Tornado Warning 19, NWS Jackson, MS

574 
WWUS54 KJAN 090223
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
823 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

MSC065-090233-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-230209T0315Z/
Jefferson Davis MS-
823 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for south central
and central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3179 8994 3195 8993 3223 8986 3215 8953
      3177 8981
TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 197DEG 30KT 3182 8987 

$$

MSC121-127-129-090315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-230209T0315Z/
Rankin MS-Simpson MS-Smith MS-
823 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN RANKIN...EASTERN SIMPSON AND NORTHWESTERN SMITH
COUNTIES...
    
At 823 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Pinola, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Sanatorium around 835 PM CST.
  Mendenhall around 840 PM CST.
  Martinville around 845 PM CST.
  Cato around 855 PM CST.
  Johns and White Oak around 900 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include D'Lo
and Puckett.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3179 8994 3195 8993 3223 8986 3215 8953
      3177 8981
TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 197DEG 30KT 3182 8987 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DL

587 
WWUS54 KJAN 090227
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
827 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

MSC121-127-129-090315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-230209T0315Z/
Rankin MS-Simpson MS-Smith MS-
827 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN RANKIN...EASTERN SIMPSON AND NORTHWESTERN SMITH
COUNTIES...
        
At 827 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located 7 miles southwest of
Sanatorium, or 7 miles southeast of Pinola, moving north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Sanatorium around 840 PM CST.
  Mendenhall around 845 PM CST.
  Martinville around 850 PM CST.
  White Oak and Johns around 905 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include D'Lo
and Puckett.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3180 8990 3198 8991 3223 8986 3215 8953
      3179 8983
TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 201DEG 27KT 3182 8985 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DL

090 
WWUS54 KJAN 090237
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
837 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

MSC121-127-129-090315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-230209T0315Z/
Rankin MS-Simpson MS-Smith MS-
837 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN RANKIN...NORTHEASTERN SIMPSON AND NORTHWESTERN SMITH
COUNTIES...
    
At 837 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Sanatorium, or near Mendenhall, moving north at 35
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Mendenhall, White Oak, Martinville, Johns, Cato and Puckett. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3188 8989 3203 8990 3223 8986 3216 8957
      3186 8981
TIME...MOT...LOC 0237Z 197DEG 30KT 3191 8983 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

DL

294 
WWUS54 KJAN 090251
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
851 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

MSC121-127-129-090315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-230209T0315Z/
Rankin MS-Simpson MS-Smith MS-
851 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN RANKIN...NORTHEASTERN SIMPSON AND NORTHWESTERN SMITH
COUNTIES...
    
At 851 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Martinville, or near Mendenhall, moving north at 35
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
White Oak, Johns and Puckett. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3198 8987 3223 8986 3217 8961 3197 8976
TIME...MOT...LOC 0251Z 197DEG 30KT 3202 8979 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

DL

506 
WWUS54 KJAN 090259
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
859 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

MSC127-090309-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-230209T0315Z/
Simpson MS-
859 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SIMPSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3207 8981 3222 8983 3221 8976 3218 8963
      3206 8975
TIME...MOT...LOC 0259Z 197DEG 30KT 3209 8977 

$$

MSC121-129-090315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-230209T0315Z/
Rankin MS-Smith MS-
859 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN RANKIN AND NORTHWESTERN SMITH COUNTIES...
    
At 859 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Johns, or 10 miles northeast of Mendenhall, moving
north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Polkville and Puckett. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 8981 3222 8983 3221 8976 3218 8963
      3206 8975
TIME...MOT...LOC 0259Z 197DEG 30KT 3209 8977 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

DL

385 
WWUS54 KJAN 090311
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
911 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

MSC121-129-090321-
/O.EXP.KJAN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-230209T0315Z/
Rankin MS-Smith MS-
911 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN RANKIN AND NORTHWESTERN SMITH
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 915 PM CST...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Jackson.

LAT...LON 3207 8981 3222 8983 3221 8976 3218 8963
      3206 8975
TIME...MOT...LOC 0311Z 198DEG 30KT 3217 8974 

$$

DL

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
726 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 256 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

Tonight and Thursday...

The majority of the active part of the short term forecast will be
in the first half, with storms expected to be ongoing at the start
of the period and continuing overnight.

The synoptic setup is one that is favorable for severe weather as a
compact, negatively tilted shortwave trough is generating a surface
cyclone with a warm sector characterized by deep Gulf of Mexico
moisture. This system will be pushing a cold front across the area
overnight tonight. Ahead of the front, temperatures have warmed into
the 70s F to near 80 F in some locations and this with dewpoints in
the mid and upper 60s F is resulting in surface-based CAPE in the
1500-2000 J/KG range. This instability will wane a bit overnight but
should remain sufficient to support robust thunderstorm development
before storms begin to run into a more marginal thermodynamic
environment as they approach the Mississippi/Alabama border. Deep
layer shear will be increasing overnight and effective bulk shear at
or above 50 kts is likely. In the lowest 1 KM, substantial veering
and increasing winds with height will contribute to 200-300 M^2/S^2
storm relative helicity (SRH) with values locally higher. Overall,
the greatest threat will be the chance for tornadoes and damaging
winds with a chance for some mostly small hail.

