Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2023
Gale Warning 552, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 30, 2023, 3:15 PM AKDT. It was in force for 35 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 30, 2023, 3:15 PM AKDT (23:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 2, 2023, 2:15 AM AKDT
- In force
- 35 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
860 FZAK51 PAFC 302315 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-011130- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front extending over the Southern Gulf moves to the North Gulf Coast for Sun afternoon. A 980 mb North Pacific low moves to of 160 nm Southwest of Yakutat at 998 mb by Mon morning and moves inland by Monday afternoon. Its front trails across the Western Gulf through Mon morning. $$ PKZ710-011130- Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ711-011130- Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ712-011130- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ715-011130- Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ716-011130- Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ714-011130- Resurrection Bay- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ724-011130- Northwest Prince William Sound- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ725-011130- Central and Eastern Prince William Sound- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ726-011130- Southwest Prince William Sound- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ720-011130- Port of Valdez- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ721-011130- Valdez Narrows- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ722-011130- Valdez Arm- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ723-011130- Passage Canal- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ730-011130- West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ731-011130- Barren Islands East- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ733-011130- Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ732-011130- Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ734-011130- Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 15 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ736-011130- Chiniak Bay- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ737-011130- Marmot Bay- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 .TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...N wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ738-011130- Shelikof Strait- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ742-011130- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ740-011130- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ741-011130- Kachemak Bay- 315 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. In the outer bay, N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
2 follow-up statements
763 FZAK51 PAFC 011059 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-012315- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 983 mb low 55 nm south of of Akhiok moves to 40 nm west of Middleton Island at 998 mb on Mon morning and then to 25 nm north of Middleton Island at 1003 mb by Tue morning. Its front spreads across the Gulf coast through Tue morning. $$ PKZ710-012315- Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ711-012315- Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ712-012315- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ715-012315- Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ716-012315- Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ714-012315- Resurrection Bay- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ724-012315- Northwest Prince William Sound- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON...NW wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ725-012315- Central and Eastern Prince William Sound- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...NE wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ726-012315- Southwest Prince William Sound- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...NW wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ720-012315- Port of Valdez- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ721-012315- Valdez Narrows- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ722-012315- Valdez Arm- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ723-012315- Passage Canal- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...W wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ730-012315- West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. .MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ731-012315- Barren Islands East- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ733-012315- Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ732-012315- Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ734-012315- Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, E wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ736-012315- Chiniak Bay- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ737-012315- Marmot Bay- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ738-012315- Shelikof Strait- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ742-012315- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft building to 3 ft after midnight. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ740-012315- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ741-012315- Kachemak Bay- 259 AM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
205 FZAK51 PAFC 012200 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-021015- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 990 mb low 255 nm southwest of of Middleton Island moves to 70 nm north of Middleton Island at 1002 mb on Mon afternoon and then moves inland by Tue afternoon. Its front lingers across the Gulf coast through Tue morning. High pressure spreads into the western Gulf by Tue afternoon. $$ PKZ710-021015- Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ711-021015- Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ712-021015- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ715-021015- Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ716-021015- Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ714-021015- Resurrection Bay- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ724-021015- Northwest Prince William Sound- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ725-021015- Central and Eastern Prince William Sound- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...NE wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ726-021015- Southwest Prince William Sound- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ720-021015- Port of Valdez- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ721-021015- Valdez Narrows- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ722-021015- Valdez Arm- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ723-021015- Passage Canal- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ730-021015- West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. .MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ731-021015- Barren Islands East- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ733-021015- Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ732-021015- Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ734-021015- Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ736-021015- Chiniak Bay- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ737-021015- Marmot Bay- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ738-021015- Shelikof Strait- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ742-021015- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft building to 3 ft after midnight. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ740-021015- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ741-021015- Kachemak Bay- 200 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2023 .