Alert archive / New York / Gale Watches in 2023
Gale Watch 4, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale watch at Mar 17, 2023, 4:34 AM EDT. It took effect at Mar 18, 2023, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 17, 2023, 4:34 AM EDT (08:34 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 18, 2023, 8:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 17, 2023, 1:51 PM EDT
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted.
052 WHUS71 KBUF 170834 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 434 AM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 LOZ030-171645- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0035.230317T2200Z-230319T1800Z/ Lower Niagara River- 434 AM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-171645- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0035.230317T1800Z-230318T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0004.230318T1200Z-230319T0900Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 434 AM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet expected. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 AM EDT Saturday. For the Gale Watch, from Saturday morning through late Saturday night. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ042-171645- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0035.230317T2100Z-230318T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0004.230318T1500Z-230319T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 434 AM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet expected. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Saturday. For the Gale Watch, from Saturday morning through Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ043>045-171645- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0035.230318T0000Z-230318T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0004.230318T1800Z-230320T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 434 AM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds to 30 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 8 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Saturday. For the Gale Watch, from Saturday afternoon through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LEZ020-171645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0035.230317T1800Z-230319T1800Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 434 AM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062-171645- /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0004.230318T1500Z-230319T1800Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 434 AM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet possible. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From Saturday morning through Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ063>065-171645- /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0004.230318T1800Z-230320T0000Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 434 AM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet possible. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$
1 follow-up statement
802 WHUS71 KBUF 171751 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 151 PM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 LEZ040-041-180300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0035.230317T1800Z-230318T1200Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0004.230318T1200Z-230319T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0008.230318T1500Z-230319T0900Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 151 PM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO 5 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds to 30 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 11 AM Saturday to 5 AM EDT Sunday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ042-180300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0035.230317T2100Z-230318T1500Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0004.230318T1500Z-230319T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0008.230318T1500Z-230319T0900Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 151 PM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO 5 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 11 AM Saturday to 5 AM EDT Sunday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ043>045-180300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0035.230318T0000Z-230318T1800Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0004.230318T1800Z-230320T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0008.230318T1800Z-230319T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 151 PM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 2 PM Saturday to 11 AM EDT Sunday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 8 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ062-180300- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0004.230318T1500Z-230319T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0008.230318T1500Z-230319T0900Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 151 PM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO 5 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From 11 AM Saturday to 5 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ063>065-180300- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0004.230318T1800Z-230320T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0008.230318T1800Z-230319T1500Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 151 PM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 2 PM Saturday to 11 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ020-180300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0035.230317T1800Z-230319T1800Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 151 PM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ030-180300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0035.230317T2200Z-230319T1800Z/ Lower Niagara River- 151 PM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ JJR
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Mar 17, 4:31 AM EDT, 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 4:31 AM EDT, 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
431 AM EDT Fri Mar 17 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will cross the Great Lakes today with rain showers
and mild temperatures. A strong cold front will cross the area
late this afternoon and tonight. This will be followed by a
blustery and sharply colder weekend with the likelihood for
accumulating lake effect snow east and northeast of Lake Erie
and Lake Ontario.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A look at the regional radar mosaic early this morning shows a
large area of light to occasionally moderate rain covering all
of western New York over to the western Finger Lakes. This
activity tied to increasing moisture and warm advection as the
nose of a strong southerly 50+ knot low level jet spreads across
the region. This jet is well ahead of a western Great Lakes low
pressure system and associated strong cold front. Coverage of
rain may lessen a bit for a few hours this morning, but another
round of steady rain showers will enter the region by mid to
late morning and continue through the afternoon along and ahead
of the cold front. Rainfall amounts through today look to be
generally in the 0.33 to 0.75 inch range. A tightening gradient
and deep layer of strong winds will lead to gusty conditions
through the day today. Profiles indicating strengthening
southwesterly winds to 35 to 45 mph, perhaps even a bit higher
with the strongest winds focused northeast of Lake Erie from
Buffalo to Rochester. Peak wind gusts likely around the 3 pm to
7 pm time frame. It will be a mild day despite the rain showers
and winds, with high temperatures well into the 40s to the mid
50s.
