Gale Warning 697, NWS Anchorage, AK

Issued

Nov 14, 2023, 3:06 PM AKST (00:06 UTC)

Expired

Nov 15, 2023, 3:45 AM AKST

In force

13 hr

Issued by

NWS Anchorage, AK

121 
FZAK52 PAFC 150006
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-151245-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 966 mb low 85 miles north of Attu Island moves to 100 nm W of 
Emmonak at 968 mb by Wed afternoon before continuing inland across
the YK Delta on Thu. The front associated with this low moves 
across the Bering Sea into SW Alaska by Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ750-151245-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ751-151245-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ752-151245-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ753-151245-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ754-151245-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ755-151245-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ756-151245-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ757-151245-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft building to 22 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 26 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ758-151245-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 25 ft subsiding to 19 ft after midnight. Widespread rain 
and snow showers.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ759-151245-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 21 ft building to 31 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 31 ft subsiding to 22 ft after midnight. Rain showers 
and snow showers.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ770-151245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 27 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 45 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 26 ft subsiding to 17 ft after midnight. Rain showers 
and snow showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ772-151245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 19 ft.
.WED...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 45 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 31 ft subsiding to 19 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ771-151245-
Unalaska Bay-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ773-151245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 14 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ774-151245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas
20 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ775-151245-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft after midnight.
.WED...SW wind 50 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 27 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 18 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ776-151245-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. 
Seas 17 ft building to 24 ft after midnight.
.WED...SW wind 55 kt becoming W 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 33 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ777-151245-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 19 ft.
.WED...SW wind 50 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ778-151245-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft 
after midnight.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ780-151245-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 65 kt overnight. Seas 14 ft building to 23 ft after 
midnight.
.WED...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft subsiding to 16 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ781-151245-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 22 ft building to 33 ft 
after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 32 ft subsiding to 22 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ782-151245-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft building to 24 ft 
after midnight.
.WED...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft subsiding to 16 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ783-151245-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 27 ft 
after midnight.
.WED...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 26 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ784-151245-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 31 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...W wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 21 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ785-151245-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 31 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 24 ft subsiding to 17 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...S wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ786-151245-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 55 kt becoming NW 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 29 ft subsiding to 21 ft after midnight. Widespread 
rain showers.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.  and rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ787-151245-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 32 ft subsiding to 26 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN...S wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ766-151245-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 22 ft 
after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 50 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 26 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ760-151245-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 22 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ761-151245-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ762-151245-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ763-151245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray after 
midnight. Rain changing to snow.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ764-151245-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 50 kt becoming NW 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 22 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ765-151245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...S wind 35 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Freezing spray 
after midnight. Widespread snow showers.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ767-151245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
306 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NE 50 kt 
W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 18 ft. Widespread rain and snow 
showers.
.WED...N wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 45 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 35 kt 
W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 21 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 14, 5:39 AM AKST, 9 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
539 AM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Generally quiet weather is expected for much of southcentral Alaska
on Tuesday. Satellite imagery shows the low that brought yesterday's
snow has now pushed into SE Alaska and Yukon. Meanwhile, the next
system to bring rain/snow into the area is now moving across the
Bering Sea near the western Aleutians. The otherwise quiet weather
in between has resulted in nearly clear skies, which in turn has
allowed freezing fog and low stratus to develop and expand through
the Susitna Valley and northern Cook Inlet, including Anchorage.
With limited radiational heating and mixing this time of year, along
with little horizontal air movement, fog may be quite slow to erode
through the day.

By late afternoon today, the warm front extending out from the
Bering low will bring rain (high elevation snow) and increased wind
to Kodiak Island and adjacent islands. This front will eventually
work its way northeastward through the Kenai Peninsula and into
the greater Anchorage area during the overnight hours. Snow is
expected at onset for most locations with lingering cold air in
place. Intensifying low- to mid-level SE flow will create a bit of
a precipitation / downslope hole for Anchorage and portions of
the western Kenai on Thursday, as well as slightly warmer
temperatures. The biggest forecast challenge will be in the
vicinity of Prince William Sound, such as Whittier, where
lingering cold air will be slow to scour out, but onshore flow and
relatively warm sea surface temperatures may promote a low-level
temperature profile more suitable for rain rather than snow.
Initial thoughts for Whittier and the coastline is that snow is
expected at onset, but a changeover to rain is likely with
continued onshore flow. Should a conversion not occur, one to two
feet isn't out of the question for Whittier, where nearly 2 inches
of liquid is expected by Friday morning.

High-resolution model guidance is indicating rather strong Turnagain
Arm and Hillside + South Anchorage winds for Wednesday, with gusts
exceeding 40mph possible. This will have to be monitored closely as
trees and other structures already have a high snow load on them.
High wind may cause some snow to blow off in some cases, but may
bring higher stress to some structures or vegetation.

By Wednesday evening, the downsloping will diminish across the
Anchorage Bowl, allowing precipitation to fill back in as shortwave
troughs lift through the area within the deeper trough as it swings
through Mainland Alaska. Precipitation-type remains tricky from late
Wednesday through the first half of Thursday as low-level air hovers
in the lower 30s. All in all, precipitation during this timeframe
looks limited. Even if all snow were to occur, most areas
wouldn't receive *too* much more snow. Colder air begins to filter
into the area late Thursday into Friday, allowing any rain or
mixed precip to change back over to snow. Additional snow accumulation
up to a couple inches is possible from Anchorage through the Mat-
Su Valley By Friday morning.

