Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2023

Tornado Warning 6, NWS Jackson, KY

May 16, 2023Estill County, Lee County, Powell County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this tornado warning at May 16, 2023, 2:52 PM EDT for Estill County, Lee County, Powell County, Kentucky. It was in force for 38 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 16, 2023, 2:52 PM EDT (18:52 UTC)
Expired
May 16, 2023, 3:30 PM EDT
In force
38 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
1.0 in

Counties Estill County, KY, Lee County, KY, Powell County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 16, 3:03 PM EDTHAIL 1.75Iron Mound, KYPUBLIC REPORTED APPROXIMATELY GOLF-BALL SIZE HAIL JUST NORTH OF THE INTERSECTION OF CRESSY RD AND HAWKINS CEMETERY RD.
May 16, 3:05 PM EDTHAIL 0.751 Ne Engle, KY
May 16, 3:12 PM EDTHAIL 1.751 W Vaughns Mill, KYPICTURE ON SOCIAL MEDIA SHOWS HAIL UP GOLF-BALL SIZE NEAR VAUGHN MILL.
May 16, 3:15 PM EDTHAIL 11 Ne Vaughns Mill, KYNICKEL TO QUARTER-SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 16, 12:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 66 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1248 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

288 
WFUS53 KJKL 161852
TORJKL
KYC065-129-197-161930-
/O.NEW.KJKL.TO.W.0006.230516T1852Z-230516T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
252 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

The National Weather Service in JACKSON KY has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Powell County in east central Kentucky...
  Northern Estill County in east central Kentucky...
  North central Lee County in southeastern Kentucky...

* Until 330 PM EDT.
    
* At 252 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Harris Ferry, or 7 miles northeast of Richmond,
  moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Harris Ferry around 300 PM EDT.
  Iron Mound around 305 PM EDT.
  Kimbrell around 310 PM EDT.

Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include
Clay City, Vaughns Mill and Stanton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3787 8370 3764 8375 3772 8410 3775 8408
      3778 8411 3781 8408 3782 8410 3781 8412
      3784 8411 3784 8408 3782 8407 3785 8406
      3783 8400 3787 8400 3789 8373
TIME...MOT...LOC 1852Z 267DEG 30KT 3780 8419 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

GEERTSON
3 follow-up statements
886 
WWUS53 KJKL 161908
SVSJKL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
308 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

KYC065-129-197-161930-
/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-230516T1930Z/
Powell KY-Estill KY-Lee KY-
308 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT FOR POWELL...
NORTHERN ESTILL AND NORTH CENTRAL LEE COUNTIES...
    
At 308 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Hargett, or near Irvine, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Vaughns Mill around 315 PM EDT.
  Knowlton around 325 PM EDT.
  Rogers Chapel around 330 PM EDT.
  Nada around 335 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Vianna.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3787 8370 3764 8375 3774 8406 3774 8408
      3775 8408 3778 8411 3781 8408 3782 8410
      3781 8412 3784 8411 3784 8408 3782 8407
      3785 8406 3783 8400 3787 8400 3789 8373
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 271DEG 32KT 3779 8400 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN

$$

GEERTSON
649 
WWUS53 KJKL 161917
SVSJKL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
317 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

KYC065-129-197-161930-
/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-230516T1930Z/
Powell KY-Estill KY-Lee KY-
317 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT FOR POWELL...
CENTRAL ESTILL AND NORTH CENTRAL LEE COUNTIES...
    
At 316 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Hardwick, or near Irvine, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Furnace around 325 PM EDT.
  Rogers Chapel around 330 PM EDT.
  Nada around 335 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3787 8370 3764 8375 3772 8401 3783 8400
      3787 8400 3789 8373
TIME...MOT...LOC 1916Z 273DEG 33KT 3777 8393 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN

$$

GEERTSON
978 
WWUS53 KJKL 161930
SVSJKL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
330 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

KYC065-129-197-161938-
/O.EXP.KJKL.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-230516T1930Z/
Powell KY-Estill KY-Lee KY-
330 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR POWELL...CENTRAL ESTILL AND NORTH CENTRAL
LEE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 330 PM EDT...
    
The Tornado Warning that was previously in effect has been reissued 
for northeastern Estill County, eastern Powell County, and northern 
Lee County. Please refer to that bulletin for the latest severe 
weather information.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
southeastern and east central Kentucky.

