Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2023
Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 9, 2023, 11:03 PM EDT for Putnam County, Rockland County, Westchester County, New York; Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Connecticut. It was in force for 5 hr. 6 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 9, 2023, 11:03 PM EDT (03:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 10, 2023, 4:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Putnam County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Westchester County, NY
The radar
The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 11:11 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 2 Ne Ossining, NY | DOT reports flooding and road closure on NY 9A southbound at Ryder Road, all lanes blocked. |
| Jul 9, 11:52 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | Yorktown Heights, NY | Yorktown Police reports multiple roads flooded and impassable in Yorktown Heights and Mohegan Lake. |
| Jul 10, 12:32 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 1 W Mahopac, NY | DOT reports flooding on NY 6N both directions at Potter Rd, all lanes blocked. |
| Jul 10, 12:55 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 3 Sw Jefferson Valley, NY | DOT reports flooding on US 202 both directions at Yorktown all lanes blocked and local car dealership parking lot flooded. |
| Jul 10, 1:10 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | Yorktown Heights, NY | Law enforcement reports several vehicles stranded in flood waters. Occupants were able to walk away without the need for water rescues. |
| Jul 10, 2:04 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 1 Nw Jefferson Valley, NY | DOT reports debris and flooding on Taconic State Parkway northbound at Yorktown all lanes blocked. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 6 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 8 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 325 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 589 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 93 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 133 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.8
The text
As transmitted.
175
WGUS51 KOKX 100303
FFWOKX
CTC001-NYC079-087-119-100500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.FF.W.0017.230710T0303Z-230710T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
1103 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Fairfield County in southern Connecticut...
Eastern Putnam County in southeastern New York...
Rockland County in southeastern New York...
Westchester County in southeastern New York...
* Until 100 AM EDT.
* At 1103 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Stamford, Danbury, White Plains, Ossining, Tarrytown, Mount Kisco,
Dobbs Ferry, Mahopac, Lake Carmel, Nyack, Brewster, Greenwich,
Ridgefield, New Fairfield, Carmel, Hawthorne, Orangeburg, Upper
Nyack, Bedford and Yorktown Heights.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
&&
LAT...LON 4150 7376 4142 7341 4127 7351 4126 7352
4098 7379 4104 7396
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
$$
DS5 follow-up statements
329
WGUS71 KOKX 100350
FFSOKX
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
1150 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
CTC001-100400-
/O.CAN.KOKX.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230710T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fairfield CT-
1150 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR CENTRAL FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to
heed remaining road closures.
A Flood Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT Monday for portions
of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.
A Flood Watch remains in effect until 200 PM EDT Monday for a
portion of southern Connecticut.
LAT...LON 4150 7376 4145 7354 4143 7354 4141 7354
4139 7354 4138 7354 4137 7355 4128 7360
4125 7361 4111 7371 4110 7373 4109 7372
4098 7379 4104 7396
$$
NYC079-087-119-100500-
/O.CON.KOKX.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230710T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Putnam NY-Rockland NY-Westchester NY-
1150 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT MONDAY FOR
EASTERN PUTNAM, ROCKLAND AND WESTCHESTER COUNTIES...
At 1150 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1.5 and 2.5 inches of
rain have fallen, especially from near Croton-On-Hudson NNE through
Jefferson Valley. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
drainage and low-lying areas.
Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Ossining, Tarrytown, Mount Kisco, Dobbs Ferry, Mahopac, Lake Carmel,
Nyack, Brewster, Carmel, Hawthorne, Orangeburg, Upper Nyack,
Bedford, Yorktown Heights, Jefferson Valley, Croton-on-Hudson,
Briarcliff Manor, Greenville and Pleasantville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 4150 7376 4145 7354 4143 7354 4141 7354
4139 7354 4138 7354 4137 7355 4128 7360
4125 7361 4111 7371 4110 7373 4109 7372
4098 7379 4104 7396
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
$$
DS980
WGUS71 KOKX 100409
FFSOKX
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
1209 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2023
NYC087-100419-
/O.CAN.KOKX.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230710T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Rockland NY-
1209 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2023
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR ROCKLAND COUNTY...
Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to
heed remaining road closures.
A Flood Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT for portions of
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.
LAT...LON 4150 7376 4145 7354 4138 7358 4116 7372
4103 7382 4104 7389 4108 7389 4114 7389
4116 7391
$$
NYC079-119-100500-
/O.CON.KOKX.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230710T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Putnam NY-Westchester NY-
1209 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2023
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING FOR CENTRAL PUTNAM AND NORTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTIES...
