Special Marine Warning 65, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
757 PM EDT Sun Jul 2 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Showers and storms are forecast for this evening and into tonight. A
cold front approaches Monday and looks to pass through the region
Monday night into Tuesday. Thereafter, the front stalls and
dissipates into the middle of the week. Another cold front will
approach the area on Friday and into the weekend, bringing increased
chances for showers and storms again.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
The water vapor imagery this afternoon shows an upper-level
trough from near Hudson Bay Canada southwestward across the
Great Lakes and into the Tennessee Valley. A pronounced mid
level low is centered over central Illinois toward central
Indiana. Our area resides south of a warm front with south to
southwest flow maintaining plenty of moisture, with surface dew
points into the lower 70s for much of the region. The very warm
boundary layer combined with humid conditions is resulting in
ample instability.

Heading into this evening, an uptick in convection a bit earlier
than expected prompted the issuance of a Severe Thunderstorm
Watch for all of our area (except Sussex County NJ) that is in
effect until 11 PM. Some discrete scattered storms over
southeastern NJ near the sea breeze boundary prompted some
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings, but thus far have not received
significant reports from those.

Meanwhile, another area of deeper convection has been focusing
across east-central PA and tracking east-southeastward. Those
storms have taken advantage of stronger low-level shear and
greater forcing to the northwest, as well as just enough
instability to become quite strong. Storm-scale rotation on
radar has been quite impressive, prompting several tornado
warnings, and funnel clouds have been observed with at least a
couple of the more persistent cells. While the low-level
helicity is not particularly strong and may be precluding
tornado touchdowns, these storms need to be taken seriously and
considered capable of producing tornadoes as warned nonetheless.
Fortunately they may be weakening while approaching the I-95
corridor due in part to the loss of daytime heating and perhaps
outrunning better forcing northwest, but will still need to be
watched closely. Once they pass eastward, we are not expecting
additional activity behind this later this evening.

Meanwhile, another area to watch will be southward particularly
across the northern Delmarva Peninsula toward Cape May around
the 8-11 PM timeframe, as another area of storms moves east
from Maryland this evening.

Given the ample instability in place combined with increased DCAPE,
the more robust convective cores will be capable of producing
locally damaging winds especially with water-loaded downdrafts and
associated outflow. In addition, any stronger more discrete
cells could produce some hail. Given high precipitable water
values (around 2 inches) in place along with high freezing
levels, convection will be very efficient rainfall producers.
Storm motions should limit the training of convection and
therefore the flash flood threat looks limited, but will need to
be watched between I-78 and I-80 where flash flood guidance is
particularly low due to recent rains.

Convection may decrease fairly quickly after 10 PM to midnight,
although given some additional shortwaves within the flow along
with lingering instability, cannot rule out a few showers or a
stray weaker thunderstorm lingering into the overnight hours.
After convection fades and cloud breaks occur, patchy fog will
be possible. It will be warm and muggy tonight with temperatures
falling back to the upper 60s to low 70s.

As we go through Monday, a very warm to hot day is expected with
highs in the mid 80s to low 90s. Dew points are expected to be
mainly in the low 70s, and this will result in heat indices peaking
in the mid to upper 90s for especially the Interstate 95 corridor
southward (even some low 100s across parts of Delmarva. These values
are currently forecast to be below Heat Advisory criteria.

A mostly positive-tilt upper-level trough is forecast to arrive
later Monday afternoon. This will be accompanied by a belt of
stronger mid level flow and forcing. Sufficient instability and some
stronger shear will result in some additional showers and
thunderstorms especially in the afternoon and evening. Development
may occur primarily along a lee side trough near the Blue Ridge
mountains then propagate eastward. The forecast environment will
support some strong to severe thunderstorms by late afternoon. Given
stronger flow aloft combined with steep low-level lapse rates,
stronger convection will have the potential to produce locally
strong to damaging winds and hail (and downpours). The area with the
higher severe thunderstorm risk looks to be across mostly the
coastal plain into far southeastern Pennsylvania, given better
convective development across western Maryland which then heads
eastward. The convection will wane in both coverage and intensity
into the overnight hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The short term period will look to begin Tuesday with a cold front
stalling over the region as a mid level trough above it continues to
weaken and press to the east a bit. With time, the cold front will
continue to stall and should begin to dissipate or become ill-
defined, as will the aloft trough. Very weak high pressure then
moves closer to the region and looks to be centered just to our west
for the Wednesday time frame. Unfortunately, with this pattern and
evolution described, the short term will still look to remain
unsettled.

