Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Miami, FL

489 
WWUS52 KMFL 192000
SVSMFL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
400 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

FLC086-192010-
/O.CAN.KMFL.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-230619T2015Z/
Miami-Dade FL-
400 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds and
heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 2575 8052 2576 8046 2576 8036 2572 8032
      2559 8025 2555 8049
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 334DEG 7KT 2565 8041 

$$

SB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
317 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1232 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

Showers and thunderstorms dominate the sensible weather across South
Florida for the next couple of days. Deep mid to upper level
troughing remains dominant across the eastern CONUS. A deep upper
level trough is pushing away from the Northeast states while an
additional upper low is deepening and pushing towards the Southeast
this afternoon. As a result, surface flow across South Florida
remains west to southwest through the period, keeping abundant
moisture through the boundary layer. Shower and thunderstorm
development is likely once again later this afternoon as the sea
breezes push inland. Convective initiation will likely occur
across the Everglades and push to the east-southeast through the
evening hours. With more of a westerly component to the winds
today, a greater concentration of showers and storms over the
metro areas is expected. With PWATs of about 2 inches, ample
moisture is in place for any slow-moving or training activity to
cause localized flooding issues across portions of the eastern
metro areas. A few of these storms may become strong to severe
with damaging wind gusts being the primary hazard in any stronger
activity that develops.

Tuesday is an almost identical forecast to today. Surface flow
remains southwesterly with a round of isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms expected to develop in the mid-afternoon hours. A
mid-level dry air intrusion may be able to limit coverage for the
afternoon hours tomorrow although there should still be enough
moisture and instability for at least a few thunderstorms. High
temperatures will be in the lower 90s today and tomorrow with heat
indices pushing into the lower 100s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

Not to much change in the weather pattern across the region
towards the middle of the week as a cut off mid level low over
the Southeast will continue to be the dominate feature during
this time frame. With deep tropical moisture continuing to advect
into the region, the chances of showers and thunderstorms will
remain elevated and the potential for heavy downpours will remain
in place. This will continue to create the potential for
localized flooding as well especially over the east coast metro
areas where recent rounds of heavy rainfall have occurred over
the past several days. Some strong thunderstorm development will
also be possible each day as the cut off low could continue to
enhance lift over the area. The strongest storms could contain
gusty winds as well as frequent lightning. High temperatures
towards the middle of the week will generally remain in the lower
90s across most of South Florida.

Heading towards the end of the week and into the upcoming weekend,
the latest ensemble guidance shows the mid level cut off low
lifting off to the north and opening up to a mid level trough over
the eastern seaboard. With the south to southwesterly steering
flow continuing over the mid levels, this will continue to allow
for deep tropical moisture surges to move over the region during
this time frame. While the exact details still remain highly
uncertain, the chances of showers and thunderstorms will remain
on the higher side through the end of the week and into the
weekend. This will allow for the potential for localized flooding
to continue especially over the east coast metro areas where
rounds of heavy rainfall have occurred earlier in the week. High
temperatures will generally remain in the upper 80s to lower 90s
across most areas for the end of the week and into the upcoming
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1232 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

VFR conditions will prevail through the period with west-southwest
winds across all sites. TEMPOs for thunderstorms for eastern sites
through 23Z. Short fuse amendments may be necessary as convection
develops later this afternoon. L/V winds and dry conditions expected
overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1232 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

A generally moderate to robust south to southwesterly flow is
expected to continue across the Atlantic marine zones and the Gulf
waters through the majority of the week. Expect seas mainly around 2
feet or less over the Gulf waters and 3 feet or less over the
Atlantic waters. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
will be possible each day. Any thunderstorms that form could produce

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            77  92  78  91 /  30  50  20  60
West Kendall     75  93  76  93 /  20  50  20  50
Opa-Locka        75  92  77  92 /  30  50  20  60
Homestead        74  91  76  90 /  30  40  20  50
Fort Lauderdale  75  90  77  89 /  40  50  20  60
N Ft Lauderdale  76  92  77  91 /  40  50  20  60
Pembroke Pines   75  92  76  92 /  30  50  20  60
West Palm Beach  74  92  75  91 /  50  60  30  70
Boca Raton       75  93  76  92 /  50  60  30  60
Naples           80  92  80  93 /  20  40  30  60

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM/MARINE...Rizzuto
LONG TERM....CWC
AVIATION...Rizzuto

