Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2023
Gale Warning 3, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale warning at Feb 2, 2023, 3:45 AM EST. It took effect at Feb 2, 2023, 1:23 PM EST. It was in force for 11 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 2, 2023, 3:45 AM EST (08:45 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 2, 2023, 1:23 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 3, 2023, 12:20 AM EST
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted.
880 WHUS71 KBUF 020845 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 345 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 LOZ042>045-021645- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230202T1900Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0003.230202T1900Z-230203T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 345 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 2 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ062>065-021645- /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0003.230202T1900Z-230203T0300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 345 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ020-021645- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.230202T1200Z-230203T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 345 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ030-021645- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.230202T1600Z-230203T1500Z/ Lower Niagara River- 345 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected today, then northwest 15 to 25 knots tonight through Friday morning. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-021645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230204T0600Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 345 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
5 follow-up statements
283 WHUS71 KBUF 021414 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 914 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 LOZ042>045-022300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230202T1900Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0003.230202T1900Z-230203T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 914 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 2 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ062>065-022300- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0003.230202T1900Z-230203T0300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 914 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-022300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230204T0600Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 914 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-022300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230203T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 914 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ030-022300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.230202T1600Z-230203T1500Z/ Lower Niagara River- 914 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
557 WHUS71 KBUF 021823 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 123 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 LEZ040-041-030300- /O.UPG.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230204T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0003.230202T1823Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.230203T0600Z-230204T0600Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 123 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet. For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 1 AM EST Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 1 AM Friday to 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ042>045-030300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230202T1900Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0003.230202T1900Z-230203T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 123 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 10 PM EST this evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ062>065-030300- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0003.230202T1900Z-230203T0300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 123 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ020-030300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230203T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 123 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ030-030300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230203T1500Z/ Lower Niagara River- 123 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
450 WHUS71 KBUF 022131 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 431 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 LEZ040-041-030545- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230203T1800Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.230203T0600Z-230204T0600Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 431 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 1 AM EST Friday. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, from 1 AM to 1 PM EST Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 1 AM Friday to 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ042-043-062-063-030545- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230204T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 431 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 10 PM EST this evening. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, from 1 AM to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ044-045-064-065-030545- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230204T0600Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 431 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 10 PM EST this evening. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, from 1 AM Friday to 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ020-030300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230203T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 431 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ030-030545- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230203T1500Z/ Lower Niagara River- 431 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
905 WHUS71 KBUF 030248 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 948 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 LOZ042-043-062-063-031100- /O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230204T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 948 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northwest winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 1 AM EST Friday. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, from 1 AM to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LOZ044-045-064-065-031100- /O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230204T0600Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 948 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northwest winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 1 AM EST Friday. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, from 1 AM Friday to 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-031100- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230203T1800Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.230203T0600Z-230204T0600Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 948 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northwest winds to 35 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 1 AM EST Friday. For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, from 1 AM to 1 PM EST Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 1 AM Friday to 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ LEZ020-030600- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 948 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ030-031100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230203T1500Z/ Lower Niagara River- 948 PM EST Thu Feb 2 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
