Alert archive / Kentucky / High Wind Warnings in 2023

High Wind Warning 2, NWS Jackson, KY

March 31, 202333 counties in Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this high wind warning at Mar 31, 2023, 3:22 PM EDT for 33 counties in Kentucky. It took effect at Apr 1, 2023, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 10 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2023, 3:22 PM EDT (19:22 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 1, 2023, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 1, 2023, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY
All 33 counties

Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Apr 1, 11:25 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Wsw Galen, KYREPORT OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN NEAR THE SITKA CHURCH ALONG ROUTE 201.
Apr 1, 11:30 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Se Sextons Creek, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ON ELLIS BRANCH. THE TIME OF THE EVENT IS RADAR ESTIMATED.
Apr 1, 11:30 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG4 Ssw Dice, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF KY 15 AND ENTERTAINMENT DRIVE.
Apr 1, 11:30 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGPreston, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN IN THE VICINITY OF PRESTON. THE TIME OF THE EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
Apr 1, 11:40 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ssw Hoskinston, KYA TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ALONG US 421 ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTH OF HYDEN. THE TIME OF THE EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
Apr 1, 11:45 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Ssw Wooton, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED DOWN ALONG KY 80 EAST. THE TIME OF THE EVENT IS RADAR ESTIMATED.
Apr 1, 11:45 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGAnnville, KY2 OCCURRENCES OF POWERLINES BLOWN DOWN LEADING TO FIRES IN THE ANNVILLE COMMUNITY. THE TIME OF THE EVENT IS ESTIMATED FROM NEARBY WIND GUSTS.
Apr 1, 11:45 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGFarmers, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ALONG OLD US 60.
Apr 1, 11:45 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGTabor, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN.
Apr 1, 11:50 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Nw Pelfrey, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ON KY 519.
Apr 1, 11:55 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 N Denniston, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN AROUND NOON.
Apr 1, 11:55 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGGray Hawk, KYA POWERLINE WAS BLOWN DOWN LEADING TO A FIRE IN THE GRAY HAWK COMMUNITY. THE TIME OF THE EVENT IS ESTIMATED FROM NEARBY WIND GUSTS.
Apr 1, 11:55 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGTyner, KYA POWERLINE WAS BLOWN DOWN LEADING TO A FIRE IN THE TYNER COMMUNITY. THE TIME OF THE EVENT IS ESTIMATED FROM NEARBY WIND GUSTS.
Apr 1, 12:00 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ene Natural Bridge St, KY*** 1 INJ *** PER POWELL COUNTY SEARCH AND RESCUE, A HIKER WAS STRUCK BY A FALLING BRANCH ON THE WHITTLETON BRANCH CAMPGROUND HIKING TRAIL AND FELL UNCONSCIOUS WHILE PINNED UNDERNEATH THE BRANCH. FIRST RESPONDERS WERE ABLE TO SUCCESSFULLY GET THE HIKER OUT FOR
Apr 1, 12:00 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ne Williamsburg, KYMULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN WILLIAMSBURG AND THROUGHOUT WHITELY COUNTY BEGINNING AROUND NOON.
Apr 1, 12:00 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGBarbourville, KYMULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN BARBOURVILLE AND THROUGHOUT KNOX COUNTY BEGINNING AROUND NOON.
Apr 1, 12:10 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 S Mount Vernon, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN.
Apr 1, 12:12 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGBarnetts Creek, KYREPORT OF MULTIPLE TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN NEAR PICKLE FORK AT ROUTE 40 W.
Apr 1, 12:20 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 W Somerset Pulaski Co, KYTREES AND POWERLINES WERE REPORTED DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF W OAK HILL ROAD AND KY 914.
Apr 1, 12:30 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ssw Saul, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ONTO POWERLINES IN THE SAUL COMMUNITY AND LED TO A FOREST FIRE.
Apr 1, 12:30 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Wsw Twentysix, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ON KY 772.
Apr 1, 12:30 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Sse Bulan, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ONTO POWERLINES ABOUT 3 MILES UP UPPER SECOND CREEK.
Apr 1, 12:40 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 N Renfro Valley, KYA TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN AT THE KOA CAMPGROUND.
Apr 1, 12:45 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 W Lick Branch, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ALONG KY 1161.
Apr 1, 12:45 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGAlphoretta, KYROOFING MATERIAL WAS BLOWN OFF OF A BUSINESS IN THE CITY OF MARTIN.
Apr 1, 12:50 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND GST 703 Ene Dorton, KYMEASURED AT THE PIKE COUNTY KY MESONET SITE.
Apr 1, 12:50 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Wnw Jeffersonville, KYTWO TREES WERE REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN AT A RESIDENCE. TIME OF THE EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
Apr 1, 12:52 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Se Stidham, KYMULTIPLE TREES REPORTED DOWN ALONG TOMAHAWK RD NW OR INEZ.