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 30, 5:18 AM AKDT, 9 hours 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 5:18 AM AKDT, 9 hours 57 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service Anchorage AK 518 AM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2023 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... A deep vertically stacked low is centered around 150 nm S of Unimak Pass this morning. Its occluded front extends from Bristol Bay across the southeastern Bering Sea to the central Aleutians, wrapping back around the center of circulation. This front is bringing widespread rain and strong gusty winds to Southwest Alaska with a warm front extending off the occluded front bringing the same sensible weather to Kodiak Island. A weak surface trough over Prince William Sound is producing scattered showers that are moving west toward the eastern Kenai Peninsula, a result of the developing southeasterly flow aloft. Low stratus and patchy fog have persisted over much of the Copper River Basin overnight, but are beginning to erode as the higher clouds from the aforementioned front moves over the region. Benign weather also prevails across the western Aleutians under the influence of high pressure. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... While models have a good handle on the track and evolution of the current storm-force low, there continues to be minor shifts in timing/placement of both the surface front as it enters the northern Gulf and what happens to the remnant trough as a second upper-level arctic trough and developing weak surface low move west to east across the state. The GFS has trended a bit more to the NAM, with better interaction between these features and development of precipitation over Cook Inlet and the Mat-Su Valleys for Sunday night into Monday. The biggest difference is the timing in progression of the upper-level wave and extent of cold air advection. The NAM is still the fastest and coldest solution, with snow levels dropping below 2,000 ft by Monday morning and northerly gap winds quickly developing. The GFS is slower with a more moderated airmass. The morning forecast package is a blend of both models with higher weight to the GFS. && .AVIATION... PANC...VFR conditions will persist with light winds early this morning. A northerly wind will develop mid to late morning, continuing through Sunday morning. A strong southeasterly wind out of Turnagain Arm will also develop today as a frontal system moves toward the Southcentral coast; however, the orientation of the frontal system will allow the core of strongest winds through Turnagain Arm to bend quickly down inlet and away from the terminal. As such, LLWS is not expected over the terminal. Occasional sprinkles or very light rain is also possible through the day; however, ceilings/vis should remain safely in the VFR category. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight through Monday)... A strong, vertically stacked low south of Unimak Pass this morning will continue to track northeast through the day, reaching Kodiak Island by Sunday morning. Its associated warm front is draped across the western Gulf this morning, with widespread gales and rain from the southern Gulf to Kodiak Island. This front will remain potent as it occludes and lifts to the northern Gulf this evening. As the front lifts north toward the Southcentral coast, expect rain and high-end gales, along with a small core of storm-force winds near Kayak Island, for the latter half of Saturday. Northeasterly winds will also develop across Cook Inlet, the Anchorage Bowl, and the Matanuska Valley late Saturday into early Sunday as the front continues north and the pressure gradient between weak ridging over the Yukon and the low over the AKPen tightens. Strong east-southeasterly winds will also increase for Prince William Sound on Saturday night with the heaviest rain falling along the immediate coast. Inland areas, especially those in the lee of the Chugach and Kenai Mountains, will likely see only occasional sprinkles or very light rain throughout the day Saturday due to a strong cross-barrier flow allowing for downsloping. The front will weaken on Sunday as it pushes on shore, with winds and precipitation both subsequently diminishing in intensity. The parent low also weakens as it moves east and stalls east of Middleton Island. By Monday, another upper-level trough moves over the region while an associated weak surface low develops over the northern Gulf/Prince William Sound area and phases with the previous system. The combination of a stalled mid-level trough over the western half of Southcentral, moisture advection, and colder air moving in from the interior, will all allow for the development of another round of precipitation overspreading Southcentral from west to east. The colder air will also allow snow levels to fall below 2,000 ft for Monday morning, with accumulating snow possible for parts of the Copper River Basin, mountain passes, and the Anchorage Hillside. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)... The strong system currently south of Unalaska has entered its weakening phase and will spend the next few days tracking towards the Gulf of Alaska and slowly dissipating. Gale force winds will continue along the northern and western edges of the low, with elevated winds along the Kuskokwim Delta and out of Kamishak Gap. Rain showers began yesterday along the Aleutians and southern Alaska Peninsula and have begun pushing onshore into Bristol Bay overnight. Cooler air will begin to filter in on the backside of the system for Sunday. This cold air will be re-enforced Sunday night and Monday as an upper-level shortwave trough digs southward from the Arctic to over the Southwestern Mainland. The main impact will be increased gap winds through the favored terrain of the AKPEN. Higher pressure moves into the western Bering on Monday and will shift eastward to encompass most of the Bering Sea by Tuesday. This will bring about benign conditions for much of the Bering Sea, Aleutians, and Southwest Alaska for early to mid next week. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through Friday)... The start of the long term period next Tuesday begins with poor deterministic model agreement. Thus, more weight has been given to the ensemble means. Ensembles depict a large upper low anchored over the Beaufort Sea on Tuesday. A second upper low is forecast over the North Pacific well to the south of the Eastern Aleutians by roughly 600 nm. Through the end of the week a new developing low pressure center over Kamchatka will overtake the North Pacific low, with a longwave trough becoming established from the southern Bering into the North Pacific by next Friday. As the Kamchatka low moves into the Bering Tuesday and Wednesday a large front will spread across the Western and Central Aleutians. This should bring widespread showers and potentially elevated winds into the Eastern Aleutians and then northeastward into the Kuskokwim Delta as the front weakens and begins to dissipate. Much of Southwest Alaska will be the beneficiary of high pressure, likely experiencing generally dry conditions through the long term period. Interior Southcentral may also see initial shower activity on Tuesday and Wednesday dry out for Thursday and Friday. Along the coast, however, a wet pattern may be ongoing as southwesterly flow sees multiple shortwave disturbances digging into coast through the end of the long term period. It should be noted that the deterministic GFS has much drier conditions in place while across the Gulf coast and the Gulf itself, as high pressure builds back into the region. On the other hand, the EC is more in line with ensembles. Which bring potential heavy rain over Prince William Sound and along the coast, with lighter rain moving further inland into Southcentral. All that being said, forecast confidence in the long term is low. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TM SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KM LONG TERM...BL
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2:50 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Sep 30, 2:50 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 47 hr | |
| Sep 30, 2:50 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Sep 30, 2:52 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Sep 30, 2:52 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Sep 30, 3:34 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Sep 30, 3:34 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Sep 30, 2:43 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Sep 30, 3:15 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 35 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.