687 WHUS71 KBUF 030520 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1220 AM EST Fri Feb 3 2023 LEZ040-041-031330- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230203T1800Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.230203T0600Z-230204T0600Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 1220 AM EST Fri Feb 3 2023 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, until 1 PM EST this afternoon. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042-031330- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.230203T0520Z-230204T0900Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230204T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 1220 AM EST Fri Feb 3 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, until 7 PM EST this evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-031330- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.230203T0520Z-230204T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230204T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 1220 AM EST Fri Feb 3 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, until 7 PM EST this evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 7 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ044-031330- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.230203T0520Z-230204T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230204T0600Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 1220 AM EST Fri Feb 3 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, until 1 AM EST Saturday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 7 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-031330- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0014.230203T0520Z-230204T0900Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230204T0600Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1220 AM EST Fri Feb 3 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, until 1 AM EST Saturday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062-063-031330- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230204T0000Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 1220 AM EST Fri Feb 3 2023 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. && $$ LOZ064-065-031330- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230203T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.230203T0600Z-230204T0600Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1220 AM EST Fri Feb 3 2023 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Heavy freezing spray at a rate of 2 cm per hour or greater expected, and may rapidly accumulate on vessels. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Operating a vessel in heavy freezing spray is hazardous. Freezing spray may render mechanical and electronic components inoperative. Rapid ice accretion on decks and superstructures may result in a catastrophic loss of stability. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should prepare for dangerous accumulation of ice on their vessel. If possible, remain in port, avoid the warning area or conduct mitigation. && $$ LEZ020-030900- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230203T0900Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 1220 AM EST Fri Feb 3 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST early this morning. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ030-031330- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-230204T0600Z/ Lower Niagara River- 1220 AM EST Fri Feb 3 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Lower Niagara River. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 2, 12:46 AM EST, 2 hours 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 12:46 AM EST, 2 hours 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1246 AM EST Thu Feb 2 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Lake effect snow, primarily east of Lake Ontario, will drift north
and weaken tonight. The coldest air mass of the season will arrive
with an arctic front Thursday night into Saturday, with bitterly
cold temperatures and dangerously low wind chill values. The extreme
cold will be relatively short-lived however, with temperatures
moderating by the end of the weekend, and trending back above
seasonal normals for next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Off Lake Ontario...
Lake effect snow will continue overnight off Lake Ontario. The band
was very disorganized a few hours ago, but has since regained some
organization and intensity across the southern half of Jefferson
County and northwest Lewis County. This upswing in organization will
be temporary, with weakening expected again before daybreak.
Winds will become southwest later tonight and direct a weakening
lake effect band northward during the wee hours of the morning. This
will bring the band back into the City of Watertown. Lake effect
snow will further diminish as it moves towards the Saint Lawrence
River Thursday morning. Additional snowfall accumulations of 2-4
inches are possible in the most persistent bands overnight across
the southern half of Jefferson County and northwest Lewis County.
Off Lake Erie...
Flow will back to the southwest tonight and direct any snow showers
north and into Buffalo and the Northtowns. While warm air advection
takes place, an uptick in snow showers is possible as flow becomes
more aligned with the long axis of the lake. Moisture will be
lacking with forecast equilibrium levels near 3k feet. A dusting to
an inch is possible before lake snow ends by Thursday morning.
Low temperatures will fall to the teens to low 20s tonight.
Southwest flow increases Thursday as a strong cold front approaches
from the upper Great Lakes. Winds will increase with gusts up to 40
mph northeast of the Lakes through the afternoon. Snow showers will
begin to enter the far northern reaches of the forecast area by
Thursday afternoon. High temperatures will reach the upper 20s to
low 30s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
...Bitter Cold by the End of the Work Week...
A full phasing of the longwave pattern leading into this period will
result in a deep trough that will be centered over the eastern half
of North America. The notorious polar vortex will be displaced to
the south in the process, being found in the vicinity of Hudson Bay
and Quebec for the bulk of this period. That means that the coldest
air in the northern hemisphere will be just to our north (H85 -40C /
H925 -36C). Coldest air so far this season, with some gusty winds as
well just to make sure we really feel the 'bite' of this frigid
airmass. The details...
A strong arctic cold front will charge southwards across our
forecast area Thursday evening. The frontal passage will be
accompanied by a burst of moderately heavy snow/blowing snow as
winds gusts up to 35-40 mph with most areas picking up a quick inch
or so of snow. However, localized amounts upwards of a few inches
will be possible across the higher terrain east of the Lakes. If the
associated convection is significant enough, it could lead to snow
squall warnings, especially if it were to impact the I-90/I-87
corridors and/or occur earlier in the evening (i.e. during rush
hour). At this time, appears North Country (I-81 corridor) would
have the best chance of seeing the quick burst of heavier snow that
could impact the tail end of the rush hour.