Apr 1, 12:55 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG3 N Blue Heron, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ON KY 1363 NEAR YAMACRAW. THE EVEN TIME IS ESTIMATED FROM NEARBY WIND GUST OBSERVATIONS.
Apr 1, 1:00 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGMarshes Siding, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN AT MARSHES SIDING.
Apr 1, 1:00 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGPreston, KYTREES WERE AGAIN REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN IN THE PRESTON VICINITY. THE EVENT TIME IS ESTIMATED.
Apr 1, 1:10 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Wnw Steubenville, KYA UTILITY LINE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN.
Apr 1, 1:10 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Ese Strunk, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ON KY 1470 NEAR STRUNK.
Apr 1, 1:10 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG3 Sw Hollyhill, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN IN THE HAY CREEK COMMUNITY.
Apr 1, 1:15 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Sse Hardy, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ON AN OCCUPIED VEHICLE.
Apr 1, 1:15 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Sse Morehead, KYMULTIPLE TREES WERE REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN IN MOREHEAD ALONG WITH POWERLINES DOWN BETWEEN 1 AND 130 PM.
Apr 1, 1:20 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGKellioka, KYROOFING MATERIAL WAS BLOWN OFF OF A CARPORT AT A RESIDENCE.
Apr 1, 1:23 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND GST 60London-Corbin Airport, KYMEASURED AT THE KLOZ ASOS.
Apr 1, 1:30 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 S High Falls, KYA POWERLINE WAS BLOWN DOWN AND CAUGHT SOME GRASS ON FIRE ALONG SANDY RIDGE ROAD.
Apr 1, 1:30 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGPleasureville, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ON FOXPORT ROAD. THE EVENT TIME IS ESTIMATED.
Apr 1, 1:40 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Wsw Isonville, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ALONG KY 1621. A POWERLINE WAS ALSO BLOWN DOWN IN THE VICINITY THAT LED TO A FIRE. THE EVENT TIME IS ESTIMATED AND OCCURRED BEFORE 2 PM.
Apr 1, 1:45 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ene Culver, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF WALLOW HOLE ROAD KY 486. THE EVENT TIME IS ESTIMATED.
Apr 1, 1:45 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Ene Stark, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ALONG KY 504. THE TIME OF THE EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
Apr 1, 1:45 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGBethany, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN.
Apr 1, 1:48 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND GST 59Nws Office/Julian Carro, KY
Apr 1, 1:50 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ene Spout Springs, KYA LARGE PINE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ONTO AND BLOCKING HAPPY TOP ROAD.
Apr 1, 2:00 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ssw Indian Lakes Park, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN.
Apr 1, 2:09 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND GST 58Wabo, KYPWS @ DENNY SUBDIVISION.
Apr 1, 2:10 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND GST 60Vest, KYMEASURED AT THE KNOTT COUNTY KY MESONET SITE.
Apr 1, 2:10 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND GST 61Vest, KYCORRECTS PREVIOUS NON-TSTM WND GUST REPORT FROM VEST. MEASURED AT THE KNOTT COUNTY KY MESONET SITE.
Apr 1, 2:55 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND GST 581 Ne Payne Gap, KYPWS @ JENKINS.
Apr 1, 3:00 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ese Fairview, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED DOWN ON EWING ROAD AROUND 12 HIGHWAY MILES FROM FLEMINGSBURG. THE EVENT TIME IS ESTIMATED.
Apr 1, 3:00 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Nw Ferndale, KYDISPATCHER NOTED THAT TREES AND POWERLINES WERE BLOWN DOWN NEAR FERNDALE OFF OF 25E AROUND 3 PM.
Apr 1, 3:00 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ssw Prestonsburg, KYSOCIAL MEDIA PICTURES OF A LARGE BUILDING MISSING THE ROOF AND A BACK WALL. TIME IS APPROXIMATE.
Apr 1, 3:00 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGDeane, KY*** 1 INJ *** PER COLSON VOLUNTEER FIRE DEPARTMENT, A VOLUNTEER FIREFIGHTER OPERATING THE CFD ENGINE-1 WAS INJURED WHEN A TREE FELL OFF THE SIDE OF A HILL AND STRUCK THE VEHICLE. THE FIREFIGHTER SUSTAINED A CONCUSSION AND ABRASION TO THE HEAD AND WAS TRANSPORT
Apr 1, 3:25 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 W Ravenna, KYKY 1645 CLOSED DUE TO DOWNED POWER LINES. TIME IS APPROXIMATE.
Apr 1, 3:30 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Ssw Prestonsburg, KYCORRECTS PREVIOUS NON-TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 1 SSW PRESTONSBURG. SOCIAL MEDIA PICTURES OF APARTMENT BUILDING MISSING THE ROOF AND A WALL. TIME IS APPROXIMATE.
Apr 1, 3:35 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Wnw Billows, KYTREES WERE REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN ONTO THE ROADWAY NEAR THIS LOCATION PRIOR TO 347 PM. ADDITIONAL TREES AND POWERLINES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN THE VICINITY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
Apr 1, 4:00 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMGEvarts, KYMULTIPLE UTILITY LINES DOWN ALONG HWY 38 NEAR EVARTS.
Apr 1, 4:05 PM EDTNON-TSTM WND DMG3 Wsw Fincastle, KYA TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN ONTO A POWERLINE LEADING TO A FIRE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 229 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1058 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
229 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
228 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