Remember, a Tornado Warning still remains in effect for northeastern 
Estill County, eastern Powell County, and northern Lee County until 
415 PM EDT. 

LAT...LON 3787 8370 3764 8375 3772 8401 3783 8400
      3787 8400 3789 8373
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 267DEG 30KT 3777 8381 

$$

GEOGERIAN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at May 16, 1:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 16, 1:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
130 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1141 AM EDT TUE MAY 16 2023

Not many changes made to the grids as they've been largely on
track. Updated latest surface obs and adjusted the trends from
there. Also, made a few tweaks to the PoP grids with the latest
CAM guidance. Lastly, updated radio and text products to reflect
changes. Grids have been sent.

UPDATE Issued at 745 AM EDT TUE MAY 16 2023

Freshened up the hourly T/Td grids with the latest observation
trends. A few showers and storms have started to pop up as the
warm front moves northward through the area. Shower and storm
chances will continues through the day with the best chance for
strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 440 AM EDT TUE MAY 16 2023

Conditions early this morning remain quiet but this will change
later this afternoon and evening. A surface low currently resides
across far southeastern Missouri, southern Illinois, and far western
Kentucky with a east to west oriented warm front just north of
the Kentucky Tennessee border. The low is expected to trek ENE
through the Commonwealth today while the warm front will lift
northward through most of eastern Kentucky, most likely staying
south of I-64. Winds south of the warm front will be southwesterly
and will advect plenty of low level moisture into the area. Dew
points will rise into the mid 60s south of the boundary with dew
points in the low 60s north of the boundary. The warm sector
environment will be primed for convection capable of producing all
modes of severe weather, including flash flooding. CAPE will
increase to between 1500-2500 j/kg this afternoon as temps warm
into the upper 70s to low 80s and low level moisture increases.
The highest values are expected at locations farther southwest.
This will also coincide with the best helicity, shear, and DCAPE
values. Values from the CIPS deterministic NAM show increasing to
between 100-200 m2/s2, effective shear of 30-40 knots, and DCAPE
ranging from 700-100 j/kg. SPC has placed placed a Day 1 enhanced
risk across the southern half of the CWA, a slight south of I-64,
and a marginal north of I-64. The primary concern will be strong
damaging wind gusts associated with the passage of a QLCS that
will develop along the cold front connected to the surface low.
Hail will also be possible along with a few embedded QLCS
tornadoes, especially across the southwest. On top of this, all of
eastern Kentucky remains in a slight risk for excessive rainfall.
Storm total QPF through Tuesday night is expected to range from
0.5-2 inches with locally higher amounts of 3+ inches possible at
locations that see multiple rounds of convection.

The surface low will track through the Commonwealth and should be
east of the area by 00Z or shortly after. Showers and storms, along
with the severe threat, will diminish during the late evening and
early night hours as the system moves away from the eastern
Kentucky. Patchy fog will be possible across eastern Kentucky as low
level moisture lingers and drier air begins to move in at the mid
levels. An inversion will likely develop which will suppress the low
levels. Fog will be most likely at locations that receive the
greatest amount of rain and along the deeper valleys and rivers.
Another cold front will drop southward from the Ohio Valley but is
expected to remain dry. Winds ahead of the front will be
northwesterly and will veer to the north with the passage of this
second front. Wednesday highs will still climb into the 70s with a
clearing trend through the day as drier air filters in from the
north.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 535 AM EDT TUE MAY 16 2023

The period is expected to begin with a deep upper level low
centered over the Maritimes and an associated trough extending
south and southwest tot he northern Gulf of Mexico. Further west,
an upper level ridge from the upper MS Valley to western Ontario,
with a weakness/shortwave trough at mid levels to its south in
the vicinity of IA, southeast NE, eastern KS to MO area and
another upper level low its west centered over Manitoba. Troughing
associated with the Manitoba upper level low is expected to
extend south at that point into the Northern Plains to western
portion of the Central Plains and also southwest to ID and OR.
Another upper level low is expected to be centered in the Baja of
California vicinity with a trough over portions of the eastern
Pacific. This will leave northwest flow aloft in place across the
OH Valley to begin the period. At the sfc, a ridge of high
pressure is expected to extend from Ontario and the Great Lakes
region into the Lower OH Valley region. Meanwhile, the cold front
that will have crossed the area in the near term period is
expected to extend from the western Atlantic into SC and GA and
the northwest to MO and then becomes a warm front north to an are
of sfc low pressure near the Manitoba and Ontario border region
associated with the upper level low expected to be in that region.
The Frontal zone from that sfc low should continue southwest to
SD and then west into the intermountain west.