At 1209 AM EDT, Local law enforcement reported multiple road
closures in Yorktown and Yorktown Heights. Showers and thunderstorms
have been producing heavy rain across the warned area with 1.5 and
2.5 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to
2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
drainage and low-lying areas.
Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Ossining, Tarrytown, Mount Kisco, Mahopac, Lake Carmel, Brewster,
Carmel, Hawthorne, Yorktown Heights, Jefferson Valley,
Croton-on-Hudson, Briarcliff Manor, Pleasantville, Irvington,
Elmsford, Thornwood, Brewster Hill and Golden's Bridge.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 4150 7376 4145 7354 4138 7358 4116 7372
4103 7382 4104 7389 4108 7389 4114 7389
4116 7391
FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
$$
DS873
WGUS51 KOKX 100425
FFWOKX
NYC079-119-100600-
/O.EXT.KOKX.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230710T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
1225 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2023
The National Weather Service in Upton has extended the
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Putnam County in southeastern New York...
Northern Westchester County in southeastern New York...
* Until 200 AM EDT.
* At 1225 AM EDT, 911 call center has reported multiple roads closed
from around Croton NNE through Yorktown and Jefferson Valley.
Water rescues are also occurring with motorists trapped in flood
waters. Between 1.5 and 3.5 inches of rain have fallen. Flash
flooding is ongoing.
HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
producing flash flooding.
SOURCE...911 call center reported.
IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Ossining, Mahopac, Lake Carmel, Carmel, Yorktown Heights,
Jefferson Valley, Croton-on-Hudson and Brewster Hill.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 4150 7376 4146 7358 4139 7363 4120 7376
4114 7380 4114 7384 4115 7387 4115 7388
4116 7390 4116 7391
FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
$$
DS580
WGUS51 KOKX 100548
FFWOKX
NYC079-119-100700-
/O.EXT.KOKX.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230710T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
148 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2023
The National Weather Service in Upton has extended the
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Putnam County in southeastern New York...
Northern Westchester County in southeastern New York...
* Until 300 AM EDT.
* At 148 AM EDT, local law enforcement reported multiple road
closures in the warning area. Between 1.5 and 3 inches of rain
have fallen and flash flooding is already occurring.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Ossining, Mahopac, Lake Carmel, Carmel, Yorktown Heights,
Jefferson Valley, Croton-on-Hudson and Brewster Hill.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 4150 7376 4146 7358 4139 7363 4120 7376
4114 7380 4114 7384 4115 7387 4115 7388
4116 7390 4116 7391
FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
$$
DR495
WGUS51 KOKX 100652
FFWOKX
NYC079-119-100800-
/O.EXT.KOKX.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230710T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
252 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2023
The National Weather Service in Upton has extended the
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Putnam County in southeastern New York...
Northern Westchester County in southeastern New York...
* Until 400 AM EDT.
* At 252 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the
warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have fallen. Flash
flooding is ongoing.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Ossining, Mahopac, Lake Carmel, Carmel, Yorktown Heights,
Jefferson Valley, Croton-on-Hudson and Brewster Hill.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
&&
LAT...LON 4150 7376 4146 7358 4139 7363 4120 7376
4114 7380 4114 7384 4115 7387 4115 7388
4116 7390 4116 7391
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
$$
DRWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 9, 9:26 PM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 9, 9:26 PM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service New York NY
926 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
A wave of low pressure slowly moves into the region tonight
into Monday and then will slowly move northeast of the area
going into Monday night. For Monday night, weak high pressure
will gradually build in from the south and west. The center of
high pressure moves across Tuesday night into Wednesday then
offshore for the end of the week. This will give way to the next
frontal system and wave of low pressure.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
The flood watch remains in effect for Northeast NJ, NYC, and
the Lower Hudson Valley until 6AM Monday. The flood watch
remains in effect for Southern CT and Long Island until 2PM
Monday.
So far, the Lower Hudson Valley has received the most rainfall
thus far with between 2 to 6 inches in different locations with
some localized higher amounts. There were many reports of
flooding within this location.