356 
WWUS73 KJKL 311922
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson KY
322 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106>110-112-113-118>120-010330-
/O.NEW.KJKL.HW.W.0002.230401T1200Z-230401T2200Z/
/O.EXT.KJKL.WI.Y.0008.230401T0000Z-230401T1200Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, 
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Clay City, Stanton, 
Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, 
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman, 
Pippa Passes, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, 
Pikeville, and South Williamson
322 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 15 to 25 mph, 
  with gusts up to 45 mph expected. For the High Wind Warning, 
  southwest to west winds 25 to 35 mph, with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected. 

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 8 AM to 6 PM EDT 
  Saturday. For the Wind Advisory, from 8 PM this evening to 8 
  AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Scattered to numerous power outages are possible. Travel will 
  be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles on north to 
  south oriented highways such as US 23.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas of
  more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts are 
  expected to peak between between 9 AM and 3 PM EDT on Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

KYZ058-068-069-079-080-083>088-111-114>117-010330-
/O.EXT.KJKL.WI.Y.0008.230401T0000Z-230401T2200Z/
Estill-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Knox-Bell-Harlan-Lee-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, 
McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, 
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Beattyville, Booneville, Hazard, 
Manchester, and Hyden
322 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds as high as 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to
  45 mph tonight. For Saturday, southwest to west winds 20 to 30 
  mph, with gusts of 45 to 55 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, south central and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 6 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas of
  more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts are 
  expected to peak between between 9 AM and 3 PM EDT on Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

