Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 413, NWS Paducah, KY

July 24, 20235 counties in Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 24, 2023, 2:49 PM CDT for 5 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 24, 2023, 2:49 PM CDT (19:49 UTC)
Expired: Jul 24, 2023, 3:15 PM CDT
In force: 26 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Ballard County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, McCracken County, KY

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 24, 2:25 PM CDT, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 24, 2:25 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
225 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2023

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 146 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2023

Weak upper level shortwave visible in water vapor seems to be
inducing some weak large scale ascent producing convergence from
about Poplar Bluff to Evansville, with a cu field stretching from
current severe storms in SEMO into a pretty obvious low level vort
over west central Indiana. Mid to low 70s dewpoints and 90 degree
surface temps give us about 2500 J/kg of MLCAPE with 1100 DCAPE
and 25 degree theta-e differences. This is allowing for severe
wind gusts, with CGI gusting to 53kts about an hour ago. 0-6km
shear is weak but may just be sufficient to allow for some storm
organization and upscale growth as this complex moves southeast.
Also expecting additional convective initiation up the cu line
into EVV by later this afternoon. Surface moisture/instability is
not quite as strong there so the severe risk may be muted a bit.

Guidance likes the idea of another MCS developing overnight along
the moisture gradient produced by this mornings activity and
raised pops through the overnight and late morning. By mid-
afternoon upper level ridging is progged to have moved more
overhead which will work drier 850-700mb air into the area which
is expected to mix down and cut our available convective
instability, leading to a dry and warm afternoon. Warm and dry
conditions are forecast for Wednesday as ridging becomes more
established overhead.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 146 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2023

For the longer term period tamped winds and max temps down a
little bit. Southwest flow should eventually start to bring in
more low level moisture and added some slight chance pops Saturday
and Sunday when there is some suggestion of a bit of a east to
west boundary setting up over the area. Think based on what I'm
seeing that "more precip" will win out over "higher temperatures"
and kept the heat index values below advisory criteria despite the
500mb temps starting to nose up into range for that.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2023

Convection over SEMO will continue to the south at its current
rate but additional development is possible further east in the
afternoon heat, particularly for CGI/PAH. Smaller risk for
afternoon storms elsewhere but too low for TAF mention. Current
position of pooled moisture makes fog more likely tonight at sites
like MVN/OWB/EVV and vicinity but will need to watch all sites for
potential.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...JGG/JB
LONG TERM...JGG
AVIATION...JGG

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 24, 3:54 AM CDT, 10 hours 55 minutes before

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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 24, 1:56 PM CDT, 53 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 24, 2:00 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
200 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2023

KYZ003-004-MOZ112-241930-
Carlisle KY-Ballard KY-Mississippi MO-
200 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Carlisle, southwestern Ballard and northeastern Mississippi Counties
through 230 PM CDT...

At 200 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Wickliffe, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Wickliffe around 205 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Barlow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 8914 3703 8913 3706 8902 3692 8897
      3691 8913
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 255DEG 12KT 3696 8912

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

ATL

Special weather statement, Jul 24, 2:04 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 24, 2:17 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 24, 2:36 PM CDT, 13 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 24, 2:38 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 24, 2:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Ballard	30 min
Jul 24, 2:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard	23 min
Jul 24, 2:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard	34 min
Jul 24, 2:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard, McCracken	34 min
Jul 24, 2:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle	44 min
Jul 24, 2:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Fulton, Hickman	67 min
Jul 24, 2:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Crittenden, Lyon	46 min
Jul 24, 2:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Livingston, McCracken	47 min
Jul 24, 3:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Livingston, McCracken	27 min
Jul 24, 3:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Calloway, Graves, Hickman	48 min
Jul 24, 3:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Livingston	30 min
Jul 24, 3:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon, Marshall	50 min
Jul 24, 3:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston	34 min
Jul 24, 3:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Lyon, Trigg	42 min
Jul 24, 3:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	PAH	Caldwell, Christian, Hopkins, Trigg	32 min
Jul 24, 3:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg	46 min
Jul 24, 4:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess, Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg	41 min
Jul 24, 4:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	PAH	Christian, Todd, Trigg	35 min
Jul 24, 4:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Christian	29 min
Jul 24, 4:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian, Todd	14 min
Jul 24, 5:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Todd	32 min
Jul 24, 5:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Todd	44 min
Jul 24, 5:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Daviess, Henderson	25 min
Jul 24, 5:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Daviess	29 min
Jul 24, 4:11 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Franklin	34 min
Jul 24, 4:15 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Williamson	30 min
Jul 24, 4:22 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Franklin	38 min
Jul 24, 4:35 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Williamson	40 min
Jul 24, 5:06 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Saline, Williamson	23 min
Jul 24, 6:29 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Johnson	31 min
Jul 24, 1:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Alexander, Pulaski	30 min
Jul 24, 1:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Alexander	51 min
Jul 24, 2:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Pulaski	28 min
Jul 24, 2:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Massac	24 min
Jul 24, 12:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Carter	49 min
Jul 24, 12:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Carter	36 min
Jul 24, 12:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Bollinger	35 min
Jul 24, 1:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Scott	32 min
Jul 24, 1:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Scott	47 min
Jul 24, 1:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Scott	13 min
Jul 24, 1:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Scott	25 min
Jul 24, 1:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Scott	34 min
Jul 24, 2:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Stoddard	41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2023 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.