The line of showers and thunderstorms has broken apart with more
stratiform rainfall and this line may very continue to weaken as
it pushes east this evening. However, there remain some
embedded heavier thunderstorms with torrential downpours. Also,
the CAMs convey more convection developing across the area late
this evening into overnight. This will prolong the flood
threat. There is strong convection already approaching from the
south off the coast of NJ and thinking here is that more
convection pops up and develops across different portions of the
region, more of the eastern half this time, late this evening
into the start of the overnight.
Further convective development is expected over parts of the
Lower Hudson Valley, parts of NYC, Southern Connecticut, and
Long Island overnight.
The forcing is positive vorticity advection from two shortwaves,
one moving across this evening and a stronger one approaching
overnight. Models show one area of higher low level Theta-E moving
in this evening and another one approaching Long Island from the
south overnight. Models also are keeping a relatively higher surface
based CAPE of near 1000 to 1500 J/kg along most coastal areas
through tonight helping keep the chance for thunderstorms.
This will be during a time when the precipitable waters across the
region remain near 2 inches. At the surface, there will be an
approaching wave of low pressure. E to SE flow ahead of this low
will have more upslope flow across the relatively higher terrain
across the interior so this will further enhance rainfall. In
addition the environment will remain very humid and containing deep
warm cloud depth, allowing for torrential rainfall to develop
rapidly with any shower or thunderstorm.
The HREF indicated increased probabilities for 3 inches of rain in 3
hours across parts of NYC and Long Island late tonight.
There is a marginal severe threat as bulk shear 0-6 km is near 25 to
30 kt with some wet microbursts possible with strong wind gusts.
Moisture laden boundary layer and light winds along with any lulls
in shower activity will lead to some fog development late tonight
out east initially, and then eventually the entire area. Kept
coverage of fog to patchy.
Forecast lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
Showers and thunderstorms continue but to start will be mainly
east of NYC, Northeast NJ, and Lower Hudson Valley. The CAMs
have the convection pushing east of Long Island and Southern CT
late in the morning. More pop-up shower and thunderstorm
activity remain in the forecast, most likely across eastern sections
for the afternoon with the cold pool aloft and upper level trough
axis moving in for the afternoon. There will be an increase in
forcing along with an unstable environment. However, the CAMs are
depicting coverage to be not as widespread compared to the previous
night with less favorable directional wind shear in the afternoon.
This will limit how organized the thunderstorms can develop.
The maximum precipitable waters shifts east of the area Monday
Monday afternoon into Monday night. The cold pool aloft with the
upper level trough axis will be in the region Monday afternoon
into early Monday night.
Models continue to indicate surface based CAPE of near 1000 to 1500
J/kg across much of the area Monday with a slight increase of bulk
shear 0-6 km, getting closer to 35 kt. Therefore, there remains a
marginal severe thunderstorm threat for strong wind gusts.
Again, though the less favorable directional wind shear with
more low level westerly flow backing to more southerly going
into the mid levels will limit how organized the thunderstorms
will get. Would expect the environment with the more low level
westerly flow to not be as conducive for coalescence and
merging as well as aggregation of thunderstorm cells. So, the
flooding threat will be decreasing as well but still a marginal
risk for flooding Monday afternoon into Monday evening.
Moisture laden boundary layer and light winds along with any lulls
in shower activity will lead to some fog development Monday
morning which may linger more out east. Kept coverage of fog to
patchy.
Forecast highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The upper low and trough move east of the region Monday night.
At the surface, low pressure is slow to move east of the area.
There still remain a bit of uncertainty with just how quickly
conditions clear out. Will maintain at least some chance POPs
early Monday night and they will gradually taper off after
midnight from west to east.
Any leftover showers across the far eastern sections of the CWA
come to an end early Tuesday morning. Then, we should get into
drier period of weather as high pressure builds over the area.
The next wave of low pressure along with a cold front will
approach Thursday and continue into the weekend. Chances for
showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast.
Temperatures will remain at or slightly above through the long
term. The warmest two days in the long term will be Wednesday
and Thursday with forecast highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
Heat index values remain below heat advisory criteria.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A slow-moving frontal system will move across the area tonight
into Monday.
Generally looking at MVFR or IFR cigs through about midday
Monday, then improvement to VFR is expected. Rain with embedded
thunder is expected through about 06-08z, then precipitation
becomes more showery, with the continued threat of thunder
through about daybreak. There is some question about the threat
of thunder after midnight, so this will need to be monitored.
