Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2023

River Flood Warning 23, NWS Mobile, AL

April 7, 2023Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Apr 7, 2023, 9:41 AM CDT for Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama. It took effect at Apr 10, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 18 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 7, 2023, 9:41 AM CDT (14:41 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 10, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 28, 2023, 9:41 AM CDT
In force
18 days
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Clarke County, AL, Washington County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tombigbee River near Leroy (LRYA1). The gauge peaked at 25.76 ft at Apr 14, 2023, 3:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate10203004/0704/0804/0904/1004/1104/1204/1304/1404/1504/1604/1704/1804/1904/2004/2104/2204/2304/2404/2504/2604/2704/2804/29
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
24 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02470050, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

051 
WGUS44 KMOB 071441
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
941 AM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023

...The National Weather Service in Mobile AL has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-081445-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0023.230410T2200Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230410T2200Z.230412T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
941 AM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...From Monday afternoon until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 18.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    Monday afternoon and continue rising to 25.0 feet Wednesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

MM
16 follow-up statements
242 
WGUS84 KMOB 080126 RRA
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
826 PM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-090130-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0023.230410T2200Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230410T2200Z.230412T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 PM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL 
FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...From Monday afternoon until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 17.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    Monday afternoon and continue rising to 25.0 feet early
    Wednesday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

JEH
152 
WGUS84 KMOB 081601
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1101 AM CDT Sat Apr 8 2023

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-091615-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.230411T1640Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T1640Z.230413T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM CDT Sat Apr 8 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...From Tuesday morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 17.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to continue to rise, rising
    above flood stage by Tuesday afternoon. It is then forecast
    to crest at a stage of 25.0 feet late Wednesday night.
    Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

CGAL
518 
WGUS84 KMOB 090228
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
928 PM CDT Sat Apr 8 2023

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-100230-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.230411T1630Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T1630Z.230413T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
928 PM CDT Sat Apr 8 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...From Tuesday morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 18.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late Tuesday morning and continue rising to a crest of 25.0
    feet Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

JEH
463 
WGUS84 KMOB 091507
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1007 AM CDT Sun Apr 9 2023

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-101515-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.230411T0530Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T0530Z.230414T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT Sun Apr 9 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...From late Monday night until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 19.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    early Tuesday morning and continue rising to 26.7 feet Friday
    morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

MM
214 
WGUS84 KMOB 100054
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
754 PM CDT Sun Apr 9 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-110100-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0023.230411T0530Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T0530Z.230414T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
754 PM CDT Sun Apr 9 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT UNTIL 
FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...From late Monday night until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 20.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above the flood
    stage of 24 feet late Monday night or early Tuesday morning
    and is forecast to continue rising to around 26.7 feet by
    Friday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

21/CLL
514 
WGUS84 KMOB 101514
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1014 AM CDT Mon Apr 10 2023

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-111515-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.230411T0712Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T0712Z.230414T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1014 AM CDT Mon Apr 10 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...From late tonight until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 21.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and will continue rising to a
    crest of 26.4 feet Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
940 
WGUS84 KMOB 110128
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
828 PM CDT Mon Apr 10 2023

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-120130-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.230411T0515Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T0515Z.230413T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
828 PM CDT Mon Apr 10 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...From late tonight until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 22.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue rising to a crest of
    26.3 feet by Thursday morning. The river is then forecast
    remain above flood stage through the rest of the period, but
    slowly fall to around 25.1 feet by Saturday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

JEH
041 
WGUS84 KMOB 111454
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
954 AM CDT Tue Apr 11 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-121500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T1930Z.230414T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
954 AM CDT Tue Apr 11 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 23.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 25.7 feet
    Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
720 
WGUS84 KMOB 120135
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
835 PM CDT Tue Apr 11 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-130145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-230416T2100Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T1808Z.230414T0600Z.230416T1500Z.NO/
835 PM CDT Tue Apr 11 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 24.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.9
    feet early Friday morning. It will then fall below flood
    stage Sunday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
832 
WGUS84 KMOB 121332
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
832 AM CDT Wed Apr 12 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob.

&&


ALC025-129-131345-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-230416T1030Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T1808Z.230413T1200Z.230416T0430Z.NO/
832 AM CDT Wed Apr 12 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday night.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 24.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.5
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Saturday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
522 
WGUS84 KMOB 130107
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
807 PM CDT Wed Apr 12 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-140115-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-230416T1030Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T1808Z.230414T1200Z.230416T0430Z.NO/
807 PM CDT Wed Apr 12 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday night.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 25.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.6
    feet Friday morning. It will then begin to fall and should
    fall below flood stage late Saturday night.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
236 
WGUS84 KMOB 131338
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
838 AM CDT Thu Apr 13 2023

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-141345-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-230416T1400Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T1808Z.230414T0000Z.230416T0800Z.NO/
838 AM CDT Thu Apr 13 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 25.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.8
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage early
    Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
703 
WGUS84 KMOB 140144
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
844 PM CDT Thu Apr 13 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-150145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-230416T1030Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T1808Z.230414T1200Z.230416T0430Z.NO/
844 PM CDT Thu Apr 13 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday night.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 25.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.8
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Saturday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
581 
WGUS84 KMOB 141503
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1003 AM CDT Fri Apr 14 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-151515-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-230416T1030Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T1808Z.230414T1800Z.230416T0430Z.NO/
1003 AM CDT Fri Apr 14 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday night.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 25.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to be cresting through this
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
872 
WGUS84 KMOB 150141
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
841 PM CDT Fri Apr 14 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Leroy...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-160145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-230416T0430Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T1808Z.230414T1100Z.230415T2230Z.NO/
841 PM CDT Fri Apr 14 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 25.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Saturday afternoon and continue falling to 17.3 feet
    Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$
977 
WGUS84 KMOB 151524
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1024 AM CDT Sat Apr 15 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Leroy...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


ALC025-129-160000-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-230416T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.230411T1808Z.230414T1100Z.230415T1912Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT Sat Apr 15 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 24.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage by
    early this evening and continue falling to 15.3 feet Thursday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

21/CLL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 7, 9:38 AM CDT, 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 7, 9:38 AM CDT, 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
938 AM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 938 AM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023

Forecast for today appears to be on track. There is still some
lingering fog across the region, with vsby's mainly in the 1-4
mile range, both on land and over the marine area, so will let the
Dense Fog Advisory for both expire at 10 AM as expected. No other
changes at this time. /12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 626 AM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023/

..New AVIATION...

AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 AM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023

Conditions across the forecast area at 11z ranged from IFR/LIFR
east of the Alabama River to MVFR over northwestern portions of
the forecast area. Wild card in where the lower conditions have
been observed is a band of mid/upper level cloud cover cutting off
any additional radiational cooling. After this band moves east of
the area this morning, daytime heating will mix out conditions
temporarily to general upper MVFR/VFR. A weak front sagging south
across the area today will drop conditions back to general to low
end MVFR/IFR by this evening, and even lower overnight as
precipitation coverage increases over the area this afternoon
though tonight. Southerly winds of 5 to 10 knots are expected
ahead of the front, east to northeast around 10 knots behind.
/16

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 435 AM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023/

.New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Saturday)
Issued at 435 AM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023

A series of upper level shortwaves move northeast across the
Southeast through the Near Term. A surface cold front stretching
northeast across the northwestern portion of the forecast area
sags southeast across the forecast area in response. Southeast to
southerly flow south of the front will create isentropic upglide
rain showers, and with enough instability, both surface based
along and south of the front and elevated northwest, rumbles will
mix in. This area of precipitation will shift southeast with the
front, with the front stalling near the coast late tonight into
early Saturday.

There is still concern of water issues along and north of the front,
with a layer of flow perpendicular to the front. This layer is
relatively shallow (about 100mb) and weak (10-15 knots), though.
Will have to monitor, especially if some localities see multiple
storms. Do not feel the coverage will be great enough to warrant a
watch. Looking at strong to severe storms, instability is decent
today (sfc based capes along and south of the front around
1000J/kg), though wind shear coincident with the front or south is
meh (around 30kts) today. Helicities along the front are decent (0-
1km around 200 m^2/s^s +/-), mainly Saturday along and south of the
stalled front with instability greatly reduced due to rain cooling
and increased cloud cover. All in all, the chance of any strong to
severe storms is low, with strong winds the primary threat.

Fog development at this time remains a challenge, especially with
the westward extent. Areas along and east of the Alabama River have
generally dropped to 1/2sm or less, with this area encompassed by
the current dense fog advisory. A passing mid/upper level cloud deck
is helping to limit the western extent at this time, though with the
deck moving off, am expecting good radiational cooling to set in and
the dense fog will expand to the west from the current area. No
changes to the advisory is expected at this time.

With the onshore flow bringing continued swell to area beaches
combined with a large tidal cycle, a high risk of rip currents is
still possible through tonight. As the front stalls near the coast,
onshore swell decreases and the Rip Current risk decreases to
moderate for the weekend. /16

SHORT TERM...
(Saturday night through Sunday night)
Issued at 435 AM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023

Rain chances will end from the north Saturday night as the cold
front moves into the marine area. This will maintain small rain
chances over the marine area through the weekend. Mostly dry
conditions expected inland as a cooler and drier airmass moves in.
Lows Saturday and Sunday nights will range from the low 50s
inland to mid and upper 50s near the coast. Highs on Sunday will
be in the low to mid 60s. /13

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 435 AM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023

Global models continue to remain inconsistent with the weather
pattern during the middle of next week. Both the ECMWF and GFS
develop a large upper low somewhere over the southeast and try to
form a sfc low over the northern Gulf. However, each run
continues to struggle on the placement of these features. For now,
we will continue to carry a 30 to 40 percent chance of showers
and storms and continue to monitor future models runs. /13

MARINE...
Issued at 435 AM CDT Fri Apr 7 2023

Light onshore flow becomes more variable late tonight/Saturday
as a front sags south to the coast and stalls. The front moves
south of the coast later Saturday into Saturday night as a passing
upper system moves off, and moderate to at times strong offshore
flow follows. Flow shifts to east to southeasterly, but remains
moderate to strong early in the week as high pressure moves east
of the area and a surface low develops off the Louisiana coast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      65  76  56  68  55  68  56  70 /  70  90  30  10  10  20  20  30
Pensacola   66  75  57  66  56  65  58  70 /  60  80  40  10  10  20  30  30
Destin      66  76  57  64  57  65  59  70 /  40  80  50  20  10  20  30  30
Evergreen   59  70  50  64  50  63  51  69 /  50  80  30  10  10  20  10  20
Waynesboro  58  68  52  65  52  65  52  69 /  70  70  20  10  10  10  10  20
Camden      57  65  49  64  50  64  50  69 /  70  80  30  10  10  20  10  20
Crestview   62  75  52  65  52  64  53  71 /  40  80  50  20  10  20  20  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for ALZ056-059-
     060-264-266.

     High Rip Current Risk through Saturday morning for ALZ265-266.

FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for FLZ201>206.

     High Rip Current Risk through Saturday morning for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ633>636-
     650-655.

&&

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 9:43 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington8 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2023Every river flood warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.