JP
6 follow-up statements
707 
WWUS73 KJKL 311928 CCA
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
328 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106>110-112-113-118>120-010330-
/O.COR.KJKL.HW.W.0002.230401T1200Z-230401T2200Z/
/O.COR.KJKL.WI.Y.0008.230401T0000Z-230401T1200Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, 
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Clay City, Stanton, 
Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, 
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman, 
Pippa Passes, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, 
Pikeville, and South Williamson
328 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 15 to 25 mph, 
  with gusts up to 45 mph expected. For the High Wind Warning, 
  southwest to west winds 25 to 35 mph, with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected. 

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 8 AM to 6 PM EDT 
  Saturday. For the Wind Advisory, from 8 PM this evening to 8 
  AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Scattered to numerous power outages are possible. Travel will 
  be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles on north to 
  south oriented highways such as US 23.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas of
  more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts are
  expected to peak between 9 AM and 3 PM EDT on Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

KYZ058-068-069-079-080-083>088-111-114>117-010330-
/O.COR.KJKL.WI.Y.0008.230401T0000Z-230401T2200Z/
Estill-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Knox-Bell-Harlan-Lee-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, 
McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, 
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Beattyville, Booneville, Hazard, 
Manchester, and Hyden
328 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds as high as 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to
  45 mph tonight. For Saturday, southwest to west winds 20 to 30 
  mph, with gusts of 45 to 55 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, south central and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 6 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas of
  more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts are
  expected to peak between 9 AM and 3 PM EDT on Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

JP
331 
WWUS73 KJKL 010200 AAA
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1000 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106>110-112-113-118>120-011200-
/O.CON.KJKL.HW.W.0002.230401T1200Z-230401T2200Z/
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-230401T1200Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, 
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Clay City, Stanton, 
Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, 
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman, 
Pippa Passes, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, 
Pikeville, and South Williamson
1000 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 15 to 25 mph, with
  gusts up to 45 mph expected through early Saturday morning. For
  the High Wind Warning, southwest to west winds 25 to 35 mph, 
  with gusts up to 60 mph expected during the day Saturday.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 8 AM to 6 PM EDT 
  Saturday. For the Wind Advisory, from 8 PM this evening to 8 
  AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Scattered to numerous power outages are possible. Travel will 
  be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles on north to 
  south oriented highways such as US 23.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas 
  of more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts 
  are expected to peak between 9 AM and 3 PM EDT on Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

KYZ058-068-069-079-080-083>088-111-114>117-011200-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-230401T2200Z/
Estill-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Knox-Bell-Harlan-Lee-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, 
McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, 
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Beattyville, Booneville, Hazard, 
Manchester, and Hyden
1000 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds as high as 15 to 25 mph with gusts up 
  to 45 mph tonight. For Saturday, southwest to west winds 20 to 
  30 mph, with gusts of 45 to 55 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, south central and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 6 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas 
  of more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts 
  are expected to peak between 9 AM and 3 PM EDT on Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

JP/GREIF
770 
WWUS73 KJKL 011045
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson KY
645 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106>110-112-113-118>120-011215-
/O.CON.KJKL.HW.W.0002.230401T1200Z-230401T2200Z/
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-230401T1200Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, 
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Clay City, Stanton, 
Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, 
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman, 
Pippa Passes, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, 
Pikeville, and South Williamson
645 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS 
MORNING... 
...A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT 
UNTIL 6 PM EDT TODAY...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, southwest to west winds of 20
  to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph are expected. For the Wind 
  Advisory, southwest to west winds of 15 to 20 mph with gusts up 
  to 45 mph are expected.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 8 AM EDT until 6 PM EDT
  today. For the Wind Advisory, until 8 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas of
  more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts are
  expected to peak between 10 AM and 3 PM EDT today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
WS020/25040KT
People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