Will cover this threat with a tempo group, but may have to be
removed if the threat looks to diminish. Otherwise, the main
threat of rain exits the NYC terminals after 09-11z (slightly
later further east) with some IFR/MVFR cigs hanging around until
16-18z, then improvement to VFR is expected. There is a chance
of some additional shower activity Monday afternoon, however
confidence of timing and location is too low to include in the
TAF.
Winds will be mainly S-SE near 5-10 kt through tonight. Then
winds become more north/northwesterly behind the cold front.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Amendments likely for changing flight categories. Low
confidence of when any changes occur with storms.
Chance of some wind gusts to near 20kt Monday afternoon.
Low end chance of showers Monday afternoon.
OUTLOOK FOR 00Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
Monday night: Mainly VFR.
Tuesday and Wednesday: Mainly VFR.
Thursday and Friday. MVFR or lower possible with a chance of
showers and thunderstorms, mainly afternoon into night.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
&&
.MARINE...
The short term forecast period through Monday will remain below
SCA thresholds for all forecast waters with a relatively weak
pressure gradient in place.
Much of the long term period will remain below SCA conditions on all
waters. For Thursday late afternoon into early Friday morning, winds
and seas increase with marginal SCA conditions across the ocean.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Already have had 3 to 6 inches of rain with locally higher
amounts in parts of the Lower Hudson Valley.
Total additional rainfall forecast of 1 to 3 inches across
the region tonight through Monday night. There will likely be
localized higher amounts. For the Lower Hudson Valley, NYC, and
Northeast NJ, the bulk of this rain will be through tonight. For
Southern Connecticut and Long Island the bulk of the rain will be
late this evening through Monday morning.
Flood chances are highest through tonight for Lower Hudson
Valley, Northeast NJ, and NYC and flood chances are highest this
evening through Monday morning for Southern Connecticut and Long
Island.
Ramapo River at Mahwah is forecast to go into flood tonight into
Monday. Other rivers and streams may exceed bankfull as well,
especially flashier faster responding ones and may remain
elevated after the rainfall has ended.
WPC has moderate excessive rain across Northeast NJ, Lower
Hudson Valley, parts of Southwest CT, Nassau NY, and extreme
western Suffolk NY and a slight risk for excessive rain for
much of the rest of Southern CT and Long Island tonight through
early Monday morning.
There is a slight risk for much of Southern CT and Twin Forks
for excessive rain on Monday and a marginal risk for excessive
rainfall for much of the rest of the forecast region.
Otherwise, no significant widespread rainfall expected Tuesday
onward into next weekend.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
There is a moderate risk of rip currents for Nassau and Suffolk
county ocean beaches on Monday and a low risk of rip currents
for NYC ocean beaches on Monday. On Tuesday, all ocean beaches
have a moderate risk of rip currents.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Flood Watch through Monday afternoon for CTZ005>012.
NY...Flood Watch through Monday afternoon for NYZ078>081-177-179.
Flood Watch until 6 AM EDT Monday for NYZ067>075-176-178.
NJ...Flood Watch until 6 AM EDT Monday for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...None.
&&
SYNOPSIS...BC/JM
NEAR TERM...JM
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM...BC
AVIATION...BC
MARINE...BC/JM
HYDROLOGY...BC/JM
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...JMHazardous weather outlook, Jul 9, 2:46 PM EDT, 8 hours 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service New York NY 246 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023 NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-176-178-101900- Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange- Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)- Northern Queens-Southern Queens- 246 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time that would meet NWS warning criteria. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will likely be needed. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria. CTZ005>012-NYZ078>081-177-179-101900- Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Northwest Suffolk- Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk- Northern Nassau-Southern Nassau- 246 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut and southeast New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will likely be needed. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria. ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-101900- Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the Mouth of the Connecticut River- Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River- Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY- New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays- South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay- Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm- Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm- Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm- 246 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather that would meet NWS warning criteria is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 9, 8:38 PM EDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service New York NY
838 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1220 PM Flash Flood 2 N Mahopac 41.40N 73.74W
07/09/2023 Putnam NY Public
video of water rushing down Wixon Pond Rd &
E Lake Blvd in Carmel, NY.
1234 PM Flash Flood 2 SE Lake Carmel 41.45N 73.65W
07/09/2023 Putnam NY Law Enforcement
Fair street closed due to high water.
0110 PM Flash Flood 1 SW Viola 41.12N 74.10W
07/09/2023 Rockland NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Corrects previous flash flood report from 1
SW Viola. Water rescue Spook Rock Road & Joy
Road.