The upper level trough initially extending into the southeast
Conus should depart to the east on Wednesday night and Thursday
as axis of upper level ridging becomes aligned from portions of
the Atlantic northwest to the central Appalachians to the upper
level ridging initially over the upper MS Valley and into Ontario
shifts into the Great Lakes with this upper ridging likely
extending into the central Appalachians to Great Lakes behind the
departing upper trough. At the same time the shortwave
trough/weakness should progress into the OH Valley and TN Valley
region and advect some moisture back north from middle
TN/Cumberland Plateau into portions of south central and southeast
KY for Thu. This shortwave trough/weakness should shift east and
northeast on Thu night with its axis possibly moving east of
eastern KY at that point. Additional weak disturbances may move
into the OH Valley from the Central Conus in advance of the upper
level trough digging into the upper MS Valley and portions of the
Plains as the upper level low initially centered in Manitoba nears
the western Great Lakes. At the sfc, the center of the sfc ridge
that initially extends into the OH Valley is expected to shift
east and southeast and off the eastern seaboard from Wednesday
night to Thursday night. At the same time, the sfc low near the
US/Canadian border should track to Ontario during that period with
the trailing cold front advancing south and southeast across the
Central Plains to the lee of the CO Rockies and nears the mid MS
Valley by late Thu night. The boundary initially southwest of the
area should continue sliding south and southwest toward the Gulf
coast states during this timeframe. A weak warm front/sfc trough
may develop over the OH Valley region as the weakness/shortwave
trough moves into the Lower OH Valley and may be the focus for
some shower or thunderstorm activity on Thu, though some guidance
lingers some of this into late Thu evening or even a portion of
the overnight. At this point, pops were confined to the Thu
afternoon to early evening period, but these may need to extend a
bit later into Thu evening or night pending how guidance trends.

Friday to Saturday night, the upper level low that will have
neared the western Great Lakes by this point should continue east
across the Great Lakes eventually weakening and moving into the
Northeast and nearing the Maritimes as it interacts with an upper
level low in the vicinity of Hudson Bay and upper trough south to
the Northern Plains/upper MS Valley. The sfc high off the eastern
seaboard should continue to depart to the east and northeast
during this time while the sfc low tracks into Quebec and sends
the trailing cold front into the OH Valley by Friday evening and
then east of eastern KY by Saturday evening. Some guidance such as
GFS operational runs are quicker with this progression. Sfc high
pressure is expected to build toward the OH Valley on Sunday from
the Central Conus behind this system while the trough extending
from Hudson and James Bay regions into the upper MS Valley shifts
east to Ontario and Quebec and across the Great Lakes and
Northeast to the Maritimes to end the period. This will send a sfc
cold front south across the Great Lakes to end the weekend, with
this front slipping further south and more than likely into
eastern KY to end the period as high pressure builds across the
Great Lakes to the northeast.

Generally diurnally driven pops were included for Thu across
southwest portions of the area with the weak shortwave/weakness at
500 mb. A relative lull in chances for showers and thunderstorms
should follow into Friday morning behind that system until the
shortwave trough and cold front approach later Fri and then work
into the area to begin the weekend. Slight to scattered pops were
used on Friday with scattered pops Fri night into Saturday night.
With dewpoints not expected to climb above the mid to upper 50s
in advance and along the cold front to begin the weekend, thunder
chances were confined to the daytime on Saturday only. There is
some uncertainty as to how quickly the front goes through the
region and although slight chance pops were carried on Sunday
current trends support rain free weather from late Saturday night
through Sunday. Enough moisture may linger across the region to
interact with the approaching front on Monday for isolated
showers in the southeast.

