Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Warnings in 2023
Flash Flood Warning 13, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood warning at Feb 8, 2023, 11:59 PM CST for Forrest County, Lamar County, Mississippi. It was in force for 91 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 8, 2023, 11:59 PM CST (05:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 9, 2023, 1:30 AM CST
- In force
- 91 min
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Forrest County, MS, Lamar County, MS
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1259 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 543 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 188 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 227 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.9
- Supercell composite
- 4.8
The text
As transmitted.
410
WGUS54 KJAN 090559
FFWJAN
MSC035-073-090800-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0013.230209T0559Z-230209T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1159 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Forrest County in southeastern Mississippi...
Southeastern Lamar County in southeastern Mississippi...
* Until 200 AM CST.
* At 1159 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 3 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Hattiesburg, Petal, West Hattiesburg, Purvis, Lumberton, Rock
Hill, Mclaurin, Pine Ridge, Brooklyn, Sunrise, Maxie and Macedonia.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
&&
LAT...LON 3101 8962 3143 8930 3143 8915 3091 8914
3091 8934 3100 8934 3101 8935 3101 8942
3098 8943 3098 8948 3100 8948 3100 8950
3101 8950 3101 8955 3100 8955
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
$$
EC2 follow-up statements
809
WGUS74 KJAN 090652
FFSJAN
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1252 AM CST Thu Feb 9 2023
MSC035-073-090800-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-230209T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Forrest MS-Lamar MS-
1252 AM CST Thu Feb 9 2023
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING FOR FORREST AND SOUTHEASTERN LAMAR COUNTIES...
At 1252 AM CST, Doppler radar indicated additional showers and
thunderstorms producing heavy rain moving back into the warned area.
Between 2 and 3 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall
amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash
flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
drainage and low-lying areas.
Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Hattiesburg, Petal, West Hattiesburg, Purvis, Lumberton, Rock
Hill, Mclaurin, Pine Ridge, Brooklyn, Sunrise, Maxie and Macedonia.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
&&
LAT...LON 3101 8962 3143 8930 3143 8915 3091 8914
3091 8934 3100 8934 3101 8935 3101 8942
3098 8943 3098 8948 3100 8948 3100 8950
3101 8950 3101 8955 3100 8955
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
$$
EC066
WGUS74 KJAN 090730
FFSJAN
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
130 AM CST Thu Feb 9 2023
MSC035-073-090740-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-230209T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Forrest MS-Lamar MS-
130 AM CST Thu Feb 9 2023
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR FORREST AND SOUTHEASTERN
LAMAR COUNTIES...
The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat.
LAT...LON 3101 8962 3143 8930 3143 8915 3091 8914
3091 8934 3100 8934 3101 8935 3101 8942
3098 8943 3098 8948 3100 8948 3100 8950
3101 8950 3101 8955 3100 8955
$$
ECWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 8, 9:58 PM CST, 2 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 8, 9:58 PM CST, 2 hours 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 958 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 ...New MESOSCALE UPDATE... .MESOSCALE UPDATE... Issued at 935 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 Mid evening surface analysis had a 1006mb low over southern Missouri with an associated cold front nearing our northwest most zones. Mid evening water vapor imagery/RAP analysis showed a closed low spinning over northeast Oklahoma. This closed low will track northeast the remainder of the night and drag the cold front across our area. Ahead of the cold front the potential for damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado or two will remain possible. Local radars suggest this potential for severe storms will continue generally along an east of I-55. In addition to damaging wind gusts, locally heavy rain will continue across much of the eastern half of the CWA generally along and south of I-20. This potential for severe storms and locally heavy rain will continue past mid night over east Mississippi before the threat shifts east. /22/ && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 256 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 Tonight and Thursday... The majority of the active part of the short term forecast will be in the first half, with storms expected to be ongoing at the start of the period and continuing overnight. The synoptic setup is one that is favorable for severe weather as a compact, negatively tilted shortwave trough is generating a surface cyclone with a warm sector characterized by deep Gulf of Mexico moisture. This system will be pushing a cold front across the area overnight tonight. Ahead of the front, temperatures have warmed into the 70s F to near 80 F in some locations and this with dewpoints in the mid and upper 60s F is resulting in surface-based CAPE in the 1500-2000 J/KG range. This instability will wane a bit overnight but should remain sufficient to support robust thunderstorm development before storms begin to run into a more marginal thermodynamic environment as they approach the Mississippi/Alabama border. Deep layer shear will be increasing overnight and effective bulk shear at or above 50 kts is likely. In the lowest 1 KM, substantial veering and increasing winds with height will contribute to 200-300 M^2/S^2 storm relative helicity (SRH) with values locally higher. Overall, the greatest threat will be the chance for tornadoes and damaging winds with a chance for some mostly small hail. While the entirety of the forecast area is at risk for strong to severe storms today, the area of greatest