0122 PM Flash Flood 2 WSW Maybrook 41.47N 74.24W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
flooded basement.
0159 PM Flash Flood 3 NNE Unionville 41.34N 74.54W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Flooded basement.
0300 PM Flash Flood Maybrook 41.49N 74.22W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Numerous flooded basements and several
closed roads including Broadway in Maybrook.
0300 PM Flash Flood 1 SE Middletown 41.44N 74.42W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Law Enforcement
Several roads closed in Middletown due to
high water including Sterling St, Wilson St,
and Scranton Ave.
0315 PM Flash Flood Fort Montgomery 41.33N 73.99W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Vehicle in flood waters in Fort Montgomery
on Exit 18.
0322 PM Flash Flood 3 S Fort Montgomery 41.30N 73.98W
07/09/2023 Rockland NY Public
Flooding and a debris spill has closed 9W on
Seven Lakes Dr. All lanes blocked.
0335 PM Flash Flood 1 SSW Highland Falls 41.35N 73.97W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
9W is washed out in both directions.
Boulders blocking the roadway. Between Fort
Montgomery and Highland Falls.
0400 PM Flash Flood Highland Falls 41.36N 73.97W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
2 persons trapped in vehicle in flood
waters. Fire department responding.
0410 PM Flash Flood 1 NNW Highland Falls 41.38N 73.97W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Two people trapped in vehicle submerged in
flood waters on Eagle Valley Road. Fire
Department Responding.
0410 PM Flash Flood Cornwall 41.44N 74.04W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Emergency Mngr
Cornwall Emergency Management reporting
numerous flooded roadways, water rescues,
and a few mudslides.
0419 PM Flash Flood 1 ENE Highland Mills 41.36N 74.10W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Basement flooding on Rainbow drive. Fire
department responding.
0423 PM Flash Flood 1 WSW West Point 41.35N 74.05W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Dept of Highways
NY 293 is closed due to flooding in both
directions.
0433 PM Flash Flood 1 SSE Scotchtown 41.47N 74.36W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Fire Department responding to vehicle
trapped in flood waters on Ballard Road.
0440 PM Flash Flood 4 WSW Fort Montgomery 41.31N 74.05W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Trained Spotter
A portion of US 6 has collapsed near the
traffic circle west of the Palisades
Interstate Parkway.
0454 PM Flash Flood 3 SW Fort Montgomery 41.31N 74.03W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Fire department responding to vehicle
trapped in flood waters at the Long Mountain
Parkway Traffic Ciricle.
0457 PM Flash Flood 2 WNW Stony Point 41.24N 74.04W
07/09/2023 Rockland NY Dept of Highways
Flooding has closed Palisades Interstate
Parkway at Gate Hill Road in both
directions. There is also report of debris
in the flooding.
0510 PM Flash Flood 1 NNW Harriman 41.32N 74.15W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Vehicle submerged on Larkin Drive. Fire
Department attempting to rescue.
0520 PM Flash Flood Goshen 41.40N 74.33W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Fire Department reporting multiple homes
with basement flooding in Goshen.
0520 PM Flash Flood 1 NNE West Haverstraw 41.22N 73.98W
07/09/2023 Rockland NY Emergency Mngr
Several roads washed out near Cedar Brook.
0522 PM Flash Flood 1 ENE Fort Montgomery 41.34N 73.98W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Vehicle trapped in flooding with Fire
Department responding on Old State Road near
9W.
0533 PM Flash Flood 1 SSW Central Valley 41.32N 74.13W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Dept of Highways
All lanes blocked due to flooding on US 6 in
both directions near NY 17 and NY 32.
0537 PM Flash Flood 1 SSW Fort Montgomery 41.33N 73.99W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Mutual Aid requested for several people
trapped in flood waters at the Bear Mountain
traffic circle at US 6 and US 202.
0607 PM Flash Flood 2 WNW Peekskill 41.30N 73.95W
07/09/2023 Westchester NY Dept of Highways
Flooding has closed all lanes on US 6/202 in
both directions between NY 9D and Annsville
Circle. There is also rocks/debris in the
roadway.
0640 PM Flash Flood 2 NE Highland Mills 41.37N 74.10W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Vehicle and person trapped in nearby stream.
Swift water rescue team responding.
0650 PM Flash Flood 1 S Fort Montgomery 41.32N 73.99W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Fire Dept/Rescue
Vehicle in Popolopen Creek near where bridge
has been damaged due to flooding. Unknown if
any occupants in the vehicle.