KYZ058-068-069-079-080-083>088-111-114>117-011215-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-230401T2200Z/
Estill-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Knox-Bell-Harlan-Lee-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, 
McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, 
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Beattyville, Booneville, Hazard, 
Manchester, and Hyden
645 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest to west winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45
  to 55 mph are expected.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, south central and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas of
  more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts are
  expected to peak between 10 AM and 3 PM EDT today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. Use extra caution when driving, especially if
operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

BB
096 
WWUS73 KJKL 011208
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson KY
808 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106>110-112-113-118>120-012200-
/O.EXP.KJKL.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-230401T1200Z/
/O.CON.KJKL.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230401T2200Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, 
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Clay City, Stanton, 
Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, 
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman, 
Pippa Passes, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, 
Pikeville, and South Williamson
808 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Southwest to west winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to
  60 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas of
  more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts are
  expected to peak between 10 AM and 3 PM EDT today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
large trees. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home
during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must 
drive.

&&

$$

KYZ058-068-069-079-080-083>088-111-114>117-012200-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-230401T2200Z/
Estill-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Knox-Bell-Harlan-Lee-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, 
McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, 
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Beattyville, Booneville, Hazard, 
Manchester, and Hyden
808 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest to west winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45
  to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, south central and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas of
  more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts are
  expected to peak between 10 AM and 3 PM EDT today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
large trees. Use extra caution when driving, especially if 
operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

BB
066 
WWUS73 KJKL 011455
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1055 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

KYZ058-068-069-079-080-083>088-111-114>117-012200-
/O.UPG.KJKL.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-230401T2200Z/
/O.EXA.KJKL.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230401T2200Z/
Estill-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Knox-Bell-Harlan-Lee-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, 
McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, 
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Beattyville, Booneville, Hazard, 
Manchester, and Hyden
1055 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, south central and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Numerous to widespread power outages are expected. Travel will 
  be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas of
  more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts are
  expected to peak through 3 PM EDT today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106>110-112-113-118>120-012200-
/O.CON.KJKL.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230401T2200Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, 
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Clay City, Stanton, 
Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, 
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman, 
Pippa Passes, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, 
Pikeville, and South Williamson
1055 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Numerous to widespread power outages are expected. Travel will 
  be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are expected in areas of
  more open terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Wind gusts are
  expected to peak through 3 PM EDT today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

AR
140 
WWUS73 KJKL 012140 AAA
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
540 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106>110-112-113-118>120-012245-
/O.EXP.KJKL.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230401T2200Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, 
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Clay City, Stanton, 
Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, 
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman, 
Pippa Passes, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, 
Pikeville, and South Williamson
540 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

The gusty west to northwest winds will continue to diminish
through the evening, though an occasional wind gust to 40 mph 
will be possible until sunset. 

$$

KYZ058-068-069-079-080-083>088-111-114>117-012245-
/O.EXP.KJKL.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230401T2200Z/
Estill-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Knox-Bell-Harlan-Lee-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, 
McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, 
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Beattyville, Booneville, Hazard, 
Manchester, and Hyden
540 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

The gusty west to northwest winds will continue to diminish
through the evening, though an occasional wind gust to 40 mph 
will be possible until sunset. 

$$

GREIF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Mar 31, 2:06 PM EDT, 1 hour 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 2:06 PM EDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
206 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1215 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2023

Hourly grids have been fine tuned to account for recent, radar,
model, observation, and lighting data. Lighting was occurring in
convection near and a tier of counties either side of the Louis
Nunn Pkwy/KY to Rogers Pkwy in our southwest and west a bit
further east than the previous forecast. Also, with this ongoing
convection, pops were increased for the next couple of hours in
the southwest compared to the previous forecast. This stronger
convection may lead to a corridor of a bit higher qpf from the
Pulaski County area to near JKL to the WV border during the day
today and lead to some higher totals for the entire event as
compared to the previous forecast. The 12Z HRRR also has some
higher event totals than the previous runs. Trends for QPF, wind
gusts Sat, timing of stronger gusts on Sat, as well as magnitude
continue to be evaluated for the afternoon issuance.