risk will likely be in portions of central and western Mississippi and into northeastern Louisiana. An Enhanced Risk (3/5) for severe weather is in place in those locations with a Slight Risk (2/5) for much of the remaining area except far eastern Mississippi where a Marginal Risk (1/5). Strong to severe storms likely first begin west of the Mississippi River by mid afternoon and could begin to impact the I-55 corridor near or shortly after dusk. In eastern Mississippi, the greatest potential for strong storms will likely be after dark. Concerning flood potential, areas along and south of I-20 will have the highest risk. In this area, storm motions may be somewhat slower than further north, the band or squall may be less meridional than further north resulting in a greater chance for training, and greater deep layer moisture will reside. For this reason, a Limited Risk (1/4) for flash flooding was maintained in the Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) products. Most areas will likely see under 2 inches pf accumulation, but periods of high rainfall rates and localized higher amounts will pose greatest risk in urban, low- lying, and poor drainage areas. Ahead of the front and storms, gusty south winds will also be possible particularly into portions of the Mississippi River delta tonight as the pressure gradient strengthens alongside the diurnal increases in velocity of the low-level jet. Winds may gust up to 40 mph in this areas. Further south to near I-20, gusty winds are also expected but will likely not be as high, with gusts to 35 mph possible. Primary hazards with this activity will be the potential for difficult travel as well as the chance for some larger branches and smaller trees to be felled. After the front clears, cooler and drier air will be ushered in quickly. Given the late night frontal passage, overnight lows won't have too much time to fall but will still likely range from the upper 50s F southeast to the middle 40s F northwest. Thursday will be substantially cooler and dry. Cold air advection will be ongoing and high temperatures will be 10-15 degrees cooler than today in the middle 60s F. Winds will initially be breezy in the 10-15 kt range through early morning but will diminish as the center of the high pressure area moves overhead head into the evening. /86/ Thursday Night into Wednesday... The overall progressive/active pattern looks to continue well into next week. The first feature will be taking shape Fri ngt into Sat in the form of an upper low with that energy getting closed off, but maintaining movement as downstream larger scale features keep the perturbed progressive pattern. Next will be a compact/potent feature around the 14th followed by another potential large scale system around the 16/17th. With the first system Fri ngt/Sat, the diving jet energy will help it close off in the mid/upper levels. This will pose some challenges as trying to forecast the exact track of the upper feature is tough and various guidance indicates this with spacial differences. This mainly will have impacts on where precip/clouds will exist. I'll add that this latest run of guidance is offering a greater consensus for measuring precip in some of the forecast area, thus PoPs have increased. I feel these should be higher, but uncertainty in the location of precip is a concern for not going higher at the moment, thus anticipate higher precip chances with newer forecasts. Additionally, this cold upper low will offer opportunity for a dynamic cooling situation. Meaning the column will cool with increasing precip and rates. The question becomes, will the underlying environment be sufficiently cold at the start to allow for any dynamic cooling effects to allow temps to reach 33-34 degrees within precip to support a change over to snow. At this time confidence is low in that, but I do recognize that models struggle with such a scenario. With that, not going to mention and mix or changeover to snow in the official forecast, but this is something to watch closely. This closed off feature will have impacts on how the following system interacts with available moisture. Right now, the trend is for the cooler and less moist air to push more south into the Gulf, thus limiting the moisture quality in the return flow to support deep convection. Guidance has been decently consistent with showing the potency with this system and how the surface cyclone may evolve. So, having less quality moisture available for this system looks to be a limitation and something to allow for potentially less impacts to our area when it moves through. There will be another system on the heels of the one just discussed. This looks to be more of a larger scale system that could bring a round of convection and heavy precip as more quality moisture will be close by. This system is just beyond the official forecast period, but something we will be watching. The overall temperature forecast will be seasonal, but well below normal conditions will exist Friday ngt into Sun morning. The area looks to see a decent freeze Sun morning as well. Look for moderation for the following work week, but anticipate some variation due to the Tue system. /CME/ && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 720 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 Numerous TSRA were noted on radar over the western half of the area. This activity will spread into east MS TAF sites during the next several hours. Away from TSRA activity where even lower flight conditions wl be psbl, a mix of MVFR and VFR cigs along with a gusty south wind wl prevail until after 07Z when a cold front will move in from the west and begin to improve conditions. VFR conditions and a lighter nw wind wl prevail areawide by 14Z. /22/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 48 65 43 62 / 90 0 10 10 Meridian 53 67 45 64 / 100 20 10 10 Vicksburg 45 65 42 62 / 70 0 10 10 Hattiesburg 56 67 48 63 / 90 40 20 20 Natchez 46 66 45 62 / 70 0 10 10 Greenville 45 61 42 57 / 70 0 0 10 Greenwood 48 62 42 61 / 100 0 0 10 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for MSZ018-019-025-026-034. LA...None. AR...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for ARZ074-075. && LP/CME/22