0704 PM Flash Flood 2 NW Monroe 41.35N 74.22W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Dept of Highways
All lanes closed on NY 17M in both
directions due to flooding.
0730 PM Flash Flood 1 NE Montrose 41.25N 73.92W
07/09/2023 Westchester NY Public
Metro North reports service is suspended on
the Hudson Line from Croton to Poughkeepsie
due to flooding on the tracks in Cortlandt.
0745 PM Flash Flood 1 NNE Highland Falls 41.37N 73.96W
07/09/2023 Orange NY 911 Call Center
Multiple people trapped in RVs at the
Highland Falls RV Park. Flooding is ongoing
and Fire Department is responding.
&&Special weather statement, Jul 9, 8:56 PM EDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
856 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
CTZ009-100145-
Southern Fairfield CT-
856 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Fairfield
County through 945 PM EDT...
At 855 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Darien, or over Stamford, moving north at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Stamford, Norwalk, New Canaan, Greenwich, Westport and Darien.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 4102 7363 4116 7360 4116 7359 4120 7351
4119 7347 4116 7347 4116 7345 4115 7345
4117 7339 4118 7338 4118 7337 4104 7343
4102 7347
TIME...MOT...LOC 0055Z 201DEG 8KT 4104 7351
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH
JTLocal storm report, Jul 9, 9:05 PM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service New York NY
905 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0856 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 1 NE Stamford 41.03N 73.55W
07/09/2023 M39 MPH Fairfield CT Mesonet
Mesonet station EW9544. Marine thunderstorm
wind gust.
&&
DSRLocal storm report, Jul 9, 9:44 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service New York NY
944 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM Flash Flood 2 ESE Cornwall on Hudso 41.43N 73.99W
07/09/2023 Orange NY Public
Video shows rt 218 between Cornwall and West
Point washed away. Time estimated.
&&
DSRLocal storm report, Jul 9, 10:55 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service New York NY
1055 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1034 PM Flash Flood 1 N Yonkers 40.97N 73.87W
07/09/2023 Westchester NY Dept of Highways
DOT reports flooding and closure on Saw Mill
River Parkway southbound between Exit 9 and
Exit 20. Exit ramps blocked.
&&
DSRLocal storm report, Jul 9, 10:59 PM EDT, 4 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service New York NY
1059 PM EDT Sun Jul 9 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1008 PM Flash Flood 1 WSW Ardsley 41.01N 73.85W
07/09/2023 Westchester NY Dept of Highways
DOT reports flooding and road closure on Saw
Mill River Parkway northbound north of Exit
17, all lanes closed.
&&
DSRThe office that day
Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 8:03 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | OKX | Orange, Rockland | 22 hr |
| Jul 9, 8:23 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | OKX | 23 min | |
| Jul 9, 8:50 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Bronx | 55 min |
| Jul 9, 9:09 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | OKX | Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester | 7 hr |
| Jul 9, 9:22 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Bronx, New York, Queens, Westchester | 82 min |
| Jul 9, 9:27 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | OKX | 51 min | |
| Jul 9, 9:43 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Bronx, Westchester | 2 hr |
| Jul 9, 10:15 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | OKX | 60 min | |
| Jul 9, 10:32 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Putnam, Westchester | 118 min |
| Jul 9, 11:31 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | Putnam | 44 min |
| Jul 10, 2:31 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Suffolk | 119 min |
| Jul 10, 3:17 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | OKX | 28 min | |
| Jul 10, 3:28 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | OKX | 47 min | |
| Jul 10, 3:43 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | Suffolk | 47 min |
| Jul 10, 3:57 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | OKX | Suffolk | 13 min |
| Jul 10, 4:04 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Putnam, Rockland, Westchester | 72 min |
| Jul 10, 4:17 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | Suffolk | 43 min |
| Jul 10, 4:30 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Suffolk | 90 min |
| Jul 9, 8:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region | 30 min |
| Jul 9, 8:56 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 49 min | |
| Jul 10, 5:30 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 3 hr |
| Jul 10, 6:22 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 4 hr |
| Jul 10, 7:13 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 47 min | |
| Jul 10, 7:48 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 70 min |
| Jul 10, 9:13 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 3 hr |
| Jul 10, 10:07 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 10:27 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 2 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2023Flash Flood Warnings in Connecticut, 2023Every flash flood warning in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.