As for severe chances late this evening to overnight, the greater
potential remains along the western tier of counties, primarily
for damaging winds though an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
However, strong to damaging winds gusts remain possible deeper
into the CWA overnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Saturday evening)
Issued at 843 AM EDT FRI MAR 31 2023

A complex short term period is expected to play out ahead of a
robust low pressure system, with a line of storms expected overnight
tonight, and strong Wind Advisory criteria winds tonight through
Saturday.

A strong closed upper level low will be present across the Central
and Northern Plains during the day today, creating deep troughing
across the central portion of the Conus. This will coincide to 991mb
surface low slightly displaced to the east at 18Z Friday. This will
continue to strengthen to 985-957mb by the time it reaches the Upper
Great Lakes region early Saturday morning and throughout the day.

A warm front associated with this system will set up across the Ohio
Valley through the day. Strong southerly flow in the low levels, and
SW flow aloft, will help to advect in deep moisture. Rain showers
and a few rumbles of thunder are likely throughout the first half of
the day as KY finds itself in the warm generally wet sector. Latest
CAMs show the best potential for showers/storms slowly lifting
northward throughout the day, with a period of drying by late
afternoon and into the evening. The associated cold front will then
come sweeping through overnight, with a line of showers and storms.
All signs for the last few days have pointed towards a QLCS type
system. Looking at the system yesterday, if any portions of the line
bulge, they could become a bit more orthogonal with the mean flow,
and may lead to some stronger winds with more momentum transfer.
This will be something to watch. Otherwise, instability continues to
wain the farther east the system gets into Kentucky, but with so
much shear available, and bowing segments, can't rule out an
isolated short tornado.

The system could have some heavy rain associated with it, but it is
quite progressive, so total amounts will still be quite low,
generally 1.25 inches or lower over 24-36 hours. After collaborating
with WPC, they agreed to back off on the slight risk of excessive
rainfall across much of our CWA.

The cold front and associated rain/storms will exit the CWA by 12Z.
A few CAMS do show some wrap around moisture possibly advecting back
into the central and eastern portion of the state by late in the day
Saturday, but moisture seems to be lacking. Went ahead and left out
for now, though neighboring offices do include it farther to our
north. Otherwise the big concern on Saturday is going to be post-
frontal winds. A strong upper level jet streak will develop across
the Commonwealth and TN valley, farther up the Appalachia chain,
following some tight pressure gradients aloft. But more importantly,
at the surface a strong low level jet will be in place. Technically,
it will first set up overnight Friday night, which means that any
showers or that move through could mix down some pretty strong winds
outside of any storms. Then as we head into the morning hours, and
better mixing takes hold behind the front, momentum transfer will
maximize and winds will begin mixing down the surface. The jet will
shift northeast throughout the day, eventually exiting eastern KY by
the afternoon hours. Ultimately, the trend the last couple forecast
packages and models runs has been somewhat steady state if not
slightly lower than a couple days ago. Still looking at solid wind
advisory criteria through the afternoon on Saturday - with gusts
between 40 to 50 mph.

Once the jet exits and flow becomes more zonal aloft, winds will
settle down aloft. High pressure will also ease in from our west and
begin to take hold by the evening, as we transition to the extended
portion of the forecast.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 530 AM EDT FRI MAR 31 2023

The period will begin under the influence of high pressure where low
to mid 30s Sunday morning could equate to areas or widespread frost
formation and pose issues for sensitive vegetation. There is some
question to how quick cloud cover will thin out overnight Saturday,
which would play a roll in how cool temperatures get and the overall
frost potential. Meanwhile, in the upper levels the strong low and
attendant cold front that is expected to bring unsettled weather to
the area as of forecast issuance, will now be well north and west
near the vicinity of Maine. Heights will be on the rise as ridging
encompasses the Ohio Valley, before modifying into more zonal flow
by Monday. Broad ridging will be in place across the Gulf of Mexico,
while a series of shortwaves progress along the USA/Canadian border
through Tuesday. A frontal boundary will sag and settle across the
Ohio Valley as an area of low pressure pulls northeast of the Great
Lakes, bringing low end shower chances Monday. Further upstream, a
closed upper low will enter the Pacific Northwest where a deepening
trough will result through midweek. A surface low will be supported,
taking on lee side cyclogenesis along the aforementioned boundary
in the Central Plains into Tuesday evening.