Cold front crosses the region late this afternoon/early evening. The
frontal passage will bring an abrupt end to the steadier rain. Much
colder air pours into the region behind the front tonight with any
leftover rain showers mixing with and changing to snow by late
evening/early overnight. Colder air then deepens with some lake
effect snow showers developing east/northeast of the lakes toward
Saturday morning with some light accumulations possible.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
...Lake Effect Snow Headlines East of Both Lakes Saturday
Afternoon into Sunday...
An anomously deep trough will move across the eastern Great Lakes
region for the weekend. Cold air advection will be ongoing across
the region Saturday morning. Temperatures at 850mb will be around -
10C, and lake effect processes will be taking place. Disorganized
lake effect snow showers will be ongoing south of Buffalo and across
the northern Tug Hill region. A surface trough will approach the
Lakes Saturday morning and snow showers will become more organized
east of Lake Erie as southwest winds align with the long fetch of
the Lake. The opposite will occur east of Lake Ontario with snow
showers diminishing across the northern Tug Hill through the
morning. The surface trough will also bring an uptick in synoptic
moisture and surface convergence. This will expand snow showers
across the entire region where most locations will see a brief
window of snow. Behind the trough, colder air will move into the
region and gusty winds. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts 30-
40 mph can be expected by Saturday afternoon. The higher gusts will
be across the Niagara Frontier. Cold Saturday with highs in the low
to mid 30s, upper 20s across the higher terrain. The winds will make
it feel even colder with wind chills in the teens.
Increasing synoptic moisture will occur across the eastern Great
Lakes with equilibrium levels of 10-15k resulting in organized lake
effect bands east of both Lakes Saturday evening through Sunday.
East of Lake Erie... Initially, a band will organize from the
Lake Erie shoreline to just south of the City of Buffalo before
winds veer slightly and push the band from the Lake Erie
shoreline to the Southtowns and Wyoming county. The band will
then move further south into the western Southern Tier by Sunday
morning and with the loss of fetch, snow showers will become
weaker through Sunday morning. East of Lake Ontario... a more
intense lake effect band is likely as winds become aligned with
the long fetch of the lake. An upstream lake connection will
also increase snow production across the Tug Hill region.
Similarly to Lake Erie, winds will veer from the south-
southwest to the northwest Saturday night through Sunday. This
will cause the band to move south over that time period. For
both Lakes...snowfall rates will be greatest overnight and
likely reach 1- 2"/hour at times. Once the sun comes up Sunday,
the bands will become more cellular or disorganized. Localized
snowfall accumulations of greater than 7 inches are possible at
this time. Winds will remain gusty Saturday night with gusts
30-40kts and blowing snow is expected within the bands. A Winter
Storm Watch remains in effect for Chautauqua, Cattaraugus,
southern Erie and Wyoming counties east of Lake Erie and
Jefferson, Oswego, and Lewis counties east of Lake Ontario from
2pm Saturday to 2pm Sunday. Low temperatures will fall to the
upper teens to low 20s Saturday night with wind chills in the
single digits.
Disorganized lake effect snow showers may continue into Sunday
afternoon, however accumulation will greatly come down due to the
time of day. Gusty winds will continue Sunday with gusts up to
25mph. Winds will diminish from west to east through Sunday
afternoon. High temperatures will range from the upper 20s to low
30s with wind chills in the single digits to low teens.
Surface high pressure will build into the Ohio Valley Sunday night.
Warm air advection will take place across the region, however a
shortwave trough on the backside of the longwave trough will
approach the region. This feature and an uptick in synoptic
moisture while temperatures at 850mb remain cold enough for
lake effect processes east of Lake Ontario, may result in snow
showers redeveloping across the Tug Hill region. An additional
few inches can't be ruled out. Low temperatures will fall to the
low to mid 20s.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A flat mid-level ridge will build from the Great Lakes to the
Northeast Monday through Tuesday, with expansive surface high
pressure stretching from the Gulf of Mexico to New England. On
Monday, 850H temps initially around -8C across Lake Ontario may be
enough to continue snow showers through the morning. Conditions will
quickly become unfavorable for snow showers as subsidence and dry
air increase across the region. Dry weather then expected areawide
through at least Monday night.