Winds quickly veer around to the northwest in the wake of the
frontal passage, allowing broad multi-banded lake snows to set up
south/southeast of both Lakes overnight. Temperatures that will be
in the upper 20s to lower 30s early Thursday evening ahead of this
front, will then plunge into the single digits away from the Lakes
(below zero North Country) by daybreak, with below zero wind chills
area wide and well below zero wind chill readings already impacting
the North Country.
Cold advection will continue Friday, as the base of the digging
longwave trough crosses the lower Great Lakes. H85 temps will drop
to as low as -28C over the bulk of the region (sub -30C east of Lake
Ontario) during the course of the day with near surface temps
holding near steady within a few degrees of their overnight lows.
This will translate into daytime highs that will range from single
digits below zero across the North Country, to just the mid single
digits to very low teens across the lake plains and across the
Genesee valley/Finger Lakes region. A northwest wind gusting to 30-
35 mph at times will combine with these frigid temps to generate
dangerously low wind chills that will average 10 to 15 below across
the western counties and 20 to 30 below east of Lake Ontario.
Meanwhile, a cyclonic flow of arctic air crossing the generally open
waters of Lake Ontario will continue to support some light snow to
the tune of an inch or two, with similar amounts southeast of Lake
Erie over the Chautauqua Ridge. Given the bitter cold, this will be
a greasy snowfall featuring plates rather than fluffy dendrites.
Friday night will then guarantee to be the coldest period in recent
memory, as all areas away from the immediate lake shores will easily
drop below zero. Sites east of Lake Ontario will likely experience
mins of 20 to 25 below. While the axis of an arctic high will drift
across the region during the second half of the night, there will be
enough of a gradient to easily generate wind chill values ranging
from the minus teens and lower 20s across the western counties, to
as low as -45 in the vicinity of the Tug Hill/western Dacks.
The confidence is now 'maxed out' for sites east of Lake Ontario for
extreme wind chills...so have UPGRADED the wind chill watch to a
warning. This headline runs from 06z Fri through 18z on Saturday.
While high confidence is in place for wind chill advisories over the
western counties for roughly the same time frame...that type of
headline is not appropriate from this 'distance' from the event.
This headline will be issued in a later forecast package. Will
continue to highlight this in social media and in the HWO product.
While the bitter cold will be slow to loosen its grip on our
forecast area Saturday morning, the core of the coldest air aloft
will have already exited across Quebec and the Labrador Sea. As the
aforementioned surface high moves across New England Saturday
afternoon though, the door will be open for warm advection to
increase over our forecast area. This will bring a screeching halt
to any leftover light snow and will allow the temps over the western
counties to modify into the upper teens and lower 20s by the end of
the day. Sites east of Lake Ontario will make it into the teens,
however readings over the Tug Hill and western Dacks will struggle
to climb out of the single digits.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A weak positively tilted mid-level trough across the upper Great
Lakes Sunday morning will sweep southeast across the central and
lower Great Lakes Sunday and Sunday night. This trough will support
a weak surface low over southern Ontario, Canada Sunday morning,
where as this low pulls east, its attendant cold front will sweep
from west to east across the region late Sunday and Sunday night.
Due to the quick and efficient warming ahead of the system the night
prior and during the day on Sunday, precipitation will be a mix of
rain and snow. There will be a better chance for precipitation east
of both lakes due to some lake enhancement.
The aforementioned trough axis will finish crossing and push east of
the region Monday. In its wake, mid-level ridging will push across
the Great Lakes and support surface high pressure to cross overhead
of the area. This will cause any lingering showers to peter out by
Monday morning and then support a rather dry day and night.
Additionally in the wake of the cold front Monday, some chillier air
will have filtered across the region causing temperatures to drop,
though daily highs will remain a few degrees above normal.
The next northern stream mid-level trough will push east across
southern Canada Monday night through Tuesday, pushing its trough
axis across the area late Tuesday and Tuesday night. This being
said, the upper level feature will support a surface low to push
across southern Canada and drag its attendant cold front across the
region Tuesday into Wednesday. Long term guidance now has a few
discrepancies between timing and location of the low pressure track
and therefore better timing of precipitation is hard to pin point
down this far out. However, temperatures at this time will have
warmed up into the 40s by the middle of next week and therefore
mostly rain is expected.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Lake effect snow will continue through early to mid morning east of
Lake Ontario with local IFR/LIFR in the heavier portion of the band.
The center of the snowband will likely remain just south of KART,
but nonetheless expect a few periods of IFR to cross the airfield
through daybreak on the northern edge of the band. This lake effect
snow will move farther north and quickly weaken this morning, ending
by midday. Off Lake Erie, a band of lake effect clouds will continue
near KBUF through early this morning, but a less favorable
environment will keep the chance of snow low.
Lake effect clouds will scatter out later this morning, leaving a
period of mainly VFR conditions from late morning through late
afternoon. It will turn very windy today, with gusts of 35-40 knots
likely from late morning through the afternoon over and northeast of
Lake Erie and Lake Ontario.
An arctic front will blast through the eastern Great Lakes this
evening, producing one or several quick bursts of snow and gusty
winds with brief LIFR conditions. Northwest flow of very cold air
behind the arctic front will allow widespread, but relatively light
lake effect snow to develop tonight southeast of Lake Ontario and
Lake Erie, impacting much of the region. Cold temperatures and
resulting small snowflakes are typically very efficient at reducing
VSBY, so expect areas of IFR overnight even in light snow.
Outlook...
Friday...Blustery with MVFR/IFR in lake effect snow showers
southeast of the lakes.
Saturday...Mainly VFR.
Sunday...MVFR/VFR with rain and snow showers late.
Monday...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
Small Craft Advisories remain in effect through late Friday night. A
strong cold front will move across the lakes late Thursday afternoon
through Thursday evening. Winds will increase ahead and behind the
front. Gales are possible on the open water of Lake Ontario during
this time. Small Craft Advisories are likely with northwest winds
Thursday night through Friday night.
With the abnormally cold conditions, some freezing spray will be
possible Friday.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Lake Effect Snow Warning until 6 AM EST early this morning for
NYZ006>008.
Wind Chill Warning from 1 AM Friday to 1 PM EST Saturday for
NYZ006>008.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Saturday for LEZ040-041.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Saturday for
LOZ042>045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HSK/TMA/Zaff
NEAR TERM...Hitchcock/HSK/Zaff
SHORT TERM...JM/RSH
LONG TERM...EAJ
AVIATION...Hitchcock
MARINE...HSK/TMA/ZaffHazardous weather outlook, Feb 1, 2:49 PM EST, 12 hours 56 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 249 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023 NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-019-085-022000- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-Genesee- Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Southern Erie- 249 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Much colder weather will move in Thursday night through Saturday with dangerously cold wind chills of 15 to 25 below zero, especially Friday night and Saturday morning. A wind chill advisory or warning will likely be needed during this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ012-020-021-022000- Wyoming-Cattaraugus-Allegany- 249 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Much colder weather will move in Thursday night through Saturday with dangerously cold wind chills of 20 to 30 below zero, especially Friday night and Saturday morning. A wind chill advisory or warning will likely be needed during this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006>008-022000- Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- 249 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Lake Effect Snow Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-SLZ022-024-022000- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lower Niagara River- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 249 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ062>065-022000- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 249 PM EST Wed Feb 1 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Gales will be possible Thursday through early Thursday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 1, 10:46 PM EST, 4 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1046 PM EST WED FEB 1 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 PM SNOW 3 SW ADAMS 43.78N 76.07W
02/01/2023 M3.8 INCH JEFFERSON NY TRAINED SPOTTER
SNOW FROM 2PM TO 8PM.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 8:49 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis | 116 min |
| Feb 2, 3:47 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 7 more | 54 hr |
| Feb 2, 1:23 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 41 hr | |
| Feb 2, 4:31 PM EST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | BUF | 35 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.