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 8, 7:47 PM CST, 4 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-029-030-032>034-038-040-041-046-052- 057-058-100200- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Bolivar-Webster- Clay-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Winston-Issaquena-Sharkey- Kemper-Lauderdale-Jasper-Clarke- 747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, and north central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Tonight Tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. MSZ019-100200- Sunflower- 747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Tonight Tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Tonight, a few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained winds ranging up to 25 mph and potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. MSZ026>028-035>037-042>045-050-051-100200- Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Yazoo- Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Scott-Newton- 747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and north central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Tonight Tonight, severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and small hail. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. MSZ031-039-100200- Lowndes-Noxubee- 747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Tonight Tonight, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. LAZ015-016-023>025-100200- Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas- 747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Tonight Tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. MSZ047-053>056-059-061>065-072-100200- Warren-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jefferson-Franklin MS- Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Marion- 747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and west central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Tonight Tonight, severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and small hail. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. MSZ048-049-100200- Hinds-Rankin- 747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Tonight Tonight, severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and small hail. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 20 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. LAZ026-MSZ060-066-073-074-100200- Concordia-Adams-Jones-Lamar-Forrest- 747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of and northeast Louisiana. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Tonight Tonight, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. MSZ025-100200- Leflore- 747 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Tonight Tonight, severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and small hail. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Tonight, a few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained winds ranging up to 25 mph and potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. 0 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible. Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely with strong tornadoes possible. Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible. Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. *NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS* Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts greater than 50 mph. Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected. *FLOODING* Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely. Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely and significant flooding is possible. Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely. Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/ ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES... Current Watches and Warnings... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain Observed Precipitation Images... https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps River Forecast Center... https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/ Significant River Flood Outlook... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml Excessive Rainfall Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html Day 1 through 7 QPF... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml QPF Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 8, 9:58 PM CST, 2 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
958 PM CST WED FEB 8 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0912 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 NW TERRY 32.17N 90.36W
02/08/2023 HINDS MS TRAINED SPOTTER
TWO WINDOWS WERE BLOWN OUT OF A HOUSE AND
DEBRIS WAS BLOWN INTO VEHICLES AND A GARAGE
DOOR OFF CARROLL DR.
&&
DLSpecial weather statement, Feb 8, 10:03 PM CST, 1 hour 56 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1003 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023
MSZ056-090445-
Smith MS-
1003 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Smith
County through 1045 PM CST...
At 1003 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Mount Olive, or 7 miles east of Magee, moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Center Ridge and Mize.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for central,
southeastern and east central Mississippi.
&&
LAT...LON 3184 8966 3185 8965 3208 8947 3196 8932
3194 8932 3178 8959 3178 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0403Z 225DEG 23KT 3184 8960
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
DLSpecial weather statement, Feb 8, 10:06 PM CST, 1 hour 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1006 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023
MSZ036-037-043-044-090445-
Attala MS-Leake MS-Madison MS-Holmes MS-
1006 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Leake,
southeastern Holmes, Attala and northeastern Madison Counties through
1045 PM CST...
At 1005 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Goodman, or near Durant, moving northeast at 60 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Durant around 1010 PM CST.
Mcadams around 1015 PM CST.
Possumneck around 1020 PM CST.
Hesterville around 1025 PM CST.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Mccool, Ethel, Sallis,
Redwater and West.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for central and
north central Mississippi.