Temperatures, especially high temperatures, will generally
average slightly above normal ahead of the early weekend front and
then trend to near normal Saturday to Sunday, before increasing
to slightly above normal to begin next week on Monday. Some of the
normally colder northern and eastern valley locations may
experience low temperatures in the mid to upper 40s on Wed night
with some valleys probably reaching the upper 40s Sunday night and
Monday night.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 122 PM EDT TUE MAY 16 2023

VFR/MVFR conditions are currently in place across the area. Those
will continue across the CWA for the next couple of hours before
showers and thunderstorms move in from the west. MVFR to IFR CIGS
and VSBY are expected with the showers and storms and areas of BR
that's forecast to develop with the shower activity. Showers and
storms will continue before dissipating toward 00Z. Winds are
forecast to diminish before areas of fog develop overnight and
continue through 14Z before becoming all VFR for the remainder of
the TAF period.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...VORST
SHORT TERM...BATZ
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...VORST
Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 12:44 PM EDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1244 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

KYZ050-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-106>120-171645-
Montgomery-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-
Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-
Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling,
Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead,
Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London,
Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg,
Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes,
Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
1244 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and into the evening across
all of eastern Kentucky. These storms could produce torrential
downpours, leading to isolated or scattered instances of high water
or flash flooding. In addition, for locations generally south of
Interstate 64, isolated to numerous storms could become severe
during the afternoon and evening, producing damaging wind gusts and
hail up to half dollar size. A couple of tornadoes are also
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are possible, generally during the afternoon and
evening hours from Thursday to Saturday and again on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

KYZ044-051-052-104-171645-
Fleming-Bath-Rowan-Elliott-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Owingsville, Morehead,
and Sandy Hook
1244 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and into the evening across
all of eastern Kentucky. These storms could produce torrential
downpours, leading to isolated or scattered instances of high water
or flash flooding. In addition, for locations generally south of
Interstate 64, isolated to numerous storms could become severe
during the afternoon and evening, producing damaging wind gusts and
hail up to half dollar size. A couple of tornadoes are also
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are possible, generally during the afternoon and
evening hours from Thursday to Saturday and again on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

VORST/BATZ/JP

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 16, 1:55 PM EDT, 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
155 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

KYZ050-051-161845-
Montgomery KY-Bath KY-
155 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Montgomery
and Bath Counties through 245 PM EDT...

At 155 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Sideview, or 9 miles northwest of Mount Sterling, moving east at 50
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Mount Sterling, Sharpsburg, Stoops, Judy and Ewington around 205
  PM EDT.
  Flat Creek, Reynoldsville, Stepstone, Howards Mill and Bethel
  around 210 PM EDT.
  Owingsville, Bourbon Furnace, Kendall Springs, Preston, Crooks,
  Odessa, Peeled Oak and Oakley around 215 PM EDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Marshall,
Peasticks, Polksville, Craigs, Slate Valley, Olympia, Wyoming,
Olympia Springs, Salt Lick, Moore's Ferry, Midland, Young Springs,
Zilpo and Yale.

THIS INCLUDES Interstate 64 in eastern Kentucky between mile markers
105 and 129.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
east central Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3822 8370 3817 8364 3819 8360 3817 8359
      3815 8362 3813 8362 3814 8356 3811 8356
      3811 8352 3807 8351 3809 8348 3807 8346
      3805 8350 3806 8358 3802 8358 3806 8405
      3812 8408 3825 8391 3825 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 1755Z 272DEG 44KT 3816 8408

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GREIF
Special weather statement, May 16, 2:18 PM EDT, 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
218 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

KYZ087-088-116-117-161845-
Clay KY-Bell KY-Harlan KY-Leslie KY-
218 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Harlan,
northeastern Bell, southern Leslie and southeastern Clay Counties
through 245 PM EDT...

At 217 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Beverly, or 13 miles northwest of Harlan, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Spruce Pine around 225 PM EDT.
  Warbranch around 230 PM EDT.
  Mozelle and Bledsoe around 235 PM EDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Chappell, Napier,
Causey, Big Fork, Big Laurel, Big Rock, Yeaddiss, Pine Mountain and
Putney.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
southeastern Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3691 8358 3694 8357 3695 8359 3696 8359
      3695 8360 3695 8361 3696 8361 3709 8323
      3690 8313
TIME...MOT...LOC 1817Z 250DEG 25KT 3693 8353

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GEERTSON
Special weather statement, May 16, 2:20 PM EDT, 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
220 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

KYZ115-117-161845-
Perry KY-Leslie KY-
220 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Leslie and
southeastern Perry Counties through 245 PM EDT...