While the entirety of the forecast area is at risk for strong to
severe storms today, the area of greatest risk will likely be in
portions of central and western Mississippi and into northeastern
Louisiana. An Enhanced Risk (3/5) for severe weather is in place in
those locations with a Slight Risk (2/5) for much of the remaining
area except far eastern Mississippi where a Marginal Risk (1/5).
Strong to severe storms likely first begin west of the Mississippi
River by mid afternoon and could begin to impact the I-55 corridor
near or shortly after dusk. In eastern Mississippi, the greatest
potential for strong storms will likely be after dark.

Concerning flood potential, areas along and south of I-20 will have
the highest risk. In this area, storm motions may be somewhat slower
than further north, the band or squall may be less meridional than
further north resulting in a greater chance for training, and
greater deep layer moisture will reside. For this reason, a Limited
Risk (1/4) for flash flooding was maintained in the Hazardous
Weather Outlook (HWO) products. Most areas will likely see under 2
inches pf accumulation, but periods of high rainfall rates and
localized higher amounts will pose greatest risk in urban, low-
lying, and poor drainage areas.

Ahead of the front and storms, gusty south winds will also be
possible particularly into portions of the Mississippi River delta
tonight as the pressure gradient strengthens alongside the diurnal
increases in velocity of the low-level jet. Winds may gust up to 40
mph in this areas. Further south to near I-20, gusty winds are also
expected but will likely not be as high, with gusts to 35 mph
possible. Primary hazards with this activity will be the potential
for difficult travel as well as the chance for some larger branches
and smaller trees to be felled.

After the front clears, cooler and drier air will be ushered in
quickly. Given the late night frontal passage, overnight lows won't
have too much time to fall but will still likely range from the
upper 50s F southeast to the middle 40s F northwest. Thursday will
be substantially cooler and dry. Cold air advection will be ongoing
and high temperatures will be 10-15 degrees cooler than today in the
middle 60s F. Winds will initially be breezy in the 10-15 kt range
through early morning but will diminish as the center of the high
pressure area moves overhead head into the evening. /86/

Thursday Night into Wednesday...
The overall progressive/active pattern looks to continue well into
next week. The first feature will be taking shape Fri ngt into Sat
in the form of an upper low with that energy getting closed off, but
maintaining movement as downstream larger scale features keep the
perturbed progressive pattern. Next will be a compact/potent feature
around the 14th followed by another potential large scale system
around the 16/17th.

With the first system Fri ngt/Sat, the diving jet energy will help
it close off in the mid/upper levels. This will pose some challenges
as trying to forecast the exact track of the upper feature is tough
and various guidance indicates this with spacial differences. This
mainly will have impacts on where precip/clouds will exist. I'll add
that this latest run of guidance is offering a greater consensus for
measuring precip in some of the forecast area, thus PoPs have
increased. I feel these should be higher, but uncertainty in the
location of precip is a concern for not going higher at the moment,
thus anticipate higher precip chances with newer forecasts.
Additionally, this cold upper low will offer opportunity for a
dynamic cooling situation. Meaning the column will cool with
increasing precip and rates. The question becomes, will the
underlying environment be sufficiently cold at the start to allow
for any dynamic cooling effects to allow temps to reach 33-34
degrees within precip to support a change over to snow. At this time
confidence is low in that, but I do recognize that models struggle
with such a scenario. With that, not going to mention and mix or
changeover to snow in the official forecast, but this is something
to watch closely.

This closed off feature will have impacts on how the following
system interacts with available moisture. Right now, the trend is
for the cooler and less moist air to push more south into the Gulf,
thus limiting the moisture quality in the return flow to support
deep convection. Guidance has been decently consistent with showing
the potency with this system and how the surface cyclone may
evolve. So, having less quality moisture available for this system
looks to be a limitation and something to allow for potentially less
impacts to our area when it moves through.

There will be another system on the heels of the one just discussed.
This looks to be more of a larger scale system that could bring a
round of convection and heavy precip as more quality moisture will
be close by. This system is just beyond the official forecast
period, but something we will be watching.

