Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 97, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 17, 2023Stafford County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 17, 2023, 8:18 PM CDT for Stafford County, Kansas. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 17, 2023, 8:18 PM CDT (01:18 UTC)
Expired: Jun 17, 2023, 9:00 PM CDT
In force: 42 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Stafford County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 17, 4:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2103 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1060 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 87 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.3
Supercell composite: 2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

654 
WUUS53 KDDC 180118
SVRDDC
KSC185-180200-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0097.230618T0118Z-230618T0200Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
818 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Central Stafford County in south central Kansas...

* Until 900 PM CDT.

* At 817 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located very near Dillwyn,
  moving northeast at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Hudson and Seward around 835 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3786 9881 3798 9898 3800 9896 3800 9891
      3806 9891 3826 9873 3826 9847 3815 9847
TIME...MOT...LOC 0117Z 218DEG 42KT 3799 9884 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

TATRO

1 follow-up statement

636 
WWUS53 KDDC 180134
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
834 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

KSC185-180200-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0097.000000T0000Z-230618T0200Z/
Stafford KS-
834 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL STAFFORD COUNTY...

At 834 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near St. John,
moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Hudson and Seward.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3788 9879 3800 9892 3800 9891 3806 9891
      3826 9873 3826 9847 3815 9847
TIME...MOT...LOC 0134Z 216DEG 32KT 3808 9876 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

TATRO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 17, 6:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 6:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
652 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

...updated aviation section...

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight and tomorrow)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

A stationary boundary exists today from central Kansas southwest to
the Texas panhandle. This front could have mesoscale impacts later
this evening. In the meantime, upslope flow behind the front will continue
this afternoon and evening, particularly for the high plains of Colorado
into western Kansas. As a result of this flow, afternoon storms are
expected to develop across the higher terrain of Colorado. These storms
will eventually start to move across the Kansas prairie mid to late
evening tonight. Expect storms to cross the state line in the 6 to
8 pm timeframe. A squall line of storms is expected by this evening
across western Kansas. Therefore, the main threat with this activity
will be intense convective outflow of 60 to 80 mph. It was interesting
that the RRFS has outflows of 90+ mph. It's a model, so not taking
it verbatim, but still interesting nonetheless the output is that high.
Forecast skew-t/log-p's show a mixed low level BL with plenty of DCAPE
forecast. With upscale growth in combination of the DCAPE, it is would
seem prudent that some seriously strong outflows will be possible this
evening across the FA. The second area of interest for another separate
area of storms is along and south of the front. Here, higher MUCAPE
will be possible in association with the higher dews. Directional shear
is high enough for supercells, although speed shear could be a bit
lacking. The main question for this second area of storms (roughly
SE of KDDC), is what storm mode will be and if storms will interact
with the front or not. If storms remain discrete supercells, the the
main threats would be very large hail and damaging winds. If storms
do interact with the front, then an isolated tornado may be possible
as well. Overall, have much higher confidence of the first area of
storms spreading across the FA then the second area. The front has
already moved fairly well south, so this may limit the potential for
the second area of storms versus the first. Otherwise, for the rest
of the short term, dry conditions are expected Sunday with near normal
temps.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

We will return back to a normal Summer time pattern Monday. A shortwave
ridge will build over the FA during this period. Highs should peak
into the 90s and the forecast should be storm-free. Shortwave ridging
should continue Tuesday as well with hot highs and dry conditions continuing.
On Wednesday, a weak shortwave will move across the area. This feature
could spark off storms during the evening. Opportunities for storms
will continue for the rest of the business week. Coverage will be widely
scattered/hit-or-miss type of activity. Temperatures should be close
to seasonal normal to finish out the rest of the long term.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 651 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

Widespread strong to severe convective outflow will imminently
impact the area terminals over the next 4 hours or so before a
eastward moving linear convection system exits into central Kansas
after dark. Some areas could see high end winds as well around 80
mph, with potential for hail with a few leading supercells. Heavy
rain rates will probably lead to 1-2 mi vsby and IFR ceilings for
short duration in the greatest rain rates.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  57  86  62  93 /  90   0   0   0
GCK  55  87  60  93 /  90   0   0   0
EHA  53  87  58  95 /  70   0   0   0
LBL  55  88  60  96 /  90   0   0   0
HYS  58  86  62  95 /  80   0   0   0
P28  62  87  63  95 / 100   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...99

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 17, 2:51 AM CDT, 17 hours 27 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
251 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-180800-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
251 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023 /151 AM MDT Sat Jun 17 2023/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing strong damaging winds of
70 mph, hail up to 4 inches and heavy rainfall will be possible
after 5pm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Probability of hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Limited Spotter Activation may be required after 5pm south of a
Syracuse to Garden City to Dodge City to Pratt line.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 17, 7:32 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
732 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0654 PM     Hail             2 W Tice                37.52N 100.76W
06/17/2023  M3.00 inch       Haskell            KS   Storm Chaser

            3.25 inches.

&&

Local storm report, Jun 17, 7:36 PM CDT, 42 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
736 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0654 PM     Hail             2 W Tice                37.51N 100.76W
06/17/2023  E3.00 inch       Haskell            KS   Public

            3.25 inches.

&&

Local storm report, Jun 17, 7:40 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
740 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0654 PM     Hail             2 WSW Tice              37.51N 100.76W
06/17/2023  M3.00 inch       Haskell            KS   Public

            Picture of 3.25 hail shared on social media.

&&

AS

Special weather statement, Jun 17, 7:45 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
745 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

KSZ043-044-063-180115-
Finney KS-Lane KS-Scott KS-
745 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Finney, southeastern Scott and southwestern Lane Counties through 815
PM CDT...

At 744 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles south of Amy, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Dighton, Manning, Grigston and Amy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern and west central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3817 10083 3856 10080 3856 10039 3818 10039
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 272DEG 9KT 3830 10066

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TATRO

Special weather statement, Jun 17, 7:46 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
746 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

KSZ087-088-180115-
Meade KS-Clark KS-
746 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Meade
and southwestern Clark Counties through 815 PM CDT...

At 745 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Englewood, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Englewood and Acres.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for southwestern
Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 10015 3724 10014 3726 9981 3700 9980
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 272DEG 9KT 3703 10006

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TATRO

Local storm report, Jun 17, 8:16 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
816 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 NW Ft. Dodge          37.76N 99.96W
06/17/2023  M63 MPH          Ford               KS   Mesonet

&&

MR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 17, 7:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	DDC	Finney, Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward	52 min
Jun 17, 7:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Lane	30 min
Jun 17, 7:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark	29 min
Jun 17, 7:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Clark, Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman, Meade	55 min
Jun 17, 8:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ford, Hodgeman	29 min
Jun 17, 8:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Kiowa, Pawnee	44 min
Jun 17, 8:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark, Comanche	71 min
Jun 17, 8:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Comanche, Kiowa	32 min
Jun 17, 8:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa, Pawnee, Pratt, Stafford	43 min
Jun 17, 9:00 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	DDC	Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward	6 hr
Jun 17, 9:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Rush	27 min
Jun 17, 9:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Pawnee, Rush, Stafford	41 min
Jun 17, 9:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber	40 min
Jun 17, 9:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber	35 min
Jun 17, 9:28 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee	3 hr
Jun 17, 9:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ellis, Trego	64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2023 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.