Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 37, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

May 31, 2022Manatee County, Sarasota County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 31, 2022, 7:34 PM EDT for Manatee County, Sarasota County, Florida. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 31, 2022, 7:34 PM EDT (23:34 UTC)
Expired: May 31, 2022, 8:00 PM EDT
In force: 26 min
Issued by: NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Manatee County, FL, Sarasota County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 42 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 213 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -136 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1007 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 31, 3:07 PM EDT, 4 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 31, 3:07 PM EDT, 4 hours 27 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
307 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue moving west southwest
across the interior this afternoon and expect more coverage once
these reach the west coast sea breeze near the west coast later
this afternoon and evening. All of the convection will move out
into the gulf later this evening with mostly clear to partly
cloudy skies overnight. Wednesday looks like a repeat of today as
the east to northeast low level flow persists with enough moisture
for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. The main
difference will be the timing as the east to northeast flow will
be a little stronger bringing the convection westward a couple of
hours sooner than today.

For Thursday the easterly flow will persist, but weaker than
Wednesday. Plenty of moisture will still be in place, especially
from the Interstate 4 corridor southward, to allow more scattered
to numerous mainly afternoon and evening convection with the
highest PoPs over the southern interior and southwest Florida.

For Friday through Saturday the forecast is highly dependent on
the future development or lack thereof of a possible tropical
system moving across the southeast Gulf of Mexico. At this time
expect breezy conditions to develop Friday into Saturday with
scattered to widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms,
highest rain chances across the south.

Early next week easterly flow returns with a pretty typical summer
thunderstorm pattern with scattered convection each afternoon and
evening.

&&

.AVIATION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms into this evening will cause
brief MVFR/IFR cigs/vsbys along with some higher wind gusts.
Winds will be out of the east to northeast at 7 to 10 knots,
except becoming west to northwest later this afternoon with the
sea breeze at TPA, PIE, and SRQ. Light east to northeast winds
return later this evening then increase to 7 to 10 knots again
during Wednesday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds will remain easterly for the next few days, though a shift
to onshore is expected with the sea breeze each afternoon.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible late each
afternoon and evening, moving offshore from land. No headlines are
expected, though winds could briefly increase to the 15 to 20
knot range each evening. Late in the week an area of low pressure
could move across the southeast gulf increasing winds to advisory
levels.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Breezy east to northeast winds will lead to rather high dispersion
values Wednesday afternoon. Relative humidity values will remain
above critical levels through the week with no fire weather
concerns.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  74  92  75  92 /  30  50  10  40
FMY  71  91  72  91 /  40  60  20  60
GIF  71  90  71  92 /  10  50  10  40
SRQ  71  90  71  89 /  40  60  20  40
BKV  67  92  67  92 /  20  40  10  40
SPG  74  89  75  88 /  40  50  20  40

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Today: 2
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tomorrow: 3

For Additional Information On Sea Breeze Regimes go to
https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

Close

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 31, 7:05 PM EDT, 29 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 31, 7:11 PM EDT, 23 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 31, 7:17 PM EDT, 17 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 31, 7:22 PM EDT, 12 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 31, 7:25 PM EDT, 9 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 31, 7:34 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 8:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Levy	35 min
May 30, 8:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Hillsborough, Pinellas	37 min
May 30, 8:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Sumter	37 min
May 30, 8:41 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Levy	34 min
May 30, 8:55 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		65 min
May 30, 8:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Hillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas	47 min
May 30, 9:17 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Levy	43 min
May 30, 9:19 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Hernando, Pasco	26 min
May 30, 9:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Citrus	37 min
May 30, 9:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Hernando, Pasco, Pinellas	47 min
May 30, 10:18 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Citrus	27 min
May 31, 4:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Levy	33 min
May 31, 4:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Citrus, Levy	52 min
May 31, 4:49 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Citrus, Levy	26 min
May 31, 4:50 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		40 min
May 31, 5:26 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		64 min
May 31, 5:41 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Sarasota	49 min
May 31, 5:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Pinellas	38 min
May 31, 5:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Pasco, Pinellas	36 min
May 31, 5:57 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		63 min
May 31, 5:57 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Lee	63 min
May 31, 6:07 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Sarasota	23 min
May 31, 6:14 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	TBW	Pinellas	15 min
May 31, 6:20 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		25 min
May 31, 6:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Charlotte, Lee	23 min
May 31, 6:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Sarasota	30 min
May 31, 6:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Pinellas	43 min
May 31, 6:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Manatee, Sarasota	25 min
May 31, 6:40 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		65 min
May 31, 6:48 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Lee	42 min
May 31, 6:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Manatee, Sarasota	32 min
May 31, 6:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Pinellas	31 min
May 31, 7:09 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		36 min
May 31, 7:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Charlotte	23 min
May 31, 7:25 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Manatee	50 min
May 31, 7:47 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		43 min
May 31, 7:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Manatee, Sarasota	47 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2022 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.