Storm Warning 133, NWS Anchorage, AK

616 
FZAK51 PAFC 090112
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-091330-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 965 mb low 275 nm South of Cape Suckling moves to 15 nm East of
Gore Point at 962 mb Thu morning and inland for Thu afternoon. 
Its front moves over the Central Gulf and into the North Gulf 
Coast through Fri afternoon. A 984 mb low 120 nm South of Sand 
Point Thu morning moves along the front to 185 nm South of Cape 
Yakataga at 974 mb by Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ710-091330-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 60 kt. Gusts to 75 kt near the coast. Seas 31 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 65
kt early. Seas 28 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ711-091330-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 55 kt. Gusts to 70 kt after midnight. Seas 30 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Gusts 65
kt early. Seas 28 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ712-091330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 60 kt. Seas 33 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
28 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ715-091330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ716-091330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft after midnight.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 15 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ714-091330-
Resurrection Bay-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ724-091330-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-091330-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ726-091330-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ720-091330-
Port of Valdez-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable
less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-091330-
Valdez Narrows-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ722-091330-
Valdez Arm-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-091330-
Passage Canal-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain with snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow with rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-091330-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ731-091330-
Barren Islands East-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ733-091330-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ732-091330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ734-091330-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ736-091330-
Chiniak Bay-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ737-091330-
Marmot Bay-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ738-091330-
Shelikof Strait-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ742-091330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ740-091330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU...N wind 20 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ741-091330-
Kachemak Bay-
412 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft except 10 ft in the outer bay.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

961 
FZAK51 PAFC 091304
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100130-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 962 mb low near Montague Island moves inland this afternoon. Its 
front moves over the Central Gulf and into the North Gulf Coast 
through Fri afternoon. A 982 mb low moves to 185 nm south of Sitkinak
this afternoon and then to 215 nm south of Cape Yakataga at 973 mb 
Fri morning. 

$$

PKZ710-100130-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ711-100130-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
22 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ712-100130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 25
ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ715-100130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ716-100130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ714-100130-
Resurrection Bay-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt with becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 35 kt during the morning. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ724-100130-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-100130-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ726-100130-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ720-100130-
Port of Valdez-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-100130-
Valdez Narrows-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Snow with rain.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ722-100130-
Valdez Arm-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-100130-
Passage Canal-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-100130-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ731-100130-
Barren Islands East-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ733-100130-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
22 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ732-100130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ734-100130-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ736-100130-
Chiniak Bay-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ737-100130-
Marmot Bay-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ738-100130-
Shelikof Strait-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ742-100130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ740-100130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ741-100130-
Kachemak Bay-
404 AM AKST Thu Nov 9 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
453 PM AKST Tue Nov 7 2023

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A major winter storm is on track to impact Southcentral Alaska and
the Gulf of Alaska over the next two to three days. Unfortunately,
model spread remains an issue. Some guidance has trended colder
for the Anchorage Bowl and Matanuska while some guidance has
remained on the warmer end of the spectrum. These differences have
HUGE ramifications on the precipitation forecast for much of the
region, but especially for Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley. The
crux of the problem is the track and depth of a secondary surface
low which forms over the southern Gulf Wednesday and then tracks
northwestward to somewhere in the northern Gulf Wednesday night.

Guidance hints of 2 scenarios: The first scenario is that the
secondary low tracks into the Kenai Peninsula. This is the warmer
solution and what is currently reflected in the forecast. However,
the second scenario and what some guidance is beginning to hint at
is that the low tracks in the vicinity of or actually into Prince
William Sound. This scenario is the cooler of the 2 and would
yield more in the way of snow, but less moisture overall. These
differences in guidance continue to stem from the differences in
track of short-waves rounding the upper trough. All of this
affects whether the initial occluded front fully pushes onshore of
Southcentral tonight, how much warm air pushes inland, and where
the upper jet/atmospheric river and associated corridor of heavy
precipitation will set up.

Multiple Winter Storm products have been issued this afternoon to
start to hone in on some of the more likely impacts. Stay tuned,
as there is no doubt that there will be significant precipitation
and wind across portions of Southcentral, leading to widespread
hazardous travel.

SB/DAN

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3)...

The weather pattern across the Bering and Southwest Alaska remain
virtually unchanged this evening. As low pressure over the AKPEN
continues moving further into the Gulf through tonight, the next
low pressure system is forecast to slide across the Aleutians from
the west Wednesday into Thursday, before diving southward into
the North Pacific Thursday evening. This will see Southwest remain
relatively dry and calmer the next few days, though clearing
across the region will also allow overnight temperatures to bottom
out into the teens and even the single digits for parts of the
Kuskokwim Delta and Lower Kuskokwim Valley. Over the Bering the
progression of the Aleutian low on Wednesday into Thursday will
bring a broad front into the Eastern Aleutians with widespread
showers. At the same time a narrow wedge of warmer temperatures
will briefly spread across the Western and Central Aleutians.
Thus, rain showers are forecast for the Western and Central
Aleutians tomorrow with any precipitation to transition to snow by
Thursday night/early Friday morning.

BL

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Saturday through Tuesday)...

The Alaska weather map is split between two well developed low
pressure centers, separated by a short wave ridge through Tuesday.
Forecast Models begin the period mixed, but regain consensus by
the start of the new workweek. The stronger low in the West moves
across the Bering, bringing widespread gale force winds with some
areas of storm force gustiness through the weekend across the
Bering through Tuesday, diminishing from West to East. Gale force
gap winds extend over the Alaska Peninsula, around Kodiak Island
and over the Southern Kenai Peninsula through Tuesday.

A moderate ridge moves into Southwest Alaska Sunday and extends
over the lower half of the mainland through Tuesday. The Eastern
Gulf low will be drifting out of the Gulf through Sunday. A new
low formed from the energy over the Bering sets up near Kodiak on
Monday before pushing across the Gulf for Tuesday. A gale force
barrier jet sets up along the North Gulf Coast for Monday, and
weakens Tuesday.

KZ

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...

Light N winds this afternoon will increase up to 15G25KT this
evening, continuing into early Wed AM. With increasing wind,
medium to high potential for intermittent MVFR/IFR vis due to
blowing snow after 06z tonight. Light snow with MVFR cigs and vis
also expected starting around midnight. Brief Heavier snow is
expected to move over the terminal by noon Wednesday. Snow may
changeover to rain by late Wednesday afternoon/evening. LLWS is
also possible beginning late tonight as the northerly wind
increases and a SE wind develops aloft.

TM

&&