For Tuesday, guidance indicates the dissipating and ill-defined
aloft trough will still be able to support some propagating
shortwave energy. This combined with daytime surface heating and
instability should lead to the chance of some
showers/thunderstorms initiating. SPC currently has a marginal
risk for severe weather for Southern NJ and much of Delmarva.
The environment is certainly forecast to be favorable for
thunderstorms as indicated by model soundings today. Model
soundings of CAMS and global deterministic guidance mainly
indicate decent CAPE profiles with only marginally favorable
shear. Severe wise, some hail and wind being possible for
Tuesday is the current thinking. WPC does not have any excessive
rainfall outlooked for the area but am still noting PW values
between 1.5-2.0 inches with tall CAPE profiles...some localized
heavy downpours cannot be ruled out at this time. High
temperatures of the upper 80s and low 90s can be expected across
Delmarva while we see the upper 80s southeast of and along the
I-95 corridor and mid 80s to the northwest of it. The forecast
will carry PoPs increasing temporally towards Tuesday afternoon
and evening.

For Tuesday night, mainly no chance of PoPs are included in the
forecast today, though a shower persisting from the evening is
not out of the question. Overnight lows will look to range from
the mid 60s to low 70s with dew points just a little lower
towards the later half of the period.

For Wednesday, surface high pressure will be centered just west of
the region though will remain very weak. This weak surface high may
keep the area dry in the morning but will most likely not be strong
enough to stop the combination of daytime heating and instability
from developing for the afternoon into evening time frame. As a
result, a slight chance of showers/thunderstorms to initiate cannot
be ruled out. Will carry slight chance PoPs for most of the area for
the afternoon to evening timeframe. High temperatures look to be a
bit warmer for Wednesday than the day previous; mainly the upper 80s
to low 90s can be expected across the region.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Very weak high pressure may linger around to start the period
Wednesday night into Thursday but will continue to erode and fleet
away with time. A cold front will begin to approach the region
Friday and may be on our doorstep by the Friday night to Saturday
time frame. The cold front may finish crossing our region Saturday,
but confidence in the timing of the frontal movement remains rather
low at this time.

With high pressure being very weak, we may again see daytime heating
and instability (i.e., thermal pressure creation) lead to the chance
of some shower/thunderstorm initiating Thursday afternoon and
evening. With the cold front approaching Friday, the forecast will
look to be rather stormy for the Friday afternoon to weekend time
frame; mainly will carry chance PoPs for now. Will continue to
monitor the forecast evolution and this cold front; as it is now
July, this cold front could bring some severe weather potential with
it especially if it impacts the region with a favorable daytime
heating time frame in mind. Temperatures will look to be above
average during the duration of the long term.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

This Evening through 03Z...While activity begins to wane toward
ABE and RDG, scattered thunderstorms push through the I-95
corridor the next few hours through 02-03Z. Winds with any of
these storms may be strong, generally out of the west but may be
erratic in/near TSRA. Brief IFR or even LIFR VSBY reductions
are possible with heavy downpours. Conditions are just VFR
outside of thunderstorms, with SW winds 4-8 kt.

Later Tonight after 03Z...After SHRA/TSRA shifts quickly east
offshore and weakens, some local MVFR conditions may be possible
mainly TTN northward, but otherwise generally VFR ceilings are
expected the rest of the night. However, some patchy mist or
light fog may form overnight in some spots with VSBY reductions
resulting.

Monday...Would not rule out some MVFR ceilings from TTN to RDG
northward in the morning, along with some patchy MVFR BR or
light fog until 13Z or so. Some models are suggesting that a few
showers or even a stray thunderstorm could pass by early in the
morning. Otherwise VFR condition should prevail much of the day.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible once again
in the afternoon, especially near and south of PHL, with
periodic VSBY/CIG restrictions in/near any storms. SW to WSW
winds 5-10 kt. Moderated confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday...Mainly VFR. Some sites may see periods of sub-VFR in the
afternoon/evening due to SHRA/VCTS. Winds W/WNW at 5 to 10 kts.
Moderate confidence.

Tuesday Night...Mainly VFR. NW/NNW winds near 5 kts. Moderate
confidence.

Wednesday...Mainly VFR. Slight chance of VCTS/SHRA in the afternoon.
Variable winds 5 to 10 kts. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday Night...VFR. S winds near 5 kts. Moderate confidence.

Thursday...Mainly VFR. Slight chance of VCTS/SHRA in the afternoon.
S winds 5 to 10 kts. Moderate confidence.

Thursday Night...VFR. S/SE winds near 5 kts. Moderate confidence.