-Brown

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3: Today through Thursday Night)...

A strong, maturing low is making a final approach to the southwest
corner of the Bering Sea this morning, with a recent scatterometer
pass detecting a swath of sustained storm force winds south of the
center, or a ways southwest of Shemya out in the North Pacific.
This low is expected to move steadily into the Bering Sea during
the next 36 hours or so, eventually making landfall near the
Kuskokwim Delta as it weakens to gale force on Wednesday evening.
The low's occluding front and a supporting southwesterly jet
streak currently visible on satellite over the Bering Sea and
Aleutians will meanwhile make rapid progress northeast, reaching
the Southwest coastline by tonight, then moving quickly inland as
it begins to shear apart over the higher terrain of the Alaska
Range and Kuskokwim Mountains.

This system will bring with it a variety of hazardous conditions,
ranging from strong winds and high seas moving across the southern
Bering Sea and along the Aleutian Chain, to possible high surf and
coastal erosion along the Southwest coastline. The main impacts
the Aleutians will come first, with the core of storm force winds
expected to move near and south of the low as it heads east-
northeast, progressing from the western Aleutians this morning to
the eastern Aleutians by midday Wednesday. Gusts to Hurricane
force will be possible as this core of strong winds shifts east,
namely across the central Aleutians where a High Wind Watch for
gusts up to 80 mph remains in effect starting later this evening.
The stronger winds will weaken somewhat as they shift into the
eastern Aleutians and the low's central pressure begins to rise,
but areas between Nikolski and Dutch harbor should still be on
alert for gusts between 60 and 70 mph as the strongest winds move
through on Wednesday afternoon.

Attention then shifts to Southwest, where concerns are increasing
for the possibility of a prolonged period of strong, onshore winds
behind the frontal passage starting later tonight. Prior to this,
expect a band of moderate snow to reach the coast along and ahead
of the front later this afternoon, then move quickly inland
overnight tonight as the front continues northeast. Strong warm
air advection and deep, southwesterly flow behind the front should
very quickly push temperatures above freezing and change snow over
to rain, limiting snow accumulation to a few inches at most for
the majority of Southwest through Wednesday. More notably, the
overall trend for the front's parent low has been for a slower and
more northerly track. This will put much of Southwest under a more
prolonged period of gusty, onshore winds than previously
anticipated, and the potential for high surf and coastal erosion
from tonight through Wednesday night has increased as a result.

Looking briefly at the remainder of the forecast period, the low
should finally move inland as winds across Southwest and the
eastern Bering Sea turn northwesterly and begin to subside
between Wednesday and Thursday. Much colder air will also begin
to shift back into place as northwesterly flow drags Arctic air
into place behind the low and upper trough moving over Southwest,
turning rain showers back over to snow showers by early Thursday
as temperatures drop from above average to below average by
Thursday night.

AF/SS

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Friday through Monday)...

The long term forecast period begins on Friday with a cooling
trend anticipated. Light to moderate snow should be ongoing across
the Copper River Basin and portions of Prince William Sound,
east, as an upper low shifts into Southeast Alaska into Saturday
night. The bigger story is an expected trough drifting into
interior Alaska. Which will pull a broad swath of colder
temperatures in from the north. At the same time a drier air mass
will help to clear out most precipitation for both Southwest and
Southcentral through the weekend. The exception will exist over
the Bering where isolated to scattered snow showers are forecast
with the trough's passage. A Kamchatka low then brings a strong
front into the Bering Sunday into Monday with potential high winds
as the front moves through the Western and Central Aleutians. The
front will progress into the eastern Bering by Monday with a
rain/snow mix and enhanced southerly winds along the front, from
the Eastern Aleutians up into the Chukchi Sea.

BL

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Low stratus and/or fog with IFR conditions is likely
through this morning, but low confidence as to whether it will
move over the terminal. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions through
this afternoon. The next chance for snow with lower clouds and
visibility will occur late tonight around midnight, but as
southeast winds pick up through Turnagain Arm Wednesday morning,
snowfall chances will decrease over the terminal. Expect winds to
remain light and variable through the TAF forecast period.

&&

In the hours before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
152 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

AKZ102-112-152100-
Anchorage-Matanuska Valley-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian, Eklutna,
Palmer, Wasilla, Sutton, and Chickaloon
152 PM AKST Tue Nov 14 2023

...POTENTIAL FOR FALLING TREE BRANCHES WITH GUSTY WINDS
WEDNESDAY...

Snow laden trees and power lines from recent storms combined with
winds expected to gust to 25 mph Wednesday morning could cause
tree limbs to break and bring down trees already leaning from the
heavy snow load. Power outages are also possible. Please exercise
caution in areas where snow laden trees and limbs could fall,
especially as winds increase Wednesday morning.

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2023Every gale warning in 2023

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.