At 220 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Stinnett, or near Hyden, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Hyden, Wendover and Chappell around 225 PM EDT.
  Cinda, Cutshin, Smilax, Causey, Big Fork and Wooton around 235 PM
  EDT.
  Daley, Yeaddiss and Frew around 240 PM EDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Big Rock,
Leatherwood, Slemp, Daisy, Viper, Cornettsville, Jeff and Delphia.

THIS INCLUDES Hal Rogers Parkway between mile markers 39 and 44.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
southeastern Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 8350 3718 8351 3723 8307 3721 8305
      3721 8302 3718 8302 3712 8306 3708 8304
      3705 8307 3703 8305 3702 8306 3700 8311
      3702 8318 3701 8319 3700 8323 3698 8325
TIME...MOT...LOC 1820Z 267DEG 27KT 3710 8342

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GREIF
Local storm report, May 16, 2:43 PM EDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
243 PM EDT TUE MAY 16 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0231 PM     HAIL             WOOTON                  37.18N 83.30W
05/16/2023  E0.75 INCH       LESLIE             KY   911 CALL CENTER

&&

JC
Special weather statement, May 16, 2:48 PM EDT, 4 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
248 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

KYZ088-115-117-118-161915-
Perry KY-Harlan KY-Letcher KY-Leslie KY-
248 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Harlan,
southwestern Letcher, southeastern Leslie and southeastern Perry
Counties through 315 PM EDT...

At 248 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Big Laurel, or 9 miles northeast of Harlan, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Arthur, Nolansburg and Leatherwood around 255 PM EDT.
  Totz and Gilley around 300 PM EDT.
  Diane, Louellen, Black Bottom, Delphia and Lejunior around 305 PM
  EDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Hiram, Gordon,
Cumberland, Lynch, Benham, Clutts, Kingdom Come S.P., Blair, Clover,
Linefork, Rock House and Defeated Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
southeastern Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3693 8333 3701 8334 3709 8295 3689 8292
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 269DEG 30KT 3697 8324

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 1:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBath50 min
May 16, 2:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Montgomery, Morgan24 min
May 16, 2:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLLeslie27 min
May 16, 2:20 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLLeslie25 min
May 16, 2:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Fleming, Rowan33 min
May 16, 2:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLKnott, Leslie, Letcher, Perry29 min
May 16, 2:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMcCreary, Pulaski, Wayne27 min
May 16, 2:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLHarlan27 min
May 16, 3:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLElliott, Rowan45 min
May 16, 3:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLLetcher30 min
May 16, 3:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPulaski27 min
May 16, 3:04 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLJackson, Rockcastle41 min
May 16, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLJackson, Rockcastle50 min
May 16, 3:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLHarlan, Letcher14 min
May 16, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLLaurel, Pulaski39 min
May 16, 3:26 PM EDTTornado WarningJKLBreathitt, Estill, Lee, Menifee, Powell, Wolfe24 min
May 16, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Clay, Leslie, Owsley, Perry48 min
May 16, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLHarlan, Letcher15 min
May 16, 3:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatJKLEstill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley44 min
May 16, 3:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPike54 min
May 16, 3:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLKnox36 min
May 16, 3:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLKnox, Laurel, Whitley46 min
May 16, 3:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Magoffin31 min
May 16, 3:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Menifee, Morgan, Powell, Wolfe27 min
May 16, 3:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Jackson, Laurel, Owsley40 min
May 16, 3:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLPike26 min
May 16, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Knott, Leslie, Letcher, Perry38 min
May 16, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Magoffin, Martin, Pike32 min
May 16, 4:19 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLBreathitt, Clay, Floyd, Knott, Leslie, Owsley and 1 more116 min
May 16, 4:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLMagoffin24 min
May 16, 4:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBell, Knox, Whitley50 min
May 16, 4:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan, Wolfe33 min
May 16, 4:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLMcCreary, Wayne43 min
May 16, 4:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Knott, Letcher, Perry, Pike38 min
May 16, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Pike33 min
May 16, 4:45 PM EDTTornado WarningJKLFloyd, Johnson, Magoffin16 min
May 16, 4:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLLetcher, Perry26 min
May 16, 4:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBell, Harlan23 min
May 16, 4:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLHarlan36 min
May 16, 4:56 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Magoffin, Pike2 hr
May 16, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Martin16 min
May 16, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLHarlan, Letcher27 min
May 16, 5:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLPike37 min
May 16, 5:29 PM EDTTornado WarningJKLPike16 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2023Every tornado warning in 2023Tornadoes in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.