&&
LAT...LON 3319 8932 3289 8932 3259 8995 3278 9003
3283 9002 3284 8999 3288 8997 3292 9008
3300 9011 3324 8984 3322 8975 3329 8970
3329 8941
TIME...MOT...LOC 0405Z 225DEG 52KT 3298 8986
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
DBLocal storm report, Feb 8, 10:29 PM CST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1029 PM CST WED FEB 8 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1010 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW BROOKHAVEN 31.57N 90.46W
02/08/2023 LINCOLN MS TRAINED SPOTTER
FLOODING REPORTED ALONG US 51 IN BROOKHAVEN
AND SOME YARDS FLOODED.
&&
DLSpecial weather statement, Feb 8, 10:46 PM CST, 1 hour 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1046 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023
MSZ032-033-038-039-045-046-090545-
Kemper MS-Oktibbeha MS-Neshoba MS-Noxubee MS-Winston MS-Choctaw MS-
1046 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern Choctaw,
western Noxubee, western Kemper, Oktibbeha, Winston and Neshoba
Counties through 1145 PM CST...
At 1046 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Ackerman to near Prospect. Movement was
northeast at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Strong thunderstorms will be near...
Ackerman around 1055 PM CST.
Bethsaida and House around 1105 PM CST.
Forestdale and Longview around 1115 PM CST.
Starkville around 1120 PM CST.
Bluff Springs around 1125 PM CST.
Preston around 1130 PM CST.
Gholson and Muldrow around 1140 PM CST.
Other locations impacted by these storms include Noxapater, Tucker
and Sturgis.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for east central
Mississippi.
&&
LAT...LON 3258 8924 3330 8928 3357 8869 3345 8867
3329 8867 3329 8864 3262 8853
TIME...MOT...LOC 0446Z 232DEG 37KT 3326 8925 3258 8920
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
DBSpecial weather statement, Feb 8, 10:59 PM CST, 1 hour before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1059 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023
MSZ046-051-052-090600-
Kemper MS-Lauderdale MS-Newton MS-
1059 PM CST Wed Feb 8 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of eastern Newton,
southern Kemper and Lauderdale Counties through MIDNIGHT CST...
At 1058 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Herbert Springs to 7 miles southwest of
Duffee to 6 miles northeast of Garlandville. Movement was east at 40
mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Strong thunderstorms will be near...
Duffee around 1105 PM CST.
Suqualena and Martin around 1110 PM CST.
Meridian, Nellieburg and Meehan around 1115 PM CST.
Prismatic and Savoy around 1120 PM CST.
Daleville around 1125 PM CST.
Meridian Station, Marion and Zero around 1130 PM CST.
Lauderdale, Toomsuba, Tamola and Increase around 1140 PM CST.
Kewanee around 1145 PM CST.
Other locations impacted by these storms include Chunky.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for east central
Mississippi.
&&
LAT...LON 3223 8843 3223 8902 3240 8895 3258 8900
3258 8892 3260 8891 3263 8838
TIME...MOT...LOC 0458Z 260DEG 35KT 3257 8897 3240 8898 3227 8903
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
22The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 6:09 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Grenada | 36 min |
| Feb 8, 6:36 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Leflore | 24 min |
| Feb 8, 6:48 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Lawrence | 42 min |
| Feb 8, 7:02 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Adams | 43 min |
| Feb 8, 7:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion | 46 min |
| Feb 8, 7:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Adams | 49 min |
| Feb 8, 7:55 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Lawrence, Lincoln | 2 hr |
| Feb 8, 7:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln | 61 min |
| Feb 8, 8:04 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Simpson | 41 min |
| Feb 8, 8:08 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Rankin, Simpson | 26 min |
| Feb 8, 8:19 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Rankin, Simpson, Smith | 56 min |
| Feb 8, 8:53 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Copiah, Lincoln | 52 min |
| Feb 8, 9:05 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Lincoln | 2 hr |
| Feb 8, 9:29 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Covington | 46 min |
| Feb 8, 9:40 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Rankin, Simpson | 2 hr |
| Feb 8, 9:48 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Leake, Scott | 27 min |
| Feb 8, 9:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Newton, Scott, Smith | 40 min |
| Feb 8, 10:03 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Smith | 42 min |
| Feb 8, 10:06 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Attala | 39 min |
| Feb 8, 10:21 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jasper, Newton, Scott, Smith | 39 min |
| Feb 8, 10:46 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Kemper, Neshoba, Oktibbeha, Winston | 59 min |
| Feb 8, 10:59 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Lauderdale | 61 min |
| Feb 9, 8:03 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Noxubee | 25 hr |
| Feb 9, 10:22 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Carroll, Leflore | 58 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2023Every flash flood warning in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.