Friday...Mainly VFR. Some sites may see periods of sub-VFR in the
afternoon/evening due to SHRA/VCTS. S/SE winds 5 to 10 kts. Moderate
confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
The conditions through Monday night are anticipated to remain
below Small Craft Advisory criteria. Southerly winds will
increase for a time, however gusts are expected to be 20 knots
or less and seas should be 4 feet or less. However, a few
thunderstorms late this afternoon and this evening, and again
later Monday afternoon could produce locally strong winds.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Friday...No headlines expected.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
The evening astronomical high tides along our coast will be
particularly high over the coming few days due to the full moon.
Fortunately, the wind flow along the coasts of Delaware and New
Jersey is forecast to remain from a southerly direction. Ekman
transport will likely prevent any additional water from building
along our shoreline. That said, tidal anomolies have still been
running around 0.5 to 0.8 ft above the astronomical tides, so spotty
minor flooding will still be likely with this evening's high tide,
especially along the New Jersey shore and along the Delaware river.
Would not rule out a spot or two just touching minor flood criteria,
so we will continue to monitor tide levels, but at this point
conditions look too marginal/localized to prompt a Coastal Flood
Advisory.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Staarmann
NEAR TERM...Dodd/Fitzsimmons/Gorse
SHORT TERM...Wunderlin
LONG TERM...Wunderlin
AVIATION...Dodd/Wunderlin
MARINE...Gorse/Wunderlin
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

DEZ001-032017-
New Castle-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-032017-
Kent-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-032017-
Inland Sussex-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-032017-
Delaware Beaches-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-032017-
Carbon-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-032017-
Monroe-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-032017-
Berks-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-032017-
Lehigh-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-032017-
Northampton-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-032017-
Delaware-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-032017-
Philadelphia-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-032017-
Western Chester-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-032017-
Eastern Chester-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-032017-
Western Montgomery-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-032017-
Eastern Montgomery-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-032017-
Upper Bucks-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-032017-
Lower Bucks-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-032017-
Sussex-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-032017-
Warren-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-032017-
Morris-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-032017-
Hunterdon-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-032017-
Somerset-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-032017-
Middlesex-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-032017-
Western Monmouth-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-032017-
Eastern Monmouth-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-032017-
Mercer-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-032017-
Salem-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-032017-
Gloucester-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-032017-
Camden-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-032017-
Northwestern Burlington-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-032017-
Ocean-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-032017-
Cumberland-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-032017-
Atlantic-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-032017-
Cape May-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-032017-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-032017-
Coastal Atlantic-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-032017-
Coastal Ocean-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-032017-
Southeastern Burlington-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-032017-
Kent MD-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-032017-
Queen Annes-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-032017-
Talbot-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-032017-
Caroline-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-032017-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-032017-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-032017-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-032017-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-032017-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-032017-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-032017-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-032017-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0417 PM EDT Sun Jul 02 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
700 PM EDT Sun Jul 2 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     Funnel Cloud     2 SW Lorane             40.27N 75.88W
07/02/2023                   Berks              PA   Public

            Video was received from this location of a
            funnel cloud south of Reading and west of
            Birdsboro.

&&

DeSilva

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
738 PM EDT Sun Jul 2 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0729 PM     Funnel Cloud     1 NNE Lincoln Universit 39.82N 75.92W
07/02/2023                   Chester            PA   Trained Spotter

            Spotter reports rotating wall cloud with
            funnel cloud at this location.

&&

DeSilva

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
759 PM EDT Sun Jul 2 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0749 PM     Funnel Cloud     New London Twp.         39.79N 75.87W
07/02/2023                   Chester            PA   Public

            Public sent in photo via social media of a
            probable tornado on the ground near New
            London.

&&

DeSilva

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
813 PM EDT Sun Jul 2 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Landenberg              39.78N 75.77W
07/02/2023                   Chester            PA   Trained Spotter

            Report of small funnels around Landenberg
            with tree limbs down, but no major tree
            damage.

&&

DeSilva

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
840 PM EDT Sun Jul 2 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     Coastal Flood    Keyport                 40.44N 74.20W
07/02/2023                   Monmouth           NJ   Trained Spotter

            Minor coastal flooding is occurring at the
            waterfront park along American Legion Drive
            in Keyport. Water is up to 6 inches deep.

&&

Staarmann

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
859 PM EDT Sun Jul 2 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Spring Twp              40.32N 76.00W
07/02/2023                   Berks              PA   Emergency Mngr

            Report of 1 tree down in Spring Twp near Rte
            222. Time estimated via radar.

&&

DeSilva