out a spot or two just touching
minor flood criteria, so we will continue to monitor tide
levels, but at this point conditions look too marginal/localized
to prompt a Coastal Flood Advisory.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Staarmann
NEAR TERM...Dodd/Fitzsimmons/Gorse/Staarmann
SHORT TERM...Wunderlin
LONG TERM...Wunderlin
AVIATION...Dodd/Staarmann/Wunderlin
MARINE...Gorse/Staarmann/Wunderlin
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Staff

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

DEZ001-040335-
New Castle-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-040335-
Kent-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-040335-
Inland Sussex-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-040335-
Delaware Beaches-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-040335-
Carbon-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-040335-
Monroe-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-040335-
Berks-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-040335-
Lehigh-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-040335-
Northampton-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-040335-
Delaware-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-040335-
Philadelphia-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-040335-
Western Chester-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-040335-
Eastern Chester-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-040335-
Western Montgomery-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-040335-
Eastern Montgomery-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-040335-
Upper Bucks-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-040335-
Lower Bucks-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-040335-
Sussex-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-040335-
Warren-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-040335-
Morris-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-040335-
Hunterdon-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-040335-
Somerset-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-040335-
Middlesex-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-040335-
Western Monmouth-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-040335-
Eastern Monmouth-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-040335-
Mercer-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-040335-
Salem-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-040335-
Gloucester-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-040335-
Camden-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-040335-
Northwestern Burlington-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-040335-
Ocean-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-040335-
Cumberland-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-040335-
Atlantic-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-040335-
Cape May-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-040335-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-040335-
Coastal Atlantic-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-040335-
Coastal Ocean-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-040335-
Southeastern Burlington-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-040335-
Kent MD-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-040335-
Queen Annes-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-040335-
Talbot-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-040335-
Caroline-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-040335-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-040335-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-040335-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-040335-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-040335-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-040335-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-040335-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-040335-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1135 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1109 PM EDT Sun Jul 2 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 WSW East Rockhill Twp 40.39N 75.29W
07/02/2023  M40 MPH          Bucks              PA   AWOS

&&

Staarmann

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1134 PM EDT Sun Jul 2 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1027 PM     Rain             Macungie                40.52N 75.55W
07/02/2023  M1.00 inch       Lehigh             PA   Trained Spotter

            1 inch of rain fell in 22 minutes.

&&

Staarmann

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1232 AM EDT Mon Jul 3 2023

NJZ018-022-027-030500-
Camden NJ-Atlantic NJ-Southeastern Burlington NJ-
1232 AM EDT Mon Jul 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Atlantic,
east central Camden and southeastern Burlington Counties through 100
AM EDT...

At 1232 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Atsion, or 23 miles southeast of Gloucester City, moving east at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Hammonton, Shamong, Atsion, Chatsworth and Wharton State Forest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3967 7480 3981 7481 3982 7480 3988 7449
      3962 7448
TIME...MOT...LOC 0432Z 271DEG 21KT 3974 7473

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Staarmann

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
212 AM EDT Mon Jul 3 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0154 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 E Barnegat Light      39.76N 74.09W
07/03/2023  M49 MPH          ANZ451             NJ   Mesonet

            WxFlow station measured gust near Barnegat
            Light. 2 other WxFlow stations measured
            similar gusts around the same time.

&&

Staarmann

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
213 AM EDT Mon Jul 3 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Spring Twp              40.32N 76.00W
07/02/2023                   Berks              PA   Emergency Mngr

            Report of 1 tree down in Spring Twp near Rte
            222. Time estimated via radar.

0618 PM     Funnel Cloud     2 W Lenhartsville       40.57N 75.92W
07/02/2023                   Berks              PA   Trained Spotter

            Live Video was received of a funnel cloud at
            this location looking east.

0645 PM     Funnel Cloud     2 SW Lorane             40.27N 75.88W
07/02/2023                   Berks              PA   Public

            Video was received from this location of a
            funnel cloud south of Reading and west of
            Birdsboro.

0729 PM     Funnel Cloud     1 NNE Lincoln Universit 39.82N 75.92W
07/02/2023                   Chester            PA   Trained Spotter

            Spotter reports rotating wall cloud with
            funnel cloud at this location.

0801 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Landenberg              39.78N 75.77W
07/02/2023                   Chester            PA   Trained Spotter

            Report of small funnels around Landenberg
            with tree limbs down, but no major tree
            damage.

0811 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NW Centreville        39.05N 76.07W
07/02/2023                   Queen Annes       MD   Emergency Mngr

            Report of 1 tree down on Hammond Street in
            Centreville. Time estimated via radar.

0835 PM     Coastal Flood    Keyport                 40.44N 74.20W
07/02/2023                   Monmouth           NJ   Trained Spotter

            Minor coastal flooding is occurring at the
            waterfront park along American Legion Drive
            in Keyport. Water is up to 6 inches deep.

0954 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 ENE Lewes             38.78N 75.12W
07/02/2023  M41 MPH          ANZ431             DE   Other Federal

            NOS gauge at Lewes.

0954 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 ENE Lewes             38.78N 75.12W
07/02/2023  M41 MPH          Sussex             DE   Other Federal

            NOS gauge at Lewes.

1006 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 SSW North Cape May    38.97N 74.96W
07/02/2023  M41 MPH          Cape May           NJ   Mesonet

            WxFlow gauge at Cape May.

1006 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 SW North Cape May     38.97N 74.97W
07/02/2023  M41 MPH          ANZ431             NJ   Mesonet

            WxFlow gauge at Cape May.

1027 PM     Rain             Macungie                40.52N 75.55W
07/02/2023  M1.00 inch       Lehigh             PA   Trained Spotter

            1 inch of rain fell in 22 minutes.

1039 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Dover Air Force Base    39.13N 75.47W
07/02/2023  M42 MPH          Kent               DE   AWOS

1055 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 WSW East Rockhill Twp 40.39N 75.29W
07/02/2023  M40 MPH          Bucks              PA   AWOS

0154 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 E Barnegat Light      39.76N 74.09W
07/03/2023  M49 MPH          ANZ451             NJ   Mesonet

            WxFlow station measured gust near Barnegat
            Light. 2 other WxFlow stations measured
            similar gusts around the same time.

&&

Staarmann

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
215 AM EDT Mon Jul 3 2023

NJZ014-020-026-030630-
Eastern Monmouth NJ-Coastal Ocean NJ-Ocean NJ-
215 AM EDT Mon Jul 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Ocean
County through 230 AM EDT...

At 215 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Leisure Village East, or near Toms River, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Toms River, Lakewood, Manasquan, Point Pleasant Beach, Mantoloking,
Leisure Village, Brick Township, Dover Beaches North, Pleasant
Plains, Leisure Village East, Dover Beaches South, Ramtown, Leisure
Village West-Pine Lake Park, Point Pleasant, Brielle, Sea Girt and
Bay Head.

This includes Garden State Parkway between mile markers 84 and 93.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3995 7404 3998 7424 4008 7426 4013 7401
TIME...MOT...LOC 0615Z 258DEG 31KT 4003 7413

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Staarmann