Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2022

Tornado Watch 569

November 11, 202268 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina; 72 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 11, 2022, 6:15 AM EST for 68 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina; 72 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 11, 2022, 6:15 AM EST (11:15 UTC)
Expired: Nov 11, 2022, 6:00 PM EST
In force: 12 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected: 60 kt

All 148 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Pender County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Union County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Henry County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 20%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 10%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 30%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 11, 7:25 AM EST	Tornado Warning	ILM	Bladen, Columbus	17 min
Nov 11, 7:31 AM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Chatham, Randolph	29 min
Nov 11, 8:27 AM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Alamance	33 min
Nov 11, 9:43 AM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Durham, Granville, Orange, Person	14 min
Nov 11, 9:52 AM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Durham, Granville	23 min
Nov 11, 10:52 AM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Franklin, Granville, Vance	38 min
Nov 11, 11:11 AM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Franklin, Warren	34 min
Nov 11, 11:46 AM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Brunswick, Mecklenburg	29 min
Nov 11, 11:49 AM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Warren	11 min
Nov 11, 12:13 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Brunswick	32 min
Nov 11, 12:25 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Halifax, Warren	35 min
Nov 11, 12:40 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Brunswick, Dinwiddie	35 min
Nov 11, 1:03 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Amelia, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie	27 min
Nov 11, 1:17 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RNK	Henry	13 min
Nov 11, 1:23 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Dinwiddie	37 min
Nov 11, 1:27 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Henrico	33 min
Nov 11, 1:53 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Chesterfield, Hanover, Henrico, City of Richmond	37 min
Nov 11, 1:55 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Chesterfield	35 min
Nov 11, 2:01 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Sussex	29 min
Nov 11, 2:14 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Chesterfield, Henrico, City of Richmond	31 min
Nov 11, 2:17 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	AKQ	Chesterfield, Henrico, City of Richmond	118 min
Nov 11, 2:21 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Hanover, Henrico, King William	24 min
Nov 11, 2:31 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Charles City, Prince George, Surry, Sussex	29 min
Nov 11, 2:35 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Gates, Hertford	25 min
Nov 11, 2:38 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Hanover, Henrico, King William, City of Richmond	17 min
Nov 11, 2:42 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Caroline, Hanover, King and Queen, King William	15 min
Nov 11, 2:58 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Gates	32 min
Nov 11, 3:08 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Caroline, Hanover, King and Queen, King William	37 min
Nov 11, 3:55 PM EST	Tornado Warning	AKQ	Dinwiddie	35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 111 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 814 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 297 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 446 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 10, 10:43 PM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender	2 hr
Nov 11, 12:42 AM EST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson	8 hr
Nov 11, 5:36 AM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Alamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick and 55 more	54 min
Nov 11, 12:06 PM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Halifax and 8 more	114 min
Nov 11, 2:30 PM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Gates, Hertford, Northampton	2 hr
Nov 11, 6:05 PM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Halifax, Hertford, Northampton, Vance, Warren	85 min
Nov 11, 2:40 AM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Berkeley, Calhoun, Charleston, Clarendon, Dorchester, Kershaw and 6 more	2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2022 Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2022 Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2022 Every tornado watch in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.