The overall temperature forecast will be seasonal, but well below
normal conditions will exist Friday ngt into Sun morning. The area
looks to see a decent freeze Sun morning as well. Look for
moderation for the following work week, but anticipate some
variation due to the Tue system. /CME/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 720 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

Numerous TSRA were noted on radar over the western half of the
area. This activity will spread into east MS TAF sites during the
next several hours. Away from TSRA activity where even lower
flight conditions wl be psbl, a mix of MVFR and VFR cigs along
with a gusty south wind wl prevail until after 07Z when a cold
front will move in from the west and begin to improve conditions.
VFR conditions and a lighter nw wind wl prevail areawide by 14Z.
/22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       48  65  43  62 / 100   0  10  10
Meridian      53  67  45  64 / 100  20  10  10
Vicksburg     45  65  42  62 / 100   0  10  10
Hattiesburg   56  67  48  63 / 100  40  20  20
Natchez       46  66  45  62 / 100   0  10  10
Greenville    45  61  42  57 / 100   0   0  10
Greenwood     48  62  42  61 / 100   0   0  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for MSZ018-019-025-026-034.

LA...None.
AR...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for ARZ074-075.

&&

LP/CME/22

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-029-030-032>034-038-040-041-046-052-
057-058-100200-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Bolivar-Webster-
Clay-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Winston-Issaquena-Sharkey-
Kemper-Lauderdale-Jasper-Clarke-
747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, and north
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ019-100200-
Sunflower-
747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, a few downed trees and power lines are possible due to
sustained winds ranging up to 25 mph and potential for wind gusts
over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ026>028-035>037-042>045-050-051-100200-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Scott-Newton-
747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to
70 mph and small hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ031-039-100200-
Lowndes-Noxubee-
747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

LAZ015-016-023>025-100200-
Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-
747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in
low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ047-053>056-059-061>065-072-100200-
Warren-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jefferson-Franklin MS-
Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Marion-
747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to
70 mph and small hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in
low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ048-049-100200-
Hinds-Rankin-
747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to
70 mph and small hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in
low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

LAZ026-MSZ060-066-073-074-100200-
Concordia-Adams-Jones-Lamar-Forrest-
747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of and northeast
Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in
low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ025-100200-
Leflore-
747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to
70 mph and small hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, a few downed trees and power lines are possible due to
sustained winds ranging up to 25 mph and potential for wind gusts
over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

0

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
631 PM CST WED FEB 8 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0508 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E BOGUE CHITTO        31.44N 90.42W
02/08/2023                   LINCOLN            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ACROSS BOGUE CHITTO RD NEAR
            PILLARS RD.

&&

CE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
636 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

MSZ025-090100-
Leflore MS-
636 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Leflore County
through 700 PM CST...

At 636 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Itta Bena, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Itta Bena around 640 PM CST.
  Greenwood around 655 PM CST.
  Money around 700 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Schlater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for north central
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3377 9019 3375 9030 3373 9031 3370 9030
      3370 9027 3374 9024 3372 9022 3372 9014
      3368 9014 3365 9010 3361 9011 3351 9010
      3339 9024 3340 9044 3381 9038 3381 9028
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 220DEG 35KT 3345 9036

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

DB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
648 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

MSZ063-090130-
Lawrence MS-
648 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Lawrence County through 730 PM CST...

At 648 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Wanilla, or 19 miles southwest of Pinola, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern
Lawrence County, including the following locations... New Hebron.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for central and
south central Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 9016 3175 9014 3176 9013 3175 9009
      3176 9000 3176 8997 3170 8997 3157 9006
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 202DEG 16KT 3162 9009

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

DL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
702 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

MSZ059>061-090145-
Adams MS-Jefferson MS-Franklin MS-
702 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Jefferson, northwestern Franklin and northeastern Adams Counties
through 745 PM CST...

At 702 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Sibley, or 13 miles south of Natchez, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Natchez, Cranfield, Stampley, Stanton, Church Hill, Hamburg, Mcnair,
Kingston and Sibley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3140 9147 3179 9123 3163 9095 3136 9126
      3137 9126 3137 9127 3136 9128 3136 9131
      3134 9135 3134 9138 3133 9139 3132 9142
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 213DEG 41KT 3137 9140

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

DL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
804 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

MSZ049-055-090245-
Rankin MS-Simpson MS-
804 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Rankin
and north central Simpson Counties through 845 PM CST...

At 804 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
D'Lo, moving north at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Piney Woods around 815 PM CST.
  Cato around 825 PM CST.
  Johns around 835 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include D'Lo and Braxton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 8991 3194 9001 3221 8998 3216 8975
TIME...MOT...LOC 0204Z 198DEG 21KT 3198 8995

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
817 PM CST WED FEB 8 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0729 PM     TORNADO          3 SW TILTON             31.39N 90.07W
02/08/2023                   LAWRENCE           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SHINGLES OFF A HOME AND WINDOWS BLOWN OUT.
            BARN WITH TIN BLOWN OFF AND ROUGHLY 80% OF
            THE ROOF OFF. THIS IS ALONG GIVENS MULLINS
            RD.

&&

CE