Uncertainty in the evolution of the synoptic pattern grows moving
into Tuesday as there is a notable lack of consistency among the
guidance packages. A weak cold front is progged to drop southeast
through the region as a shortwave trough pivots from Ontario to
Quebec provinces, with a thin ribbon of moisture producing a few
light rain or snow showers. Given the high uncertainty, have added
some broad-brushed sChc PoPs (15-20) east of Lake Ontario Tuesday
through Tuesday night.
Moving into Wednesday night, mid-level ridging will shift eastward
as a large trough moves from the central Plains to the Great Lakes.
This will serve to lift a warm front across the Ohio Valley, with a
LLJ advecting deep moisture and overspreading showers across the
region through Thursday. Precip type at this range looks to be more
of the frozen variety or a wintry mix to start, then changing to all
rain on Thursday.
Otherwise, as surface high moves east of the region through midweek,
a light southerly return flow will initiate a warming trend.
Temperatures Monday and Monday night will average near normal, then
climbing to above normal for Tuesday and the rest of the week.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Rain showers across western New York will reach the eastern Lake
Ontario region after 10z. With the showers, expect mainly VFR
conditions to lower to MVFR this morning. In addition to the rain,
LLWS is expected for all terminals, generally through 16z.
Low pressure and a cold front will lift across the Great Lakes today
with periods of rain showers continuing. The showers will diminish
late in the day or early this evening, especially across lower
elevations. Flight conditions will be IFR to MVFR, mainly due to
lower ceilings. Southwest winds could gust to 35-40 kts from
20-24z at IAG and BUF.
Outlook...
Tonight...Mainly MVFR. Rain and snow showers increasing east of the
lakes, changing to snow. Chance of snow showers and flurries
elsewhere.
Saturday...Areas of MVFR with scattered snow showers.
Lake effect snow possible east/northeast of both Lakes Erie and
Ontario with localized IFR.
Sunday...Areas of MVFR/IFR in lake effect snow showers east and
southeast of the lakes.
Monday through Tuesday...Mainly VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
A period of strong and gusty winds arrives this afternoon,
persisting through Sunday. Gale force winds are possible
Saturday into Saturday night on both Lake Erie and Lake Ontario
where gale watches have been posted.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Storm Watch from Saturday afternoon through Sunday
afternoon for NYZ007-008-012-019-020-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT
Sunday for LEZ020.
Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 AM EDT
Saturday for LEZ040-041.
Gale Watch from Saturday morning through late Saturday
night for LEZ040-041.
Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 2 PM
EDT Sunday for LOZ030.
Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT
Saturday for LOZ042.
Gale Watch from Saturday morning through Sunday afternoon
for LOZ042-062.
Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT
Saturday for LOZ043>045.
Gale Watch from Saturday afternoon through Sunday evening
for LOZ043>045-063>065.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock/JM/TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...HSK
LONG TERM...HSK/PP
AVIATION...JLA/TMA
MARINE...JLA/TMAHazardous weather outlook, Mar 16, 3:30 PM EDT, 13 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 330 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2023 NYZ012-019-020-085-171930- Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- 330 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ010-011-171930- Northern Erie-Genesee- 330 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. A strong cold front will cross the region late Friday and Friday night, with wind gusts at or above 45 mph possible. Unseasonably cold air will move back into the region this weekend, with accumulating lake effect snow possible east of Lake Erie Saturday through Sunday. The heaviest snow will likely be Saturday night through Sunday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ001-002-171930- Niagara-Orleans- 330 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. A strong cold front will cross the region late Friday and Friday night, with wind gusts at or above 45 mph possible. Winds gusts up to 45 mph are possible again on Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ007-008-171930- Jefferson-Lewis- 330 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006-171930- Oswego- 330 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Unseasonably cold air will move back into the region this weekend, with accumulating lake effect snow possible east of Lake Ontario Saturday through Sunday. The heaviest snow will likely be Saturday night through Sunday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ003>005-013-014-021-171930- Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-Allegany- 330 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ042>045-062>065-171930- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 330 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Gales to 35 knots are possible over the east half of Lake Ontario Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-171930- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 330 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-171930- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 330 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf JLA
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 1:51 PM EDT | Gale Warning | BUF | 50 hr | |
| Mar 17, 2:04 PM EDT | Lake Effect Snow Warning | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 54 hr |
| Mar 17, 2:04 PM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Wyoming | 44 hr |
| Mar 17, 3:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Cattaraugus, Genesee, Monroe, Wyoming | 42 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.