As this feature strengthens into Wednesday, the northern boundary
will build north in the form of a warm front. With increasing
southerly return flow behind the building frontal zone, temperatures
will climb into the upper 70s and low 80s with dew points in the 50s
to low 60s. PWATs will increase into the 1.2-1.5" range, around the
90th percentile climatologically for early April. In terms of model
trend, guidance was not as aggressive in low strength compared to
recent runs, with the deterministic ECMWF the strongest but also
most progressive. The GFS and GEFS ensemble suit is much slower with
frontal passage, closer to early Thursday morning, so have veered
close to the NBM which was more a compromise of the differences.
Either way, there will be another opportunity for gusty winds as the
gradient tightens into Wednesday. Additionally, strong storms can't
be ruled out ahead of the approaching cold front as soundings
suggest a decent shot of elevated instability paired with 30 kts of
EBWD. Given the uncertainties in timing and strength, confidence is
low at this time but worth monitoring moving forward. With frontal
passage by Thursday morning, a chance for briefly drier conditions
will be possible before another approaching disturbance brings
renewed shower chances to close out the period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 205 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2023

Rounds of showers and thunderstorms continue to move across the
OH Valley Region, including eastern KY. Some reductions in vis and
or ceilings down into the MVFR range if not briefly IFR vis in
some cases have been occurring with this trend expected to
continue into the start of the forecast period. Southerly winds
should average 10 to 15KT to begin the period for the TAF sites
and remain near those levels during the first 6 to 9 hours of the
period. Otherwise, additional showers and some thunderstorms
should mix down higher winds from aloft during the 3Z to 9Z
timeframe with gusts upwards of 45KT as a cold front traverses the
area with convection along and in advance of it. Winds in the 10
to 20KT range should prevail during the 0Z to 12Z period, though
winds will become more southwest to west as the front passes. A
line or line segments of storms may accompany the front with
associated reductions in VIS and or ceilings at briefly into the
MVFR or lower range. This initial cold front will depart to the
east and southeast by 12Z, with shower chances ending by that time
in the southeast. A secondary cold front is expected to traverse
the area on Saturday bringing breezy winds as higher momentum from
a strong LLJ is transferred to the sfc after 12Z, especially
after 14Z. Gusts in excess of 40KT are forecast late in the
period.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Saturday for
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

&&

UPDATE...JP
SHORT TERM...JMW
LONG TERM...BB
AVIATION...JP
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 31, 11:58 AM EDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1158 AM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-011600-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City,
Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City,
Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville,
Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden,
Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
1158 AM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

A strong low pressure system and fast-moving cold front will bring
increasing thunderstorm chances through early Saturday morning. Some
of these storms, mainly late this evening and tonight, could produce
strong to damaging wind gusts as they pass through. An isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out with thunderstorms late this evening and
tonight. In addition, outside of thunderstorms, gusty winds are
anticipated, resulting in gusts of 40 to 45 mph through much of the
night.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Once the front moves through by early Saturday morning, wind gusts
of 40 to 50 mph are expected, especially from late Saturday morning
through late Saturday afternoon. Gusts over 50 mph are also
possible.

The threat of frost will return Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Warmer and more unsettled weather returns next week, with a renewed
threat for thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

JKL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 4:33 AM EDTWind AdvisoryJKLBath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 27 more30 hr

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in Kentucky, 2023Every high wind warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.