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
843 AM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
201245-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach County-Metro Palm Beach County-
Coastal Collier County-Inland Collier County-Inland Broward County-
Metro Broward County-Inland Miami-Dade County-
Metropolitan Miami Dade-Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach County-
Coastal Broward County-Coastal Miami Dade County-Far South Miami-
Dade County-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
843 AM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

...Scattered Showers and Storms Today...
...Isolated Strong to Marginally Severe Storms Possible...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters,
southeast Florida, southern Florida, southwest Florida and Gulf of
Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms are possible today. Isolated
strong to marginally severe storms are possible with the potential
for strong wind gusts, small hail, and frequent lightning. An
isolated funnel cloud or/and a brief tornado cannot be ruled out as
well.

Flooding: With the potential for heavy downpours with storms today,
localized flooding will be possible especially across the east coast
metro areas.

Excessive Heat: Peak heat indices are expected to reach 100 to 103
degrees this afternoon, with potential for localized values
approaching 105 degrees.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will be possible each day
through the middle to end of the week. The strongest storms could
contain heavy downpours, small hail, gusty winds, funnel clouds, and
frequent lightning.

The excessive heat risk will continue to be elevated into the middle
to end of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report high wind, hail, and
flooding to the National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Miami FL
318 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0313 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Miami Internationa      25.80N 80.28W
06/19/2023  M48 MPH          Miami-Dade         FL   ASOS

            ASOS station KMIA Miami reported a wind gust
            of 48mph at 3:13pm as a severe thunderstorm
            moved over the area.

&&

Hadi

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Miami FL
319 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 ESE Hialeah Gardens   25.86N 80.32W
06/19/2023  M45 MPH          Miami-Dade         FL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station 1801W Fswn Miami Dade
            College Hialeah reported a wind gust of
            45mph as a severe thunderstorm moved just to
            the south of the area.

&&

Hadi

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
330 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

FLZ070>074-192000-
Inland Broward County FL-Inland Collier County FL-
Metropolitan Miami Dade FL-Metro Broward County FL-Inland Miami-
Dade County FL-
330 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Miami-Dade
and southern Broward Counties through 400 PM EDT...

At 329 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm 9 miles east of Dade-Collier Training Airport,
or 26 miles west of Miramar, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Pembroke Pines, Miramar, Davie, Hialeah Gardens, Medley, Dade-Collier
Training Airport, Intersection Krome And U.S. 27 and Pennsuco.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

Excessive cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2585 8092 2603 8087 2605 8033 2588 8037
      2590 8050 2582 8057 2571 8054 2569 8062
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 295DEG 13KT 2589 8074

LIGHTNING...EXCESSIVE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

CWC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
340 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

FLZ073-074-173-192000-
Metropolitan Miami Dade FL-Inland Miami-Dade County FL-
Coastal Miami Dade County FL-
340 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Miami-Dade County through 400 PM EDT...

At 340 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm capable of producing a landspout over Tamiami,
or near Kendall. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Landspouts, winds in excess of 40 mph, and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
         could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
         objects.

Locations impacted include...
Miami, South Miami, Kendall, Doral, Pinecrest, Miami Springs,
Sweetwater, West Miami, Medley, Westchester, Glenvar Heights,
Fountainbleau, Kendale Lakes, The Hammocks, Coral Terrace, Olympia
Heights, West Kendall, Intersection Krome And Kendall Drive,
Miccosukee Resort and Sunset.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Funnel clouds occasionally touch down and produce tornadoes or
waterspouts. Move indoors and stay away from windows.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2581 8030 2563 8029 2567 8048 2572 8054
      2582 8057 2590 8050 2588 8036
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 101DEG 1KT 2575 8039

LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Miami FL
342 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0337 PM     Flood            2 WSW Miami Internation 25.78N 80.32W
06/19/2023                   Miami-Dade         FL   Public

            The exit ramp from State Road 836 going onto
            State Road 826 is flooded and is becoming
            impassable due to heavy rainfall that is
            currently ongoing.

&&

CWC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Miami FL
345 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0321 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Miami Internationa      25.80N 80.28W
06/19/2023  M59 MPH          Miami-Dade         FL   ASOS

            ASOS station KMIA Miami reported a wind gust
            of 59mph at 3:21pm as a severe thunderstorm
            moved through the area.

&&

Hadi