Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
139 PM CDT Tue Aug 9 2022

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of this afternoon )
Issued at 111 PM CDT Tue Aug 9 2022
Scattered showers with a few embedded thunderstorms continue this
afternoon in association with several weak MCVs that were generated
earlier in the day during the stronger convection. Although spotty,
some beneficial rainfall has occurred across southeast Oklahoma,
currently in extreme (D3) drought. Still the potential for lingering
scattered storms this afternoon, including northeast Oklahoma
where atmosphere has destabilized with the thinner cloud cover.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Tue Aug 9 2022

Modest low level jet will develop tonight with scattered storms
possible into Wednesday morning. Main precip area on Wednesday
will begin to focus further south as drier air begins to filter
into the region from the northeast.

Upper high currently over the Four Corners Region will begin to
shift east closer to the area with warm/humid conditions likely
through the weekend. High temperatures will again approach triple
digits early next week with excessive heat becoming more of a
concern. Overall rain chances through the extended periods will
likely remain low, however isolated storms possible Friday afternoon
across far southeast Oklahoma and across northwest Arkansas by
Tuesday of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1217 PM CDT Tue Aug 9 2022

RA/isolated TSRA continue across far ERN OK and NW AR early this
afternoon, so will keep varying mentions of RA/TSRA for the first
few hours of the period across the SE OK/AR sites. VFR elements largely
to prevail for the remainder of the period though additional scattered
development overnight may impact the SE OK and AR sites after 06z
with MVFR vsbys. Will include a few hours of PROB30 groups at
those sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  93  69  93 /  20  10   0   0
FSM   74  92  74  94 /  50  40  10  20
MLC   72  93  71  93 /  30  20  10  10
BVO   70  93  65  94 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   69  89  65  90 /  40  30  10  10
BYV   70  87  66  90 /  40  30  10  10
MKO   71  89  70  91 /  30  20   0  10
MIO   70  91  64  93 /  20  10   0   0
F10   71  92  69  93 /  30  10   0  10
HHW   72  92  71  92 /  40  40  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...23

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
441 PM CDT Tue Aug 9 2022

OKZ054-092215-
Osage OK-
441 PM CDT Tue Aug 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central Osage
County through 515 PM CDT...

At 441 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm 5 miles
east of Ponca City, moving south at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Southwestern Kaw Lake...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3670 9703 3669 9702 3668 9694 3673 9691
      3675 9689 3675 9687 3674 9683 3661 9678
      3660 9704 3661 9705 3664 9705 3666 9706
      3668 9706
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 278DEG 12KT 3672 9697

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH